BTC Heading to top of Andrews Pitchfork Channel - Short positionMarket frequency should come into play, #BTC likely to peak at the top of the channel. Then heading back to the RED Median Line *statistically happens 80% of the time, a nice edge and initial target for a short play.. IF BTC breaks the channel then likely to retest the channel before heading higher.. given the macro back drop... lower prices on the horizon.
Pitchforks
SPY - bullish (pitchfork analysis)This builds on my previous pitchfork analysis (see related idea which pointed to June 17th as the point of reversal and the start of the longer term bullish cycle). While that still stands strong, this is a smaller term analysis. SPY reached the intersection of 2 upper pitchfork lines (well, one bar off the intersection) after which it fell. Now it reached lower pitchfork line which is a likely point a reversal, turning bullish. SPY however may go down to the next red line before bouncing back up. Looking at other, longer term pitchfork lines I drew, SPY hasn't become fully bullish (that is, it reached higher order bottom pitchfork lines than the upper lines.
The real problem here is not the move back under the 20K...but the potential break of the dynamic trendline.
In case of further weakness:
1. 15K and 13.8K pretty relevant static supports.
2. the Median Line per 1.2.3 is (now) pointing out a potential first "target zone" back slightly under 10K (orange arrow zone in the chart).
Confirmation needed.
Update of:
30m Harmony ShortKUCOIN:ONEUSDT
I really like this set up.
Big targets, minimal risk, and forks and price patterns (hopefully) have my back.
I went short at $0.20165
Stop-Loss set at $0.204
Target 1 = $0.194 (1.0 Fib Extension)
Target 2 = $0.1885 (1.272 Fib Extension)
Target 3 = $0.1817 (1.618 Fib Extension)
Fat_Fat
DJI, SPY, NDQ, BTC, NVDA, SPXS, VIX17 minute video. A lot of information packed in here.
I don't like typing things out when I have 20 things to say, so I'm not really going to do that.
TLDW; Things look bad.
If this video was useful to you, boost the idea so that more people find these the ideas and join the the streams everyday at 9:15 EST: 15 minutes before the market opens.
Gold: Forks In The RoadTVC:GOLD
Gold is at a crossroads...
In the middle of the range, and at a level that has held support on many different occasions over the past few years...
The 0.618 Fib level of the Covid low-high move, around $1680.
I want to be bullish, I'm leaning bullish...
However, I'm not confident enough to make a call here.
Regardless of the direction, everyone should have physical metals in this insano world.
Back to the chart.... I could see either scenario playing out.
If the 0.618 Fib & trigger line of the orange fork holds support at $1680ish... I'll be patient and look to get long once the chart confirms.
If the 0.618 fib & trigger line of the orange fork does not hold at $1680ish.... I won't short it, but I would think it gets back down to the Covid low around $1450.
I'm looking to see which fork manages to hold price.
It's tricky, so manage your risk accordingly if you're getting short or long here.
I'll update the idea as it goes...
Let's see what happens...
Fat_Fat
Long Wheat - Retrace RallyCBOT:ZW1!
Wheat might be lining up for a retrace rally.
Wheat appears to have built out a descending wedge while also printing bullish divergence on the RSI.
Price has finally broke the wedge, retested, and continued moving higher.
In that move higher, price has broke through the major descending fork that has held price for the last 3+ months.
In addition, the Perry Kaufman Adaptive MA just printed a "Buy" signal. ( Thanks, @blackcat1402 )
I'm expecting price to continue higher up to the trigger-line of this descending fork.
Plotting an ascending minor fork on the chart to project a path higher, a move to the .618 Fibonacci retracement level appears to be a likely target area.
Target = 1076 USX aka $10.76
Fat_Fat
USDJPY ShortOANDA:USDJPY
Dollar/Yen just put in a Bearish Gartley Harmonic.
RSI approaching trendline resistance plotted from the two previous peaks.
If the pattern confirms and the fork holds.... short it.
I just got short with a healthy stop above the peak in July.
Targets = Fib levels
Fib/Price Targets
0.382 = 129.94
0.5 = 127.02
0.618 = 124.10
Fat_Fat
USDCHF possible Short SetupUSDCHF is showing a weak momentum in RSI and may form a double top if it doesn't close above the previous high hence, a possible short setup since it already touched the upper band of the pitchfork you may see a partial rejection on the previous high and a rejection on this lower high. Good luck!
NQ1! - Monthly Closed, What Next?In my previous NDX thread I suggested that the 6M candle would create incredible bearish sentiment and would be a great time to trap shorts and lock out sellers in a reversal and that is exactly what happened. Notice that there is very little lower wick for July candle. It shows that the turn of 1/2 year was a significant turning point.
On the monthly chart July has printed a bullish engulfing candle and so now the sentiment is reversed. The bottom is in everyone thinks and come rushing in.
The inverse trapping doesn't have to happen again, but it is starting to look like it might do just that.
Now on the daily chart at the top NQ1! has just tagged the 100MA which found the retracement top in March.
The last candle of the month printed a hanging man and there is a large gap between the last two candles which could be a topping exhaustion gap.
There are two circled resistances in this area and so it is a key price point.
I have used a pitchfork also to show how the trend has pushed upward and now passed the upper median line. This could be just strength in trend increasing however there has been a lot of choppy movement since the low and it could be topping out to collapse back down and then perhaps a more impulsive structure will form.
The dotted white line is how a trend line could be drawn and it is also the lower median line. I think there is a good chance it will tag that line before the uptrend really takes off.
It could push higher and i'm not saying it won't have a flurry upward and that would provide the path for a Shakeout Reversal Pattern to print through resistance and 100MA.
Not advice.
Bitcoin Bear Market RallyBINANCE:BTCUSDT
After BTC perfectly dropped to the "energy point" , (intersection of the two green median lines) price has managed to break out of the minor green fork.
The next logical target would be the U-MLH of the major green fork.
I plotted two paths to the U-MLH of the major fork with an Andrews and Schiff Pitchfork using two different origin points.
I'm expecting price to follow the path of either the blue or red fork, and make it's way to the U-MLH of the major green fork in the $28k - $32k range.
Fat_Fat