FX:NZDCAD AS WE ENTER THE LAST WEEK OF THE MONTH WE'VE SEEN BULLISH ACTION ACROSS NZD AND AUD BASED PAIRS POSSIBLE CONTINUATION WHILE WE ALSO COULD SEE FUTHER DOWNSIDE PRESSURE IN OIL OR CAD ITSELF DUE TO THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY AND PRINTING OF $$$$. HOLD ONTO YOUR HORSES, IT'S ONLY MONDAY TRADERS! CHEERS JOIN US IN THE TELEGRAM ANALYSIS GROUP WHILE ITS...
Read my annotations and don't gt tricked by the sneaky banks who are best friends with the media. It's all a big mafia. Trading was opened up to the public for one reason only... so they can steal your money!! Trade like the institutions, if you basically do the opposite of what everyone on MyFxbook does you will probably become profitable haha.. They need you...
With US away from their desks today we will get a dull session and the relentless loonie bid will grind us back towards the 1.3275x area. It is a good value level to re-engage with shorts and here looking to add ahead shorts there ahead of local CPI on Wednesday. The MT and LT outlooks for Canada are very good in my books; A bullish USD view on risk via...
An interesting addition to the Oil dynamics with OPEC cuts coming in March clashing with risk-off flows via coronavirus spillovers and everything else in-between. There is a lot going on; highly recommend tracking the retrace leg in Oil for this one it is really going to act as the main driver for us to lean on over the coming sessions. We can track accurately the...
Highlights overnight going to AUD with overshoots in the U-rate as expected. This number is going to trigger the RBA surprise hold that we have been tracking in this diagram: Large hands spotted on the AUD bid last ear and will continue to do so as a lot more unwinding of positions needs to take place from those betting on FURTHER rate cuts. Tracking 0.692x...
Interesting price action in USDCAD after another round of soft data from Canada. Poloz has a lot of work to do tonight if BoC are to move as rate markets are materially underpriced, especially on the front end. Expecting a dovish ‘fireside’ with early signs of encouraging demand above 1.30 this morning. Starting to cover shorts after the break through 1.304x has...
In today’s market insights video recording I talk about markets’ muted reaction to the impeachment hearings and focus on the assets that moved! USDCAD was bid on a hawkish Poloz as he lowered down markets' expectations of a Dec rate cut. Loonie was also supported by OPEC+ likely production cut extension. While at it, I also analyse EURUSD despite it ended the...
Traders sold the Aussie like no tomorrow when the minutes of RBA's meeting indicated members expected another rate cut in November. We are worried about Australia's major trading partners ' economic slowdown; contraction in housing construction activity; outlook for consumption; wage growth; inflation; and domestic growth. Ultimately, the latest papers point out...
CAD is bound to lose some of its previous gains in the coming trading days. Governor Poloz and BoC are wary of CAD strength while RBNZ retracted their previous bear tone. Technical set up points to some positive swaps and appreciating NZD going forward. Trade as follows: Buy: 0.90 Stop Loss: Below 0.89 Take Profit: 0.94 More details here: forex.today
USD has been increasing consistently over the Asian session. It's a aftermath effect as market digest more of Yellen's yesterday speech, plus there are some more US data coming up and is on average expected to be good. My statistical analysis shows that the data may not be as good as expected. Furthermore I think Governor Poloz's speech later in the day is a more...
I'm selling the USDCAD. CAD has been strong lately. Even though CAD got rough data on Friday, I still think the bias for USDCAD is to the downside. It's at the 50% fib level on the hourly chart and it's at a level of S/R. My concerns: Oil and the US Durable goods data coming out tomorrow. However, Durable Goods data has yet to exceed expectations this year....
The BOC interest rate decision is scheduled at the end of this week on Friday. Based on the market consensus, we’re not going to see any meaningful shift in terms of the BOC monetary policy outlook. The BOC is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate at the record low of 0.5%. The BOC is not anticipated to hike rates until 2018 while on the other side...