$XHV Looking StrongAfter the recent sell-off with Bitcoin a lot of the Altcoins dumped and have been on sale. Haven Protocol recently bounced off of strong support and is one of stronger ones in my portfolio. This also has some confluence with the bullish MACD crossover. This technical support will need to have some more volume to break the local top of Haven's mainnet release.
We are now entering what the dev team is calling a multi-week "Announcement Season."
If Bitcoin, maintains above $10k and pushes back up then this will coincide nicely with the "Announcement Season" making for a new yearly high and resuming price discovery.
What do you think?
Cheers!
Positiontrading
Some of the most famous Soros investmentsHere are some of the most famous bets by the man that had years where he single-handedly made profits comparable to the annual GDP of countries like Chad, Zimbabwe, Haiti, and that is held responsible by many (delusional dunning kruger sufferers) for bringing down entire countries.
==> Thai Baht short right before the Asian financial crisis: SEA tried to abuse the system and paid the price
Soros loves to look for dumb governments putting their hairy little hands into a country own business, such as with tariffs & capital controls.
He also is (well maybe was) always on the lookout for dumb central banks pegging their currency, having forced floors.
South East Asian countries did such things. The socialist governments helped out exporters with stimulus packages and a peg of their currencies to the USD to make it more favorable to exporters, to gain competitiveness against foreign countries.
During the years leading up to the crisis they also accumulated huge foreign debt, I do not mean as assets but liability, they had massive debt.
In 1995 governments of the USA (hey Bill Clinton years), Germany & Japan agreed to let the USD get stronger against the mark & yen.
SEA banks/governments/economies were subject to more and more pressure, and in 1997 the ponzi scheme ended up collapsing under its own weight.
Malaysian Prime Minister-Baghodler angrilly atacked Soros making crunchy anti-semitic comments, Soros explained that he shorted them months earlier and was actually a buyer during the price fall. Not sure politicians are intelligent enough to comprehend that subtility tbh.
I think this is when Philippines banned him for life.
Not very smart people probably think successful speculators are "wizards" that practice dark arts and some other silly supersticions 😏
This is when the west gave all kinds of lessons to asian countries on why they should not have too much debt, print imaginary money, take the pill, not do QE, etc... Everything those countries did themselves a few years later.
==> Yen & Nikkei: Ridiculous media & government fear mongering about Fukushima meant discounts on Japan
Back in 2011 there was a nuclear leak in Japan (Fukushima) and oh boy here we go. All the dum dums making nuclear fallout calls.
Fukushima was a JOKE, I can already hear "noo huge deal how dare you downplay bla bla bla" by idiots that cannot admit they were wrong.
"The truth is finally coming out. Fukushima was a maximum radioactive event the worse possible level 7 let me come at you with my technical terms to make you scared and scientists agree you are not a science denier are you? The gov tried to hide it but we know the truth now it is much worse than Chernobyl and there will be a nuclear winter" yawn this aged well 😏
www.independent.co.uk
www.sortirdunucleaire.org
What I am calling a joke/hoax is all the pathetic claims made around it, not calling the accident itself a hoax duh.
We are still all around and the yen got inflated and the nikkei is in a bull market since 2012. When the US & global economy will crash it will prob still remain above that bottom.
==> Herbalife: Same as CDO & MBS bears, Tesla bears, they get ran over. Soros knows this and so he bought
Another crowded short story. Hordes of angry bears went heavy short on the MLM scheme, what they failed to realize is only idiots invested in it, and they cannot make money off of each other maybe. It is what it is, noobs never sell. In 2018 or 2019 Herbalife ended up getting in trouble with the SEC, and the share price crashed into a straight line 45% (.618) and then crashed again. And angry herbalife bagholders were featured on @bagholderquotes.
As we are in a robinhood bubble the price went back up strongly again. Dumb retail is celebrating "hurray we showed them who boss" proud they won the battle of "who is the dumbest sucker out there to buy & hold worthless garbage". Terminal phase of every bubble.
Druckenmiller has only made a few percents since the market bottom hahaha this guy sure painfully learned his lesson in 2000.
I wonder if Dave Portnoy the self proclaimed "greater than Buffet" new stock captain has herbalife in his favorite stocks list?
