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Bitcoin on Edge: US Deregulates, China Cracks DownHello, Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – April 2025 Market Structure & Technical Overview Bitcoin continues to underperform as a safe haven asset, falling short of the optimism once compared to gold. Following a consistent formation of lower highs, BTC has once again broken down—hinting at a potential continuation of this bearish trend. Current Price: Just below the 1M Pivot Point (PP) at $84621.067. This area is crucial — if price accepts this level as resistance, we are likely to see further downside. The most recent 1M high stands at $88,781.70 — a level to watch but currently being respected as a ceiling. Should the price fail to reclaim 84k, the next target is the 1Y PP at $80,283.483. A rejection here opens the door for a move toward strong 1M support at $72,345.065. Below that, 1Y PP structural support comes into question. If the support gives out, the maximum decline target sits near $56,000, which would represent a full reset of the bullish macro narrative. Fundamental Headwinds: A Storm Brews Trump's Latest Move: President Trump has repealed the IRS rule expanding the "broker" definition to decentralized exchanges, a move aimed at deregulating crypto and laying groundwork for a potential U.S. Bitcoin reserve. China’s Crackdown Intensifies: China’s courts and local governments are actively liquidating seized crypto through offshore channels. The lack of a centralized system raises corruption concerns, but near-consensus is forming around formal asset recognition and centralized liquidation. Despite a domestic ban, China holds 15,000 BTC, potentially making it the 14th largest holder globally. The decentralized anonymity principle of cryptocurrency is under increasing threat, as both China and the U.S. shift toward centralized control, regulation, and even reserve-building strategies. This movement contradicts the original ethos of Bitcoin, leading to a bearish sentiment among long-term holders. Sentiment Snapshot Metric Status Technical Structure Bearish Market Sentiment Neutral, leaning bearish Macro Fundamentals Bearish Key Resistance (1M PP) $84,621.067 Next Support (1Y PP) $80,283.483 Strong Support (1M) $72,345.065 Max Decline Scenario $56,000 📉 Mark these key levels: $88,781.70 – Previous 1M High $84,621.067– 1M Pivot (Current Resistance) $80,283.483 – 1Y Pivot (Mid Support) $72,345.065 – 1M Strong Support $56,000 – Max Bearish Target Overlay sentiment zones: Green (above FWB:88K ): Bullish Orange (between $80k– FWB:88K ): Neutral Red (below $80k): Bearish Continuation The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
TRXUSDTTRX Price Analysis – Key Levels to Watch 🔍 Current Price Action: TRX is currently trading within a tight range, with key resistance at 0.2431 and support at 0.2275. The recent close near 0.2418 indicates a strong battle near the upper resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above 0.2431 could pave the way for bullish continuation. However, failure to break through may trigger a pullback toward 0.2340 or even retest the 0.2275 support level. 📉 Trend Outlook & Next Moves: A breakout above resistance may drive TRX toward higher price targets with strong bullish momentum. Conversely, a breakdown below support could indicate a deeper correction ahead. 👉 Keep an eye on price reactions at these critical levels for confirmation of the next trend direction.
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
GLD gold to top at 327GLD has been absolutely ripping during market uncertainty, and if you account for the 50% retrace on SYX it is not outperforming. I drew a fib extension and looked at a wave analysis for a potential top, they are in alignment. BBWP is nearing firing red and the advanced stochastic cannot stay up here forever. Given that this is a monthly chart we should see a bit more upside, could take a few weeks. Summary: Golden fib extension matches 5 wave projection amid elevated volatility and buyer strength, should see a pull back between 320-330
AMEX:GLDShort
by Apollo_21mil
Nifty Analysis EOD – 17th April 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – 17th April 2025 🔴 Weekly Expiry Surprise – A One-Sided Short Covering Rally! 📌 Market Background Before jumping into today’s rally, let’s briefly revisit yesterday’s analysis: “Tomorrow’s weekly expiry + a holiday on Friday = high chance of a rangebound expiry day. Even if we get a gap-up due to global cues or news, I’m not expecting a breach above 23,500.” This view was based on the recent expiry behavior and range contraction, especially with the past two days showing just a 170-point range and the last 10 expiries averaging a 192-point intraday range. But today, the market did what it does best – surprised everyone! 📌 Today’s Price Action Nifty gave a one-sided, mind-blowing short-covering rally on the weekly expiry day. IB High + PDH Breakout triggered a sharp move early in the session. Sustained price action above 23,550 in the morning session activated aggressive short covering. This momentum carried Nifty all the way to an intraday high of 23,872. Closing at 23,852, Nifty registered a new swing breakout, moving above its previous highest swing close. 📊 Intraday Movement Stats Total movement: 574 points 🔥 Nifty: +414 points (+1.77%) Bank Nifty: +1172 points (+2.21%) Nifty 500: +277 points (+1.3%) Midcap: +312 points (+0.60%) Smallcap: +61 points (+0.37%) 📌 Key Observations Bank Nifty is now just 177 points away from its All-Time High closing. Smallcap and Midcap underperformance suggests today’s rally was index-heavy – many portfolios might not reflect the same gains as Nifty. 📉 So, What’s Next at 23,850? Honestly… don’t know! Will it push to 24,050? Or take a pause and pull back for a retracement? With Friday being a holiday, we’ll have to wait until Monday for clarity. 📌 Important Levels to Watch 🔼 Resistance Zones 23,950 ~ 24,000 24,050 24,190 ~ 24,225 🔽 Support Zones 23,820 23,660 ~ 23,710 23,500 23,400 ~ 23,430 23,340 23,200 ~ 23,190 🧠 Strategy Insight Don’t chase. Watch price action around 23,820–23,950. Be flexible. Don’t marry a bias. Let Monday’s opening structure guide your next move.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
