Pitchforks
DJI, SPY, NDQ, BTC, NVDA, SPXS, VIX17 minute video. A lot of information packed in here.
I don't like typing things out when I have 20 things to say, so I'm not really going to do that.
TLDW; Things look bad.
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Gold: Forks In The RoadTVC:GOLD
Gold is at a crossroads...
In the middle of the range, and at a level that has held support on many different occasions over the past few years...
The 0.618 Fib level of the Covid low-high move, around $1680.
I want to be bullish, I'm leaning bullish...
However, I'm not confident enough to make a call here.
Regardless of the direction, everyone should have physical metals in this insano world.
Back to the chart.... I could see either scenario playing out.
If the 0.618 Fib & trigger line of the orange fork holds support at $1680ish... I'll be patient and look to get long once the chart confirms.
If the 0.618 fib & trigger line of the orange fork does not hold at $1680ish.... I won't short it, but I would think it gets back down to the Covid low around $1450.
I'm looking to see which fork manages to hold price.
It's tricky, so manage your risk accordingly if you're getting short or long here.
I'll update the idea as it goes...
Let's see what happens...
Fat_Fat
Long Wheat - Retrace RallyCBOT:ZW1!
Wheat might be lining up for a retrace rally.
Wheat appears to have built out a descending wedge while also printing bullish divergence on the RSI.
Price has finally broke the wedge, retested, and continued moving higher.
In that move higher, price has broke through the major descending fork that has held price for the last 3+ months.
In addition, the Perry Kaufman Adaptive MA just printed a "Buy" signal. ( Thanks, @blackcat1402 )
I'm expecting price to continue higher up to the trigger-line of this descending fork.
Plotting an ascending minor fork on the chart to project a path higher, a move to the .618 Fibonacci retracement level appears to be a likely target area.
Target = 1076 USX aka $10.76
Fat_Fat
USDJPY ShortOANDA:USDJPY
Dollar/Yen just put in a Bearish Gartley Harmonic.
RSI approaching trendline resistance plotted from the two previous peaks.
If the pattern confirms and the fork holds.... short it.
I just got short with a healthy stop above the peak in July.
Targets = Fib levels
Fib/Price Targets
0.382 = 129.94
0.5 = 127.02
0.618 = 124.10
Fat_Fat
USDCHF possible Short SetupUSDCHF is showing a weak momentum in RSI and may form a double top if it doesn't close above the previous high hence, a possible short setup since it already touched the upper band of the pitchfork you may see a partial rejection on the previous high and a rejection on this lower high. Good luck!
NQ1! - Monthly Closed, What Next?In my previous NDX thread I suggested that the 6M candle would create incredible bearish sentiment and would be a great time to trap shorts and lock out sellers in a reversal and that is exactly what happened. Notice that there is very little lower wick for July candle. It shows that the turn of 1/2 year was a significant turning point.
On the monthly chart July has printed a bullish engulfing candle and so now the sentiment is reversed. The bottom is in everyone thinks and come rushing in.
The inverse trapping doesn't have to happen again, but it is starting to look like it might do just that.
Now on the daily chart at the top NQ1! has just tagged the 100MA which found the retracement top in March.
The last candle of the month printed a hanging man and there is a large gap between the last two candles which could be a topping exhaustion gap.
There are two circled resistances in this area and so it is a key price point.
I have used a pitchfork also to show how the trend has pushed upward and now passed the upper median line. This could be just strength in trend increasing however there has been a lot of choppy movement since the low and it could be topping out to collapse back down and then perhaps a more impulsive structure will form.
The dotted white line is how a trend line could be drawn and it is also the lower median line. I think there is a good chance it will tag that line before the uptrend really takes off.
It could push higher and i'm not saying it won't have a flurry upward and that would provide the path for a Shakeout Reversal Pattern to print through resistance and 100MA.
Not advice.
Bitcoin Bear Market RallyBINANCE:BTCUSDT
After BTC perfectly dropped to the "energy point" , (intersection of the two green median lines) price has managed to break out of the minor green fork.
The next logical target would be the U-MLH of the major green fork.
I plotted two paths to the U-MLH of the major fork with an Andrews and Schiff Pitchfork using two different origin points.
I'm expecting price to follow the path of either the blue or red fork, and make it's way to the U-MLH of the major green fork in the $28k - $32k range.
Fat_Fat
ETH 4H Long Trade IdeaEntry: 1830
SL: 1783.2
TP: 1971.8
4H Long:
The blue rising wedge has been created from alternating major highs and lows since June. Price is reacting again to the rising wedge support zone, along with a demand zone (yellow zone) created from its previous major and minor highs.
The white pitchfork estimates momentum from the previous two highs and low. Price is also reacting to the midline (possible) reversal point. Some deeper wicks may form in the demand zone. We will use the demand zone and midline of the major pitchfork to set our stop loss in a meaningful position. Our take profit comes before the previous high to increase the likelihood that the trade will close at a profit.
Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas. Let's see how this plays out.
Information about PITCHFORK (Andrew's Pitchfork)Pitchfork a simple yet effective tool, if implemented correctly, can offer you dynamic levels to watch which one could have ignored otherwise.
------- Pitchfork has three points -------
1) Anchor Point
2) High Point of TREND
3) Low point of TREND
------- Quality of Pitchfork -------
1) Applying Pitchfork on Higher timeframes to Judge where we are in a macro trend is a good way to use Pitchfork and to see if MACRO trend is actually changing or not.
2) Number of interaction points to the median line and extreme lines which can act as DYNAMIC support or resistance lines is crucial.
3) HAVING your ANCHOR POINT between High and Low of next TREND is OPTIMAL way to get good result from your PITCHFORK.
If you would like me to update this with how to use pitchfork and post more educational content,
then please do like this idea and comment your queries which i will try to answer.
My previous ideas :-
TSLA BullishNASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA daily chart.
Price broke above the (green-descending) major fork and briefly consolidated after a retest of the U-MLH.
Following the retest and consolidation, price rallied on Friday to close the week.
I'm expecting price to continue higher: based on the pitchfork breakout, bullish Ichimoku Cloud set-up, and upcoming stock-split.
The next logical target for price is the trigger line of the (green) major descending fork.
I plotted a (purple) ascending minor fork from the lows to show a probable path towards the trigger-line.
The minor fork intersects the trigger line in the $1050-$1075 range.
I have also plotted a "Greedy Target" at $1150 , using the price level of the "C" pivot of the major descending pitchfork.
The "C" pivot level would be the next logical target if price were to continue higher after reaching the trigger line.
While the "Greedy Target" is not my first choice, it is certainly a possibility if the upcoming stock split significantly boosts buying pressure.
I'm going to look for a long entry on Monday.
I'll stay long until my targets are reached; or close the trade early if price breaks below the L-MLH of the minor fork.
Fat_Fat