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Pound

GBP/USD: The Pound Rebounds Back Above 1.33000During the last trading session, the GBP/USD pair posted a gain of more than 0.5% in favor of the pound, as U.S. dollar weakness continues, even after some positive remarks regarding the U.S.–China trade war. For now, it seems that investors are viewing European currencies as a potential safe haven amid the current wave of economic uncertainty across markets. This shift in sentiment has helped to sustain consistent bullish pressure on the pound in the short term. Broad Ascending Channel Since mid-January, the pair has been forming a strong ascending channel, with price now trading above the 200-period simple moving average, reinforcing long-term bullish momentum. So far, no bearish correction has been strong enough to break the channel, which remains the most relevant technical formation to monitor for upcoming GBP/USD moves. RSI Despite strong bullish momentum, a notable divergence has begun to form on the RSI, as the pair continues to post higher highs in price, while the RSI shows flat peaks in the short term. In addition, the RSI line is hovering near the 70 level, which marks the overbought zone. Both signals suggest a potential imbalance in market forces, possibly opening the door to short-term bearish corrections. Key Levels: 1.33763 – Key Resistance: This level represents the most recent highs reached by GBP/USD. A sustained move above this area could confirm strong bullish momentum and lead to an acceleration within the current channel. 1.30448 – Near Support: This area corresponds to a consolidation zone seen over the past few months. It may serve as a tentative barrier where short-term pullbacks could occur. 1.28248 – Major Support: This is a critical level, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A decisive move below this support could invalidate the current bullish formation and potentially trigger a long-term bearish shift. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
1
GBPUSD | Short-Term Resistance Forming – Stay Sharp for ReactionGBPUSD has been showing strength lately due to the UK’s early acknowledgment of recession risks and a more transparent economic approach. However, in the short term, we are now approaching a resistance zone that traders should pay close attention to. 🟥 Resistance Zone (Short-Term) The current red zone overhead has historically acted as a supply area — we’ve seen hesitation and sell pressure emerge here before. If price approaches this area again, it’s important not to chase longs blindly. This level could lead to profit-taking or even a temporary reversal. 📌 What You Can Do: If you're short-biased, look for lower timeframe weakness in this zone (e.g., rejection candles, market structure shifts) before jumping in. If you're long-biased, wait to see if this resistance gets reclaimed with strength. Only then consider it a continuation signal — otherwise, it’s best to stay patient. Always pair your setups with proper confirmation. You already know I never insist on an idea when price action tells another story. Confirmation is key. Adaptability is your edge. Don’t fight the market — flow with it, and let the chart reveal your edge. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Short
by UmutTrades
GBPUSD - Will the dollar go up?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If the pair corrects down towards the demand zone, it can be bought in the direction of its rise. According to the latest Reuters survey of economists, U.S.-imposed trade tariffs have had a significant negative impact on the business environment in the United Kingdom. The assessment suggests that global trade tensions, combined with America’s protectionist policies, have undermined the confidence of British companies and investors in the country’s economic outlook. Market pricing reflects expectations that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.84% over the course of this year. The survey indicates that the UK’s GDP growth for 2025 is expected to average 0.9%, down from the previous estimate of 1%. Growth for 2026 is now projected at 1.2%, also lower than the 1.4% forecast made in March. In terms of monetary policy, there is a strong consensus among economists that the Bank of England is on a gradual path toward easing interest rates. Projections suggest that the base rate will decline by 25 basis points each quarter throughout 2025, reaching 3.75% by year-end. Notably, all 67 economists participating in the poll expect the Bank of England to cut rates by 25 basis points at its May 8 meeting, bringing the rate down to 4.25%. Meanwhile, the U.S.Federal Reserve, in its latest Beige Book release, reported that economic activity across the country has shown “little change.” The report detailed that only five districts experienced “modest growth,” three noted activity was “about flat,” and four reported “slight to moderate declines.” The Fed stated, “The outlook in several districts deteriorated notably due to heightened economic uncertainty, particularly stemming from tariffs.” On employment, most districts experienced “little to slight” increases. One district noted a “modest increase,” four reported “slight gains,” another four observed no change, and three recorded “slight declines” in employment levels. At the same time, prices continued to rise across the country. Six districts described price growth as “modest,” while the other six reported it as “moderate.” The Fed explained that most districts expected input costs to rise further due to tariffs. UBS has issued a warning that Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts may erode confidence in the Federal Reserve’s independence and fuel greater uncertainty in financial markets. UBS analysts believe that reduced investment and consumption in the U.S. economy are primarily driven by increased economic uncertainty, rather than restrictive monetary policy. They emphasize that markets are highly sensitive to any perceived threats against the Fed’s autonomy, and in the current climate, it is this economic volatility—more than interest rate levels—that is harming the economy.
