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Nifty Analysis EOD – 21st April 2025 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 21st April 2025 🔴 After the surprise expiry rally… comes the slowdown! 📌 Background After the stunning 414-point move on the weekly expiry day, Friday’s holiday break created the perfect breather. The key question heading into Monday was: “Will Nifty carry forward its momentum and breach 24,050? Or pause for breath?” Turns out, the market chose both – initial enthusiasm, followed by exhaustion and consolidation. 📌 Today’s Price Action Nifty opened at 23,949, right at the resistance zone of 23,950 ~ 24,000. ➤ The IB High was formed at 24,052, triggering a textbook IB Breakout just above the 200 SMA zone.➤ Price moved swiftly towards 24,188 – the Previous Highest Swing Close, and then... paused. From there, a 50-minute tight consolidation followed – one of the narrowest ranges seen in recent sessions, signaling a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Despite the bullish open and early breakout, Nifty closed at 24,133, just below the major resistance. 📊 Gladiator Strategy Parameters ATR: 383.83 IB Range: 134.20 IB Type: Medium IB IB Day: IB Breakout Market Structure: Imbalanced As per the Nifty Gladiator Strategy, the IB Breakout triggered around 10:45 AM, and the 1x IB target was achieved with clean follow-through. 📌 Technical Observations 📈 On the Daily Timeframe: RSI stands at 65.53, now forming a potential RSI divergence. Short RSI (3 of 3) is in the overbought zone. Momentum remains intact, but the range is cooling off, cautioning intraday traders of potential traps ahead. 👉 A narrow range session or a false IB breakout is likely in the coming session. 📈 Index Performance Nifty: +274 Points (+1.15%) Bank Nifty: New All-Time High at 55,461, closing at 55,295 (+1.87% / +1,014 points) Nifty 500: +324 Points (+1.5%) Midcap: +1,316 Points (+2.5%) Smallcap: +363 Points (+2.2%) Broader market sentiment remained strong and outperformed Nifty. 📌 Important Levels to Watch 🔼 Resistance Zones ➤ 24,190 ~ 24,225➤ 24,330 ~ 24,360➤ 24,480 ~ 24,540 🔽 Support Zones ➤ 23,950 ~ 24,000 (now immediate support)➤ 23,820➤ 23,660 ~ 23,710➤ 23,500➤ 23,400 ~ 23,430➤ 23,200 ~ 23,190 🧠 What’s the Trade Setup Now? Don’t be overly bullish at highs – wait for follow-through or failed breakout confirmation. If price holds above 24,190, then 24,330/24,480 becomes achievable. Failure to sustain above 24,050 could trap late bulls. Let Tuesday’s opening structure guide your bias. 🧘 Final Thought"Structure is key. When levels work, respect them. When they break, adapt." Stay alert as we approach higher resistance zones—momentum remains but risk of whipsaws rises. ✏️ DisclaimerThis is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action 🙏
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Déjà Vu: 2025 Tariffs Mirror 2018 Trade War PlaybookThe economic strategy behind the new wave of tariffs bears an unmistakable resemblance to the 2018–2020 U.S.–China trade conflict. That’s no coincidence. Peter Navarro, the architect of the 2018 tariff playbook under President Trump, has once again stepped into a key role shaping trade policy in Trump’s second term. In 2018, the Trump administration launched a phased escalation of tariffs, starting with targeted duties on Chinese imports and expanding into broader measures that disrupted global supply chains. By Q4 2018, the S&P 500 had fallen nearly 20%, while tech-heavy names like NVIDIA plunged over 50% amid valuation compression, supply chain fears, and geopolitical stress. Peter Navarro’s re-emergence signals that this isn’t just about political posturing. Known for his hardline stance on China and focus on economic nationalism, Navarro treats tariffs not as negotiation tools but as long-term policy. In 2018, that posture drove escalation until the market forced a pause. Now in 2025, we’re watching the same script unfold almost beat for beat: 1. Start with China 2. Expand globally 3. Soften the global rhetoric to isolate China 4. Target key sectors (semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, energy) 5. Start the media misdirection to work behind the scenes with China 6. Set up a “deal” under market pressure In 2025, the market again entered bear territory but staged a brief recovery after a pause in reciprocal tariffs. As of April 21, 2025, the index sits 16% off its February high and still in a downtrend. Now, looking at the charts, here where things begin to take shape. Let’s start with the 2018 chart (figure 1). Like previously mentioned, back in 2018, the S&P 500 dropped over 20% between September and December, finding the bottom at a key support from 20 months prior (Q1 2017). The first gray box represents 10 weeks from the 2018 high. The 10 weeks is important because we are currently 10 weeks off the 2025 high, so this first gray box shows historically where we are today relative to the 2018 prices. The second gray box represents the 3 remaining weeks of drawdown, which was roughly 10%. Figure 1 Now looking at the 2025 chart (figure 2), we have the same 10-week gray