PLTR: Testing Key ResistancePrice has reached a meaningful resistance area near the March highs, which may trigger renewed selling pressure. If confirmed, this could open the path toward a deeper move into the macro support zone around 60–50.
Until price is closing bellow 100, my operative scenario is one more wave down to a macro support.
Thanks for your attention and best of luck with your trading!
PLTR
PLTR Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:PLTR PLTR Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16)
Below is the integrated analysis of all the model reports:
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SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI Report
– Technical indicators on both short‐term (5‑minute) and daily charts are bullish.
– The price is trading above all key EMAs and has recently made higher highs/lows.
– Although the 5‑minute RSI is overbought and MACD shows a slight negative reading, the daily chart is strongly bullish with a bullish MACD crossover.
– Options data shows a max pain at $92.00 (well below the current price), and Grok recommends buying a naked call at the $99 strike for the weekly expiration at an estimated premium of $0.55.
• Llama/Meta Report
– The short-term chart reveals a near-term consolidation: recent closes are mixed with a cooling RSI and a negative MACD histogram, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks.
– The daily picture remains upward with bullish trend indicators, though the report notes conflicting evidence about overbought conditions.
– Their overall bias is “moderately bullish” but they tilt toward caution by suggesting—in an alternate scenario—a naked put near $95 if the price reverses.
• Gemini/Google Report
– The daily trend is strongly bullish with price well above moving averages and positive MACD/histogram readings.
– The 5‑minute chart, while bullish, shows signs of consolidation near current highs (observed in Bollinger Band touches and slight RSI cooling).
– Despite the max pain level ($92.00) that could impose later headwinds, Gemini remains moderately bullish and recommends a naked call strategy at the $100 strike — with the plan to enter at the open but with strict risk measures.
• DeepSeek Report
– On short-term charts, DeepSeek notes bullish fundamentals but also flags very high recent gains (+27% in five days) and the pressure from a max pain level far below current levels.
– The s
hort-term indicators (MACD on the 5‑minute chart) even hint at a near-term pullback, making the overall picture mixed.
– Their conclusion is to hold off (“no trade”) given the conflicting signals; if forced, they would consider a bearish put (again near $95) rather than a call.
──────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement
– All models agree that PLTR has been on a strong recent rally; technicals on the daily chart show a marked upward bias.
– Every analysis notes potential near-term caution: the fast rise, signals of consolidation on shorter timeframes, and the fact that the max pain level ($92.00) is far below the current price.
– There is consensus that if a trade is to be attempted, one must trade with a strict, short‑term (weekly) setup and disciplined risk management.
• Disagreement
– Grok and Gemini lean toward an intraday bullish play with a naked call, while Llama (and DeepSeek’s alternative scenario) bring up the possibility of a trade in the bearish direction (naked put) due to short-term pullback indicators.
– DeepSeek ultimately suggests sitting out rather than initiating a trade given the asymmetry between a bullish trend and the potential risk imposed by max pain; meanwhile, Grok and Gemini are prepared to buy call options if conditions hold at the open.
──────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
While the daily trend is clearly bullish, all models signal that the stock is now extended and vulnerable to a short-term consolidation or pullback. In our integrated view, the directional bias is moderately bullish but not without risk.
Recommended Trade:
Based on the majority—especially the Grok and Gemini reports—and provided that the market opens in line with recent momentum, a cautious bullish play is recommended. We will trade weekly options only and use a naked call strategy. To keep our premium in the ideal range, we choose a strike that is close to t
he current price yet slightly out‐of‐the‐money.
• Trade: Buy a naked call option
• Strike: $99.00 (as recommended by Grok, and a reasonable compromise between the $99 and $100 levels)
• Expiration: Weekly options expiring on 2025‑04‑17
• Premium: Approximately $0.55 per contract (within our target range)
• Entry Timing: At the open
Risk & Considerations:
– There is a significant risk that—given the recent 27% rally and short‐term consolidation indicators—the stock could pause or pull back toward the max pain near $92.00.
