Pivot Points
“ XAUUSD 15M | High-Probability Short from Key Supply Zone ”🔻 XAUUSD 15M – Precision Short Setup 🔻
Spotted a high-probability short opportunity on XAUUSD using a clean market structure and supply zone analysis. After a bullish retracement, price tapped into the supply zone at 2869.88, showing signs of rejection and potential for a downward move. This aligns with the current bearish momentum on the lower timeframes.
📈 Entry: 2869.35
❌ Stop-Loss: 2873.00 (Above the supply zone to protect against false breakouts)
✅ Take-Profit: 2856.00 (Targeting recent lows for optimal risk-to-reward)
Analysis:
Price is reacting to a key supply area, indicating a possible shift in momentum. The rejection at this level suggests that liquidity above the recent highs has been grabbed, paving the way for a move lower. With a solid risk-to-reward setup, this trade targets the next significant support zone.
Risk Management:
Maintaining a disciplined stop-loss to protect capital while allowing room for price fluctuations. The trade offers a favorable R:R ratio, aligning with my trading strategy based on smart money concepts.
💬 Drop your thoughts below and let me know how you see this playing out! 👇
SOLUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
155.100 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 295.850 on 01/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 186.409, 175.250 and minimum to Major Support (155.100) is expected.
Take Profits:
218.928
243.197
264.400
294.450
350.000
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SBI Downside Target for Buying is 685 -7001. **State Bank of India (SBI)** is India's largest public sector bank, headquartered in Mumbai.
2. It was established in 1955 and has a vast network of branches and ATMs across the country.
3. SBI offers a wide range of banking services, including retail, corporate, and international banking.
4. The bank plays a crucial role in India's economy, supporting financial inclusion and digital banking initiatives.
5. With a strong global presence, SBI operates in multiple countries, serving millions of customers worldwide.
XAUUSDInitiate a buy position on XAUUSD at 2867, anticipating an upward price movement. The first take profit level is set at 2870, followed by 2880, and ultimately 2890. To minimize potential losses, place a stop loss at 2858. This trade strategy aims to capitalize on bullish momentum in gold prices. If the price moves favorably, securing profits at each target level can maximize returns. However, if the market reverses and reaches 2858, the stop loss will help protect your capital. Always stay updated on market trends and economic news that may impact gold’s movement. Effective risk management is crucial to ensuring sustainable trading success. Monitor the trade closely and adjust targets if necessary to optimize profits. Maintain discipline and adhere to your trading strategy for consistent results.
XAU/USD Trade Idea: Potential Long Setup📊 Pair: XAU/USD (Gold)
💡 Trade Bias: Bullish
• Buy Entry: Around 2,816.691
• Take Profit (TP): 2,882.344
• Key Level (IDM): 2,839.487
🎯 Plan:
Waiting for price to take out the IDM level before moving into my order flow for a refined entry. Will look for a CHoCH flip on the 5M timeframe within the order block to confirm bullish intent.
🚨 Note: Price action near the IDM level and 5M confirmation will dictate the actual entry. Staying cautious until all confirmations align.
EUR/USD Trade Idea: Potential Short Setup
📊 Pair: EUR/USD
💡 Trade Bias: Bearish
• Sell Entry: Around 1.04611
• Take Profit (TP): 1.02118
• Key Level (IDM): 1.04344
🎯 Plan:
Currently, the 30M CHoCH has confirmed bearish intent. Waiting for price to mitigate the 30M order block, then dropping to the 5M timeframe for a CHoCH flip and refined entry.
• Confirmation: Liquidity sweep and strong bearish momentum on the 5M after mitigation.
🚨 Note: Patience is key. Entries are approximate and depend on mitigation and structure flip.
Bless Trading!
DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102.
I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal.
Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull.
I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely.
FX:EURUSD
NFP Main Trend Low -90% Descending Channel 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Line chart for clarity of the downward trend.
Marker, conditionally, showed the logic of price movement from key support/resistance zones — breakthrough/not breakthrough, consolidation/not consolidation. Understanding this, you should build your trading strategy.
Now is a good entry point, subject to risk management. I would advise leaving 20-30% of the money from the position in case the price falls (implementation of scenario B) to the -93-96% zone, immediately or through price growth, to the resistance of the local downward channel (which does not exist yet).
If plan A is implemented, then I would advise locally exiting part of the position at the mirror resistance zone of 0.18-0.27. There will be a reversal, and the implementation of plan B, or a cut of the zone, and then an exit.
In the long term, the “key” resistance of the pump is 0.0609, it is rational to exit there with most of the position, possibly with a protective stop, or a grid of limit orders, if there is an aggressive price movement.
Breaking the structure of the descending channel of the main trend — its reversal, which is logical. I showed it with an arrow, but it is unlikely to happen in the near future.
Locally, this is a reversal zone .
SOXL Has Room to Run?This one has a double bottom look, with a higher low, and another 4% remaining to hit take profit enroute to retesting the neckline before breaking out (another 8% from here) or balance and fail! Stop loss of 5% is pretty steep, so typically I either lower my position size or stop loss. Even at 4% stop loss, according to backtest results this wins more than it loses and has done pretty decent in the past, as I have been forward testing this model for over the past 18 months and profiting from over 100 different equities that I signal on.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes! SOXL and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). Check out my script, as I am always looking for people to help test and I am always interested in feedback...
GBPAUD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 2.02967, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 1.94297 breaks.
If the resistance at 2.02967 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2.01490 on 02/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 1.97390, 1.95896 and minimum to Major Support (1.94297) is expected.
Take Profits:
1.99134
1.97390
1.95896
1.94297
1.92784
1.91271
1.89131
1.85883
1.82533
1.80340
1.77000
1.72489
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. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
🙏 Your Support is appreciated!
Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
USDCAD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupUSDCAD market turn to slightly bearish on H1 timeframe and the all the ema's has broken to the downside. Spotted nearest supply area (Red Rectangle).we have a chance to take a short position from this area.
Entry Position : Short
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly above supply area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
TATA MOTORS accumulate for long termTata Motors experienced a fake-out at its all-time high, approaching the psychological level of 1000, and has since seen a significant decline.
Currently, the stock is trading near a solid support level of 700, making it a good opportunity for long-term accumulation.
However, if the price breaks below 700, a target of 620 could be expected.
Bullish sentiment is only apparent above the level of 820.
For a successful breakout/breakdown, we should ideally see a strong respective timeframe candle on our chart to close —it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout/breakdown, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above/below the breakout/breakdown candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
GBPNZD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupGBPNZD Market structure are making N pattern on the market structure with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team