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SPX 500 - where are we now?G'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Three, Four Day Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Daily Chart Weekly Monthly Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 6+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
OANDA:SPX500USD
by LupaCapital
IRDM : POSITION TRADEIridium Communications: A Great Company At A Fair Price NASDAQ:IRDM - Iridium Communications has done really well in recent months between landing another large contract and increasing financial guidance. - This has sent shares roaring higher, but this has a downside to it as well. - The stock seems to be more or less fairly valued at this time, even though the firm remains excellent for long-term investors seeking stability. ...As revenue has risen, profitability has also increased. Net income of $4.6 million in the latest quarter was higher than the $3.8 million reported the same time one year earlier. Operating cash flow in the latest quarter came in at $99.8 million. That's 32.7% above the $75.2 million generated just one year earlier. Meanwhile, EBITDA for the company expanded from $94.8 million in the second quarter of 2021 to $105.9 million the same time this year. Naturally, this strong bottom line performance has had a positive impact on the company's results for the first half of the year as a whole. Due to how things are turning out so far this year, the management team at Iridium Communications decided recently to increase their guidance for the current fiscal year. Read more on: seekingalpha.com Daniel Jones, Seeking Alpha, Aug. 02, 2022 11:15 PM ET
NASDAQ:IRDMLong
by TradingMavericks
CCJ : BASE 0 DURATION / POSITION TRADECameco (NYSE:CCJ) released a strong print ahead of market open, and followed up with a strong call, as the market leader points towards a narrowing supply/demand gap and increased willingness for utilities to contract at higher prices: CATALYSTS : McArthur River - CEO Gitzel indicated that there's no change to the Company's strategy of pre-selling future production; there's a home for the additional supply from McArthur's restart, and they will not be growing production to build inventory or sell into an oversupplied spot market. Contracting - the company added 40m lbs to the contract book in the first month of 2022, as the fundamental backdrop for demand improved; additionally, the pandemic and depletion in Kazakhstan has brought security of supply challenges for customers; "contracting begets contracting" and Cameco expects continued opportunities to lock in favorable, long-term contracts throughout 2022. Sprott - The emergence of a "financial market" buyer in late 2021, namely Sprott (OTCPK:SRUUF) soaked up a lot of spot-market supply and pushed up spot prices; however, spot buying also removed customer complacency and pushed longer-term contract prices higher. Kazakhstan - both trade policy concerns and instability in Kazakhstan have focused buyers on the origin of supply and helped Cameco take market share. Having struggled with an oversupplied market since Fukushima, it appears the uranium market is finally coming around for low-cost, long-lived producers in secure jurisdictions, like Cameco. With favorable policy likely to come out of the European Taxonomy proposals, the sector (NYSEARCA:URA) appears well positioned for a strong 2022. SOURCE: CCJ after the call -- after a decade, the market looks to be turning, shares up ~15%, Nathan Allen, Seeking Alpha, Feb. 09, 2022 seekingalpha.com Uranium: Potential Trade Of The Decade, Gain Exposure With SRUUF, URNM, Live Hard Investing, Seeking Alpha, Feb. 10, 2022 seekingalpha.com
NYSE:CCJLong
by TradingMavericks
PERI : POSITIION TRADEQ3 : EARNINGS CALL HIGHLIGHTS: Looking at the last 8 quarters, our ability to exceed the rule of 40 is not a series of anomaly or a one-off success. Quite the opposite, we are outperforming the industry because we are built on the fundamental recognition that adtech must be able to respond, underlying response to the trend with ability and agility. Revenue of $158.6 million, reflecting 31% year-over-year growth, the highest quarterly revenue since 2014. Adjusted EBITDA of $33 million, 21% of revenue compared with 15% last year, reflecting 87% year-over-year growth. Net -- GAAP net income of $25.6 million, 141% year-over-year growth, the highest quarterly net income since 2014. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share of $0.61, reflecting 53% year-over-year growth. The third quarter revenue was $158.6 million, an increase of 31% year-over-year. The strong continued revenue growth reflected a CAGR 38%. Display advertising revenue increased by 26% year-over-year to $86.8 million, 55% of total revenue. Market adoption of our holistic video platform solution continued to rise. Video revenue more than 3% year-over-year, representing 44% of display advertising revenue. The number of video platform publishers increased by 88% year-over-year from 34% to 64%, and the revenue from retained video platform publishers increased by 67% year-over-year. Third quarter OpEx and COGS amounted to $31.7 million or 20% of revenue compared with $33.1 million or 27% of revenue last year. This impressive achievement reflects the execution of our business strategy. On a GAAP basis, net income was $25.6 million or $0.53 per diluted share, an increase of 141% compared with $10.6 million or $0.28 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2021. On a non-GAAP basis, net income was $29.9 million or $0.61 per diluted share, an increase of 94% compared with $15.4 million or $0.40 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2021. Adjusted EBITDA of $33 million, reflecting 94% year-over-year growth, adjusted EBITDA margin of 21% compared with 15% last year. Adjusted EBITDA to revenue, excluding TAC increased from 37% in the third quarter of 2021 to 51% during the third quarter of 2022. Operating cash flow was $34.7 million compared with $14.2 million in the third quarter of 2021, reflecting 145% year-over-year growth. As of September 30, 2022, cash, cash equivalents, and short-term bank deposits of $390 million compared with $322 million as of December 31, 2021; continuously generating positive cash flow. Full earnings call transcript and presentation on the links below: Transcript / Audio : seekingalpha.com Presentation : wp-cdn.perion.com