Sold the bottom and bought the top like a bawss. When this guy is wrong he is REALLY wrong.
He lobbyed governments to shut down the economy right after he went short and he made money, people are blaming him.
They might be right, maybe cheating is the only way he makes money.
He is probably trying hard to get fame for a really big win, only way to wash away the shame of his enormous mistakes.
==> I do not know much about Soros losses, but there are other ones to look (laugh) at
Bill Ackman most famous failure was his absolutely disastrous Valeant bagholding episode, which I described back in this idea in 2018.
Yes, I remember every single one of the 763 ideas I posted. You need good memory in this game. All the updates too, of course.
Price keeps falling but hey "I am right" (he was very very wrong too). Charts says bye bye and he holds the bag and hold and adds and holds.
By the way both Druckenmiller & Ackman are billionaires so there is place for mistakes even awful ones.
Do they deserve to be billionaires? Probably not. But they got there. Somehow.
Probably being good at marketting and at the right place at the right time and leeching off great investors like Soros Icahn etc.
And alot of leeching fees off investors by just shadowing markets and being slightly right in a normal distribution :/
Or every one else is so emotional, dumb, bad, that anyone that isn't a complete dog can make money 🤷♂
Ackman apologized for losing his investors money (ah so this is how, he takes 20% from the wins but investors eat the losses what a stupid system) and he said he "learned his lesson".
Just look at the returns, he really just shadowed the S&P with leverage from 2004 to 2012! Then he started speculating at first as usual it went straight up and he probably got hyped, and then it went to zero xd (back where it started), it went straight up since 2019 maybe he learned how to trade after 20 years, or maybe the stock market will not go straight down like in 1930 but rather sideways and he will get bled out.
It is amazing that some people manage to amass billions in investors/suckers money while doing nothing, until 2012 the returns were not uncorrelated returns, just shadow but higher with leverage. I guess that gets the attention of all the greedy people. "More number go up = better!".
He probably has a good understanding of stocks and has some qualities (other than marketing/investor seduction). Or can just be bad do nothing and just got lucky not to blow up yet. In 2004-2012 when he was shadowing the market he did not lose as much when it went down, but this is just 1 thing, can easilly just be luck. 1 decision = random luck. Many = not luck. Since 2012 his PNL really just looks like a random myfxbook noob. We'll see. They are at 41% ytd and made 50% last year. Luck not luck? Him? His PMS? You really can't tell. Anyway there is no shortage of people to point & laugh at 🤭 Davey Global Day Trader... Delusional Dunning Kruger to the max "I am a legend the master the captain of the ship".
static.seekingalpha.com
I wish there was a video of Soros wrath when Druckenmiller got excited by the dot com bubble and messed up and then got kicked out.
I just want to see an angry Soros get all verbal and all.
LTC / BTC Positional Trading The long-term trading channel 190%It is also worth noting that the coin is relevant for trading now!
Now we are in an important zone from which long-term movement is decided!
I chose the LTC / BTC pair as an example for positional trading. This coin works perfectly technically. To Bitcoin, the coin is held in a horizontal channel from the very beginning of trading. I think you understand that this is not an accident.
In the crypto market of several thousand scam coins there are several such technical highly liquid reliable coins. Litecoin is one of them. It is the impressive profit for those who work in large sums. The ideal ratio of profit and risk. Clear trade. It is easy to predict further price movements.
Positional trading is suitable for those who have already traded an impressive depot and are already tired of staring at the monitor and burning their time, spoiling their eyesight. For those who no longer get high from the excitement of management and so on. Because a large depot can in most cases be dispersed only by such methods. A person must have iron patience and an understanding of the market cycles. Because profits need to wait a long time. As you can see from the graph, for example, only one trend can last up to a year.
Positional trading is the work on the trend on a long-term basis, on charts covering a large time scale. For its implementation, fundamental and technical analysis is often used. Position trading is suitable for all types of markets: cryptocurrencies, stocks, goods, Forex.
In other words, position trading refers to a relatively long-term holding of a position in the direction of a global trend.
Thus, position trading is an independent style, significantly different from others. Market participants can use this approach to hold short-term and long-term positions.
