Gearing Up
Good Day,
Hello Traders,
Since Sept 2021 till April 2022 Blue Star stayed in an Upward
Parallel Channel. After that the price wne t from 1211 to 856 (-28.64%).
See how beautifully it is following Fibonacci Levels as the rounding bottom is completed
Now the next targets lined up are 1381/ 1641.
Time Frame: Weekly
It also depends how market behaves, however the trend and the sentiment is
bullish.
Chart Self Explantory.
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is for educational purposes.
Please trade as per your risk and do consult with your financial advisor before taking any
trading decisions..
If you really like the analysis , please do comments, LIKE and Follow me.
Portfolio
Coming at attractive Levels to Buy
Good Day ,
Hello Traders,
Vinati Organics keeps on falling since the last 6 weeks.Weekly Low's had been made exactly at 1771.
It happened two times in the month of May and June 2022.
Value buying comes around 1771 or if it breaks that as well and goes till 1673 then accumulate for the future as its a good candidate for the future.
With 2 to 3 years horizon it can give you a good upside till 2800 to 3000 levels
Keep a Deep Stop Loss of 1314 on weekly basis.
Chart Self Explantory.
Disclaimer : I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is for educational purposes.
Please trade as per your risk and do consult with your financial advisor before taking any
trading decisions..
If you really like the analysis , please do comments, LIKE and Follow me.
putting together a cryptocurrency portfolioHELLO guys
I've make a cryptocurrency portfolio for two categories, if you are a risk taker get first portfolio and if you not choose another one.
always do your own research.
If you have any questions, you can write it in comments below, and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your like and comment.
We are looking at a range bound USDJPYFor now we are looking at an efficient market this means a rage is formed as buyers and sells have agreed on the current pricing of the USDJPY.
We are looking for the next risk factor that will have the market value USD higher than it does JPY.
To the Robinhood Trading Community this means:
For us we continue to look at the USDJPY with a bullish bias even if it drops the upward trend wont be broken here unless we move lower than the previous price the market agreed upon between 137.5 and 131.5.
We continue to distribute trades that have been on our books since June 2022 and we take profits on trades that have reached above and beyond our 625 pip TPs while using this time of market efficiency to load up on new bullish trades at the lows of the range.
Long on Manchester towards $15Good day, based on our technical analysis on NYSE:MANU and research of the fundamentals of the football club we are long on the Stock.
IMPORTANT TO NOTE!!!!!
MANU has it's earnings on 14 Sep 2022 . The estimated earnings is a negative -0.13. Based on the actual reported earnings and reaction on the earnings we will place entries accordingly on lower entries of the stock.
My personal Opinion:
- I personally believe based on a few indicators that in a economic recession and especially a depression that the crime rate and alcoholism rate will go up, more people will be unemployed and in turn start making more bets on sport related topics. I also believe that sponsors will dry up in the area.
- Lastly the company in my opinion is undervalued and I believe the club will be existing in the coming years.
Buy Limit: $12.70
Stop Loss: $11.70
Target: $15.25
RR: 3.45
Buy Limit 2: $11.85
Stop Loss: $10.85
Target: $15.25
Apple ChartGood day this s our NASDAQ:AAPL chart. After a strong 64 Day bull run we believe Apple is setting up for two potential moves dependant on how the tech stocks will respond to the economic data. Hence the reason for now the chart is neutral.
Probability1:
Long on NASDAQ:AAPL based on a break of all time high and a clear retest. Because of the 38.20% retracement on 13 June 2022
Option 2:
Buy at $160 in the channel.
Long on SnapGood day on today's stock pick we had a re-enter on NYSE:SNAP . We believe the company is currently undervalued and despite it's terrible earnings report, we still believe the company has a long term value and in worst case scenario to be bought over by NASDAQ:META with the attempt to expand their monopoly on the App space.
Position:
- Entry 1: $10.73
- Entry 2 (Buy Limit) : $9.75
- Entry 3 (Buy Limit) : $7.89
- SL: $9.25
- TP 1: $13.75
- TP 2 : $23
RR:
- 2.45
Reward:
- 0,30 %
- 31.4 PIP’s
- 3.01$
Risk:
- 0,20%
- 12.8PIP’s
- 1.53$
Confluence’s:
1. 3 consecutive bullish weekly candles
2. Weekly order-block on 16 March 2020
3. Low Intrinsic value
4. Clean 4h break and retest on order-block as above mentioned.
5. Huge gap to be filled between 21st and 22nd July 2022
Long On USDJPYGood day, I am long on FX:USDJPY ; because of the china and US news and as the news in Taiwan Develops, I believe the USD will strengthen against the JPY.
