Pitchforks
Are we halfway through a 3rd market cycle since 1932?This idea aims to visualize the market cycles in place since the great depression. Based on analyzing the cycles we can see some similarities which we may be able to use to our advantage. According to this analysis we are currently halfway through the 3rd cycle which started after the GFC in 2009. We had 2 bear markets since then which were both less than 50% in magnitude. All other information is on the chart!
XAU/USD Short - 5/15m - Post NY Open - May 18 2023We have one long term 4H PF and price broke a major support after some news at 8:30 (red line). A shorter time frame PF drawn on the 30m timeframe shows a clear path for price to follow. Upon drawing the PF , we see that 0.25/0.75 parallels are relevant and price is respecting them.
As price dropped closer to the median line, the 0.25 parallel became a resistance that price retraced back to and retested after breaking (we can see this parallel acting as a support twice in the past). First 1:2 trade was taken after the retest was confirmed with a rejection doji which signaled a drive down following momentum. SL was above the base doji and TP was at the 0.25 parallel on the other side (following the PF rule of: what happens above, so below).
The second trade was a 1:1 which was used to further capitalize on the move as the PF is further validated by what price is doing. Once the median line was broken, the sell was taken on the retest with an SL above the previous 15m and same TP as the first trade. Both trades hit TP and price rejected from this level.
TSLA bearish analysisOn weekly chart the price (almost) reached both the solid blue top pitchfork line and the middle orange pitchfork lines. Additionally, weekly RSI reached the dotted green resistance trendline. These are all bearish signs.
On daily chart, RSI has a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern and there is also a divergence between RSI (with purple trendline pointing downwards) and the PRICE (the purple trendline poingint upwards). Again, these are bearsih signs.
My previous TSLA idea was bullish and it went up 54% (from 137.80 to 212.11 when I gave the close signal), see related idea.
XAU/USD Short - 15/30m - Post NY Open - May 16 2023On the long term bullish 4H PF , price broke and retested a major support turned resistance at NY open. This tells us that gold is bearish despite the news at 8:30 which produced the big jump up. After the retest, price was bound to go down and touch the red parallel which is where we put our TP. Our entry was after price broke the base of the retest to ensure minimum drawdown. The SL was above the retest base to ensure plenty of room if price decides to push up one last time.
Another PF (purple) was drawn for a short term bearish outlook which agrees with the bias of the 4H PF . The major support of the short term PF also agrees with the support of the long term PF which creates our confluence. As seen, there were further break and retests for more trades which is where the second trade was taken.
1st trade was a 1:2 and no partials were taken. 2nd trade was also a 1:2 and was entered on the break of the white dotted line. From here, we can clearly see that price is breaking and retesting supports on the 3D plane. The second trade entry was similar to the first one in the sense that the entry was at the break of the retest base with an SL above the base with the TP being the same place as the first trade. Both hit TP and we can see that price starts to consolidate after signaling a support has been reached.
XRP needs a wave 3.If you find this info inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Watching for this if the
$ .42 level, been watching breaks down.
Would make a might fine looking
Could be counted a couple ways, ngl.
In most, a move down would make a pretty impulse.
Cheers!
Is this Woo-Woo? Absolutely, it is. Get in here.I've not been doing a lot of technical analysis, but I really don't even need to keep up with it! I just come back every few months or years and check out my pitchforks. They're always giving me such an interesting perspective into the market.
If my pitchforks align with my love for Wyckoff Cycles (forextraininggroup.com), I trade those.
Today, for no reason, I added a little fib fan. I also added some grey boxes which were informed by various fib projections where I think the price action will be a knife fight. I added some red boxes where I lose total interest in a long position. I think the chart speaks for itself! Enjoy.
AUDUSD - DowntrendMajor Trend is bearish
4Hr made a Lower Low
Confluence Zone (in purple) drawn by pendulum fork & Standard fork
4Hr created a Fractal Candle
4Hr created a Reversal Divergence in confluence zone
4Hr rejecting from Resistance & Confluence Zone
Above conditions signal a potential change in direction
Tp defined by Fib retracement main levels.
USDCAD pullbackMajor Trend is bearish
4HR reversed as projected on my previous analysis
4HR broke thru both 4Hr supports converting them into resistances
Confluence Zone (in purple) Projected between 1.33300 & 1.33000
To buy I will wait for reversal signs (in yellow comment box) this might be just a pullback.
Remember that important news are due on Wednesday so might be best to wait if market trades sideways
May the profits be with you!
⚠️Don't get FOMO on Bitcoin⚠️Hi everyone👋 (Reading time less than 3 minutes⏰).
Why Shouldn't we Get FOMO on Bitcoin❗️❓
Please be with me in this post to answer this question.↘️
To analyze Bitcoin, I first used Fibonacci tools (price + time), I also identified 🟢support🟢 and 🔴resistance zones🔴 on the chart, and I used Volume , RSI , and Bollinger Bands indicators. I also specified 🔵CME Gaps🔵 on the chart that can be a road map for Bitcoin because they are completely filled up to this time.
⚠️Reasons not to get FOMO :⚠️
Bitcoin is moving in a 🔴heavy resistance zone ($ 32,400-$ 28,120)🔴, and most resistances or supports are not broken with the one-time test.
Bitcoin is moving in the 🟡Price Reversal Zone(PRZ)🟡.
Bitcoin is moving in the 🟡Time Reversal Zone(TRZ)🟡.
The Regular Divergence(RD-) between Volume & RSI indicators, and the price.
❗️Sell❗️ signal Bollinger Bands indicator: Sell signals form when the price goes up and a green candle breaks and closes above the upper band, and then it is followed by a red candle closing below the band.
🔔So, I expect Bitcoin to at least fall to the middle pitchfork line & support line and fill the first lower 🔵 CME Gap($ 28,265- $ 28,110) 🔵.
Bitcoin Analyze ( OKX:BTCUSDT ), Daily time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Uncertainty on XRPXrp has a mind on its own.
-Currently escaped from bearish pitchfork which is a BULL sign and a safer moment to long with a proper Stop loss.
- 5/3/5 Elliott wave zig zag pattern where waves (A) and (C) are similar in lenght. Bullish sign.
- After completing the (C) wave, i cant find proper impulsive structure on a small time frame. Even worse, after moving up, move down looks impulsive. BEAR sign.
- Whole market is begging for a correction. Will xrp follow.
📉Gold 4H is preparing to rise above the 2000 level📈OANDA:XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold analytical series, Episode 05
Hello Traders, First take a look at my previous episodes.
Don't forget to risk-free your positions.
The First target, 1998.
Second target 2049
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
Let me know what's your idea.
CrazyS✌
USDJPY Trend ContinuationMajor Trend is Bullish
4Hr made a higher high
4Hr reversed on Daily Resistance
4Hr broke thru 4Hr resistance
4Hr touched confluence zone drawn by a slopped wash line/wash line & Frequency line
4Hr Created a Bull Divergence along with a Bullish Hidden Divergence
To Buy I will wait for a retest on the confluence Zone or Fractal Candle on 4HR & WAIT for news event.
May the Profits be with you!