Where Should We Rebuy The PUMP? (8H)With the large bearish master candle formed at the top, the structure has turned bearish.
The green zone is the best and lowest-risk area for long positions or rebuys.
Reaching this zone may take some time, but you can already add this symbol to your watchlist and wait for it to reach the area before entering a position.
A 25%–45% return can be expected from this zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Pivot Points
DXY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025Weekly Price Reaction Expectations:
Overall, for this week, we expect a price reaction around the ATI candle zone, followed by another potential reaction near the upper LQCLOSE BOX area.
DXY Bullish Momentum Justification:
Additionally, since the LPP or investment liquidity has been consumed, the bullish momentum in DXY appears more justified.
Nifty EOD Analysis – May 2, 2025 - Friday🟢 Nifty EOD Analysis – May 2, 2025 (Friday)🔴
Another day... tug-of-war between buyers and sellers
📊 Nifty Summary
Another one-day tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. As usual, morning momentum — driven by buyers and short-covering — pushed the index into a bullish zone. However, profit booking and seller dominance dragged it back down, ultimately parking Nifty again in the 24,330 ~ 24,365 zone — now the 4th straight session closing within this narrow range.
Nifty opened on a bullish note at 24,311 and launched into a swift rally, breaching multiple resistance zones and clocking a new high at 24,589 within the first hour. However, the enthusiasm faded quickly. Sellers stepped in aggressively, and all the major support levels crumbled one by one. What started as a breakout turned into a breakdown.
The index drifted lower and spent the rest of the session stuck in a narrow zone of 24,330–24,365 — now for the fourth session in a row! The close at 24,346 reflects indecision and caution ahead of next week’s events.
📌 5 Min Time FrameChart
🕔 Intraday 5-Min Chart (Price Walkthrough)
🔹 Opened at 24,311 and rallied sharply to 24,589 — breaching multiple resistance zones.
🔹 Sellers took control and dragged the index back below 24,400.
🔹 Breakdown through all major support levels including PDH, CPR, and CDL.
🔹 Post-lunch session remained directionless between 24,330–24,365.
🔹 Fourth consecutive close inside this compression zone.
📌 75 Min Time FrameChart
⏱️ Intraday 75-Min Time Frame Chart
📐 First two candles formed a bullish setup, but the third candle completely reversed the gains, forming an Inside Bar breakdown trap. The remaining candles failed to break out of the previous range, with momentum fading.
⚠️ A breakout (or breakdown) from this compression is now imminent — keep your eyes on the next session for direction.
📌 Daily Time FrameChart
🕯️ Daily Time Frame Chart & Candle Breakdown
📈 Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top with long upper wick
🟢 Open: 24,311.90
🔺 High: 24,589.15
🔻 Low: 24,238.50
🔚 Close: 24,346.70
📊 Change: +12.50 (+0.05%)
🧠 Know Your Candle:
A Spinning Top reflects market indecision — the long wicks show strong attempts by both bulls and bears, but neither managed to dominate.
Upper Shadow: 242.45 pts → Strong selling from highs
Lower Shadow: 73.40 pts → Mild buying near lows
Real Body: 34.80 pts → Modest positive close
🔍 Interpretation:
Despite an early morning breakout, the close back in the congestion zone signals a lack of directional strength. The long upper wick reflects failure to hold higher ground — bias slightly tilting bearish unless this zone is broken with conviction.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
📌 Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 317.21
IB Range: 270.30
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
📊 Trade Summary:
✅ 1st Trade (Long): Triggered at 9:25 – Target Achieved (1:2 RR)
❌ 2nd Trade (Short): Triggered at 12:25 – SL Hit
🔮 What’s Next?
The bias remains neutral to slightly bearish. Despite a strong upside in the first hour, the repeated failure to sustain above 24,400 and four closes within 24,330–24,365 suggest exhaustion.
A breakout from this tight coil should give a clear move — wait for confirmation.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance:
24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle)
24,400 (PDH)
24,457
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,589 (CDH)
24760 ~ 24,800
🔻 Support:
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
💬 Final Thoughts
“Range traps continue to fool both sides — momentum without conviction is just noise.”
Watch the compression zone — a genuine breakout or closing above 24,365 or breakdown below 24,225 could bring clarity. Until then, trade light and watch levels.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
The Worst Is Over – Bullish May and June AheadAfter months of uncertainty, volatility, and fear-driven sell-offs, the altcoin market is finally showing signs that the bottom may be in.
The Market Cipher indicator are flashing early bullish signals, with trigger waves beginning to play out. While we still have key resistance levels to clear, particularly the 200-day and 200-week SMAs. All signs point to a market that’s gearing up for a strong move to the upside.
Now, if Trump could just chill with the tariff war talk, we might even get some macro tailwinds to support the rally.
Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk IndicatorToday we’ll explore the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator , which builds on the concept of Bitcoin Terminal Price. We’ll follow the same logic as in our previous idea on the Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator. By the end, we'll have a new tool for analyzing INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles.
First, let’s recap Terminal Price.
Terminal Price = Transferred Price × 21
Transferred Price = Coin Days Destroyed ÷ (supply × time)
It normalizes historical spending behavior to the full 21M BTC supply. This metric has historically been effective at calling Bitcoin cycle tops whenever the price of Bitcoin crosses above it. That being said, it signaled the April 2021 peak, but not the November one.
Let’s now divide the weekly BTC price by Terminal Price. This gives us BTC-to-Terminal Price Ratio. (We use the formula from the Bitcoin Master Cycle indicator by InvestorUnknown for Terminal Price on TradingView.)
When the ratio crosses above 1, BTC price exceeds Terminal Price and signals cycle top. We can notice that each cycle top forms slightly lower ratio peaks.
Now let’s draw two logarithmic curves through the highs and lows of this ratio, and add a midline.
This creates a band within which the BTC-to-Terminal Price ratio tends to oscillate. These bounds can help anticipate major turning points in future market cycles.
Next, we normalize the ratio between these bounds: bottom curve = 0, top curve = 1.
This gives us the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator.
Currently, risk sits around 0.46 , bouncing between 0.3 and 0.6 for ~1.5 years. This range suggests a stepwise price increase with consolidation periods in between — and no mania and blow-off top.
Historically:
Risk > 0.9 = potential selling zone
Risk < 0.1 (or < 0.05) = potential buying zone
Note: Risk stays > 0.9 for just 1–2 weeks.
Reality check: the top curve lies above 1 and slopes down only slightly.
This implies that if the ratio approaches the upper boundary, BTC price could meet or exceed Terminal Price this cycle — currently ~$155K and will be rising quickly should BTC move towards it.
However, so far we have very few data points and they don’t fit the curve perfectly. And there’s no guarantee we’ll reach that upper bound.
For a more conservative take, we can replace the log curve with straight lines.
This steeper upper line would signal a top earlier — below Terminal Price.
Using this method, risk is slightly higher now at 0.55. While also not perfect, this linear approximation can serve as a cautious alternative until more data points emerge.
We'll keep tracking these charts.
CHILLGUY Looks Super Bullish (1D)Note: This is a highly volatile meme coin. Risk management and capital management should not be forgotten.
It appears that a large-scale corrective wave has ended, and the price has entered a bullish wave of the same degree.
Recently, we observed a bullish CH (Change of Character) and a clean break above a resistance zone on the chart. Currently, the price is approaching a supply zone, and a significant amount of sell orders have entered CHILLGUY. A short-term correction is expected, after which the bullish move is likely to continue.
If the price reaches our marked entry points, we will enter a buy position in spot.
Targets are indicated on the chart.
The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will negate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
NVDA LTFLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but it left another gap on 4/30. During aftermarket hours, the price jumped up and approached the weekly level above but got rejected and finished the day red. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control.. not a bad week of price action.
From a range perspective price deviated to both sides and finisheded the day seemingly falling back into range. Let's see how the week ends.
Nvda low time frameLocal price action - the gap from 4/29 was filled in, but another was left on 4/30. During aftermarket hours the price jumped up to approach the weekly level above and dropped back down. We got a naked untapped pivot point below along with the range POC point of control, not a bad week of price action.
btc fibonacci levels Trade Strategy
Long to May 4 High:
Entry: If BTC breaks above $94,310 (Square of Nine 90°) with a green candle, enter long.
Target: $96,472 (Square of Nine 720°), aligns with your $95,976.36.
Stop-Loss: Below $92,781 (Square of Nine -360°), risking ~$1,500.
Time: Exit by May 4 (50-day cycle).
Short for May 14 Dip:
Entry: If BTC reaches $96,472 and shows rejection, enter short.
Target: $91,567 (Square of Nine -720°).
Stop-Loss: Above $96,472, risking ~$1,000.
Time: Expect the dip by May 14 (60-day cycle).
ETHEREUM is getting ready for a major breakout (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone represents a supply area based on the Philip strategy. It’s possible that the price might not be able to break through this zone on the first attempt. If the price gets rejected, the lower green box will be a re-entry opportunity for those who missed the move.
Let’s closely monitor this chart and see how it plays out.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. invalidation level : 1198$
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ZK Secondary trend.-82% Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Decrease from listing about -82%. For cryptocurrencies of such liquidity and capitalization, this is not the maximum decrease (-90-96%). But sometimes from such values as now (-82-85%), taking into account the news hype during the listing "whales $ 458 million", a reversal and strong pumping can occur under the market as a whole. For example, like another hype project of "hanging noodles" - Flare (distributed to XRP holders). Decrease by -82% and then pumping slightly above the listing price under the next alt season of the cycle + 560%.
This does not necessarily mean that this will happen, this is an example of what happens from such values of decline with such liquidity and hype. In some ways, not only in the structure of the TA formation, but in the hype and disappointment of "investors", the projects are identical.
Main trend , and the previously shown zone, in which the price is now.
ZkSync Main trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025
Main trend now in the moment (full trading history).
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
USDJPY Daily & H4 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
FX:USDJPY
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