Gold hits record as Polymarket flips Fed callFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has warned that President Donald Trump’s tariff policy is likely to fuel higher inflation and slow economic growth.
Speaking at the Economic Club of Chicago on Wednesday, Powell said, “Markets are struggling with a lot of uncertainty, and that means volatility.” His comments were quickly reflected in the markets, with the Dow shedding 1.7%, the S&P 500 falling 2.3%, and the Nasdaq tumbling 3.4%. Meanwhile, gold extended its rally to a new record high of $3,337.
What may not be uncertain is the Fed’s next rate decision. According to Polymarket data, there's now an 89% chance the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady at its May meeting—up from 69% just a month ago.
Polymarket is also pricing the odds of Powell being replaced by Trump with a more servile director this year at 17% (which could likely send the odds of a rate cut in May shooting up).
Polymarket
UMA 4 year long triangle violent breakout incomingIf you ever wonder what drives violent upward movement of altcoins when they make 30-50% daily gains for many days over the course of many weeks, this chart for UMA is a perfect example.
The coin that has only dumped for over 4 years after the initial massive rally in 2021 is poised to repeat a similar path in 2025.
Large volumes of desperate sell volume were registered earlier this year and marked the bottom and switch to macro uptrend for UMA. FA analysts gave up on the coin that powers Polymarket (the undisputed leader of onchain betting) assuming it will never pump. They simply ignored the fact that TA is the king and when you are in a downward movement, not bullish news will change the price action.
However, when markets turn bullish and altseason comes, the projects with the strongest FA shine. Watch that triangle violently break out, Ripple style soon