XAU/USD H1 Prediction for 23/01/2025📊 Gold Market Analysis
Key levels and zones identified for upcoming price action:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
• Price faces a strong resistance level around 2,788.266, highlighted by the red zone. This level could act as a potential reversal or breakout point.
🟢 Support Zones:
• 2744.4–2764.1: A crucial near-term support level. Price action may retest this zone before showing significant movement.
• 2729–2733: Another strong support zone that may provide a solid base for bullish momentum.
• 2716–2719: A deeper support zone that could indicate oversold conditions if the price reaches here.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ If the price breaks above 2,771.653, it could retest 2,787.604 and potentially target 2,788.266.
2️⃣ If the price retests the 2744.4–2764.1 zone and holds, a reversal towards 2,771.653 is likely.
3️⃣ In case of a stronger correction, the 2729–2733 zone could come into play as a major support level.
Stay vigilant for price action at these key zones to plan your next trade effectively!
#GoldTrading #PriceAction #ForexAnalysis #CFDTrading #SupportAndResistance #GoldMarket
Pivot Points
XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Weekend Data Releases?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. If gold rises towards the channel ceiling and supply zones, we can look for short positions targeting the channel midline.
The gold market has kicked off 2025 with one of its best starts since 2023 and is on track to achieve its strongest monthly performance since September. Prices are currently testing the high range near $2,750 per ounce.
A fund manager noted that this robust start to January could signal another strong year for the precious metal, even after gold recorded a 27% price increase last year.
In his 2025 outlook report, Eric Strand, founder of the precious metals-focused AuAg Funds, projected that gold prices will surpass $3,000 per ounce this year. He stated: “We expect gold to break the $3,000 barrier during the year and possibly reach even higher levels by year-end, with a realistic target of $3,300.” Strand’s bullish target represents a 20% increase from current levels.
Strand suggested that the new Trump administration might usher in a period of more accommodative monetary policies and larger government stimulus programs. In his report, he explained: “Both Donald Trump and Elon Musk have built their empires on extensive borrowing while driving forward at full speed.
This approach will likely persist for the next four years as governments strive to avoid an economic downturn at any cost to create a positive boom. However, the price of this strategy will be monetary inflation. Such an inflationary boom creates a financial environment where commodity prices, including gold, rise significantly.”
As U.S. national debt has reached unprecedented levels, now exceeding $36 trillion, Strand highlighted that the United States is not alone in facing this challenge. He emphasized that governments worldwide continue to increase spending through deficit financing. He noted: “The amount of money circulating in the system is increasing without generating substantial real growth, which naturally means each unit of currency becomes less valuable.”
Meanwhile, gold prices remain near all-time highs against major currencies such as the euro, British pound, Chinese yuan, Canadian dollar, and Australian dollar.
Gold continues to stand out as a safe-haven global asset as the trend of de-globalization accelerates. Countries are moving away from dependence on the U.S. dollar and diversifying their currency reserves. (De-globalization refers to the process of reducing or reversing global integration, including less free trade, restricted capital flows, reduced interdependence, and a rise in nationalist and local policies.)
Strand stated: “We have seen the beginning of de-globalization, and it appears to be gaining momentum, particularly as the U.S. seeks to impose conditions that serve its own interests. Policies such as ‘America First’ and high tariffs may benefit the U.S. economy, but they also undermine trust in the country as a leader in free-market economies.” He added: “This new phenomenon is likely to create inflationary pressures and may lead to waves of currency devaluation in other nations as they attempt to offset the effects of tariffs.”
USDCAD - 9 Jan 2025 SetupUSDCAD Market structure are still Bullish on the H4 timeframe and now breaking ema's on H1 means the market will continuing their trend. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle).its the first demand area on 2025.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
AUDJPY - 13 Jan 2025 SetupAUDJPY Breaking down a market structure on hourly timeframe. Spotted supply area on the H4 Chart (Red Rectangle). its the supply area after Ema's False bullish breakout.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
USDJPY - 16 Jan 2025 SetupUSDJPY Market structure are breaking down a bullish structure and now in bearish mode on H1 timeframe. Spotted supply area (RedRectangle). its the first supply area after a long bullish run.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
EURJPY - 16 Jan 2025 SetupEURJPY Market structure are breaking down and making bearish structure on H4 timeframe. Spotted supply area (Red Rectangle) that making a new low and breaking our ema's.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
EURJPY - 22 Jan 2025 SetupEURJPY Market structure are now on a Bullish mode. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area after the price breaking bearish structure.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
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Coffee Trade Team
NVIDIA's Momentum A Breakout Story in Progress1. Trend and Structure
The chart showcases an upward momentum, breaking out of a prior resistance level, indicating bullish pressure. The breakout aligns with the upward-sloping trendline, which serves as a strong support structure.