Position
Entry 1- $130.558
Entry 2- $130.472
SL- $130.306
TP- $131.750
RR
8.34
Risk
0.12%
15.6 P
$20
Reward
1.00%
120 P
$100
Confluences
Volume
Asian Killzone low
Supply & Demand
78.6% fibo
Weekly support Resistance
Geopolitical Risk Analysis - U.S DollarMajority of economists misjudged the US dollar valuation . The conventional consensus claimed that Quantitative easing (QE), or increasing the money supply, would depreciate the currency. However, It doesn't appear to be as straightforward as it portrays. Valuation of a currency is determined by multiple factors like, where the new money supply gets channelized, whether the economy is expanding in tandem with the new money supply, the comparative perception of the currency's stability & safety, the income & capital appreciation provided to those holding assets denominated in that currency, and, in the broader context, the government or institution issuing the currency's resilience, transparency, and adaptability.
Key traits of a stable global currency:
• Currency Standard - The currency is free to float in any and all international markets; it is not tied to any other currency.
• Global Market Transparency - which means that the market and governance systems are visible to everybody and are not vulnerable to overnight devaluations, confiscations, capital restraints, and other measures imposed by opaque governments.
• Diversely Allocated - The currency is allocated by broad economic segments and not rely on imports & exports to maintain its essential stability and strength. (eg: Venezuela Hyperinflation)
• Free Flow - The issuing country ensures ease of flow: capital, skills, and businesses enjoy basically unlimited freedom of movement within the jurisdiction of the issuing nation or entity.
• Stable FX Rates - The official exchange rate and the street or OTC exchange rate are almost equal.
• Store of wealth - Enough currency is issued to serve as a store of value and a medium of exchange worldwide.
Transparency and adaptation lead to systemic stability. The stability of a strict centrally planned economy is tenuous because it is a symptom of fragility and anxiety: fear that if the restraints are removed and markets are finally free to determine price, the entire system would eventually collapse. This takes us to the US dollar, with it's increasing purchasing power. using conventional methodology we can argue that this is attributable to the Federal Reserve raising interest rates and limiting money supply in order to fight inflation.
However, this emphasis on the domestic economy misses the fact that the Federal Reserve is also a global central bank. Many of the backstops and guarantees granted by the Fed to "rescue the world" during the 2008 Global Financial Meltdown went to non-U.S. institutions.
The money issued by a nation or organisation is the basis of worldwide influence and power. Currency standard and exchange rates set by government are indicators of systemic instability, indicating that the authorities are aware that the market will not place the intended value on the currency.
Markets, however, discover pricing independent of currency standard or authorized FX rates. Market participants value a currency that trades transparently on global marketplaces. This price-to-value is reliable. Currency standards and authoritative currency rates are untrustworthy because they can be modified overnight by opaque organizations.
Long on AliBaba I am long on NYSE:BABA ; because of technical reasons as well because Berkshire Hathaway is in a long position with 300 000 shares still long.
Trade Metrics :
- Position:
1 Aug 2022
Entry $88
SL $74
TP $135
-RR:
1:3.3
-Risk % / P / $:
1.5%
137 P
-12 $
-Reward % / P / $:
4,5%
461 P
-47 $
-Confluences:
88,60 FIB on monthly
Heavy Support zone
4 months of rejection on the block
78.6% on weekly
New investment for MondayTwitter investment idea:
Okay so last time I posted about this company was when Elon was taking over the company. We did get a big boost then and I was thinking of buying some shares once the price was back down a little bit and all of the hype was calming down a little.
When we have a look at the chart now we can see that the big sell of in the stock market that we got last week was the right thing that we needed for this company. At the moment we are in the 40 range and that is the range I was looking at in the beginning to start investing into it. We can see that the big gap we got from the news is fully closed back so we can start to see some normal volume coming into the company for the next weeks I hope.
I am going to see and wait for the NY opening on Monday to see what the stock price is going to do. Then after a few hours I will be adding this company to my portfolio. This is a long term investment portfolio so this is not a company I am buying to just make a quick buck. This is a company that I will be holding for at least 5 years. Once the price is good for the company then I will sell it. So if you are just looking to make a quick buck then I would suggest you to not invest into this company for now because there are way better companies that are going to have big growth in the coming months but not in the long run.
If you have any questions feel free to send me a message.
If you like the idea do not forget to give it a like and feel free so share your idea on this in the comments.
Everything you see on my profile is just for educational purposes only.
BTC Buy zone approaching, time to accumulate coins in portfolio.Fib zone hits previous high nicely at $12,238
At this price i expect to see price action bullish.
Could stay for a while waiting for buyers to be discouraged. Could take 3-4 years to blast ATH. But also could get there by x-mas.
