$PLTR Potential Movement (11/11/24)What a week for $PLTR! There’s a new heavyweight in the game, and they’re here to stay. With no clear resistance in sight, let’s turn our focus to the key support zones:
We’ve got a higher high and break of structure at $58.28, the closest to the current price, followed by another at $56.24, and a higher low at $53.91.
Keep these levels on your radar—any bounce here could fuel another strong run!
As always, stay disciplined and lock in those profits!
David
Diz-Plin Trading
PLTR
PALANTIR: Extremely overbought. High probability sell to $40.Palantir is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 79.771, MACD = 3.330, ADX = 33.075), even the 1W RSI is on extreme levels (80.789) and that alone would be a good enough reason to sell. The picture gets even clearer on the 1W timeframe where the price has almost reached the top of the 2 year Channel Up, having completed a +241.84% rise from the January 2nd 2024 bottom and almost +172.53% rise from the August 5th bottom. Those are the symmetrical rally levels from the December 27th 2022 and May 1st 2023 Lows respectively. The result on that HH rejection was a test of the 0.382 Fibonacci level. That is our target (TP = 40.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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PLTR Back to ATHsBounced off the .382 fib retracement with only ATH remaining. Lots of bullish momentum and TA has been smooth as well. Possible S&P 500 inclusion in September could also be driving price action from "smart money."
Flow into calls has been increasing with a few big orders above ATH have been spotted
Can a Crystal Ball Really Predict the Future of Tech?In an era where artificial intelligence promises to reshape the technological landscape, Palantir Technologies has emerged as a testament to the power of long-term vision meeting present opportunity. The company's remarkable third-quarter performance, marked by a 30% revenue surge to $725.5 million and doubled net income, isn't merely a financial triumph—it's a validation of two decades spent perfecting the art of data analytics while others were still grappling with its fundamentals.
What sets this trajectory apart is Palantir's unique ability to bridge two seemingly disparate worlds. On one side, its deep-rooted expertise in government and defense contracts, evidenced by a 40% growth in U.S. government sales to $320 million, demonstrates unparalleled capability in handling sensitive, mission-critical data. On the other, its commercial division's explosive growth, particularly in the U.S. market with a 54% revenue increase, reveals an organization that has successfully translated complex government-grade technology into practical business solutions.
The company's strategic positioning, however, tells a more intriguing story beyond the numbers. While competitors scramble to adapt to the AI revolution, Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) represents the culmination of years spent understanding the nuances of data integration and security. This foundation, combined with innovative approaches like their hands-on "boot camps" where clients work directly with Palantir engineers, suggests that perhaps the company named after Tolkien's all-seeing orbs has indeed developed a knack for anticipating the future of enterprise technology.
PLTR: Explosive Move! New ATH After Earnings Report.Daily Chart (Left)
Explosive Move: The price surged more than 20% following a strong earnings release, indicating high investor interest and strong buying momentum.
New Support at $45: The $45 level, previously acting as resistance, now serves as a potential support according to the principle of polarity. Monitoring this level is crucial for any pullbacks or consolidations. Therefore, even if we see PLTR losing momentum, any pullback to the $45 won't ruin the uptrend.
Strong Uptrend: The moving average (21 EMA) supports the ongoing bullish trend, with the price well above it.
Weekly Chart (Right)
All-Time High Breakout: The price has broken past its previous all-time high, confirming strong bullish momentum on a larger time frame.
Sustained Upward Trend: The consistent uptrend since mid-2023 continues with increasing strength, supported by a steep rise in the weekly 21 EMA.
Trading Implications:
PLTR is currently experiencing strong bullish momentum, marked by an impressive breakout following earnings. The $45 level is crucial to watch for potential support on pullbacks. The trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above the 21 EMA and the support level holds.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
Clear Winner in Enterprise AI | Over $45, We're Long to $70NYSE:PLTR
Palantir has proven they are the clear leader in enterprise AI. This company has a massive runway. 30% year-over-year growth, 38% margin, Rule of 40 score of 68.
Think $NASDAQ:NVDA.
Our entries are stacked down at $7-$10. However, there is a bullish trade here above $45 to trade to our next long-term target of $70. To play it safe, we will be taking some profit mid-$60s while holding the majority of our position long-term. We expect this to be a $10 trillion dollar company.
Ove $45, We Going Long to $70NYSE:PLTR
Palantir has proven they are the clear leader in enterprise AI. This company has a massive runway. 30% year-over-year growth, 38% margin, Rule of 40 score of 68.