– In the event of a sudden intraday reversal (for example, a move below key M5 support levels around $98.16–$98.29), the position should be exited promptly.
– The intraday volatility remains high (VIX around 30 but falling), so close monitoring is essential.
• Confidence Level: Approximately 75% based on the integrated view
──────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "PLTR",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 99.0,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.75,
"profit_target": 0.83,
"stop_loss": 0.37,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.55,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows:
Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25
Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86
Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT BEATS S&P 500 INDEX, 11 MONTHS IN A ROWSomewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas!
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
Here's what we answered:
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
- Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here.
Current result is 5X, to $80 per share.
Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here.
Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share.
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
- Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
It's gone three months and a half or so... (Duh..? Haha.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸)
Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX
First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean.
Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is better vs SP:SPX
Falling (Red) candle means Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR monthly return is worse then SP:SPX
Conclusion
👌 PALANTIR. THE STOCK THAT OUTPERFORMS S&P 500, 11 MONTHS IN A ROW.
👌 WERE WE RIGHT ON CONTEST AND WON IT? EXACTLY!
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Opening (IRA): PLTR May 17th 100 Covered Call... for a 86.55 debit.
Comments: After closing out my long-dated covered call for a realized gain, re-upping with a shorter duration setup with a max profit potential of greater than 11.18, which is what I'm net down on this underlying YTD.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 86.55
Max Profit: 13.45
Will look to roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce my break even.
PALANTIR Correction is over. Targeting $200 end of year.Last time we viewed Palantir Technologies (PLTR) was 1.5 month ago (February 04, see chart below), setting a $110 Target and then calling to wait for a correction:
The price action didn't disappoint us and after hitting $110 it gave us the desired pull-back that extended as low as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Within the 2-year Channel Up, the 1D MA100 has always been a low risk level to buy.
Until however it breaks above its Triangle, a pattern that has been present as an accumulation phase inside the Channel Up on 4 prior occasions, it is possible to see the stock trading sideways towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), not necessarily making a new Low.
Regardless of some more sideways price action or instant break-out above the Triangle, the current level remains an excellent long-term buy opportunity. We are targeting $200, which would almost be a +183% rise, a usual growth rally for the stock within its Channel Up.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Palantir: Successful!PLTR effectively initiated a directional change within our now-gray Target Zone, and potential long trades opened within this range should already be significantly in the black. We locate the price in the corrective movement of the green wave , which should develop through the magenta waves (A) to (E) within a pink triangle formation. Ideally, the stock should remain above the low of wave (A), which has just been settled in our Target Zone. Only after the corrective movement has concluded do we expect the transition into the green wave , which should lead the stock to new highs. A premature breakout above the $125.40 mark is possible in our alternative scenario, but it is only rated with a 33% probability.
Opening (IRA): PLTR May 16th 90 Covered Call... for a 76.56 debit.
Comments: After taking off my iron condor for a loss, structuring a covered call such that the max profit potential is greater than the loss experienced by the nondirectional of 13.11.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 76.56
Max Profit: 13.44
ROC at Max: 17.55%
Will generally look to roll out the short call out and/or down and out at intervals to increase profit potential and/or reduce downside break even ... .
PALANTiR PLTR: $26.00 | 6 months of Accumulation is over and now the sitting begins for the Digital Fortress of the US of A
should be a nice ride towards $100 only for those who got volume ..
--
this is the only stock i own...
unloaded UBER TWTTR at $30
unloaded FB at $30..
-
time to sit tighter
PLTR if it breaks trend it will be an interesting junctureIf PLTR breaks the trend will reach 45. But at that point it
1) Fills the gap of Nov 24
2) will be 2021 high
When a (strong) trendline is broken, the market will fall equal distance or more from the trendline as from the peak to the breakpoint. I have shown multiple example on Nasdaq from the past.
10D Chart shows Falling 3 , Pullback to 3/18!! $SPYAMEX:SPY shows 10D trend very clear. It is my hidden gem. We, by my charting, Should pullback until 3/18 ... not sure how far but I have plenty of targets on the way down to my ultimate target at 5200... I think we could flush to $560.. Good Luck yall. Gems I tell ya... sorry I'm so bad at explaining things..