OP Secondary trend. Wedge. Reversal zones. 17 04 2025From the wedge breakout, the price reached the level of 2.857 (81%) and from it the trend reversal under the general trend of altcoins, breaking through the "neck" zone of the head and shoulders, thereby realizing this pattern on a large scale and reaching the reversal zone of the minimums of the level of 0.509. We went down to the range below along the fan. Consolidation above the dynamic support opens up the potential for movement to its resistance, I specifically put another meridian, as from it with a high degree of probability, even with the implementation of the bullish potential, there will be a significant pump / dump rollback. It just intersects with the previous consolidation of support, which in this case acts as resistance (those who previously bought in this zone will sell, thereby going into breakeven and stimulating the stop of the impulse and a rollback (logical probability). Locally, again having formed on the fall, as before, a descending wedge in the secondary trend. It has not yet been fully formed, the price is not clamped. But, conditionally, the price is at the minimum zone. You can start gaining from the average price, or work on a breakthrough of the formation, observing risk and money management. If you are scared (it is always like this at the minimum zone) - then everyone is the same, and most refuse to buy, but willingly buy when the price is already expensive. A breakthrough of this wedge is a corrective upward movement to the mirror resistance zone of the previous consolidation (highlighted in gray), if in general, a "revival of faith" is observed in alts. Also after breakout of the wedge, if the market as a whole is bearish on alts, then they will make a cut (in this case, a repeated set) at the zone of minimums in a wide range of price slippage and the complete death of faith in the candy wrapper of "crypto whales", highlighted in green.
Long
by SpartaBTC
OP/USDT Major trend. 07 2024Logarithm. Time Frame 1 week. After the listing there were 3 cyclical pumping of the “participation” phase. PR, hype, connection of the majority in mass media. The reversal occurred with a typical breakout in the secondary trend of a triangle (first pumping) or a wedge (second pumping). Now the third wedge is forming, the price is near the dynamic Gann support (reaction from it), but still in the range of the descending wedge pattern. On a line chart (liquidity, no slippage) the declines are cyclical at -63% each time according to the algorithm. Each successive top +55% of the previous secondary trend. It is quite possible that something similar will happen again this time (not necessarily), but only ideally after holding dynamic fan support and breaking wedge resistance. I have purposely shown only medium-term targets after a trend break. Gann's trend fan is plotted on the chart, i.e. dynamic support/resistance areas for the future. Optimism customization - L2's blockchain scaling solution ETH Crypto funds have invested a total of $267 million. Secondary trend Time frame 3 days
Long
by SpartaBTC
2
OP/USDT Secondary trend. Wedge. Pivot zones. 27 07 2024OP/USDT Secondary trend. Wedge. Pivot zones. 27 07 2024 Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. A descending wedge is forming. The price is near the dynamic Gann support (reaction from it), but still in the range of the descending wedge pattern. The reaction in this resistance zone will determine the trend for the near future. On the chart, I have specifically shown the minimum percentages of the two key reversal zones for the trend to local resistance levels, for the potential of option A and B. Major trend. OP/USDT Major trend. 07 2024 Time frame 1 week.
Long
by SpartaBTC
1
TRXUSDT TRXUSDT Price Action Analysis (1H Timeframe) 🔹 Overall Trend: After a strong rally, the price is in a correction phase, currently trading at 0.2291. The key resistance at 0.2300 must be broken for a bullish continuation. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 0.2300 with confirmation could push the price towards 0.2345 and 0.2435. If this happens, the bearish structure will be invalidated, increasing bullish momentum. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: Failure to break 0.2300 may lead to a pullback towards 0.2250 and 0.2205. Losing 0.2205 could open the way for a deeper drop to 0.2160, a critical support zone. 🎯 Conclusion: Watch key levels closely; a confirmed breakout above 0.2300 signals a buy opportunity, while losing 0.2250 strengthens the bearish outlook.
by EhsanZeydabadi
GOLD (XAUUSD): Updated Support & Resistance Analysis With a strong bullish rally that we saw on Gold since the beginning of the week, I prepared for you the updated support & resistance analysis. Resistance 1: 3340 - 3357 area Resistance 2: 3390 - 3406 area Resistance 3: 3440 - 3450 area Support 1: 3235 - 3246 area Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area Support 3: 2957 - 2983 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
1
KAS ANALYSIS (12H)A significant trendline has been broken on the chart, and a bullish iCH formation has also formed. Additionally, a liquidity pool is visible above the chart, which is expected to be swept soon. The demand zone is our entry area. If the price reaches this zone before touching Supply 2, we can consider entering a position. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam