Pivot Points
BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
If the BTC chart does not react to close levels 102000, this analysis will be invalid.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
There could be a title here. Very long and very tedious. That's what you can say about this chart.
But I like the fact that this week opened with a major signal that hasn't
been seen in a very long time.
The Kijun-sen line has crossed the tenkan sen from top to bottom and
the Kijun line is looking down.
The rise 2 years ago in January 2023 started from the opposite formation.
This is a weekly chart and things are moving slowly.
What else I've noticed about dominance behaviour. Purely subjective.
A 1-2 per cent drop down doesn't always give a visible revival to alts,
while a 1 per cent increase can take away a lot of health from them.
USDT.D and ETH.D probably play a role here.
ARKUSDT Trendline Betrayal Bearish Plunge !Trendline Break
The chart shows a clear upward trendline that has been broken. This break indicates a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Retest Confirmation
After breaking the trendline, the price retraced upward, testing the previous trendline as resistance (red zone). This is a classic confirmation for a short setup.
Entry and Risk Zone
Entry :The short position is initiated just below the retest of the trendline, around the price of 0.5510.
Stop-Loss : Placed slightly above the retest zone, around 0.5897, to minimize risk if the price reclaims the trendline.
Target Zone
The blue area indicates the take-profit target, with a potential level around 0.3908. This level might have been chosen based on prior support or Fibonacci retracement levels.
Risk-to-Reward
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the stop-loss relatively close to the entry and a much larger distance to the target.
Market Context
The sharp drop in price following the trendline break signals strong bearish momentum. Ensure that this move aligns with higher timeframes and broader market sentiment for confirmation.
Key Considerations
Watch for any sudden buying pressure or market reversal signs that could invalidate the setup.
Volume analysis can provide additional confirmation for the strength of the trendline break and the retest rejection.
Stay disciplined with stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
Book profits with usual profit locking rule of 10% by moving SL to BE for safe ride
XRP - 1D Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my update for the daily Elliott Wave count for XRP.
We broke out of the Elliott Wave Triangle that was communicated in the last posts.
We assume that the green Wave 4 has finished with this Elliott Wave Triangle and we started the green Wave 5 which could be the last rally of this bull market.
Today we want to discuss first upsides targets for this green Wave 5.
The first targets we have are the 1 to 1 FIB ratio at 3.7898 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 4.3088 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 4.6649 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 5.3037 USD.
We did add an additional higher timeframe target at the 1 to 1 FIB which sits at 5.5736 USD.
Noteworthy is that this additional target at the 1 to 1 FIB at 5.5736 USD is relatively close to the 1.618 FIB at 5.3037 USD. We also added the ATH which sits at 3.5505 USD which could function as short term resistance.
After we get more clarity in the short term we can calculate further targets to the upside.
Additionally we wouldn't be surprised if we get extensions and hit higher targets at 5$+ but we'll see how it develops and take it step by step.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
GOLD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 2789.95, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 2475.27 breaks.
If the resistance at 2789.95 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2582.95 on 12/19/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 2726.10 and maximum to Major Resistance (2789.95) is expected.
Take Profits:
2657.88
2601.87
2532.10
2475.27
2380.00
2279.87
2219.63
2145.04
2087.89
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The Great Trump Pump Continues We successfully hit the ExoFade predicted target. Now a new peak has formed and the new peak is the new predicted target of $86
Its a mix of Fear and Excitement.. We all know what happens when anything goes up too fast in record time, a dump is always around the corner. So i can't stress enough how cautious we need to be extremely careful and practice smart risk management, especially since we haven't seen any serious pullback yet.
Until then we'll continue trading each cycle. Take profit when price reaches each peak or at least take some profit. After securing profit re-enter when price pulls back and re-claims the ExoFade line. There are some other indicators that help me with the re-entry that i cannot mention in this post due to house rules, so you can use whatever pull-back re-entry strategy you currently use or reach out to me if you want access. As for the ExoFade, just search for exofade in the tradingview indicators library so you can follow me as i am executing these trades.
The Great Trump PumpThe Exofade indicator is predicting a price target of 52.47 for $TRUMP on m15 chart. This is one of the ways i use the ExoFade, is for setting price targets . After a rally in one direction, you get a curve or peak, whatever you like to call it. This signifies the end of that rally, when can be temporary in the case where it turns out to be a pullback Or permanent in the case where it becomes a trend reversal. After the pullback or reversal the peaks formed by the ExoFade acts like a price magnet whenever price resumes that trend. The prediction ability is based on Volume & Linear Regression calculations.
Even though it's super obvious the $trump coin is ridiculously overvalued at the current price. Meme degens don't care about stats or technicals . This a emotionally driven niche in the crypto market when absolutely can and will happen.
Also keep in mind the technical accuracy of this analysis is can be skewed because this is a brand new launch and just had its first 24hrs so there is almost non existent historic price data for indicators to give best results..So this is just for fun to see if we do hit the price target set by the ExoFade
ETH to 4k this weekTrumps media company just bought 20 million in Eth. His memecoin is raging which caused a Sol pump, and ETH has been lagging the market. I expect a major Ethereum rally here, this was all planned. Note a bottomed stochastic RSI, a cooled off BBWP. The weekly chart has a lot of room to run. This last candle created a higher high and low.
My plan:
I entered now with a 10k position. I look to 3900$ in short notice.
PT 1 = 3500
PT 2 = 3900
The Missing LINK: Bulls Search for ContinuationKey Levels and Observations
The $20 level was crucial for potential wave 4 support. While this area was swept, it wasn’t decisively broken, leaving both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. Now, all focus shifts to the retracement as bulls look for internal structure and continuation, while bearish signals hint at further downside.
1️⃣ The Sweep at Support
The yellow zone ($19–$20) absorbed significant liquidity after a sweep below, signaling strong demand. However, the price's inability to decisively move higher leaves uncertainty.
2️⃣ Resistance at $23–$24
Price action is currently stalling near a key resistance zone. Bulls need to reclaim this area for continuation; otherwise, it risks a bearish reversal that could deepen the move down.
3️⃣ Bearish Pattern in Play
The actionary wave, followed by what could be a sideways flat correction, points to a potential bearish scenario. If this pattern holds, we could see a deeper move below the sweep pivot and $20 support.
Next Steps for Traders
📉 Bearish Outlook:
A decisive break below the $20 level could trigger an impulsive move downward. This could lead to a sharper decline, possibly extending beyond a Zigzag structure. Traders should watch for increasing momentum as confirmation.
📈 Bullish Outlook:
If the pivot low holds or price forms a corrective structure into an area of confluence, this may indicate the market wants to move higher. A reclaim of $23–$24 resistance would be an early sign of bullish continuation.
Final Thoughts
The retracement is the key battleground right now. For bulls to gain control, the price must stay internal to the sharp move up following the sweep and confirm continuation. However, bearish signals linger, and caution is essential. Patience and flexibility remain your best tools in navigating this complex setup.
Key Levels for the Week 01.2025(20-24 ∷Gold∷🔳Key Levels Overview for the Week🔲 01.2025(20-24-∷)🐍
Dynamic Resistance🔀
2765
2750
2720
Dynamic Supports🔀
2690
2675
2666
Mid Pivot (🐻bull&bear🐂 zone ch trend)
2759
2715
range of supply and demand
2732
2702
Range Band 🐇
2746
2709
2671
Order of lines:
1. 🌸 Shocking Pink, 🍇 Dark Orchid
2. 🟢 Green, 🔴 Red, 🟡 Yellow
3. ⬜ White, ⬛ Black
4. ❤️ Falu Red, 🌿 Crusoe, 🔷 Smalt
Update on Sol swingUnfortunately right after my large entry the market got crushed by a jobs report. This is a benefit of not using leverage, although this trade is on margin, my interest rate is low, and its spot only in an account that has buying power. Since this is a weekly chart we have to evaluate weekly candles, the daily got fairly bearish.
This is also why you need a plan before you enter trades. My plan was to add if we see 190, so I am doing so. My target zone is the green circle, or around 350$ the last day of March. Note a bottoming stochastic RSI and a cooled off BBWP.
BTC - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is an update for our BTC Elliott Wave count.
In the past days we created another low and saw a very impulsive reaction to it which can be very well counted as five Wave move up. We assume that blue Wave 4 has bottomed in the dip below 90k on the 13th January 2025 and that we started blue Wave 5.
We assume that the recent move up displayed as white Wave 1 is finished as a five wave move up displayed in green and that we started a retracement in white Wave 2.
White Wave 2 support sits between the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 92520.3 USD. After we finish white Wave 2 we can calculate targets for white Wave 3.
I'd like to add some comments regarding the count.
The recent price action is very bullish which opens us a few doors to different possibilities.
I'll make another post for "BTC - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis" where I'll discuss a count in case we get a more direct breakout. I'll link it below as note.
Be aware that we get the inauguration of Trump next week and the stock market is closed on Monday which both can have some effect on Crypto.
Noteworthy is that the red Wave C only touched the 0.618 FIB at 92815.9 USD which is a rare target but a valid one. If we get an aggressive sell of in the coming days we'd assume that the recent move up was only a reset of the red Wave B but we deem that rather unlikely.
Additionally I added the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD to the white Wave 2 support area because the recent price actions was very aggressive and bullish which could mean we only get a shallow retracement. The 0.382 FIB is a rare target for a Wave 2 but a valid and we have seen it in the past in Bitcoin.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 1D Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my primary Elliott Wave Count for XRP on the daily timeframe.
XRP has been recently looking strong and we expect some more upside for the moment.
It seems the XRP is forming the E Wave of an Elliott Wave Triangle which usually is followed by a breakout with strong momentum. This Elliott Wave Triangle would finish the green Wave 4 and be followed by the green Wave 5.
The support area of Wave E is marked on the chart between the 0.382 FIB at 2.3007 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 2.0259 USD. Worthwhile watching is the 0.5 FIB at 2.2364 USD and especially the golden pocket between the 0.618 FIB at 2.1720 USD and the 0.66 FIB at 2.1491 USD.
Be aware that a Wave E often doesn't strictly follow the support areas and likes to under- or overshoot. Key is that the price doesn't break below the blue C Wave of the triangle which sits at 1.9601 USD as it is the invalidation point of the triangle.
If you are interested in the back-up scenario in case we break below 1.9601 USD check out my next analysis which we will like below as a note! :)
Additionally I recommend checking out the smaller timeframe analysis to get further targets for the blue E wave which will be linked as note too.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
XRP - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my current 4H count for XRP which focusses on the blue Wave E of an Elliot Wave Triangle after which we would assume further upside.
The support area for the blue Wave E sits between the 0.382 FIB at 2.3007 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 2.0259 USD.
We assume that blue Wave is is playing out as an ABC displayed in red. Red Wave B could be in but still has the potential to extend. Assume it is already is we can calculate targets for red Wave C which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 2.2654 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 2.2256 USD, the 1.38 FIB at 2.2016 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 2.1626 USD.
Noteworthy is that the 1.618 FIB traget at 2.1626 USD of red Wave C sits right on the golden pocket of the blue Wave E target zone between the 0.618 FIB at 2.1720 USD and the 0.66 FIB at 2.1491 USD.
Be aware the invalidation of the Elliott Wave triangle is at 1.9601 USD which is the blue Wave C low.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
ETH - 4H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for ETH.
Last week we have seen a lot of bullish price action across the market but ETH seems to be underperforming lately, maybe we should see this as an opportunity!
We assume the the green Wave 4 bottomed on the 5th August 2024 and we started green Wave 5 of which we might have potentially finished the Wave 1 displayed in blue here. In the past weeks we have seen an correction unfold as red ABC which could have finished blue Wave 2.
The blue Wave 2 support area sits between the 0.5 FIB at 3110.99 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 2539.57 USD. We already dipped into it got close to the golden pocket and saw a first reaction to it.
Assuming blue Wave 2 is in we can calculate potential targets for blue Wave 3.
The targets sit at the 1 to 1 FIB at 4897.99 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 5369.52 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 5661.22 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 6132.75 USD.
Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB at 4897.99 is right in confluence with the previous ATH at 4877.54 USD which can lead to a reaction when we hit this target.
Be aware that we could dip again lower as the red Wave C only touched the 0.618 FIB extension at 3120.11 USD which is rare but valid. We still got the 1 to 1 FIB at 2734.29 USD as red Wave C target which is right below the golden pocket of the blue Wave 2 support.
Additionally the price might be a little choppy on the way up as the move already started a bit shaky.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
BTC Update (4H)Bitcoin seems to have made a strong bullish move, and an important knot has been cleared. This clearing will likely retrace downward but with a time correction.
The target is the green circle.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You