$SPY $SPX OLD CHART BAR PATTERN COVID CRASH NOW!!!!Holy crap.... I just came across an old chart and literally in the nick of timeI tell you. All I'm going to say is... I'm a pattern chart trader and this is the COVID bar pattern attached to our daily from like a year ago almost and I loaded up an old layout to do work and boom... here we are... Good LUCK ... Not sure what the trigger will be but we are here.
$QQQ Dead Cat to 10 WMA, then lower. Buy $496, Sell $514 What I see here is a double top on the weekly just like 2022. I can see our last 9 count in 2022 produced a 30% rally to the top. After the rally several months of sideways movement until we break trend. If we are Indeed Repeating the 2022 TOP. Then we have a harsh year ahead of us. As I said in previous posts, we should close February at the low of January. I have KRE falling out next week so I'm skeptical about what's going on. We've got DOGE checks and what not, who knows. I'm extremely bearish and I do believe we will bounce into a rejection this next week, then fall even further the week of 3/14. I will update day by day. For now, $496 will be my Buy. and $514 will be the Sell. Take Care Yall.
PLTR market favourite- price prediction based on VP $45Everybody loves PLTR and wants a bite of it. I dont love any stocks. I only love market profile tool which keeps me sane. Good news is, you maybe able to buy PLTR at 45. No, this is not me saying, I am just an interpreter of Volume profile. Act at your own risk
PALANTIR: It's a buy but don't expect a rally any time soon.Palantir is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.509, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 35.869) as it's trading under the 1D MA50. The long term pattern is a Channel Up that gives a strong buy signal every time it hits its 1D MA100. As a matter of fact, the February 19th High has been a HH for the pattern and last time the price hit that top (July 31st 2023), it entered a lengthy Accumulation period. As in today, the 1D RSI was again on a similar Bearish Divergence. Consequently we believe that every 1D MA100 test is a buy opportunity, but the breakout rally will probably take another 4-5 months to happen. Aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 200.00).
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The Palantir of tradingA Palantir, if you did not know, is otherwise known as a crystal ball; a seeing stone. It was what Saruman used in Lord of the Rings to "see" and that ultimately led to his corruption by Sauron. I've seen this stock corrupt the career of aspiring traders...
I was asked my advice on Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR . I don't like to give "advice" on what for other traders to do... but I will say what I have done, what I am doing, and tell you a story that hopefully help traders be better.
I bought PLTR at an average price of about $9/share. Great! Not really, it was July 2022, and I bagheld all the way down to $6: a -33% unrealized loss over about a year of time. But what I had done was only purchased 200 shares. My position was relatively small; it didn't bother me. I slept just fine.
I was encouraged to buy PLTR by a good trading buddy. We would talk and trade every day for years since the pandemic. He was super bullish on this stock and I really bought it and held it in solidarity with my friend.
Then in May 2023 the stock finally took off. I had my shares and my friend traded PLTR options. However, they were short duration options. In the May - August rally he multiplied his account many times. More money than he had ever had in his young life. Things were going great. He was finally RIGHT! But then...
The stock stopped moving. Unfortunately, my friend had taken his success and tried to repeat it. Options need movement. PLTR did not move enough. He lost it all. He left our group and quit trading altogether...
...just before the August 2024 rally.
If you like the company, OWN THE SHARES
Since the pandemic I have tried my best to educate traders that the short term, gambler's mentality inherent in options is a path to disaster for the vast majority of traders. Patience. It's hard but it pays.
I still have my shares. They are up big. They are pulling back, sure. But I don't care. I was small, I have a very low buy price, and I can just wait.
Now that PLTR has moved though... inevitably people want it. Since the start of the year I've been asked repeatedly about buying it. What I tell people is that any tech or volatile stock like this WILL have AT LEAST a -50% (usually more) pullback. Be patient. I do not get interested until that happens. Even then it still may get even cheaper.
Be patient.
Trade wisely.