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Pivotpointbreak

TSLA: Approaching its Climax.• TSLA stock continues its rally, heading to the next resistance level, at $177 (purple line); • So far, there’s no technical top signal, nor bearish reversal structure indicating that TSLA could correct from here; • On the daily chart, we see that TSLA is doing higher highs/lows, and if it breaks the $177 resistance, it’ll trigger another pivot point, and in this case, it could easily seek the $200 next. • The $200 area is close to the upper trend line of the Descending Channel seen on the weekly chart; • Despite the mid-term rally seen on the weekly chart, the long-term trend is still bearish, and TSLA has to break this channel upwards in order to confirm a long-term bullish reversal structure; • The main support area is around the $164 (red line), as if TSLA loses this key point, it might frustrate the mid-term bull trend; • So far, everything seems under control. It all depends on how TSLA will react around the $177, its next climax. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
9
4200: an important level to pay attention to - wider look at S&PMy main view on S&P500 is that we're in a main bearish trend, that has been fought by the bulls since October, 2022, when prices started going up. However, this insurgency has faced a good deal of resistance, resulting in unstable volume, and back and forth moves. Despite all of that, the secondary trend kept heading north. It can be summarized using technical analysis by drawing an incipient uptrend channel formed by this situation (orange dotted lines). This up move came with some factors that strengthened the movement: the breakout of the main bearish trend line; the breakout of the 200 simple moving average; a pullback to these indicators; and the continuation of the uptrend after the pullback. These are important movements and one cannot simply look the other way and ignore them. Now the prices are very close to approaching a new challenge, that is to overcome the resistance level at 4200. That, besides being a round number, was also the level of many previous bottoms and tops since more than a year ago (specifically since January, 2022). Not only that, but it was also the pivot point breakdown responsible for confirming the beginning of last year's bear market (this is indicated in the chart by the violet arrow path and the explosion emoji). All of this makes 4200 very representative for the current market, but it is also relevant for the current profit situation of many 2021 and 2022 accounts, since above this level such accounts would come back to breakeven, and that has the potential to re-inflate the euphoria between market participants that were waiting for such a moment. I am longing to see what is going to happen here around this resistance level. An up breakout would be the final signal the bulls are waiting for the trend reversion confirmation and a sound continuation of the incipient bull market trend. But this may not happen, and the strong resistance level could work out one more time, especially considering that we’re near the negative "sell in May and go away" seasonality. In that case, we could wait for the continuation of this sleepy congestion that has been happening, or maybe, with some more action involved, we could have the return of a roaring bear market.
SP:SPX
by thessia_
TSLA: The Key Points We Should Watch From Here.• TSLA stock is trying to do a bullish reaction, after yesterday’s crash, but it is still under important resistance levels; • As long as TSLA remains under the 21 ema + 186 (red line), no bullish scenario will materialize; • Only if TSLA breaks these resistance levels we might see something new, otherwise, the bearish sentiment will persist and in this scenario, the 186 is our next target. • In the daily chart, TSLA did a powerful bearish candlestick under the 21 ema; • As mentioned before, the 176 is the next support level on it. If TSLA loses the 186, it’ll trigger a clear bearish pivot point, or even an inclined H&S chart pattern, indicating that the long-term trend will remain bearish; • Therefore, the 176 is a critical support level, while the area around 186 is a critical resistance; • On the other hand, if TSLA breaks the 186 area, we might see another rally; • Last week TSLA did a Hammer candlestick pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern 60% of the time, and hit its target around 88% of the time (Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts); • It all depends on how TSLA will react around these key points from now. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
SPX: Loss of a Critical Support Level.• The SPX is crashing again, after it bounced yesterday. In fact, yesterday’s bounce seems to be a false breakout from our dual-resistance area made by the lower purple trend line and the 3,885 red line; • This is a sign of weakness, and since it can’t get above the 3,885 key point, in theory, the index is going to seek its next support level at 3,773; • In order to avoid such a drop, it is very important to see it closing above 3,885 this week. This wouldn’t be a bullish reversal, though, but it would at least stop the bear trend; • In the weekly chart we see why the situation is so delicate. After a false breakout from a a pivot point (4,100), the index is just melting, losing its support levels; • Now, the SPX is back inside the Descending Channel, and again, the 3,773 is our key point here; • Therefore, in order to avoid this scenario, we would need to see a very impressive bullish reaction – so far, there’s none; • I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SPX: Persistent Bear Trend.• SPX is in a bearish trend as it has triggered a bearish pivot point at 4,060, making a lower high/low, and is below the 21 ema; • Now, the 21 ema and 4,060 are resistance levels. However, talking short term, the 4,015 (red line) is doing a competent job holding the price; • Therefore, there are many resistance levels on the SPX, and it will not be easy for it to reverse the bearish sentiment; • If he loses the 3,949 support, the next stop would be the 3,885; • So far, the index is bearish, and there is no clear bottom signal on it yet. I will keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
TSLA: Top Sign Under a Resistance?• TSLA is trying to retest the previous resistance level at $214, but it seems to be losing steam this morning; • The problem is that TSLA is inside a congestion, and any bearish signal around $214 may indicate that it will correct back to its support level - probably the 21 ema; • In order to regain bullish sentiment, TSLA must do a clear breakout of the $214 resistance. In this scenario, the next target would be $237; • On the other hand, TSLA would have to trigger a clear bearish reversal structure, and lose all its key support levels (21 ema, $187 and $182.50) in order to completely reverse bullish sentiment; • For now, it is just congestion. Let's pay attention to the $214 resistance. I will keep you updated. • Remember to follow me to stay in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
SPX: Poised to Seek Lower Support Levels.• The bear market persists on the SPX, as it lost our support at 4,015 and there’s no bottom sign on it yet; • Now the 4,015 is a resistance area for any bullish reaction. In addition to his resistance, there is the 21 ema and the 4,060 (our previous support). These key points reinforce the mid-term bearish thesis; • In the lack of bullish reaction, the index is heading to the 3,949, the next support level; • The SPX triggered a bearish pivot point this week (a lower high/low) when it lost the 4,060. It would take a very good and powerful bullish reaction to reverse the bear trend, and so far, there’s no technical evidence pointing to that direction. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
SPX: Bullish Rejection Structure.• The SPX is doing a bearish reversal structure, as it lost our two main support levels: The 21 ema and the 4,060; • Last Friday it tried to react, as it did a Dragonfly Doji, just above the 21 ema – However, today’s reaction rejects this bullish attempt completely; • Now it seems the SPX is seeking the next support, at 4,015; • Since the index lost the 21 ema, and it did a lower high/low, the mid-term bias is bearish again. Only a very good bullish pattern, followed by a bullish reversal structure would put an end to this bearish sentiment; • So far, there’s no such sign, but let’s keep our eyes open around the 4,015 area. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPX: Poised to Reverse the Long-Term Bear Trend.• The SPX broke the key resistance we mentioned yesterday, the 4,100, indicating a continuation of the bull trend (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual); • What’s more, if the index remains above the 4,100 in the weekly chart, it would trigger the first bullish pivot point since the beginning of the bear market; • Since the index broke a key resistance, and so far, it is not doing any bearish sign, the next technical target is the gap at 4,218; • If the index does a clear bearish structure, closing under the 4,100 again, then this might be a top sign, however, there’s no evidence pointing to that direction yet; • The trend is still bullish in the short/mid-term. I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPX: This Could Change Everything. 👀• The SPX successfully rejected the Below the Stomach candlestick pattern from yesterday, and it failed in breaking the support at 4,015; • This is a sign of strength, and makes a correction to the 21 ema less likely; • The trend is still bullish, as it is still doing higher highs/lows, above the 21 ema (D), and there’s no clear reversal sign on it yet; • Although the SPX rejected the Below the Stomach from yesterday, it has yet to break the resistance at 4,100; • The 4,100 is a bullish pivot point, as seen in the weekly chart, and would be the first one since the bear market started in January 2022 - this could change everything and put an end on this bear market. The index already did an upwards breakout from the Descending Channel seen in the W chart; • For now, the key points are 4,100 and 4,015. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3
SPX: Target Hit! 🎯 What's Next?• The SPX hit our target, at the 21 ema in the daily chart, and now it seems it is recovering (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual); • In this scenario, the next resistance becomes the next target, which is the 4,015 (red line); • If SPX breaks this resistance, it’ll trigger a bullish pivot point, a powerful bullish reversal sign; • The most important support level is the 3,889, and only if the index loses this key point, we would see a clear bearish reversal structure. For now, the index will remain bullish; • I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3