2.Breakout Confirmation
The price has successfully broken through a resistance level, confirming a bullish breakout. This signals potential continuation toward the marked target zone.
3.Entry Point
The entry appears to have been taken near the breakout point, at approximately $141.60, aligning with the bullish momentum.
4. Target (Take Profit)
The take-profit level is marked at $152.94, representing a reasonable upward move from the breakout point. This target aligns with the continuation of the trend.
5. Stop Loss
The stop-loss level is placed at $133.46, below the recent support and trendline. This level ensures protection in case the breakout fails.
6.Risk-Reward Ratio
The setup demonstrates a healthy risk-to-reward ratio, with potential gains outweighing the risks. This indicates a well-calculated trade.
7. Technical Indicators
The momentum of the candles breaking the resistance shows strong bullish interest. No immediate signs of bearish divergence or reversal are visible in the chart.
The chart reflects a bullish breakout setup in NVIDIA's stock price. With strong momentum and a clear trendline breakout, the trade aligns well with the current upward movement. The target and stop-loss levels are well-placed, adhering to a disciplined trading strategy.
Morgan Stanley Breaks Free A Bullish Wedge Reversal in ActionMorgan Stanley (MS) on the 4-hour chart has confirmed a breakout from a descending wedge pattern, signaling a strong bullish reversal. The breakout is accompanied by increased momentum, as indicated by the clean surge above the wedge’s upper boundary. This setup is a classic reversal signal, with bulls reclaiming control.
The entry is placed at 137.87, capitalizing on the breakout momentum. The stop loss is strategically positioned at 123.50, below the wedge’s lower boundary, to safeguard against invalidation of the setup. The take profit is set at 155.35, aligning with the wedge’s projected target based on its height.
The trade exhibits a solid risk-to-reward ratio, and the breakout aligns with the broader bullish market sentiment for the stock. With buyers driving the price upwards, this trade setup offers a high-probability opportunity for trend continuation.
GBPJPY - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 199.790, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 182.782 breaks.
If the resistance at 199.790 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The descending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg lower.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 198.945 on 12/30/2024, so more losses to support(s) 191.884, 189.477, 186.231 and minimum to Major Support (182.782) is expected.
Take Profits:
196.006
193.510
191.884
189.477
186.231
182.782
178.409
Total Profit: 3204 pip
Closed trade(s): 1584 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 1620 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 8 SELL trades @ 196.68 based on 'Peak' entry method at 2024-12-30, signaled by DTO.
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 196.006 touched at 2024-12-31 with 67 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 193.510 touched at 2025-01-09 with 317 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 191.884 touched at 2025-01-13 with 480 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 189.477 touched at 2025-01-17 with 720 pip Profit.
67 + 317 + 480 + 720 = 1584 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one SELL trade is 196.68(open price) - 192.632(current price) = 405 pip
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 405 x 4 = 1620 pip
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USDJPY: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇯🇵
Here is my latest structure analysis and important supports
and resistances on USDJPY.
Resistance 1: 156.40 - 157.25 area
Resistance 2: 158.35 - 158.85 area
Support 1: 154.15 - 154.78 area
Support 2: 150.60 - 151.21 area
Support 3: 148.60 - 149.60 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD - 22 Jan 2025 SetupGOLD Market structure are now on a Bullish mode. Spotted nearest demand area (Green Rectangle). its avery good demand structure that breaking a new high from last week.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
NZDJPY - 22 Jan 2025 SetupNZDJPY Market structure are now on a Bullish mode. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area after the price breaking bearish structure.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
How long #VTHO will make in this bull cycle??
#VTHO had made a great move yesterday ... According to elliott wave micro count, it has completed it's 3rd wave and now will move towards 4th corrective wave into green box region....
It must hold that region and then it will complete it 5th wave which equally matches with the target of 3rd macro count....
After 3rd macro count we can see slight pullback creating 4th corrective wave and then final macro 5th impulse wave will be made by #VTHO
BTC Bullish + Bearish PredictionsThis analysis is based on VWAP, one of the most definitive levels that determine the future trend direction.
Right now we are sitting well above the VWAP anchored to 1/13 where the pivot low for out most recent move up began. Depending on the price action, the strong overall sentiment for BTC is strong enough to take it past the 108k ATH, despite many technicals suggesting we are overdue for a large pullback down to the 70ks.
What needs to happen is for accumulation to happen between the 102k and 105k levels, and continue through to the ATH such that buyers can hold thru any pushback/resistance at 108K and 109k, the next resistance level. If it can push us through 109, then our next resistance will be at 111k and 113k, which is also the zone where I would guess the retracement from the next ATH may return to. We may top out at 113550, which is both a macro fib level and a stddev extension of the VWAP, if bullish sentiment is not strong enough. If it can break 113500, we may just go exponential to 125 or 128k, where it should retrace to 113K, or even shallower.
The bearish case is a fast run up past 108k, losing steam at 109k or 111k, consolidating for a short while between 109 and 105 where bears can build their positions and then take us back under 101k. There are key VWAP levels in black around 102k that if we break and close below, will almost certainly shift the odds towards going back down.
Ive included a second VWAP anchored to a more recent pivot low, where the value sits at 104950 currently, a break below may not necessarily spell doom for bulls but the price action between that level and the main VWAP around 102k may tell you something about the current bull/bear sentiment.
If you are bullish it would be wise to build your position below 105k whenever you have the chance, and to encourage the breakouts at 108 ATH, 109700, 111000-111500, and 113500. For bears you are looking for strong resistance showing up at 109750, then at around 111k, accumulating your shorts between 109k and 105k with the goal of breaking through 101k.
Bitcoin teases a record high (but I'm not 'buying' it)While my bias for bitcoin futures to reach 125k remain in play, I'm a tad suspicious of its attempt to take out the previous record high with any conviction this week. I take a closer look at trading volumes and futures market positioning to explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and TradingView
$SPY hold of $580-588 region sets up long to $614-630AMEX:SPY looks like it's formed a low for the short term when it failed the H&S pattern.
From here, I think it's likely that we fall back into the $580-588 to scare everyone into thinking there's more downside, but if that region holds, it'll set up a trigger long all the way up to the $614-$630 region.
I think the move higher should play out by mid-February (again if that $580-588 region holds). If it fails, then we're looking back down at the lower support level $545.
If we do end up going higher, I think that $630 region will be the short term top and it'll set up a move down to $545 before we move higher.
First attempt to short goldDear traders
Yesterday I consistently maintained that gold would reach the 2740-2750 target zone, and as expected, gold has now hit that target.Today, the plan was to buy gold again if it retraced to the 2715-2710 zone, but gold did not retrace to this area, so we didn’t get the opportunity to enter a long position.
Gold is clearly in a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. However, since gold is currently near 2740, I am hesitant to enter a long position directly. I am cautious because if gold retraces from here, I could get trapped at high levels. I believe many market participants share my sentiment and are reluctant to buy gold at these elevated levels.For the market to increase liquidity or for gold to consolidate and accumulate more bullish momentum for a continuation of the upward trend, a short-term pullback is necessary.
Therefore, in the short term, I believe we can look to initiate a short position in the 2740-2750 zone, anticipating a corrective move in gold's price action.Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
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Potential bull flag breakout on AUD/JPYA potential bull flag on the 1-hour chart of AUD/JPY has caught my eye, and a closer look at volumes also suggests it worthy of consideration.
The weekly CVM (cumulative volume delta) has confirmed the recent rally into the bull flag pattern, but is also breakout out of its own flag to suggest bullish pressure is building. It is also near its own weekly high, a break above which provides another bullish clue.
Trading volumes were rising alongside prices before they entered the sideways consolidation (bull flag), so I am now on guard for a break higher of prices.
Bulls could seek dips towards the daily pivot point (97.32) for a move up to 97.80, just beneath the daily S1 pivot.
A break above 98 assumes bullish continuation up to 98.50 near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com