NASDAQ:PERILong
by TradingMavericks
🕰️ The 4 Pillars of Trading Timeframes🔷Scalping: Scalping is a trading strategy that involves making multiple quick trades within a short time frame, typically holding positions for just a few minutes. Traders who employ this strategy are referred to as scalpers. The main objective of scalping is to capitalize on small price movements and accumulate small profits that can add up over time. When engaging in scalping, traders focus on short-term charts, such as 1m,5m,15m charts, to identify rapid price fluctuations. They often use technical analysis such as order flow and volume , to spot entry and exit points. The key is to identify highly liquid instruments with tight bid-ask spreads and sufficient volatility. Scalpers must closely monitor their trades and maintain discipline, as the rapid pace of trading can be mentally demanding. Risk management is crucial in scalping and it is advised towards experienced traders that backtest their strategy before taking on scalping. 🔷Day Trading: Day trading involves executing trades within a single trading day, with all positions closed before the market closes. Day traders aim to profit from intraday price fluctuations and take advantage of short-term trends. This style of trading requires active participation and constant monitoring of the market. Day traders typically use charts with shorter time frames, such as 15m,1h,4h to identify patterns and trends. 🔷Swing Trading: Swing trading is a medium-term trading strategy that aims to capture price movements over a few days to several weeks. Swing traders seek to profit from short-term price fluctuations within the context of a larger trend. This approach allows traders to participate in more significant market moves while avoiding the need for constant monitoring. Swing traders typically use 1H,5h or daily charts to identify potential trade setups. They focus on technical analysis tools, such as trendlines, chart patterns, and indicators like moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The objective is to enter positions when there is a high probability of a trend reversal or continuation. 🔷Positional Trading: Positional trading, also known as long-term trading or investing, involves holding positions for weeks, months, or even years. Position traders aim to capture larger market trends and ride significant price movements. They often base their decisions on fundamental analysis, considering factors like macroeconomic data, company financials, and market trends. Position traders primarily use higher time frame charts, such as weekly or monthly charts, to identify long-term trends. They rely on fundamental indicators, news events, and market sentiment to make informed trading decisions. 👤 @QuantVue 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
5
UPDATE: Week Commencing Feb 6 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long UPDATE: WC0206 GBPJPY Outlook: Still long until DTF LL is broken MTF Analysis Check annotations in the anchored notes for M-W-D-H4-H1 analysis. I've updated GJ's outlook for this week from the last one published in January -- specifically the Weekly Anchored Note Weekly Timeframe Outlook Sun,1/22/23 - Bearish downtrend UPDATE: Mon, 2/6/23 1. WC 30 Jan weekly candle ended up being a lower high. A 120 pip rejection wick from December's low. 2. There is a weekly and monthly imbalance that is coinciding with - December's 50% level (almost) - January's high - Previous week's high - This is supported by the 200 EMA (Daily TF) as it will be tapping it / be under it. Weekly BIAS: 1. Price is bullish until it reaches/ taps #2's confluence areas. 2. Once it taps #2 conf areas, it will melt until it reaches January's low (which is also coinciding with the last Daily TF lower low) -- price will tap this daily and monthly conf area and then it will rocket and resume the bullish trend that it has been having. ON THE FLIP SIDE. 1. The last low of the Daily TF. 155.39 X January low -- if price pierces that level and continues all the way down then it may just melt until the next monthly key level which is around 150.75 2. It may just continue the uptrend all the way at least to the M&W trendline FUNDAMENTAL HIGH IMPACT NEWS FOR GJ FEB AND MARCH Date Country & Event 2023, February 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, February 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, February 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, February 15, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, February 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, February 17, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, February 21, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, February 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 01, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 02, 13:00 (Japan) Consumer Confidence 2023, March 03, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI 2023, March 07, 08:01 (United Kingdom) BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY 2023, March 10, 11:00 (Japan) BoJ Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance Non-EU 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) GDP MoM 2023, March 10, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Goods Trade Balance 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Unemployment Rate 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Claimant Count Change 2023, March 14, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Employment Change 2023, March 16, 07:50 (Japan) Balance of Trade 2023, March 22, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 23, 20:00 (United Kingdom) BoE Interest Rate Decision 2023, March 24, 07:30 (Japan) Inflation Rate YoY 2023, March 24, 08:01 (United Kingdom) Gfk Consumer Confidence 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales YoY 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel MoM 2023, March 24, 15:00 (United Kingdom) Retail Sales ex Fuel YoY 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI 2023, March 24, 17:30 (United Kingdom) S&P Global/CIPS UK Services PMI
