Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel.
In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend.
🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel.
Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move
OANDA:XAUUSD
Pivot Points
Final $LINK in the corrective chain?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
LINK could be finishing a double zigzag correction. Recent reaction at the channel’s most likely target area shows promise. Watching for an internal retrace that holds above key support.
Key Levels:
11.81: Ideal retrace floor
11.00: Break kills impulse idea
13.25: First upside flip needed
15.00: Big level to break for bulls
Bulls have been tricked before with possible impulse starts. This one has the right look and confluence, but caution is warranted. Ideally, we get consolidation and push above 13.25 to build confidence in further upside.
As long as price holds above 11.81 and builds higher lows, potential remains for an impulsive move up. Break below 11 and bias flips back to bearish continuation.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
One of the reason, Why I m saying 5th wave done?Here you can see the pitchfork tool applied, as u can see that Nifty has touched this pitchforks median line from below and taking a resistance from it. This is the final 5th wave resistance. For further more elaboration, here are two ways I applied this tool:
1. In this particular snapshot, I touched 3rd pivot of this tool on the 7th April 2nd lowest pivot on hourly TF.
2. And yesterday prediction was based on this same tool but the 3rd pivot of the tool was on 7 April lowest pivot means on 21742.
Thats why there is a slight difference between these two median lines from two different ways of applying.
As u can see nifty has taken support on this line multiple times and forming a wavy structure around it
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Critical Moment
With an unprecedented pace of weakness of US Dollar,
DXY Index is now testing a historic weekly support cluster.
If the market breaks it today and closes below that, it will
open a potential for much more depreciation.
Next historic support will be 95.5 and a downtrend will continue.
Today's US fundamentals can be a trigger.
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XRP UG-ah-LYXRP has been slowly chopping lower in a mess of overlapping candles. Lower highs and lower lows at the Highest degree. The trend is down and the Elliott Is ugly.
There is a chance here for the trend to shift, but that low needs to hold.
In Elliott Wave, ugly can be useful. An ugly pattern often screams correction. That is the working assumption right now. This structure could still be a complex wave four.
Even though the wave count has not been crystal clear, I am not flying blind. I am using support and resistance to track the structure and wait for clarity.
Here are the levels that matter right now:
3.4005 was the major high
3.0257 and 2.2762 are key reaction zones
2.6510 is the median and the first major line bulls need to beat
1.9736 is the old high that price continues to bounce from
1.9015 and 1.5267 are the potential downside reaction zones if the yellow path unfolds
If this is a correction, there is still potential to hold above 1.62 and send. If that level goes, the structure shifts fast to lower targets.
This is not the time to get brave without confirmation, mo.
Ugly price action can still resolve cleanly. But I want to see an impulsive move through one of these levels, followed by a corrective return to that level. That would offer a more ideal continuation in whichever direction price decides.
Let the level reactions speak first. I will act after.
Advance technical analysis AUX USD ✅ Advanced Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Timeframe
🧩 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Current Price: 3,333.675
Recent High: 3,451.525
Recent Low: 3,293.500
Marked with BOS (Break of Structure), CHoCH (Change of Character), supply and demand zones.
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🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
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1️⃣ Market Structure (Price Action)
🔺 Bullish Phase:
From June 13 to June 22, price showed a series of H1 BOS, confirming bullish structure.
🔻 Shift to Bearish:
After June 22, we observe several H1 CHoCH and BOS to the downside.
This indicates a clear transition from bullish to bearish, or at least a corrective phase.
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2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones
🟢 Demand Zone:
Marked between 3,293.5 and ~3,310
Price dipped into this zone and showed a minor bullish reaction (lower wick = liquidity grab)
🔴 Supply Zones:
Resistance at 3,393.509 (minor)
Stronger supply between 3,440 and 3,451 (previous unbroken highs)
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3️⃣ Fibonacci & Potential Reversal Targets
If demand holds and bullish confirmation appears:
TP1: 3,393
TP2: 3,440
TP3: 3,451.5
These levels align well with structure and historical resistance.
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4️⃣ Candlestick Behavior
Recent candles show price tapping the demand zone with some rejection.
Look for bullish engulfing, pin bars, or momentum candles as confirmation.
