PA #2 : audjpy sell 02/12/24 TRADE 1 : STOP LOSS (-0.78%)
1/ What I did right:
- Always looking for the activity, if there is any (only big boys can move the market)
- identification of aud and jpy news today but relatively no market reaction
- Identification of strong market reaction for buys from CPI news from JPY (29/11)
- Identification of market flow which is strong for JPY
- Identification of Power (previous session break and day break) which indicates that the big boys made the move: this is my job now.
- Right pair selection by choosing AUD which is weak.
2/ What i did wrong:
The direction was right, but timing was bad.
- This was mainly due to a big difference between the 3 min tf (for entry) and the 1h TF (for job identification).
This trade was in fact a 1H+15M trade instead of 15M+3M trade.
- Most important mistake: i didn't enter at the break of the money spot but before. I waited for the reaction like yesterday and the failure of the opposite part, but didn't trade at the break of the money spot.
3/ What i will change:
- We always enter at the break of the money spot, not before. (and the money spot has to be after the comeback of the buyers and the weakness of the sellers.
- Decide in advance the time frame we will choose, if it's a JOB that took place days before, higher time frame will be more suitable. And we won't get lost in the noise.
TRADE 2: TP (+0.85%)
1/ What I did right: Same as previous+
- waited for the weakness of the sellers
waited for the comeback
waited for the money spot
2/ What I did wrong:
- Decided to risk only 0.25% after the loss, maybe i could risk 1%( would've got +3%
3/ What i will change:
I will wait until the end of the week and check if we should keep safe or go harder based on performance.
TOTAL: -0.78%
OBJECTIF: +10%
Postanalysis
PA #1 : NZDCAD BUY 27/11/24 SLFirst Post Analysis
This explain my NZD CAD TRADE
Here is the 3 main questions i answer:
1. what did i do right ?
- Asking the right questions: is there activity/job today ? and if yes, where it is ?
- Identification of fundamental high impact news
- Confirmation of market reaction
- identification of the asset (here NZD)
- Conparision of the market reaction with the overall flow
- Pair selection: pariring with the CAD which was weak plus high market reaction
- Identification of the Power (previous day break and previous session break).
Even if the loss is here, I still bought in the right direction and for a good price
2. what did i do wrong ?
- Was wrong on the timing specifically, entered in a pullback when the sellers were still dominating. Didn't wait for the retest to confirm if the sellers are weak.
- Too much Timeframes (30s) which create confusion.
- Too stuck on a pattern, when the market won't necesseraly show the same way
2. What am I going to change from now
- I will stick to the 2 TF (15 min and 3 min) or 1H and 15 min
- I will wait for the sellers to fail and THEN look for the money spot.
FINAL DAY: -2.76%
OBJECTIF: +10%
Catching Up with the Markets U30 Post Analysis (Daily) Haven't posted on here lately since I have been doing lots of work behind the scenes. :-)
I wanted to share some of my Journal commentary on a trade I took this week around the S&P Global 500 PMI release. This was based on the daily timeframe, and trade was taken on the M5.
Every Winning Trade deserve POST ANALYSISHi guys, this is my buy trade yesterday and now its on its way to take profit. Around 1:3 Reward will take it..
Points to remember
1.) Stick to your own analysis
2.) Reason why you trade this
3.) Exits are very important
4.) What is my analysis yesterday?
Hoping you can record your winning trades and repeat it over and over again