This will be a good time to accumulate the crypto portfolio. I will buy more Eth and more small and mid cap coins.
2%BTC
10%ETH
85% these
DOT
Kusama
ENJ
MANA
SOL
CRO
ZRX
AAVE
Matic
Link
1 Inch
SAITAMA
ATARI
SUSHI
BNB
SBNB
FEG
SHIN (Shib Nitro)
GATS (Guerrilla Arts Token)
EMAX
BRAWNDO
SHIB
All in All Crypto investment still 20% of USDT.
An investor's perspective of Bitcoin v/s Gold
I am trying to answer questions of #bitcoins v/s #Gold debate from an #investor perspective. What if #Gold was currency used to buy #Bitcoin ? What will be the impact of a #Fifty50 #portfolio of #BTCXAU?
Feel free to #retwit #Like #share & #follow
#TradingView to the rescue. The #chartidea shows #BTCUSD represented in #XAUUSD terms. Allow me to "coin" the word #BTCXAU
To start with, some facts and important points on timeline
The chart shows this ratio in daily timeframe. On September 15, 2017 #BTCXAU made the first major break out from 2.50 oz of gold per bitcoin. After peaking on December 17, 2017 the ratio crashed back to 2.50 oz.
With intermediate peak in June/July 2019 at ~9.50 oz, it collapsed again to 2.50 oz. Eventually the big bitcoin moment came on March 13, 2020. #COVID19 brought #CryptoMarket rally which brought #BTCXAU to above 37 oz on April 14, 2021.
Putting this in perspective. If you invested in #BTC directly using your #USDollar you would have paid $5600 on March 13, 2020 v/s 3.68 oz of #Gold and if sold at the peak on April 14, 2021, you would have got $62,986 v/s 36.27 oz of #Gold.
That means, in #USD terms, you would have made 11.25 times your money and in #Gold terms, you would have made 9.86 times your money. So the #Delta of 14% represents the growth in #Gold.
Of course, if you were smart, informed and/or lucky enough to pick the bottom and top, #Bitcoin beat #Gold hands down.
However, the real fun started from the #Bitcoin #AllTimeHigh on November 10, 2021 at $69,000 which translated to 37.41 oz of #Gold.
As of today, June 6, 2022, #BTCUSD touched low of $20,079 or 11.11 oz of #Gold. So from that #ATH, it has dropped -71% in #Dollar terms but also -70% in #glitter terms, interestingly removing the delta it showed while going up.
So if you created a #Fifty50 portfolio of 1 #BTCUSD and 3.56 #XAUUSD on March 13, 2020 and sold off both on November 10, 2021, you would have made 562% return on the portfolio v/s 1113% in #BTCUSD alone or 22.89% in #XAUUSD alone.
Interestingly, if you invested in the same portfolio at the peak on November 10, 2021, today you will be -66% on #BTC alone v/s -33% on a combined portfolio v/s -1.5% on #XAUUSD #Gold alone
The lessons I take from this are very simple
#BTC likens growth stock providing high beta return and #Gold likens value stock providing store of value
I should be invested in both in varying proportions based on risk sentiment and market conditions
I should ignore all those promoting #Crypto as #digitalgold because #BTC is definitely not store of value
I should equally ignore all those promoting #Gold as ultimate investment / store of value etc etc because I wouldn't be making any money on that
Nothing can beat the classical portfolio investing thinking of a balanced portfolio with nice averaging
Rebalance your portfolio every quarter or month based on the market conditions
Trade, speculate, gamble but never invest in 2nd rated instruments in the given space like #altcoins in #CryptoSpace
I can never go broke taking profits. I only go broke for #Hodling. So never hesitate to sell to book profits or stopping further losses.
2022, the new 2018?2022 has so far left a bad taste in the mouth of many investors; the best international funds are for the most part negative, not to mention ETFs heavily exposed on the Nasdaq such as those of ARK Invest.
For this reason, having a portfolio that is not overexposed on certain assets is of vital importance.
This is why short-term speculations, led by Alibaba at a loss in my portfolio, are balanced by macro ETFs, short-term treasury ETFs, gold and commodities ETFs (for obvious reasons with great performances from the end of 2021).
The importance of diversification.
That's why, in the long run, apart from a few super solid companies like Apple and Amazon, I don't believe in heavy allocation to sector ETFs. Simply because they will hardly beat the indexes.
My year, for now, is slightly positive and I am 70% cash, because you have to be ready to enter, always with micro size, diluted over time.
We are facing 3 bad scenarios: the increase in rates by the FED and the European central bank, to counteract very high inflation (also pumped by the increase in raw materials), the coronavirus in China, with 20,000 cases per day, and a new lockdown that worries and last but not least, the war between Russia and Ukraine.