Long
by Ali_PSND
EUR/GBP – Trendline Break & Retest: Reversal Confirmed?Technical Outlook: EUR/GBP has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting it from above near 0.8540–0.8560. This zone is critical — holding it confirms a trend reversal. If successful, the next upside targets are 0.8625 and 0.8680. RSI remains above 50, and MACD continues to support bullish momentum. Fundamentals: Dovish expectations from the BoE weigh on the pound. The euro gains support from improving inflation outlook and capital inflows. Interest rate differentials now favor EUR. Scenarios: 📈 Main: bounce from 0.8540–0.8560 → move to 0.8625 and 0.8680 📉 Alt: break below 0.8540 → retracement to 0.8500–0.8480
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
Why Gold bullish ?? Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after completing a clean retest of the breakout zone near 3200. Price action confirmed this level as new support, and we are now seeing price bounce back with conviction. This structure is a classic continuation setup, and as long as price holds above the retest zone, the next leg higher toward the 3265–3300 range looks highly probable. Technically, the 8H chart displays a strong impulse move followed by a controlled pullback into a demand zone. Price formed a higher low and immediately pushed back into bullish structure, signaling continuation. If gold stays above the 3200–3180 level, I expect buyers to maintain control, and the market could drive further upside targeting the previous swing high and beyond. The rejection wicks and volume spike at the base of the retest add to the bullish conviction. From a fundamental standpoint, gold continues to benefit from a combination of factors including global uncertainty, persistent inflation, and dovish sentiment from major central banks. With US inflation data keeping rate cut expectations alive and the dollar softening slightly, gold remains a preferred hedge. Additionally, increased demand from central banks and institutions continues to support gold's long-term uptrend. This setup is one of the most closely watched on TradingView right now due to its clean structure and strong confluence. With macro and technical conditions aligned, this bounce off support could lead to another wave of bullish momentum. As a professional trader, I’m staying long-biased above 3180 and will look for momentum confirmation to scale into the next bullish wave.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy. Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely. The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Pound Gains on Dollar Softening, GBP/USD at $1.30The pound extended gains to $1.30 for a third session, as the dollar softened following Trump’s 90-day tariff pause for most countries. However, the 145% hike on Chinese goods kept risks elevated. While volatility persists, traders now expect 66 bps of BoE rate cuts this year, down from 79 bps a day earlier. UK GDP is forecast to grow 0.1% in February, suggesting a slow recovery. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, resistance levels are at 1.3100 and 1.3200. Support is at 1.2960, followed by 1.2900 and 1.2850.
by ChartMage
Sterling Remains Firm Despite Inflationary PressuresGBP/USD traded around 1.2830 on Wednesday, holding gains from the previous session. However, ongoing global trade tensions and fears of goods dumping from China and Europe weighed on sentiment. Though U.S. tariffs are relatively lower on the UK, broader economic concerns persist. At the same time, rising inflation risks may lower expectations for rate cuts, providing some support to the pound. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2850, resistance levels are at 1.2900 and 1.2940. Support is at 1.2715, followed by 1.2650 and 1.2600.
by ChartMage
1
GBP/JPY: Yen Strength Pushes Price Toward Key SupportGBP/JPY has posted a decline of more than 3% over the last four trading sessions, with bearish momentum growing as the market increasingly favors the Japanese yen in the short term. Demand for the yen has risen sharply since last week, when Donald Trump announced a minimum 10% tariff on all imports into the United States. This was further reinforced today by new comments proposing additional 50% tariffs on China, following Beijing’s announcement of countermeasures against the U.S. The yen is historically considered one of the safest currencies, and the recent surge in uncertainty has helped it hold strong against the British pound. Wide Sideways Range The pair remains within a broad long-term range, bounded by a ceiling near 198.676 and a floor around 186.932. Although recent selling has brought the pair close to the lower boundary, price action has not yet been strong enough to break this level, keeping the sideways channel as the dominant technical formation to watch for now. MACD The MACD indicator has started to show a shift in market momentum, with the histogram oscillating below the zero line. This reflects ongoing bearish pressure based on recent moving average behavior, and as long as this pattern persists, selling momentum in GBP/JPY may become increasingly relevant in the coming sessions. RSI The RSI also reflects a bearish tone, with the line currently holding below the 50 level. However, the indicator is gradually approaching the oversold zone near the 30 level, which is typically where selling pressure may begin to ease, potentially opening the door for short-term bullish corrections. Key Levels: 192.493 – Key resistance: Located in the middle of the broader range and roughly aligned with the 200-period moving average. Persistent price action near this level may signal the beginning of a bullish bias in the short term. 190.144 – Tentative zone: This level may act as a potential area for short-term bullish corrections. 186.932 – Current support: Positioned at the bottom of the broader range. If price action breaks below this level, it could pave the way for a much more significant downtrend in the sessions ahead. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
1
+300 pips EURUSD swing trade setup SELL HIGH🏆 EURUSD Market Update 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BULLS 1150 🔸Mid-term: BEARS 0670 🔸Status: REVERSAL from S/R 🔸0660/0680 normal pullback 🔸BULLS will max out at 1150 🔸Price Target Bears: 0660/0680 🔸Price Target BULLS: 1140/1160 📊 Forex Market Update – April 7, 2025 🇪🇺 EUR/USD 🔹 Reclaims the 1.1000 level amid fresh USD weakness 🔹 Driven by EU-U.S. trade tensions & global recession fears 🔹 📈 Almost Completed a cup & handle formation 🇬🇧 GBP/USD 🔹 Holding gains above 1.2900 after rebounding from 1.2830 🔹 Supported by USD sell-off & BoE-Fed policy divergence 🔹 🛑 Risk-off sentiment & dip-buying helped push the pair higher
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
21
Blueprint for Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025🚀 Blueprint to Becoming a Successful Forex Trader in 2025: Leveraging ICT, Automation, and Prop Funding Here’s a detailed, actionable blueprint designed to position you for success by carefully navigating broker selection, adopting advanced trading strategies, obtaining prop funding, and integrating automation and AI technologies into your trading. 🏦 Broker Selection (Actionable Steps) 🔍 Choose brokers with true ECN/STP execution ⚡ Ensure brokers offer low spreads (0.0-0.2 pip average) and fast execution to maximize ICT precision entries. 🛡️ Prioritize brokers regulated by ASIC, FCA, or FSCA with verified Myfxbook execution reports. 📊 Confirm broker compatibility with MetaTrader 4 (MT4) to seamlessly integrate Expert Advisors (EAs). 💳 Check for flexible withdrawal/deposit methods and swift payouts (Crypto, Wise, Revolut). 🎯 Trading Strategy (ICT Concepts & Supply-Demand Zones) 🧠 Master ICT Concepts: Liquidity sweeps, Order Blocks (OB), Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Breaks (MSB). 📍 Combine ICT with Supply-Demand: Identify institutional supply-demand zones aligning with ICT Order Blocks & liquidity areas. 📐 Execute High-Probability Setups: Trade only after liquidity grabs at key daily/weekly ICT points, avoiding retail traps. 📈 Time & Price Theory: Trade London Kill Zones and New York Open exclusively, exploiting predictable ICT volatility. 📆 Weekly Preparation: Annotate D1/H4 charts on weekends marking liquidity points, order blocks, and premium/discount zones clearly. 💰 Getting Prop Funding (Actionable Approach) 🥇 Target reputable prop firms (FTMO, MyForexFunds, The Funded Trader, 8cap, etc) with clear and attainable evaluation objectives. 📑 Use ICT trading style for evaluation: lower-frequency, high-probability trades with clearly defined risks. 🎯 Implement strict risk management rules: never exceed 1% risk per trade, aiming for steady account growth (5-10% monthly target). 📊 Monitor performance closely using provided analytics dashboards (e.g., FTMO Metrics App) and adapt accordingly. 📚 Diversify funded accounts across multiple firms, compounding total available trading capital while reducing firm-specific risk. ⚙️ Automating & Executing Trades (MT4 EA & Bots) 🛠️ Hire experienced MQL4 developers to code custom ICT-based MT4 Expert Advisors 🤖 Develop EAs specifically around ICT logic (Order Block detection, liquidity grabs, market structure shifts) and or supply/demand logic 🤖 use advanced algo based breakout EAs for automation 📌 Automate trade management: EAs should handle entry precision, partial exits, break-even stops, and trail stops. 📡 Set EAs on VPS Hosting (NY4, LD4) for optimal latency and consistent execution (ForexVPS, AccuWeb Hosting). 📈 Regularly perform forward-testing and optimization of EAs on demo accounts before live deployment (at least quarterly optimization). 📲 Integrating Advanced Bots and Technology in 2025 📊 Combine your MT4 EAs with third-party analytics platforms for detailed trade performance insights. 🔮 Incorporate AI-based forecasting tools to refine ICT setups and trade signals. 🔔 Use automated bots for real-time alerts on ICT-based setups via Telegram or Discord channels. 🧑‍💻 Maintain manual oversight for discretionary ICT decisions—use automation for entry efficiency, not blind reliance. 🔄 Continuously retrain and update your bot’s logic monthly using the most recent trade data, ensuring adaptive execution. 🗓️ Daily Routine for Success 🌅 Pre-session (30 mins): Review annotated charts, ICT concepts (liquidity, OB, FVG), and supply-demand levels. 💻 During trading session: Monitor EA execution, manually adjust positions based on real-time ICT setups. 📝 Post-session (15 mins): Journal trades meticulously in detail, noting ICT reasoning behind wins and losses. 📆 Weekly review: Assess overall ICT & EA performance—adjust EA parameters as needed to match evolving market conditions. 📚 Continuous learning: Keep updated on advanced ICT framework, supply demand zone trading. 📌 Final Actionable Advice for 2025 🔍 Specialize intensely on ICT & supply-demand concepts rather than multiple strategies—depth over breadth. 🚩 Always adapt and evolve your trading algorithms to ICT methodology—market dynamics continually change. 🧘 Maintain emotional discipline and patience, relying on high-probability setups to steadily compound your account. 💡 Stay ahead by embracing technology: automation, AI-driven forecasting, and custom ICT tools will provide a significant edge in 2025.
Education
by ProjectSyndicate
26
GBP/JPY SELL SETUP 250 PIPS1️⃣ Macro Fundamental Analysis (GBP vs. JPY) 🔹 Interest Rate Differentials (Carry Trade Impact) Bank of England (GBP) The BoE has kept rates high to fight inflation. Higher GBP rates → capital inflows into GBP assets. Bullish for GBP/JPY. Bank of Japan (JPY) BoJ is still ultra-dovish, keeping negative/low interest rates. Japan’s government wants a weak yen to support exports. Bearish for JPY, Bullish for GBP/JPY (carry trade flows into GBP). 📊 Institutional View: Hedge funds & large investors prefer long GBP/JPY due to high interest rate spreads. GBP/JPY remains fundamentally bullish due to carry trade inflows. 🔹 Global Risk Sentiment (Risk-On vs. Risk-Off) GBP/JPY is a "risk-on" pair → it rises when markets are bullish and falls when investors seek safety. If stock markets are bullish, GBP/JPY tends to rise. If there’s a global crisis, investors move into JPY (safe-haven), causing GBP/JPY to fall. Current Market Sentiment: Stock markets are uncertain, but no full risk-off move yet. Watch equity markets & US bond yields for risk sentiment confirmation. 📊 Institutional View: Mild risk-on bias → GBP/JPY has support, but volatility remains high. 🔹 Institutional Positioning (COT Data & Hedge Fund Flows) Hedge funds have been buying GBP against JPY due to the rate differential. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: Shows institutional investors are still net long GBP/JPY but reducing positions. Some profit-taking could lead to short-term downside. 📊 Institutional View: Long-term institutional bias is bullish, but hedge funds may reduce positions if risk-off sentiment increases. 2️⃣ Technical Analysis (ITPM Style) – Multi-Timeframe Breakdown 🔹 GBP/JPY (Daily Timeframe) 📈 Trend: Still in an uptrend, but approaching resistance. 📌 Key Resistance: 195.00 - 196.00 📌 Key Support: 191.00 - 190.00 🔹 Price is struggling at resistance near 194.00. 🔹 Possible pullback to 191.50 - 192.00 before resuming higher. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H4 Timeframe) 📉 Short-Term Weakness, but Still in an Uptrend Channel 📌 Key Level to Watch: 192.50 - 193.00 🔹 Bearish Rejection at 194.00, but still inside an uptrend structure. 🔹 If price breaks below 192.50, a deeper correction to 191.00 is likely. 🔹 GBP/JPY (H1 Timeframe) 📉 Intraday Weakness, Watch 192.50 for Breakdown 📌 Key Levels: Resistance: 193.50 - 194.00 Support: 192.50 (short-term support), 191.50 (stronger support) 📊 Institutional View: Intraday traders may take short positions below 192.50, targeting 191.50 - 191.00. 3️⃣ Institutional Trade Setup (ITPM Style) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Short-Term Correction) Entry: Sell below 192.50 (Break of key support). Target: 191.50 → 190.00 (support zone). Stop-Loss: Above 193.50. Rationale: Short-term hedge funds taking profits → minor pullback in bullish trend.
Short
by ShinForex1
EURGBP SELLTracking EUR/GBP on the 15-minute timeframe, we see a potential short opportunity from a key supply zone. Key Zones & Setup: 🟣 Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): 0.83800 - 0.83830 This area acted as strong resistance, where institutional traders likely positioned sell orders. Expecting price to push into this zone before reversing lower. Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes (M5/M1) is needed for confirmation. 🔵 Target Area (Demand Zone): 0.83450 If the supply zone holds, price could drop toward this key demand level. This zone aligns with previous BOS levels and price reactions. Trade Plan: 📈 Waiting for price to push into the supply zone (0.83800 - 0.83830). 🔎 Looking for BOS on lower timeframes (M5/M1) before shorting. ✅ Entering a sell position upon confirmation. 🎯 Targeting the 0.83450 demand zone. ⚠️ Stop-loss above 0.83830 to manage risk. Market Outlook: If price fails to break structure, we avoid shorts and reassess. This setup follows smart money concepts (SMC) with a focus on BOS and order blocks. 💬 What do you think? Are you seeing the same setup? 🚀🔥
Short
by Ramzftmo
GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Dollar Pressure Support GBP/USD at 1.2915GBP/USD is trading around 1.2915, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and steady investor sentiment. The pound benefits from political stability and steady UK economic expectations with the focus on the upcoming April 2 U.S. tariff announcement. The pair is rebounding from recent lows but remains range-bound as traders await new drivers, especially from U.S. trade actions and global growth indicators. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases. 
by ChartMage
1