Maintaining a position in the trend, and not work on small weekly fluctuations. This is the main difference from swing, which involves working on the basis of market cycles of several days. In positional trading, you can hold a trade for months or even a year or more (Dow Jones index), it all depends on the trend.
Coins for positional trading are selected very carefully, they must be reliable, be closer to TOP or be this top as an example of Litecoin. There should be a real development of the project in the long term, with a strong team that really does something, and not only has a promise legend. It is very important that the coin you choose for positional trading be highly liquid.
You can work (or rather need) as in long and short. In any direction the price you earn.
If you are not working in short, then most of the position is HOLD on a WALLET! In such a trade where transactions are conducted 1-2 times a year, it makes no sense to risk a huge amount and keep coins on the exchange. Even if you are doing risk diversification through several liquid exchanges.
Only the large time frame is important, we do not pay attention to small price fluctuations.
The purchase / sale of an asset is made only upon confirmation of a change in trend.
No hai and loy! Minimum prices and maximums will be left for hamsters.
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Position Trading Rules:
1) A signal to enter a position is the beginning of a trend on a large timeframe (with a timeframe of 1 day or 1 week).
2) Exit from the transaction is carried out only if there are sufficient grounds for the end of the trend (trend change).
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The advantages of positional trading.
1) Does not take into account small price changes, that is, does not require constant monitoring of the situation.
2) There is no need to be near the computer all the time. In positional strategy, the most important thing is a deep and thorough analysis, on the basis of which a further decision is made.
3) An open position simply needs to be monitored if there is a situation that can change the position or price.
Positional trading strategy is an analysis of daily, weekly and monthly timeframes; holding an open position for at least a few days to several months.
In simple terms, positional trading is a meaningful and balanced entry into a transaction based on holding a position in a trend.
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The disadvantages of positional trading.
1) a long expectation of results that can actually be measured only after months or years;
2) high responsibility for each forecast and analysis, since it can take many days and weeks to hold the wrong position;
3) slow progress in trading (holding positions is good if the trader already has experience, but you won’t be able to gain it quickly by opening deals once a year);
4) the need for significant investment (you can get a tangible income from position trading only if you have a decent amount of money in the account).
As a result, holding a position in certain cases is a significant advantage for an experienced trader, but fatal for beginner speculators.
GA long update - officially longLong activated as per previous -
Waited for the double bottom to occur.
technical
fresh touch of the demand after a long rally down drop base drop scenario
on previous touch - strong engulfing candles to the upside, similar pattern here
bearish technical - was oversized head and shoulders
Long term - Aussie will lose momentum with a risk off scenario
If you like our work and updates -
Leave a comment and like.
Good luck and enjoy the trade.
If you like our swing trade work, please leave a like and or comment.
Thanks,
Lupa
Trading Bitcoin With The Absolute Price OscillatorCryptohopper Newsletter
Market Analysis
Another week of trading means another week of ranging in the Crypto market. Bitcoin is still unable to break the resistance at $10,500, while still holding on to the support. Usually, a long period of stability is followed by a period of volatility. Therefore it can be expected for BTC to make a significant move in the near future. The “Absolute Price Oscillator” (APO) is an indicator that is very useful in swing trading and determining these significant moves.
We will first start by determining what the Absolute Price Oscillator is!
Absolute Price Oscillator
The APO displays the difference between two EMAs of a coin’s price and is displayed as an absolute value. The indicator is thus the difference between the fast exponential moving average (in our case 10) and the slow exponential moving average (in our case, 20).
The indicator provides a buy signal when the line is above 0 and sell signal when it is below 0. When it is above 0, it means that the fast EMA is above the slow one, and when it is below 0, it means that the slow EMA is above the fast one.
When and how is it best used? That’s what we will explore in the next section.
How to use the APO effectively
From our observations, the APO tends to behave better on the larger timeframes than on the smaller ones. On the shorter timeframes, the indicator tends to give out more “fake” signals than on the longer ones. Based on the last bull-run observations, the indicator would work on the 4-hours timeframe with other sell settings such as take profit, stop loss, and trailing stop loss. If used with its sell signals on the 4h timeframe, it may result in lower profits as its sell signals are generally too slow to cover profits adequately.