box marked up, and the additional 3-week, 10% drawdown, gray box that follows. Coincidentally, or not, the bottom of the second gray box aligns almost perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 2022 swing low to the 2025 high (figure 3). Even more interesting, that support level also ties back to the September 2023 high—roughly 20 months prior. Sound familiar? Figure 2 Figure 3 I will be watching that 4500 level for SPX over the next few weeks as Trump and Navarro are preparing to roll out more sector-specific tariffs in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell is facing renewed pressure, including calls to step down—again, nearly identical to the rhetoric from late 2018. Currently, markets are pricing in just a 10% chance of a rate cut, according to Kalshi. But if the market continues to slide, Navarro and Trump may dial up pressure on the Fed to act. A rate cut in early May could mark the market bottom—just like Powell’s dovish pivot did in early 2019. If the 2018 blueprint holds, we’re in the middle innings. Tariffs are broadening, the market is reacting, and the Fed is being boxed in. The coming weeks may test the 0.618 Fib level on the S&P 500. If Powell pivots and rhetoric softens, we may find a low—and history will have rhymed, if not outright repeated. If Powell stays strong, then Trump and Navarro may publicly pull back and take negotiations behind closed doors. I don’t see this is being just being coincidental. This seems to be following a very familiar playbook.
SP:SPXLong
by NotAFinancialAdvisor1
3
ZkSync Main Trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. 🟢Reversal zone. At the moment, there is a fractal repetition with the previous reversal zone. The logic and key local levels on which the direction of the secondary trend will depend are shown with arrows. 🔴Also showed the range and future levels of an unlikely extremely negative scenario. That is, a breakthrough of the long stop collection zone of a large squeeze (this happens very rarely, since it is irrational, but since in the news background earlier during the listing - funds of 458 million investments, then why not) and the formation of a capitulation channel under the channel with a full range (hold the chart and pull it down), or only from its median (dotted, more likely if we go this way). Also, regardless of the implementation of scenario 1 or 2, the maximums of this cycle are shown (hold the chart and pull it up). Or rather, the zone. The percentage itself will be different, the "levels" of the zone, most likely, will not.
by SpartaBTC
2
COOKIE Buy/Long Setup (4H)Looking at the chart, we can identify bullish signs for COOKIE. On the CH chart, we see a bullish structure along with the clearing of resistance zones. There’s also a liquidity pool above the chart which is expected to be swept soon. The only remaining resistance order block on the chart is the marked supply zone, which could potentially also be taken out. As long as the demand zone holds, we expect a move toward the targets. A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
Long
by iMoneyTeam
1
$MSTR sub $200 before $1000+?NASDAQ:MSTR looks pretty bearish here. We're trading under a key support and it looks like it wants lower. I think if the next candle turns red, then we're likely to see a large selloff all the way down to the lower supports. If we can make it back up above this support level at $363, and close above it, it would be a trigger long. Then I think we're likely to see a large run all the way up to the upper resistances to 1000+. Let's see how the price action unfolds here.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by benjihyam
2
EURGBP Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast: 0.84290 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 0.84290 is broken. OANDA:EURGBP Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.83220 on 04/03/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.86175, 0.86923, 0.87647 and more heights is expected. __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
17
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk IndicatorIn this idea, I’ll walk you through the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator — a tool based on the well-known Pi Cycle Top Indicator. By the end, we’ll have a new lens to analyze INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. 👇 First, a quick recap of the original Pi Cycle Top Indicator. It uses two moving averages: — 111-day MA (111DMA) — 350-day MA × 2 (350DMA x 2) A bullish crossover (111DMA crossing above 350DMA×2) historically predicted BTC tops within 3 days. However, one sould know that in 2021 the signal occurred in April (the first peak). The higher November peak didn’t trigger the indicator. Now let’s take the ratio: 111DMA / (350DMA × 2) → this gives us the Pi Cycle Top Ratio (orange line). When the ratio crosses 1 from below, that’s equivalent to the original Pi Cycle Top signal. As you can see: each new major peak is lower than the previous. In 2021, the ratio barely touched 1. This implies that in this cycle, the moving averages may not cross — and Pi Cycle Top Indicator may not generate a signal . Can we forecast the next peak of the Ratio? (Keep in mind: Ratio peaks ≠ BTC price peaks but we'll get back to it later.) Turns out the Ratio peaks fit nicely along a logarithmic curve — let’s plot it. And the lows sit on a straight line. We add both bounds, plus a midline. Now we have a band within which the Ratio tends to move — useful for anticipating turning points. Next, let’s normalize the Ratio within this band: — bottom bound = 0 — top bound = 1 This gives us the Pi Cycle Top Risk indicator — a clean, scaled version of market risk. Currently, it sits at 0.47 , right around the mid-range. Now let’s compare Pi Cycle Top Risk to past BTC tops and bottoms (using daily closes). We’ll treat April 2021 as the last cycle top. The chart shows: — BTC tops occurred when Risk ≥ 0.79 — Bottoms occurred when Risk ≤ 0.24 (or ≤ 0.10 excluding 2011) Summary: 1. Right now, Pi Cycle Top Risk ≈ 0.47 and has been hovering near 0.5 for the past year. This reflects a relatively low volatility during this market cycle — BTC has been rising steadily, with pauses for consolidation, no mania phase and blow-off top. 2. How can we use this going forward? I can’t say whether the Risk will rise or fall — and there’s no guarantee it’ll hit the boundaries. But if it's ever: — Above 0.9 (bright-red zone) → strong signal to consider selling — Below 0.1 (bright-green zone) → potentially good buy opportunities Not financial advice. We’ll keep tracking it.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ChartNChill
1
Bitcoin - Is Bitcoin on the way up?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s upward trend will depend on maintaining the drawn upward trend line. A valid break of this trend line will cause Bitcoin’s price to correct to the 80,000 range. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Following the announcement of new trade tariffs by the United States, Bitcoin experienced a 16.7% drop in price. However, it partially recovered from its 26.7% plunge. The total global cryptocurrency market capitalization has now reached $2.74 trillion, marking a 1.71% increase compared to the previous day. Over the past 24 hours, the total crypto market trading volume hit $60.7 billion, reflecting a 32.28% rise. Within this, DeFi transactions account for $5.25 billion, making up 8.65% of the total 24-hour market volume. Meanwhile, stablecoins have dominated trading activity with $55.84 billion in volume, representing 92% of the total market volume for the day. When comparing Bitcoin’s performance to other major assets, gold leads with a 12.9% gain. In contrast, both silver and the U.S. Dollar Index saw a 4.8% decline. The S&P 500 fell by 13.8%, while the Nasdaq dropped 17.5%. Despite its volatility, Bitcoin sits between oil and the Nasdaq in performance, showing signs of partial recovery. However, its behavior still diverges from that of traditional safe-haven assets like gold. On the political front, Hong Joon-pyo, a presidential candidate from South Korea’s conservative party, pledged that if elected, he would implement reforms in blockchain and cryptocurrency regulations. He also promised to integrate blockchain technology into public sector and administrative services. Additionally, Hong plans to invest at least 50 trillion Korean won (approximately $35.1 billion) over the next five years in research and development across artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and room-temperature superconductors. These initiatives are part of his broader strategy focused on growth driven by emerging technologies. In Q1 2025, publicly traded companies collectively acquired 95,431 bitcoins, bringing their total holdings to 688,000 BTC. This amount represents 3.28% of Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins. The Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the difference in Bitcoin demand between U.S. markets and global exchanges, has shown reduced volatility since March 2024. It appears to be forming a pattern often seen before bullish market trends. Robert Kiyosaki, renowned entrepreneur and author of the best-selling book Rich Dad Poor Dad, has forecasted that Bitcoin’s price could rise to between $180,000 and $200,000 by the end of 2025. Kiyosaki has long been an outspoken supporter of Bitcoin, portraying it as a safe hedge against inflation and economic instability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Doge I 3M CLS I KL - Order Block Mode 1 - TP 50%Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. ⚔️ Listen Carefully: Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves. If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
21
Where Can We Rebuy OM? (1W)After the heavy drop, it became evident that a bearish trend had started, and the price is now seeking high-liquidity (buy) zones. Based on the chart, the green zone stands out as the best area for a potential rebuy — it could launch the price upward by 100% to 500%. Reaching this zone may take several weeks or even months. A weekly candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark