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Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD Outlook for May 18–24, 2025Hello, 📅 Gold (XAU/USD) Weekly Outlook – May 18–24, 2025 Current Price: $3,203.47 RSI (1D): 53.54 → Neutral ✅ Base Case: Mild Bullish / Range-Bound 📈 Bias: Neutral to Bullish 🎯 Target Range: $3,230 – $3,280 📊 Probability: ~65% Gold is consolidating above prior breakout levels with neutral momentum (not overbought). This suggests more upside is possible unless bearish catalysts emerge. 🔍 Key Support & Resistance Levels Support 1: $3,170 – $3,160 (prior breakout zone, likely defended) Support 2: $3,120 – $3,100 (deeper dip buy zone) Resistance 1: $3,230 – $3,250 (minor ceiling — likely tested soon) Resistance 2: $3,280 – $3,300 (bullish extension target) 📊 Weekly Scenarios 1. Mild Bullish / Sideways (Base Case) 🟢 Probability: 65% 🔁 Price holds above $3,160 🎯 Target: $3,230 – $3,280 2. Bullish Breakout 🟡 Probability: 20% 🚀 Trigger: Geopolitical risk or Fed dovish shift 🎯 Target: $3,300+ 3. Bearish Pullback 🔴 Probability: 15% ❌ Trigger: Strong USD, hot data, or yield spike 🎯 Target: $3,160 → $3,100 🧭 Trade Idea (Example Strategy) Long Entry: Around $3,170 Stop Loss: Below $3,145 Take Profit: $3,230 / $3,280 Risk/Reward: Favorable if price holds support The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Exposing Price Inefficiencies: The Role of Fair Value Gaps (FVG)In the ever-evolving landscape of price action trading, one concept has gained significant traction among institutional and retail traders alike: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . At Xuantify, we believe that understanding market inefficiencies is key to anticipating high-probability setups—and FVGs offer just that. 🔍 What Is a Fair Value Gap? A Fair Value Gap is a price imbalance that occurs when the market moves too quickly in one direction, leaving behind a "gap" in liquidity. This typically happens during high volatility or news-driven events, where price skips over levels without sufficient buying or selling. In technical terms, an FVG is identified when a candle’s low (in a bullish move) or high (in a bearish move) does not overlap with the previous or next candle. This creates a three-candle structure : - Bullish FVG : Candle 1 (bearish), Candle 2 (strong bullish), Candle 3 (bullish or neutral) - Bearish FVG : Candle 1 (bullish), Candle 2 (strong bearish), Candle 3 (bearish or neutral) These gaps often act as magnets for price , as the market seeks to rebalance and fill the inefficiency. 🧠 Why Do FVGs Matter? FVGs are not just visual anomalies—they represent institutional footprints . When large orders are executed, they often cause price to move rapidly, leaving behind unfilled orders. Smart money tends to revisit these zones to complete their positions. Key Benefits of Trading FVGs: - ✅ High-probability entries: Price often returns to fill the gap before continuing its trend. - ✅ Clear invalidation levels: The edges of the gap provide natural stop-loss zones. - ✅ Works across timeframes: From scalping on the 1-minute to swing trading on the daily. 🧩 Using the “Fair Value Gap ” Indicator To simplify the process of identifying and trading FVGs, we recommend the Fair Value Gap indicator on TradingView. This tool automatically highlights bullish and bearish FVGs, tracks their mitigation, and even provides alerts when gaps are filled. Key Features: - Auto-detection of bullish and bearish FVGs - Mitigation tracking: See which gaps are filled and which remain open - Threshold filtering: Focus on significant gaps by adjusting the minimum size - Dynamic mode: Monitor evolving FVGs in real time - Alerts: Get notified when price fills a gap 💡 No Repainting, No Delays One of the most reassuring aspects of this indicator is that it does not repaint . Once a fair value gap is printed, it stays on the chart—no disappearing zones, no misleading signals. Even better, the indicator plots FVGs in real time . It uses a three-candle structure and confirms the gap immediately after the third candle closes . This means you’re seeing valid, actionable gaps as they form—not in hindsight. This makes the LuxAlgo FVG tool a reliable companion for both live trading and backtesting , giving traders the confidence that what they see is what the market actually delivered. How to Use It: 1. Add the indicator : Search for “Fair Value Gap ” in the TradingView Indicators tab. 2. Adjust settings : - Use the “Threshold %” to filter out smaller, less relevant gaps. - Enable “Mitigation Levels” to track filled gaps. - Use “Auto Threshold” for adaptive filtering based on volatility. 3. Trade setups : - Contrarian : Wait for price to fill a gap and look for reversal signals. - Trend-following : Enter trades in the direction of the gap when it forms. ⚠️ FVGs Are Not Always Honored While FVGs offer powerful insight into market inefficiencies, it's important to remember: they are not guaranteed reversal or continuation zones . Sometimes price will blow right through a gap without reacting—especially in trending or news-driven markets. Why this happens: The gap may have already been mitigated on a lower timeframe Strong momentum or macroeconomic catalysts override technical zones The FVG is too small or lacks confluence with other key levels How to manage this: Always combine FVGs with structure, liquidity, and volume Use alerts and confirmations (e.g., candle patterns or BOS/CHOCH) Avoid trading FVGs in isolation—context is everything 🧠 Best Indicator Combinations with FVG To increase the accuracy of FVG-based setups, we recommend combining the LuxAlgo FVG indicator with the following tools: 1. Market Structure (LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts) Identify breaks of structure (BOS) or change of character (CHOCH) near FVGs. Use structure shifts to confirm whether the FVG is likely to hold or fail. 2. Volume Profile or Session Volume Confirm FVGs with low-volume nodes or volume gaps . FVGs aligning with volume imbalances are more likely to be respected. 3. Order Blocks Look for FVGs that overlap with bullish or bearish order blocks . This confluence often signals institutional accumulation or distribution. 4. Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Stochastic Use momentum indicators to confirm exhaustion or continuation near FVGs. For example, a bullish FVG + oversold RSI = potential long setup. 5. Liquidity Zones (Equal Highs/Lows, Swing Points) FVGs near liquidity pools are often targeted before reversal. Combine with sweep setups for sniper entries. Here’s a new section you can add to your blog post, focusing on the power of **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) FVG Alignments**: 🧭 Multi-Timeframe FVG Alignments One of the most powerful ways to increase the reliability of Fair Value Gaps is by using multi-timeframe confluence . When FVGs align across different timeframes—say, a 1H FVG inside a 4H FVG zone—it often signals a high-probability reaction area . Why it works: Higher timeframe FVGs represent broader institutional imbalances Lower timeframe FVGs offer precise entries within those zones Alignment confirms that multiple layers of market participants are active in the same area How to use it: Start with a higher timeframe (e.g., 4H or Daily) and mark key FVGs Drop to a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 1H) and look for fresh FVGs forming inside the higher zone Wait for structure shifts or liquidity sweeps within the lower timeframe FVG before entering This technique is especially effective when combined with tools like LuxAlgo Smart Money Concepts and Volume Profile , helping you time entries with sniper-like precision while staying aligned with the broader market narrative. 📊 Backtest It Yourself FVGs are best understood through chart time . Load up your favorite pair on TradingView, activate the LuxAlgo FVG indicator, and observe how price reacts. You’ll be surprised how often these zones act as support, resistance, or launchpads for major moves. 🚀 Final Thoughts Fair Value Gaps are more than just a buzzword—they’re a window into how smart money operates. By incorporating FVGs and tools like the LuxAlgo indicator , you gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and a sharper edge in execution. At Xuantify, we’re committed to decoding institutional logic and bringing it to the retail trader. Stay tuned for more insights, and as always— trade smart, not hard .
Education
by Xuantify
1
Bitcoin Hourly Analysis (2H)Given Bitcoin's rapid movement near previous highs, along with quick pump-and-dump action and liquidity grabs, it's expected that the liquidity pool below the price will be swept, collecting orders from the green zone, and then price may reverse back to the upside. A 4-Hour candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
ADAUSDT🔹 Cardano (ADA) Technical Analysis 📅 Date: May 19, 2025 Cardano is currently moving within a medium-term ascending channel. After the second touch of the channel’s lower boundary, the price initiated a 5-wave impulsive structure. Wave 4 has retraced precisely 0.618 of waves 1 through 3 and coincides with the bottom of the channel — a zone that also reflects a Change of Polarity, where former resistance is now acting as solid support. Currently, wave 5 is developing, but the bullish momentum appears weaker compared to the preceding bearish leg — a possible indication of buyer exhaustion. Interestingly, the projected end of wave 5 aligns with the 0.618 retracement level of the prior decline and overlaps with the Pivot Point R2 zone, which could serve as a strong resistance area. Based on this setup — and with strict risk management in place — I’ve entered a long position with the stop-loss placed just below the tip of wave 1. Cardano remains one of my preferred crypto assets, and this pattern may offer a promising bullish continuation opportunity. 📈 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Long
by abbasseraj
GU| Patiently Watching This Setup Cook4H gave me the (BOS) break of structure to the downside - that's my bearish intent on the higher timeframe. Price could climb into the supply zone above before delivering that reversal. Dropped to the 30M, structure is still bullish for now, showing strong momentum. Now it's a waiting game... Do we dip to take out that sell-side liquidity (SSL) for a clean buy setup first? Or... are we already mitigating the 4H supply and about to print a bearish shift on 30M? Either way, I'm letting price tell me the truth. No chasing. No guessing. Just real logic with structure & inducement flow. Stay sharp. Bless Trading!
by Juicemannn
1
XVG Secondary Trend (Part) Triangle Resolution 8 years 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Linear instead of candlestick specifically for clarity. This is the longest chart history on tradingview that could be found. It does not display everything as is. Where this cryptocurrency was previously traded, the exchanges deleted the entire trading history. Listing on new exchanges does not display the whole picture. I described and showed everything on the chart. More in the channel, screenshots and comparison with XRP, here the site does not provide an opportunity to make such a comparison, as there are simply no charts of such history. Verge (XVG) like XRP identical chart of the main trend, and the same 8-year triangle after the pumping of 2017. The only difference is that XRP came out of its triangle half a year ago, in alt season #2 of this cycle, and this cryptocurrency is still in the canvas of its triangle. But the price is gradually being driven into a corner. In alt season #3, most likely, the denouement of this story lasting 8 years will occur. More up than down (at the beginning). Verge (XVG), like XRP, is an asset of the super pump of 2017 and the price retention is -96-98% from the super pump by hundreds of thousands of percent (I am not mistaken exactly so), which forms a huge triangle on XXX (8 years). This is all inherent in the assets of the hype of 2017: XVG XRP NEM XLM ZEC XMR DASH LTC and so on ... Some of them, over the past 2 years, have become on the path of hype (XRP XLM), and some on the path of scam (I do not want to make anti-advertisement). Most likely, everything will repeat on XVG, as on XRP, but only at the right time, in the final alt season of this cycle. "XVG captains" do not have as much money and a powerful state behind them as XRP, to go against the market and the general trend, therefore, they need the market hype to distribute "a little higher". And so with most of these altcoins. Do not forget to get rid of them on the pump. Remember, the more down-to-earth goals, the more likely you are to earn over the long term. Observe risk and money management. Remember, there is a big alt season ahead, provided that you are an adequate person and your goals are appropriate.
Long
by SpartaBTC
BMT Rebuy Setup (4H)After the heavy drop in BMT, the price is now approaching demand zones. If it reaches the green zone, we can consider entering a buy position there. Risk and capital management should not be forgotten. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
WTI Update | Oil CrashSince the last update we were able to perform about two to three swing trades. One from $70 - $79, and from $79 to $68. The next move I'm looking for is another short position from current market price ~($62) to swing to the next major low $33. We saw a rejection last week and we're currently pulling back to retest the little selloff we had. Could say this next local move will look to selloff mid week making its way back to $57 which would be a nice short term swing. The $33 target would be the long term swing of course and moving on I would like to see a break below $57 and a retest.
OANDA:WTICOUSDShort
by Nathanl19