However, on the 1-day time frame, the indicator has proven to be able to work well with its sell signal. This success can be attributed to the price having a more clear direction than on the smaller timeframes.
Trading The Bitcoin HalvingCryptohopper Newsletter
Market Analysis
After failing to break the resistance around $10,000, Bitcoin is closing in on the support level at $8,000. Bitcoin has had a correction after the last halving, so a short bear market scenario is not out of the question. The first and second halving overall provided some excellent opportunities for position traders. Today we will look at a strategy that would have increased your account by 3,500% if you had used it during the last halving!
If you had bought $1,000 Bitcoin in September 2016 at $600 and held it to the top in December 2017 at $19,600, you would have made about 3,150% , and your account value would be 31,150$ . Most people will call this utterly unrealistic , as it is almost impossible to buy something at the bottom and hold it all the way to the top. However, what if we told you that there is a strategy that would have increased your account even more during this period?
Position Trading
A position trader is an individual who holds an investment for weeks or even months at a time. They are not concerned with the short term fluctuation and aim to catch the more significant swings in the market. According to Investopedia, most position traders place less than ten trades a year . So how can someone who barely trades beat a very bullish market? That’s what we are going to find out int he next section.
Position Trading Strategy
Our goal with position trading is to catch the bigger trends. Therefore trend-following indicators are the most appropriate to use in this case. In our case, we will use the crossover of the 5 and 25 Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When the 5 EMA crosses over the 25 EMA upwards, we will take a long position, and when it crosses it downwards, we will close our position. This trading method will allow you to ride each swing almost to the top.
Then, if you have 1,000$ and you made the following 5 trades with these gains: 58%, 36%, 132%, 90%, 270% then your account will look like this:
1000$ * 1.58 * 1.36 * 2.32 * 1.9 * 3.7 = 35,046$.
This strategy provides an even greater reward than if you would have bought at the bottom and held all the way to the top. Simultaneously, it is a lot more realistic as it is a simple trading strategy based on the EMA crossovers.
Other trend-following indicators that you can use are the SMA, DEMA, TEMA, KAMA, MESA, Parabolic SAR, Ichimoku Cloud, T3, WMA, etc. All of these indicators are available at Cryptohoper, along with many more.
EURCAD SHORT!Monthly and Weekly Down. Price is currently on Monthly Demand zone. Waiting for price to retrace to this daily Supply zone which is nested inside this Monthly Supply zone. Sell on retest!
CADCHF LONG!Monthly Down and Weekly Down Consolidating. Weekly supply zone removed confirming buyers are still there inside Monthly Used up demand zones.
SYNA Platform Position Trading SetupSYNA formed a strong bottom based on hidden Dark Pool Quiet Accumulation that continues intermittently as the stock moves up over several months. There is High Frequency Trader trigger momentum periodically, which triggers Smaller Funds Volume Weighted Average Price orders. The control of price continues to remain in the giant Buy Side Institutions Dark Pool buying activity.
TEZOS: $1.46 | the ONE to rule em all at $500bn cap | $720organic and well positioned product validated through early birthpains in 2017 and
just like that came out of nowhere as deemed to be a game changer among the rest
could be the GOOGLE FB in the iT industry obliterating the rest of players
-
a $500bn cap should be at par with DOWs FANG super stocks
TEZOS: $720 a moment to look forward
BTC/USD BITCOINI want to start this post with giving my apologizes to you guys. Im sorry. I was in a rush, and I simply wanted to make a post on BTC just to prove a point, so I ran the ticker in the scanner and it came up with what I shared in my latest post
But now I have to share this chart, because when I had a look at it I noticed that we definitely should have used the lows of December 15th instead of the ones we used earlier.
This means we are expecting a potential reversal at 4400 instead of 6000. thats a huge difference if you ask me.
So please be careful if you are looking to buy or even in worst case are holding bitcoin from 7000, since there is a high probability that price is going to head towards 4400 before beginning to reverse.
From here there will be partial profit taking at the fibonacci levels plotted on the screen
Please give the chart a like if and make sure to state your thoughts in the comments below, and follow me for more advanced technical analysis!