Long
by RSC_FX
1
YOU : POSITION TRADEClear Secure: Talk About A Bullish Economic Moat • Clear Secure is capturing strong demand for its identity verification platform as a service to save time at security checkpoints. • Partnerships with airports, airlines and even the Transportation Security Administration highlight competitive advantages to drive growth. • An outlook for accelerating earnings can send the stock higher. • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Conviction Dossier get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Clear Secure, Inc. (NYSE:YOU) offers a secure identity verification platform. If you've recently traveled through one of 46 major airports, you'll likely have seen the "Clear" checkpoints as a separate lane in the security process. Clear Pass focuses on the ID verification side of the airport screening process. The other step is the actual security area where travelers and carry-on luggage are checked for contraband. With the company's history going back more than a decade, the game changer now is a belief that the operation has finally reached a critical mass with enough locations where the service can make sense to a wide range of travelers. This concept is related to the network effect where the value of the service grows as its user base expands. Furthermore, the platform is being utilized in other applications where security screening is a requirement and there is room to capture efficiencies in the process. Members of Clear Plus also have the option to use the features at entertainment venues and stadiums where a security line often forms. Clear also offers a Health Pass which gained prominence during the pandemic with validation of COVID testing results and digitization of vaccine status that many types of business in certain areas embrace. Notably, this feature now integrates with Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) "Health App". YOU Key Metrics YOU released its Q3 earnings in mid-November with EPS of $0.05, which beat estimates by $0.05 as consensus was looking for a flat result. Revenue of $116 million climbed by 72% year-over-year, with the strength largely driven by the recovery of the airline industry compared to pandemic disruptions at the start of 2021. Management notes success with in-airport and various partner channels driving memberships captured in a climbing number of bookings along with retention of customers. On the financial side, keep in mind that there was a GAAP loss of -$65.6 million although this mostly reflected share-based compensation and the timing of the vesting from previously issued warrants. More favorably, the underlying shift towards profitability is evidenced by the adjusted EBITDA measure which reached $11.9 million compared to negative -$14.5 million in the period last year. The company also reported a positive free cash flow of $5.3 million. The expectation is that earnings will maintain this more positive momentum going forward. For Q4, management is guiding for revenue of around $124 million, implying a growth rate of 54% compared to Q4 2021, and up 7% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Finally, we can mention Clear Secure maintains a solid balance sheet, ending the quarter with $700 million in cash and cash equivalents against effectively zero long-term financial debt. The position is strong enough that the Board of Directors declared a special $0.25 dividend which was paid in December. Are There Risks? The key for the company will be to maintain the pace of signups for new members while finding success in international markets. Longer-term, Clear Secure will need to become the global standard for secure identity verification not just in travel, but also leisure, and other industries with a visible presence in more and more countries as part of the bullish case. The other side to the discussion would be the risk that growth simply begins to disappoint while the expected earnings fail to materialize. One concern is that the company may have already captured the "low-hanging fruit" of hard-core heavy business travelers where the Clear Pass makes the most sense, at least from the U.S. market. By this measure, doubling the number of cumulative platform users from here will be more difficult. There is also an argument that if "everyone" is using Clear/TSA PreCheck, it begins to defeat the purpose of a priority security lane membership. It's not there yet but could become a problem at certain airports if the platform is too successful. Going further, a skeptic would also point to the regulatory risks where the service no longer becomes viable based on changing laws in the future or even in a scenario of a headline-making failure in the system that would undermine confidence in the company's security protocol. Read more on : seekingalpha.com Dan Victor, CFA, Seeking Alpha, Jan. 05, 2023 3:19 PM ET
NYSE:YOULong
by TradingMavericks
EURCAD I Position swing short from monthlyWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! **EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
23
