BTCUSD - W1/D1 -"GOODBYE" OR "GOOD BUY"Would it be a "goodbye" or a "goodbuy", that is the question ?
We should get the answer quite soon :-)
Indeed, looking at the weekly picture, a double top formation is in progress and the price action
seen over the last three weeks (following the rally from 40'000 towards 63'000) is showing some lack of
momentum, uncertainty and indecision, confirmed by a shooting star (already detected in my previous analysis) and
two successive small body candles !!!
Therefore, once again the ongoing weekly closing level will be important to look at, as a failure to show a new long white candle
(bullish confirmation) would add further doubt about upside continuation.
On a weekly basis, the first significant support level is currently @ 53'300.
On the upside a weekly closing above 61'350 would mark a new ATH weekly closing and in order to neutralise the ongoing downside risk we
need to see at least a weekly close above 63'000
DAILY :
Currently still within the ongoing uptrend channel, with Mid Bollinger band, which should, once again, be seen as a good barometer for further development,
bullish above and bearish below !
Watch also carefully KS (currently @ 60'453) which should be considered at the pivot level on a daily basis.
Indeed, a failure to hold above 60'000 on a daily closing basis, should open the door for lower levels, calling for 56'425 (38.2% Fib ret) also mid level of the uptrend channel, ahead
of 53'195 (50 % Fib ret & daily clouds support
CONCLUSION :
Continue to closely monitor intraday price action in shorter time frames which will give you intermediate clues (validation or invalidation) and which allow you to act accordingly.
Have a nice Sunday and if you like my analysis, please do not forget to like it and for those who do not follow me yet on TradingView, please also add Ironman8848 on your following list.
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Take care and all the best
Ironman8848 :-)
Potentialdoubletop
BTC - H4 - TRADING IN THE ZONE - DOUBLE TOP ?H4 : The breakout of the former tactical downtrend @ 47280 (see previous post)
triggered this long bullish white candle which briefly broke the former high @ 49000
with an intraH4 high @ 49361 !
So what now ?
Last H4 price action is showing a potential double top formation in progress !
In addition 3 of the 4 technical indicators are still pointing to the South...
Therefore, next H4 closing level would give more clue for the upcoming trading hours.
In the meantime, watch carefully, M5, M15 and H1 for intermediate warning signals
BTC - H4 -SHOOTING STAR + DOUBLE TOP IN PROGRESS !H4 : Last candle triggered as shooting star coupled with a potential double top in progress.
In addition indicators are also in divergences process
Watch : 36477 (TS), 35300 (MBB) and 35280 (KS)
35300 should be seen as a very important support area in this time frame
Failure to hold above it would open the door for :
S1 :35002
S2 :33885
S3 :32767
H1 : Short term reversal already in progress (doji) followed by a black candle (bearish engulfing) which
has been confirmed by a second black bearish candle which hold above TS.
Watch : 37538 (TS), 37085 (MBB) and 36973 (KS)
Below important congestion zone support between 36045 and 34594 (clouds area and Fib ret
Watch very short term time frame M15 and M15 to check price action and detect early invalidated signal (s)
of the expected intraday short term potential reversal.