Thank you for reading and may God bless you
Bearish Harmonic Bat Pattern possibly turning bullishHello traders
I've noticed this price AB=CD, that stretched over 8 months!
The Bearish Harmonic Bat, is most likely turning bullish according to the technicals.
This could very well be the beginning of a long term uptrend!
Dont forget to like the post and comment make sure you comment your thoughts below!
Thank you for reading and may God bless you
AUD/USD MONTHLY LOW, POTENTIAL BULLISH SWING/POSITION TRADEPrice Action (Technical Analysis): Current Price has just broke above a key monthly swap level (Respected Support & Resistance Level), knowing our rules to price action after breaking a level of structure minor or major we expect a pull back testing the previous structure before entering the trend. We sat through a couple of weeks in a consolidating market accumulating pressure for a big breakout. 2 Days ago we got that break above & an exhaustion. I'm anticipating an uptrend pennant to form building momentum before price attempts to break a highly respected trend line & before price continues to shine above key levels of structure. I am anticipating if price does break out the trend, the logical reason to enter would be confirming the correction at a key retracement ratio & previous structure pull back. Assuming this all goes down, we eye down potential areas to exit which would be our psychological levels 0.72000 & in between 0.73500-0.74000. Further Analysis will be made if price continues to break higher...
Fundamental Analysis: With polls evening out in orders to go Bullish or Bearish. This upcoming week we have various high volatile folders which will definitely either push our pair up or down. If we see AUD turn out with a hawkish policy by cutting rates we will see price advance higher but to not be oblivious to the fact we also have to speculate USD News which can dump our entire Bullish analysis.
React and Profit from Bitcoin’s Upwards Macro TrendMost traders lose most of their capital attempting to time the exact bottoms and tops of what has ultimately shifted into a bull market.
Rather than attempting to predict what the top of a price movement is, why not simplify the process?
No-one wins attempting to time the market. A trader may get lucky once or twice, but, aside from the occasional overleveraged trader that strikes gold or the run-of-the-mill hindsight 20/20 influencer, the market will always win.
React, don’t predict.
The Trading Algorithm from @cryptostanleytrading has been long since February 9th at about $3500 per share of BTC.
Running a Trailing Stop Loss per the @cryptostanleytrading ATR Exit Indicator, and building a long based upon said ATR, would've allowed you to remain in the trade whilst retaining a low entry - allowing for greater amount of leverage with the same amount of initial risk exposure.
Predicting would’ve easily ruffled the typical trader out attempting to secure profits at various TP levels.
Stop prematurely entering or exiting trades. Capturing 80% of a trending movement is ALL you need.
JD: Strong bottom ideal for swing trading AND longer-term holdsJD.com Inc. has a solid and strong bottom formation that is working on completion, which will provide strong support for the next uptrend. These technical patterns are ideal for momentum and swing trading, position trading and also for long-term investing because the long bottom formation is built on Dark Pool accumulation.
AUDCADprice action seems to have established support on the 61.8 retracement level following the initial impulse from the buy zone of the range. Looking for pair to hold above .9500 to start the week and seek swing positions to parity.
USDCFH short. Position traders.Price currently in a level/zone where it has been rejected on several occasions. Breaking this level is very unlikely as USD is also to get weaker. For Position traders this could be a great setup since RRR is very good.
PFG: Dark Pool Footprints Show Accumulation in a BottomAs a new generation starts families and buys homes, the growth in Life Insurance also booms. There are several life insurance companies forming bottoms right now and many are nearing completion for future position trading, intermediate term holds or even long term holds.
This chart has a specific footprint in the chart patterns that confirms the bottom has begun with accumulation from the Dark Pools. The bottom completion should be confirmed before entry for position-style to longer-term as it could easily retest its lows several more times while you are holding in the red waiting for the move up. Always, buy into strength.
High reward to risk ratio on GBPCADI took three previous trades on gbpcad and was stopped out all three for a .24 lost. My setup told my to stop trading for the week and to re-evaluate the charts today. Here are my current setups this week as I am currently 30 pips in profits on a gbpcad trade that I broke even on. Let's see what next week holds!!
GBPCAD