AUD NZD - Buying potential, awaiting further movesG'day traders and welcome to 2023 for a new position trade which is in the works. Breakdown: 1. Note 2. Contents 3. Research breakdown 4. Education recap 5. Information on Lupa. A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones. This is tagged Long due to the overall monthly demand in control, until the opportunity of a rejection of the PCP has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - no trade is taken until reactive, break or curve is confirmed. This is an active trade, now traders can use this for looking at new zones to purchase from. Monthly timeframe The monthly shows a strong test of the structure back in 2013 - where price has tested the September 2013 monthly candle 'close'. Since this structure high, price has had a strong sell off with a large engulfing sell. Review below for the breakdown from the Fresh nested supply towards the demand zone. Monthly updated The monthly FL demand has been activated upon the fresh level. Weekly Timeframe Weekly Updated November 15 and 21st were the key weeks here for the imbalance formation. This departure zone has aligned with the wick formation and will be netted out (at some point). This point has now arrived and price has created a weekly candle which had given the false flag for a final selling push on the weekly. The subsequent week had offered strong buying power with a three day confirmation of the demand FL taking a reactive control. The monthly TL had 'created a bear trap' which the final profit taking has now converted into a new buying imbalance. Four Day in conjunction with Fibonacci extension (sells in play, awaiting buys) The four day has shown the similar zone which aligns nicely with the weekly. Note- here that price has provided a clear sell off which has broken through and on the daily provided a break and retest. This would be the moment for a secondary sell could be placed with a confirmation on the lower timeframe(s). Again structure provides a retest of the previous 'resistance' zone which aligns nicely with the End of August zone. Daily Chart Awaiting the reactive tap and then a further confirmation using the 8 hour or daily if preferred. Price may not reach the desired Daily, three day cross imbalance zone. Upon a confirm - if price fails to provide engulfing moves - then expect a final push to complete the structure pattern within the arrival imbalance. From here, price will need to test the curve and break the high curve allowing long term trades to take place. Updated - After waiting for the monthly TL to be crossed - price has now offered a strong rejection level. Price has created a fresh demand level and even stronger engulfing candle which departed using the strategy eclipsing the previous candle closes - allowing a fresh pivot to be formed in line with structure left and the TL break and retest. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 6+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIII
by LupaCapital
2
EURAUD Investment Plan - 4/Jan/2023Hello Traders, Hope you all are doing good!! I expect EURAUD to go Down. I am still looking for additional confirmation to be sure about this down move, however, one can obviously take the trade if their strategy allows. The objective of this idea is to share that the Long term SELL is probably gonna be coming next for this pair. Look for your SELL setups. Considering the fact that there are also traders looking for ideas wrt investment purpose, I will be posting my view on few assets for Long term trades. Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan. Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management. Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
Short
by For3xScalper
High Risk, Long Term Carry Trade! TRYJPY!This is my high risk, long term carry trade for 2023 (opened in 2022, looking to add to my position further). The swap rate is very attractive - to provide some insight, I have received a 3% account increase since opening my first long position in 2022, through daily interest receivables. The Fundamentals... Turkey has potential. Exports are climbing. The country needs more stability and greater global confidence - Turkey is greatly lacking both. I believe that the currency is so heavily short, that any sign of monetary policy change could cause the Lira to rocket. Potentially creating some large volatile upside moves. With the possibility of a global recession, the Lira could also see buying momentum, as emerging markets often perform well during times of international recession. Current Technical Reasons... Price is nearing all-time lows and daily horizontal support. TRYJPY is also testing bearish channel support area. Don't get me wrong, the Lira could fall much further - it has been in extreme decline for around 15 years! This is considered a high risk trade.
Long
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
1
Xauusd ShortThe beautiful price structure of gold is being prepared for a very profitable short-selling position and I will enter the sell from the specified range. Stay with me to get more analysis after following me by sharing with friends and leaving a comment. According to my risk and capital management system, the risk of each trade is one percent per position. What do you think about this analysis and other analyses? What symbol would you like me to analyze for you?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hamiratrading
6
DXY Investment Plan - 1/Jan/2023Hello Traders, Hope you all are doing good!! I expect DXY to go Down after finishing the current correction in LTF. Look for your SELL setups. Considering the fact that there are also traders looking for ideas wrt investment purpose, I will be posting my view on few assets for Long term trades. Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan. Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management. Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea
TVC:DXYShort
by For3xScalper
1