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5️⃣ Potential Long Setup (If Confirmed):
Element Value
Entry Zone 3,305 – 3,315
Stop Loss Below 3,293 (e.g., 3,285)
TP1 3,393
TP2 3,440
TP3 3,451
Risk–Reward Estimated 1:3 to 1:5
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⚠️ Risks & Considerations:
If the 3,293 demand zone breaks, bearish structure may continue.
Liquidity grabs and false breakouts are possible – wait for solid confirmation.
Align your entries with higher timeframe signals (e.g., H4) for stronger confluence.
---
❗️Disclaimer:
> This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
Divergence FormingThe descending channel pattern is always my favorite. Mixed with RSI, channels aligning with gaps and volatility being at $20, its a good chemical mix.
AMEX:SOXS to $10 can happen quickly but I think the move will be sharp and quick. Long term bearish signals forming to.
Lets see where it goes!
AEVO Main Trend DEX L2 Listing 212 X !) Decrease -98% 06 25Logarithm. Term 3 days.
Asset super hype in the past, listing with overly positive and aggressive marketing at 212X!
1️⃣Q1 2023 Private Seed $0.0185 / $1.85 million
2️⃣10 05 2023 Private Series A $0.13 / $6.01 million
3️⃣Q4 2023 Private Series A+ $0.25 / $8.75 million
4️⃣13 03 2024 Listing on the Binance exchange on the day of the secondary market trend reversal (I missed it, and it happens).
26 06 2025 now -98% decline after listing, which is 4.2X from the last prices of scammers, who gradually distributed, maintaining liquidity and the news background all this time their huge profit. Most of the coins are redistributed. You can think about collecting in this sideways, on a breakout of a local wedge (local trend), or on a breakout of a descending channel (reversal of the main trend).
Those who are far from trading can buy in equal parts (3 parts). From the position of the main trend and potential, the prices are now acceptable (you can buy the first part), so to speak (former "hype investors" are in wild horror).
Exit zones will be zones of previous consolidation, that is, those who previously bought on the hype will not be able to make a profit. In fact, it is always like this ... There are no “passengers”, then they will pump up well. As a rule, +800-1000% such assets of the previous excitement and such liquidity.
Local reversal zone.
Geopolitical tensions is making oil fun to tradeFor the unexperienced traders, be very careful trading NYSE:CL , you can get caught anytime wether you are long or short right or wrong.
Nevertheless, if you follow my LIS, you can have a clear picture of where oil is heading to.
Right now, oil is set up as bearish but it can change in a matter of a bomb. Jokes aside, the LIS stands at 67.8. So below still bearish, above turn bullish.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for Gold.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3294 - 3312 area
Support 2: 3231 - 3287 area
Support 3: 3121 - 3176 area
Resistance 1: 3338 - 3368 area
Resistance 2: 3441 - 3451 area
Resistance 3: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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USDÉCAD Technical Analysis - Daily Time Frame 🔁 Market Structure:
The overall trend is bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming sellers are in control.
Recently, price formed a Change of Character (CHoCH) at the bottom, which may indicate the beginning of a bullish correction or a temporary reversal.
The market is currently reacting from that low, showing signs of bullish pressure.
🟩 Demand Zone:
The green zone (around 1.3400 – 1.3460) marks a strong daily demand area.
This zone has shown previous bullish reactions and has not yet been fully tested in this leg.
It could serve as a high-probability long entry zone if price returns to it.
🟥 Supply Zones (Targets):
There are three red supply zones above, acting as potential take-profit levels for bulls or entry points for sellers:
TP1 (7%) – Around 1.3444
TP2 (14%) – Around 1.3790
TP3 (29%) – Around 1.4224
🎯 Trade Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario (Swing Trade Toward Supply)
Item Details
Entry Zone 1.3400 – 1.3460 (daily demand zone)
Confirmation Bullish price action (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar)
Stop Loss Below demand (e.g., under 1.3350)
Targets TP1: 1.3444 / TP2: 1.3790 / TP3: 1.4224
This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio if confirmed on lower timeframes.
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Continuation of Downtrend)
Item Details
Entry Zone From one of the supply areas (especially near 1.3790)
Confirmation Bearish candle (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick)
Stop Loss Above the supply zone (e.g., 1.3850)
Target 1.3450 initially or lower if demand breaks
📌 Final Thoughts:
The market is currently in a correction phase.