After a -10% from the high, the S&P 500 rebounded and then pulled back again. We have recently been accustomed to some pretty fast V shapes, perfect for those who have had the foresight to invest during the downturns and I really hope we can see new highs within this year.
Although, the similarities between 2022 and 2018 are starting to be evident.
Happy trading
Lazy Bull
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA . These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.
Bears Are Not Yet Done !!Weekly Time-frame
Still in a bearish picture. stock market are dropping so we can expect a bearish month if this continues.
1D Time-frame
It seems like in 1D TF we have a doji candle which is neutral candle close to bullish harami. Rejection area still waiting at the supply zone $43,800.
Demand zone waiting at $42,600
4H Time-frame
Double bottom forming and that would be a bullish sign until we hold the area of EMA 233. Once SXP drop then this too will break to the downside.
We have a drop base drop.
1H Time-frame
how to trade
BTC SHORT
entry $43856-$43747
SL 1-5% whole portfolio $48326
leverage 8x - 35x
2% portfolio only
TP 1 $43140
TP 2 $42692
TP 3 $42240
TP 4 $40400
TAYOR
DYOR
NFA
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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Disclaimer: Above Technical Analysis is pure educational information, not Investment Advice. The information provided on this post does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice and you should not treat any of the website's content as such. Do conduct your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
ATUL a long term Investment ideaAtul was initially given at 7000 for the target of 9K+. Further at 9K it was given for the target of 10K+ which were done and dusted.
Again Atul is looking good for Fresh Entry / Averaging / Compounding at CMP 8962. It has made a sort of double bottom and is looking good for the targets of : 9968 and 10971.
Stop Loss: 7500 for trading. Otherwise it is a long term Portfolio stock. It is a part of my personal Portfolio...
HOW NOT TO LOSS OUR DIGITAL ASSETS PART twoHow to make a suitable portfolio?
First of all, it should be noted that people who do not look at this market as a job and have come only for profit, do not involve more than 10 to 20% of their total capital in this market. In case of loss, their sentiment will not destroy their entire account and they will not have stress in dealing with different market conditions.
We must first divide digital assets into safe assets and low safety assets. Safety is considered here in terms of value preservation.
In Crypto, I consider BTC and ETH as safe assets. But certainly BTC's share of the portfolio is larger than ETH.
Now let's move on to how to manage a portfolio:
1. Out of 100% of our total account, we should allocate about 40 to 50% to safe assets. Because in the event of a market downturn, these assets perform better and retain their value better. Of course, you should buy these assets in the right place, not in any market conditions. Not on top.
2. You can allocate about 10 to 15% of your account to major Altcoins. Major Altcoins are those with a market cap of $ 2 billion to $ 3 billion. You can roughly count the top 50 coins in the coinmarketcup.com
3.You can allocate about 10% of your account to middle Altcoins. middle Altcoins are those with a market cap of $ 300 million to $ 2 billion.
4.You can allocate about 10% of your account to minor Altcoins. minor Altcoins are those with a market cap blow of $ 300 million. These coins have a high risk but also a higher probability of profit.
5.We keep about 10 to 20% of the account tether, to buy in more suitable places or use it for short-term trade.
Of course, in some situations, with changes in dominance and other things in mind, changes can be made to these percentages to work better, but this can be a major base in portfolio management.
I hope you have a good year. Merry Christmas
HOW NOT TO LOSS OUR DIGITAL ASSETS PART ONEThis is a tutorial post and is more suitable for investors and we are not talking about short-term traders.
Friends, the crypto market is not like the Forex market and the stock market. You have to work hard to keep digital assets in this
market because it is a wild market. Do not compare this market with other markets because this market is very volatile and shallow.
There are big players in this market. In this market, fluctuations of 30% are normal.
The crypto market gives you Fiat money, but it takes away your digital assets, and if you do not manage your portfolio, you lose your bitcoins.If you measure your assets based on bitcoins, with the manipulations you do, with the BUY in top and sales in bottom, your bitcoins will be at least halved, maybe $ 5X profit, but in the end you see your BTC are halved and you no longer know what to do.
BTC never gives you the opportunity to buy in the right place. It breaks the support you are looking for or it does not reach you and leaves you and you can not buy it.Try to buy bitcoin by accumulation and distribution method, select the appropriate range to buy and enter in several steps, and do not wait for the top to sell and sell in several steps.
Technical and fundamental analysis are good, but the most important part of investing is capital management, portfolio management and emotion management.
Try to understand the nature of this market and be patient. Patience is very important in this market.
In the next post, I will provide you with a suitable portfolio management method. I hope it is useful for you