Think $NASDAQ:NVDA.
Our entries are stacked down at $7-$10. However, there is a bullish trade here above $45 to trade to our next long-term target of $70. To play it safe, we will be taking some profit mid-$60s while holding the majority of our position long-term. We expect this to be a $10 trillion dollar company.
$PLTR might go up to $57 after Q3 FY24 Earnings report?
NYSE:PLTR Palantir soared over 14.2% after Q3 FY24 earnings report:
• Net dollar retention 118% (+11pp Y/Y).
• Customers +39% Y/Y to 629.
• Revenue +30% Y/Y to 726M (22M beat).
• Non-GAAP EPS $0.10 ($0.01 beat)
. FY24 guidance:
• Revenue +26% Y/Y to 2.807B (+61M).
• Adjusted margin 38% (+3pp).
It will probably break above the resistance of previous high today.
But where will the price rise to?
To answer this question, we make comparisons with previous gap up candles which has broken above an important resistance level.
In Feb 05, it soared over 30% after Q3 FY23 earnings reports, and after that, it went up for another 25%.
In Sep 09, NYSE:PLTR soars over 14% toward record highs as the stock is set to be added to the S&P 500. And after that, it has risen for another 30%.
Therefore, it might go up to 57 if it break above the resistance of previous high today, according to similar historical price actions.
what's your opinion?
PLTR Palantir Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PLTR before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLTR Palantir Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
PLTR: Taking a fresh look. More bullish than before!PLTR chart has been bullish for a while and the recent price action looks very much like a wave 3 of some degree. This made me rethink my previous count that I was tracking as an expanding ending diagonal for wave 5 of c of various degrees of wave 5s to complete intermediate wave 1. But that started to look a bit unrealistic. Wave 5 was getting bigger than the 2x extension of waves 1 and 2.
Taking a second look to terminate intermediate wave 1 at the March high. This gives us a very short and shallow intermediate wave 2 correction ending in May. This makes the rest of the price action pretty bullish, even though the minute degree wave 2 of Minor degree wave 1 came in very deep. Let's ignore that situation, as it was very quick correction, and price has moved very quickly and very far without any major dips since. And if this bullish count is correct, then price should not come down to orange line $33.13 until minute degree waves 3, 4 and 5 are complete. Price should hit a few all-time highs to around $60 area before we see a sizable dip. However, that dip should not violate the red line at $20.65. If all goes well, the huge wave 3 of 3 will start that should take the price to the moon.
This count is wrong if price goes below $33.13 before the 5-wave minute degree sequence is complete. I will go back to my previous, now somewhat awkward looking count to end intermediate 1 brace for a much bigger wave 2.
I CALLED THE $PLTR TOP! Down 8% since. Here's where we are goingNYSE:PLTR
CALLED THE NYSE:PLTR TOP AS WELL! Down -8% since. Here's where we are going
The thesis explained below:
1.) Williams R% had a down slop if you drew a line from the 01JUL2024 top to the most recent 21OCT2024 top. It hit this top 4 times since the first one and everyone was lower indicating resistance and lower tops.
2.) You have a Multi-year CUP on the weekly without a handle formed. We need to form that handle before we go higher that coupled with valuation and the stock price getting ahead of the company's numbers is another reason that plays into this.
3.) The handle would be a perfect little handle with a Volume profile gap fill down to the next volume shelf at $36.50-$37.50.
4.) RSI was in overbought area and finding multiple tops with resistance. Also, it was hitting and rejecting off the same top as previous ATH's back in Jan2021.
5.) Double top on the stochastic and red through yellow downward.
6.) Just shows the date I called it out which was Sunday. Also, time stamped on my repost here. 😁
Thanks for reading! I hope you enjoyed my reanalysis of a thus far predicted pullback. It may not hit my target but that's not the point. The point is being able to realize when something is lining up to turn against you or turn with you to the upside. Also, to realize the fakeouts in the market like what I believe the pullback is on the NASDAQ:QQQ which I made an in depth video going into depth about just like this one. It's pinned on my profile if you haven't seen it yet.
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Palantir ($PLTR) IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK! 5 RY:NYSE:PLTR IT MIGHT FINALLY BE TIME FOR A PULLBACK!
Retail investors don't hate me for this. I'm a shareholder, too! DIP BUY INBOUND?!
5 REASONS WHY:
1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart
2⃣ We have Volume Profile Gap Down
3⃣ It's a TRIM according to my Valuation Metric Tool (0/6 score)
4⃣ Top 5 gainer in AMEX:SPY
5⃣ Have a SIP and find out by watching. 👇
Stay tuned for more!🔔
Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂
Will Palantir finally have a pullback? What price would you like to load up on more shares?
Not financial advice.
Palantir Validated a Liquidity Zone, Whats Next? If you saw my previous structural analysis, I had mentioned that Palantir was going to hit an institutional liquidity zone, and for the first time in several years, using common sense, the price was going to face rejection.
And that’s exactly what happened...
The price hit my point of interest and dropped for 3 days. However, the last candle with which we closed the week was green and had enough volume.
Why is this? If we can see 2 candles before the close, we can detect a trap that created a long wick downward, preventing the price from falling further. That’s the detail we're seeing before the week’s close—the last candle was bullish. We also can’t ignore that Palantir is only about 2 weeks away from its earnings report.
So, I don’t think the price will make a decisive move just yet, and even if it falls further, it would likely be around 38.50. However, the earnings strategy that traders are waiting for, where Palantir accumulates and begins to rise, is very close. So, we need to be very alert as we approach its earnings report on November 4th.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Palantir at a Critical Turning Point – Big Moves on the HorizonAlright, here’s the deal with PLTR. I’ve been keeping a close eye on it, and right now, it feels like we’re standing at a fork in the trail—one direction leads to a nice payday, the other to a bit of backtracking. The next couple of moves will tell us which way we’re headed.
We’re hovering around 42.75 right now, and if we can break above that with some force, 43.91 is my first target—good spot to lock in some profits. But here’s the thing: if we can clear 44, that’s where the real fun begins. That’s the confirmation we’re looking for, and from there, I think this could open up a much bigger move.
On the other hand, if 41.65 doesn’t hold, things could get a bit rocky. I’ll be looking for price to drift down into the 41.28 - 41.00 range. Not ideal, but hey, markets don’t move in straight lines. That’s where I’ll watch for buyers to step back in and give us another shot at the upside.
The key here is patience. If we get the breakout, I’m ready to ride the wave. If we pull back, no sweat—I’m not in the business of chasing trades. You gotta play this game cool, stick to the levels, and wait for the setup to come to you. No need to rush it.
It’s kind of like hiking. Sometimes the first path up the hill looks tempting, but the trail turns steep, and you gotta fall back to find a better route. But when you do find that clean path—man, the view is worth the wait. That’s exactly what this trade feels like. If we clear 44, we’ve got some clear skies ahead, and I’ll be ready for the ride. But if not, I’m content to step back and wait for the next chance to make my move.
Let’s see where this takes us—either way, it’s gonna be an interesting climb.
Mindbloome trader
ANALIZING PALANTIR ITS JUST COMMON SENSE... BUT BE VERY CAREFULLLet’s welcome Palantir (PLTR) into the weekend analysis!
As we can see in the chart, today I wanted to do general structure analysis not too specific, as we are practically touching the highest level again in nearly 4 years.
Congratulations to all who bought at $12–16 per share and are still holding Palantir, but as I show in the chart, from point A to point B, it took almost 4 years to reach these levels again.
But here’s my question: WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOU BOUGHT AROUND $40 IN 2021?
I’d love to know, as this situation can greatly influence each person’s psychology when making a fundamental decision in trading.
(LEAVE YOUR OPINION IN THE COMMENTS)
I want you to know that I don’t just focus on price analysis. I also study company valuation. Based on a fundamental analysis of its balance sheet and recent moves by PLTR, I’ve concluded that Palantir is currently 171% above its intrinsic value.
In my personal opinion, my decision leans more toward common sense…
What do I mean?
1. Palantir is 171% overvalued.
2. Palantir is diluting its investors like crazy! In every quarterly report.
Do you know what dilution is?
Stock dilution can be harmful to shareholders because the value of each share is reduced, even though the investor holds the same number of shares. This is because the total value of the company doesn’t increase proportionally with the number of shares.
Palantir is an excellent company, although it’s a bit complicated to understand what they do and how they make money. But in my personal opinion, a company that dilutes its investors is nothing but a red flag to me—and a big red flag—because I call this the silent killer for investors.
At this point, PLTR is more on the hype side!
If Palantir reports well in November, we could see the stock above $50 per share, BUT if Palantir reports anything that doesn’t meet investor expectations, any data that falls short… Buckle up!
But how much could it fall? The truth is, I don’t know. But if we base it on technical analysis, I have an important inflection point (purple zone) where I expect the price to bounce after a sharp drop. BUT CAUTION! Only if Palantir doesn’t meet expectations.
An inflection point in trading refers to a critical moment on a price chart where the trend or price direction is expected to change. It marks the transition from one phase of price movement to another, often signaling a turning point in market sentiment or momentum. Traders pay close attention to inflection points as they may indicate a radical trend shift.
Traders use these points to adjust their strategies, such as entering or exiting positions, to capitalize on the expected change in price direction.
BUT WHAT WILL REALLY HAPPEN? I don’t know, maybe this time it will be different—who knows? But the only thing I can tell you is that numbers don’t lie, and neither does price action.
So, I hope the decision you make is the right one!
Thank you for supporting this analysis.
Sending you my best regards!
PLTR: Watch out for these turning points! (D&W charts)PLTR broke through the resistance at $38 that we warned about in our last study, triggering another bullish continuation pattern. It has also broken through an important resistance on the weekly chart, which further reinforces the bullish bias.
Now we have to update the main turning points to keep an eye on over the next few days. The link to our previous study is below this post, as usual.
Daily Chart (Left):
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price structure on the daily chart shows a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting strong bullish momentum. This pattern indicates that buyers are stepping in at higher levels after each retracement, maintaining the trend.
Support Levels: Immediate support is found around $38.30, which aligns with a previous minor resistance zone that was broken and turned into support. Below that, $36.05 remains a significant support level, as it is near tthe 21-day EMA, making this a double support area. PLTR needs to lose this key point in order to reverse the mid-term trend and trigger a sharper correction in the weekly chart. PLTR would need to lose the double support level seen on the daily chart is order to trigger a pullback.
Gap at $31.04 (D) + 21-Week EMA: These two key points would act as targetts if a sharper correction materializes. The gap at $31.04 seen on the daily chart could work as a magnet, attracting the price to lower levels, while the 21-week EMA is another reliable support level on the weekly chart.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Ascending Channel: PLTR has been trading within an ascending channel since mid-2023, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. The price broke the upper boundary of this channel, indicating a potential acceleration of the bullish momentum towards its next target.
All-Time High Target: The all-time high for PLTR is around $45.00, and it is its next resistance level, meaning, it is our next target.
Conclusion:
PLTR’s bullish momentum is well-supported on both the daily and weekly charts. The price is maintaining a solid structure of higher highs and lows, with $36.05 acting as the nearest support and $41.00 as the immediate resistance. If the price manages to break through $41.00 convincingly, the all-time high at $45.00 could be tested. A sustained breakout above the ascending channel on the weekly chart would further confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Traders might consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above $41.00 or watching for a potential pullback to $36.05 as a safer entry point.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
PALANTIR Sell signal at the top of the 15-month Channel Up.Palantir (PLTR) gave us a solid buy signal 3 months ago (June 24, see chart below) as it respected the recurring bottom sequences within the 15-month Channel Up:
Right now the price has been consolidating after a direct hit at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI got overbought and started pulling-back on a standard Bearish Divergence, a formation which three time within this pattern turned-out to be a solid sell signal.
The dashed Channel Up gives us a short-term Target on its bottom, which is where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is trading at and is the short-term Support. That is our Target currently (Target 1 = 34.50).
If and only if, we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will open a new sell, as it will be a bearish break-out signal. In that case, we will target a potential near contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term Support and where the remarkable buy entries of August 05 and January 31 were provided (Target 2 = 29.50).
Keep in mind that the most optimal buy entry for the long-term (since May 2023) has been given by the 1D RSI and more specifically when it hits its Support Zone. We will continue to place buy long-term buys accordingly.
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PLTR signals reversal is close byPLTR gaps below upward trend line showing last few days as a false breakout with price exhaustion
horizontal support forms. Once PLTR breaks below this and holds, more selling to come
RSI pushes below SMA showing validation with the move.
Volume increasing on the gap also giving validation to the recent move down
We should start to see more weakness in the stock going forward for a little bit.
PLTR signals over boughtPLTR breaks above its upward trend signaling that it is over bought and poised for a possible reversal
When stock is trending upwards steadily, seeing it break above its upward trend is a sign of price exhaustion
when this occurs we usually a experience a reversal shortly after
sometimes stocks going really far into overbought zones before finally turning around.
We see the last 2 hours of trading, the stock started selling off when smart money was in control indicating that the stock was too expensive
Palantir Stock Set to Join S&P 500 Amid AI MomentumPalantir Technologies (NYSE: NYSE:PLTR ) has been at the forefront of discussions among bulls and bears alike. With its inclusion in the S&P 500, the company's strides in artificial intelligence (AI) are now drawing more attention than ever. On the one hand, bulls point to improved profitability and its AI potential, while bears remain skeptical about whether the company's revenue growth will reaccelerate to justify its valuation.
Palantir’s AI Expansion
Palantir’s data analytics software has long been integral to government operations, particularly in intelligence gathering, counterterrorism, and military missions. However, in 2023, Palantir set its sights on the commercial sector, aiming to use its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) to drive growth beyond government contracts.
The company's AIP is gaining traction. At its fifth AIP conference, over 100 organizations demonstrated their AI use cases, covering industries ranging from railroads to healthcare. Despite this momentum, some analysts express concerns over Palantir's high valuation, trading at 24 times 2025 estimated revenue. Bulls, however, see the potential of AI products to bring long-term growth, particularly with the company's recent defense contracts.
Palantir’s success in AI also extends to government projects. The extension of its Project Maven contract by the U.S. Army brings in about $90 million annually, and the Department of Defense's AI office awarded Palantir a five-year contract worth $480 million. Additionally, Palantir’s $178 million contract for Project TITAN showcases its role in the future of battlefield AI.
The company’s fundamentals remain strong, despite a deceleration in revenue growth. In 2023, Palantir grew its revenue by 17% year-over-year to $2.23 billion. The company generates around 60% of its revenue from government agencies, but with the commercial AI push, this balance may shift over time. It remains to be seen whether Palantir can continue to capitalize on its AI expertise in both sectors.
Technical Outlook
On the technical front, Palantir stock has been on a tear in 2024, up 107% year-to-date. Over the past three months, NYSE:PLTR has formed a bullish reversal pattern, surging from its lows and gaining strong momentum as it approaches its S&P 500 inclusion on September 23. This event is expected to further drive institutional interest in the stock as mutual funds and large investors will be required to hold shares.
Palantir’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 72, indicating that the stock is in overbought territory. Despite this, the stock's bullish momentum shows no signs of stopping. On the daily price chart, a bullish harami pattern has emerged, signaling potential continuation of the uptrend.
The next key resistance level is set at $42, a target that aligns with the highs from June 2021. If Palantir can break through this resistance, the stock could set new all-time highs. However, with the RSI in overbought territory, a short-term pullback is also possible as investors take profits.
Palantir’s Accumulation/Distribution Rating of A reflects strong institutional buying over the past 13 weeks, further bolstered by its Composite Rating of 99 out of 99, signifying its overall strength in the market.
Conclusion
With Palantir set to join the S&P 500 and its AI ambitions expanding, the stock presents a compelling case for long-term investors. While valuation concerns linger, Palantir’s government contracts and AI-driven commercial growth provide a foundation for further upside. Technically, the stock is in a bullish reversal with momentum pushing towards a $42 target. However, investors should keep an eye on the overbought RSI and be prepared for possible short-term corrections.
Palantir remains a stock to watch, blending AI innovation with solid government partnerships to maintain its place as a leader in both sectors.
PLTR trades on the high end of its rangePLTR shows the recent rally could be reversing soon
Currently trades high within its range
If stock breaks above its upward trend that would be a great time to get out
Volume consistently decreases as price increases, this create disagreement in the trend
RSI also shows divergence by declining as the price increases
We should expect PLTR to sell back down to lower point staying within its trading range to the low $30 range.
PLTR suffered a false breakout abovePLTR had a false breakout before moving back into congestion zone and breaking below its internal upward trend
False breakout leading to pullback into trading zone
broke through internal upward trend
low volume during this time indicates congestion.
Potentially looking at a pullback in time before more rallying continues
PLTR is certainly a great stock and recently getting into S&P 500 just adds to it.
SMCI to get back up to 1000$ ?SMCI has an awfully similar chart to PLTR, both of them hit all time highs, and then crashed. Smci is now at its all time lows and is going to stay there for a bit. PLTR on the other hand, did hit an all time high and also fell. But, it has recovered and is on track to hit all time highs again. I think that SMCI is going to trace the chart of PLTR and go back to around 1000$-900$. Both companies had a big boom and at the top, were overvalued, and came crashing down. NVDA might be experiencing the same.