The best long opportunity is from the demand zone around 1.3400 – 1.3460, with proper confirmation.
Targets are clearly marked based on supply zones.
Short positions should wait for confirmation near those supply levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
It reflects only my personal view of the market based on the current chart structure.
Please do your own analysis and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions OANDA:USDCAD
DOGEUSDT: Time For Bulls To Rule! The Dogecoin is currently trading at a key buying level, making it a potential opportunity to buy. However, we need confirmation before making a purchase or entering a trade. This trade could take time to develop as we are currently in the accumulating phase. To be certain of the price direction, we need to enter the distribution phase. While a single swing trade could be a target, you can set your own risk management parameters.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
BTCUSDNow that BTCUSD has reached our previous target at 107,848, we are updating our forecast.
The market remains structurally bullish, with the next upside objective at 109,400.
Although we've seen a reaction from a short-term supply zone, a slight pullback or pause is possible. However, due to visible liquidity resting above, there's a strong likelihood that price will extend higher toward 109,400.
At that point, we will closely monitor price action for signs of exhaustion or reversal to evaluate potential short opportunities.
Will the Robotaxi euphoria continue to push TSLA higher?NASDAQ:TSLA pushing higher the last few days thanks to the start robotaxis. Will this rally continue? the answer is yes until the LIS gets broken.
LIS is at 311, any break below will give a retrace. If you are long, get out and get back in when the next LIS gets broken on the upside. This is efficient investing. Don't waste time doing HODL.
LIS is evolving over time, I will keep you updated on it.
This is really simple trading based on important levels. Keep following my post, so you can see it by yourself.
Decision Phase in ETHBTCI would like to offer an idea about ETHBTC. Although it showed a nice bottom formation with its last breakout move, I think it is at a very critical point with the horizontal movement and downward break that followed. If you look at the ETH chart ( ) , you can see that it corrected almost 60% of its sharp rise and gave a nice test to the red box and went up. It is currently trying to stay within its old range. ETHBTC, on the other hand, is making a downward move. It would not be wrong to say that it has evolved into an structure as if it made a downward retest, despite having made a similar move.
I have 3 plans for this process:
Plan 1: The price retesting the 0.026 levels after entering the old range and throwing it above this area with a slow and small pullback. I will consider the last downward move as manipulation and take a position accordingly.
Plan 2: Defining its last move as a retest to the range it broke down, continuing its decline and first coming back to the 0.019 levels. Maybe a decline to the green box zone below after the reaction there.
Plan 3: After making the rise in plan 1, testing the 0.021 levels for the last time by pulling back more and starting a rapid rise from there. Frankly, although it is a bit difficult, such a move seems good to me since seeing sharp movements and volume in the bottom formation will increase the opinion that the rate is the bottom.
This is the roadmap I will follow in general. I think these movements can be until the first week of July. I hope that the next 10 days will give a good idea of how we will spend the summer months. It should not move horizontally in these areas anymore and I don't think it will. I don't care about drawing both up and down and then saying "aha" and being right. If my goal is not to make money, being right is useless. If there is a movement that is suitable for one of the movements I draw, I want to take a position and turn it into reality.
Good day everyone.
Learn Best Change of Character CHoCH Model in Trading with SMC
Most of the SMC traders get Change of Character CHoCH WRONG!
In this article, I will share with you Change of Character models that have a low accuracy and better to be avoided.
I will teach you the best CHoCH model for Forex Gold trading and show you how to identify it easily.
Let's start with the basic theory first and discuss what Change of Character signifies.
Change of Character in Bearish Trend
In a downtrend, Change of Character CHoCH is an important event that signifies a violation of a bearish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes above the level of the last lower high.
Above, is a text book Change of Character model in a bearish trend.
For the newbie traders, such a price action provides a strong signal to buy while it fact it is NOT .
One crucial thing is missing in this model to confirm a bullish reversal.
According to basic trend analysis rules, we say that the market trend is bullish if the price forms a bullish impulse, retraces and sets a Higher Low HH , forms a new bullish impulse with a new Higher High HH.
