DRREDDY - Another Gem on my RadarI have also talked about this stock in my previous post, and since then this stock has been trading in a small range near its all-time highs.
The reason I am interested in this stock is that every time it came to the lower end of the range, it bounces decisively, though whenever it reaches its upper range, it falls with low momentum and usually forms indecisive candles.
Even today it bounced well and it might open gap up tomorrow, and if it opens above the range, it might move fast towards its all-time high i.e. 5512 and beyond.
Positional
SRTRANSFINSl-1260
Currently in accumulating zone with good no. of volumes.
So folks feel free to DM or comment.
GBP AUD - target 2.00+Hello Traders and Analysts,
A Note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon our trading strategy. This is tagged long, due to purchasing further increments upon imbalances.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities.
The previous analysis
Master Key for zones
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Red = 4 Days
Yellow = 16 Hours
Orange = Daily
Dark Green = 8 Hour
Grey = 4hour
Pink = 1 hour
Original analysis process.
Below is an explanation of the imbalance/inefficiency zones based upon the original analysis view.
1. Zone 1: - 1.72 - 1.75
we will be looking at a test of the order block, movement away to keep shorts flowing to keep the imbalance moving towards the zone of a 1.72 redistribution, liquidity to show bears further short options before the lows.
From here we will expect a spring and a test of said springs.
A rejection will occur and then see accumulation phase of price hitting the target on the AUD USD with bullish Aussie.
2. Exactly the same but making further gains moving down to 1.67-1.60 which will be the development.
We volume will be a key indicator here to see the set up of the buy/sell swaps.
Moving to now...
Monthly imbalances:
Pretty simple breakdown from a monthly perspective, where GBP maxed out in March 2020 and began the sellers imbalance to reach lows of 1.742 as previously stated above.
From a buying retrace imbalance - the targets are set at the 1.87 mark and 1.93 the next target. From a positional buy into 2022 if the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement permits the target and holds above, then extension of 2.0X will be looked towards.
Weekly imbalance
While the GBP and Aussie is trading within a defined range - adding more positions on the range lows are pivotal here to maintain the long position.
The weekly position now is clear with the daily candle to close within the Weekly, the probability to continue the rally base rally is evident.
The movement since:
Closely correlated pairs
GBP NZD and EUR AUD weekly chart and monthly chart respectively using correlation and imbalances.
Correlation of GBP AUD vs AUD USD
Imbalance spotting is important to note on one pair like GBP AUD, however the web behind the imbalance is just as important to keep in mind when looking for imbalance trades as pairs are called pairs for a reason.
Looking into two variables where correlation is either Perfect positive correlation +1, 0 or Perfect negative correlation -1 i in simple Lehman's terms.
AUD is coming from a monthly imbalance meanwhile GBP AUD will turn positive where price is coming from a monthly buy imbalance.
Comparing the GBP AUD to the AUD USD - using a monthly correlation grid.
The current at time of analysing is -79.7% negatively correlated. This has been due to the weak USD in play and the positive correlation against the SPX500 and the USD associated with the index. XAU is also a factor here whereby XAU a hedge against inflation and a propulsion for the Aussie to provide further additional strength.
Here is the graphical scale below:
Where by the inverse of the AUD from 0.80 and a low of GBP AUD to 1.768XX, the opportunity arises for short positions and respective longs for the GBP.
The DXY is pivotal
DXY to see the imbalance reverse upon the devaluation of the USD where the FED has created an abundance of credit which has financed the citizens essentially to 'stay put' in cases whereby specific industry sectors within the US are rendered 'useless' until the hospitality and entertainment, aviation can all be kick started again.
Below are the pivotal monthly imbalances on the chart which are hard to not notice. The Monthly imbalances clearly indicate where the profit targets for the DXY are as price has clearly rejected.
Use this monthly imbalance analysis to help trade in a higher time frame.
SPX vs AUD USD
with an importance note of GBP AUD.
The correlation of the SPX and the Aussie is a positive correlation when the SPX is bullish , this allows the AUD USD to remain bullish . With respect for USD purposes where the SPX becomes bearish from an imbalance or has a trend breather, the correlation becomes a sell imbalance for the SPX and AUD based upon the USD having the fundamental safe haven positional stance for investors.
Pre-march
Current scenario:
since the lowest point - where the monthly imbalance had hit the march low.
Using Yields and the Volatility index to provide further evidence.
Be aware of the Yields of the US05 - US20 Year, this can impact the SPX growth and AUD Bullish correlation.
Here are the weekly timeframes to support:
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Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
Position and swing trades
Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress.
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To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
Thanks,
LVPA MMXXI
DLF ::: BULLISHL O N G T E R M S I P T R A D E
DATE: 20 MAY 2021
INSTRUMENT: DLF
TREND: BUY
TIME FRAME: DAY
CMP: 268.40
BUY ABOVE: 263.20 - 264.30
STOP LOSS: 250
TGT 01: 273
TGT 02: 285
TGT 03: 291
TGT 04: 292
TGT 05: 301
TGT 06: 306
DISCLAIMER:
We are not S E B I registered analysts. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are not responsible for your profits/losses whatsoever.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
GODREJCP ::: BULLISHL O N G T E R M S I P T R A D E
DATE: 20 MAY 2021
INSTRUMENT: GODREJCP
TREND: BUY
TIME FRAME: DAY
CMP: 268.40
BUY ABOVE: 810 - 812
STOP LOSS: 800
TGT 01: 846
TGT 02: 857
DISCLAIMER:
We are not S E B I registered analysts. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing. We are not responsible for your profits/losses whatsoever.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
Canara Bank (Canbk) Swing/Positional Trendline breakoutHi look at the chart, got good volume and gave breakout.
The stock tried to break the 120 levels many times, but finally it broke the resistance and made it support.
Now see the stock, it gave trendline breakout with good volume and if tomorrow it sustains above 163 then we can expect a very good move.
Always maintain your risk reward.
you can place your stop loss below the support zone 148 for safe players.
Thank you.
Whirlpool - at Solid SupportAfter Delta Corp, another stock that came on my radar is Whirlpool India, the reason being :
1. Stock trading at strong support.
2. Positive price action near the Support area.
3. Rise in Volume.
4. RSI continuous support at 40.
Now if the stock sustains 2000 levels, it might test 2300 initially, and also its recent highs around 2800 levels.
Trade type : support trade, positional
GUJARAT SIDHEE CEMENT:Cement sector stock-6Sl-29
Stocks for the week-4
Hello everyone, this week we are going to invest in many different sectors.
One of which is CEMENT SECTOR(from infrastructure sector).
I will be posting best stocks of cement sector and the % allocation that stock should take in your portfolio.
STOCKS ALLOCATIONS
Stock 1: AMBUJA CEMENTS LTD 25%
Stock 2: ACC LTD 15%
Stock 3: INDIA CEMENTS 15%
Stock 4: JK LAKSHMI CEMENT 15%
Stock 5: SANGHI INDUSTRIES 10%
Stock 6: GUJARAT SIDHEE CEM 15%
Stock 7: BURNPUR CEMENT LTD 5% (penny stock)
So folks feel free to DM or comment.