Only then, we can say that the market is trading in up trend.
CHoCH model above confirms a bearish trend violation BUT it does not confirm a trend change.
Such a model may easily signify a deeper correction.
Look what happened with GBPNZD.
Though the price formed a confirmed bearish CHoCH, it was a false signal and just an extended correction.
That's a perfect bullish reversal model.
It combines CHoCH and conditions for a bullish trend.
Such a union is extremely accurate in predicting up movements.
Examine a price action on USDJPY.
Not only the price formed a confirmed CHoCH but also we see a start of a new bullish trend.
Change of Character in Bullish Trend
In an uptrend, Change of Character CHoCH is a significant event that signifies a violation of a bullish trend.
CHoCH is confirmed when the price breaks and closes below the level of the last higher low.
Above is a typical model of a bearish CHoCH.
For many traders, that is the signal to open short.
However, it is not that accurate and one important component is missing there.
According to basic price action rules, the market trend is bearish
if the price forms at least 2 bearish impulses with Lower Lows LL and a pullback between them with a Lower High LH.
Only when these 3 conditions are met, a bearish trend is confirmed .
Perfect bearish Change of Character model should include both CHoCH and a bearish trend price action. That will confirm a violation of a bullish trend and start of a new bearish trend.
EURCAD has a very strong potential to continue falling:
not only we see a valid bearish Change of Character but also
a start of a new bearish trend based on a price action.
Next time when you identify CHoCH on forex market, make sure that you check the preceding price action. It will help you to more accurate assess reversal probabilities and make a wiser trading decision.
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SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272).
Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market $42–43
— Target 1: $55.91
— Target 2: $63.57
When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
OANDA:USDJPY Buy SetupUSDJPY Buy Setup – Bullish Structure & Daily Rebound
USDJPY is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum after rejecting a significant daily low. Price action on the 1-hour timeframe has confirmed the formation of a higher low, followed by a clean break above a key daily support level—now turned support once again. This shift in market structure indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend, supported by higher highs and higher lows on the intraday chart.
Technical Highlights:
Strong rejection from a daily low zone
Bullish structure confirmed on the 1H timeframe
Price reclaiming a key support level and holding above it
Momentum suggests potential continuation toward higher targets
Trade Setup:
Entry: 145.110
Stop Loss: 144.754
Target Levels:
Take Profit 1: 145.709
Take Profit 2: 146.747
Take Profit 3: 148.014
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio within a well-defined bullish context. Wait for a solid candle confirmation if not already entered, and always manage your risk according to your trading plan.
Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments, and if you found this valuable, hit boost and follow for more structured trade ideas. Wishing you precision and profits!
NASDAQ Midweek Review | Trend, Liquidity, PrecisionSingle-chart post today showing the execution trail behind two solid wins on NASDAQ.
Top-down bias was aligned — bulls clearly in control, so I stuck with trend direction. No need to fight momentum. As a trend trader, I don’t counter — that mindset shift alone is what keeps me consistent and clean with entries.
Chart shows the 30M view — where structure, liquidity, and timing came together. Both setups were built off elite structure reads. Liquidity played its part: manipulation, sweep, confirmation, and execution.
Bias: Bullish
HTF Alignment: Bullish trend continuation
Entry Frame: 30M precision
Key Insight: Liquidity isn’t noise — it’s narrative.
Mindset Note: Counter-trading is a shortcut to inconsistency. Stay with flow, respect structure.
Bless Trading!
EURUSD Midweek Outlook | 3H - 15M Dual ViewLeft side chart shows the 3H Bird’s Eye structure — price swept the recent highs but failed to follow through, signaling external bull weakness. That shift in narrative tells me price may be prepping to drop, potentially targeting the SSL below before gathering fuel to attack major highs.
Right side zooms in on the 15M — I’m patiently watching for a clean lower high to break (CHoCH) followed by a pullback to confirm a sell entry. Until I get that proper LTF trigger, I stay on the sidelines. Execution always follows alignment.
Bias: Short
HTF Structure: 3H sweep of highs, showing weakness
LTF View: Waiting for 15M confirmation (break + retest)
Target: SSL below
Mindset Note: Trade what’s shown, not what’s felt. Stay sharp, stay patient.
Bless Trading!