NZDJPY TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS DETAILED ANALYSISNZDJPY has just completed a bullish breakout from a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart, confirming the start of a fresh impulsive move. Price action has broken cleanly above the descending trendline resistance around 87.400, supported by consecutive bullish candles with momentum. This breakout structure is signaling trend continuation, and I’m now targeting 89.500 as the next key resistance zone. The pair has also held higher lows consistently, showing strong bullish pressure in the medium term.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand Dollar remains supported by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s persistent hawkish stance. With the RBNZ maintaining higher interest rates to combat sticky domestic inflation, NZD has found strong backing in recent sessions. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken across the board, with the Bank of Japan maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy and no real signals of tightening. Japan’s latest inflation reading came in weaker than expected, further dimming any hawkish BOJ bets.
Today’s sentiment also reflects a global risk-on environment, with equities up and commodity-linked currencies like NZD benefiting. This reinforces bullish momentum in NZDJPY, especially as yield differentials between New Zealand and Japan favor carry trades. Technically, the pair could see brief pullbacks toward 87.100–86.900, which may offer fresh entries for bulls aiming to ride the breakout wave toward 89.500.
With technical confirmation, bullish momentum, and a supportive macro backdrop, NZDJPY looks well-positioned for further upside. I’ll be watching for sustained price action above the breakout zone, and any dips will be viewed as buying opportunities. The trend is up, and momentum is real—this is a textbook breakout setup aligned with both fundamentals and price action.
Pound
GBPUSD - Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been hovering within a big range marked in red and blue.
This week, GBPUSD is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance.
As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
British Pound Slips to One-Month LowGBP/USD briefly climbed to 1.3560 in early European trading, supported by dollar softness and anticipation of upcoming speeches from BoE Governor Bailey and Fed Chair Powell. However, the pair remains under pressure, as market doubts linger around the ceasefire’s durability, especially after new missile activity by Israel’s IDF.
Fed rate cut expectations continue to build: odds for July are now at 23%, and 78% for September, fueled by dovish remarks from Governor Bowman.
Resistance is seen at 1.3600, while support holds at 1.3500.
EURGBP - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURGBP has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
On the GBPUSD chart, we can see that the price has repeatedly tested a key resistance zone but failed to break above it, resulting in multiple rejections.
After forming a rising wedge pattern, the pair has broken down below the wedge, and is now completing a pullback toward the broken trendline.
We expect that after some consolidation in this area and completion of the pullback, the price will likely resume its decline toward lower targets.
As long as price remains below the resistance zone and broken trendline, the bearish scenario remains valid.
Is the pullback complete and ready for the next leg down? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
USDCAD DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, with price currently pressing against the upper trendline resistance near 1.37300. This is a high-probability bullish reversal setup, and the pair is showing early signs of a potential breakout. The recent bullish momentum from the lows suggests buyers are stepping in aggressively, and if we get a strong daily close above the wedge, it could confirm the start of a new upward leg. My near-term target for this breakout is 1.47300, offering an excellent risk-reward profile.
From a fundamental perspective, the Canadian Dollar is currently under pressure due to weakening oil prices and softening domestic economic data. The Bank of Canada has recently signaled a dovish tilt following its latest rate cut in June, citing slower GDP growth and easing inflation. On the other hand, the US Dollar is finding renewed strength backed by sticky inflation and the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts. The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and BoC is creating a favorable environment for USDCAD bulls.
Technically, the confluence of wedge resistance, bullish divergence on the RSI, and a clear higher low formation all point toward a breakout scenario. A break above 1.37600–1.38000 would unlock the next wave of bullish continuation, potentially accelerating momentum toward the 1.47 handle. This area also aligns with the previous March highs, making it a strong technical magnet.
I remain bullish on USDCAD and will be watching the breakout closely this week. If the pair holds above 1.36800 and breaks structure convincingly, I’ll be adding to longs on confirmation. The current setup presents a textbook breakout opportunity supported by strong fundamentals, technical structure, and market sentiment leaning in favor of the USD.
SHORT ON EUR/GPBWe have a rising channel (bearish reversal chart pattern) at a major level of resistance (confluence)
Price has given us a breakout of the channel to the downside and is currently respecting resistance.
I will be selling EUR/GBP to the next support level looking to catch over 120 pips.
CHFJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISCHFJPY has continued to play out exactly as forecasted, breaking out cleanly from the descending channel on the 3D timeframe and rallying strongly above key structure. Price is currently trading around 178.00, already delivering solid upside from the breakout zone. The bullish breakout was confirmed by consecutive impulsive candles with minimal retracement, a clear sign of institutional strength behind this move. As long as this momentum holds, the next major target is 182.00 – a psychological level and previous structure high, now acting as a magnetic zone for price.
On the fundamental side, the Swiss Franc continues to enjoy safe-haven flows as global macro uncertainty persists. The Swiss National Bank has maintained a relatively tight stance, with inflation staying stable and CHF demand picking up. On the flip side, the Japanese Yen remains broadly weak due to ultra-loose monetary policy from the Bank of Japan. BOJ’s reluctance to shift away from yield curve control and negative interest rates makes JPY one of the most attractive funding currencies, driving consistent CHFJPY upside.
Technically, this move is supported by a textbook breakout from a falling wedge pattern, which historically has a high probability of bullish continuation. The volume and momentum on the breakout were strong, and we have a clean higher high and higher low structure forming. This confirms the end of the correction phase and a transition into a trending bullish cycle. With the current risk sentiment leaning toward CHF strength and JPY weakness, I’m confident in further upside toward my 182.000 target.
I’ll continue to trail stops below 174.00 to lock in profit while giving the trade room to breathe. If price consolidates near 179.50–180.00 with low volume, I may look for re-entry setups on pullbacks. As of now, CHFJPY remains one of the strongest trending pairs on the board, and I’ll stay long as long as the structure holds.
NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISNZDCHF is currently trading around the 0.4880–0.4900 zone, and on the daily timeframe, the pair appears to be completing an inverse head and shoulders pattern. However, unlike the typical bullish nature of this pattern, price has failed to break above the neckline and is showing early signs of bearish continuation. The right shoulder has already failed to create a higher high, and recent bearish candlesticks with strong wicks to the upside suggest rejection and downside momentum building. My short bias is supported by this structural weakness and loss of bullish steam.
From a fundamental perspective, the Swiss Franc remains strong due to its safe-haven demand amid lingering global risk aversion and slowing global growth expectations. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand, while on hold recently, has adopted a relatively dovish tone as domestic inflation trends soften. This diverging policy stance between the SNB and RBNZ provides a macroeconomic tailwind favoring CHF strength and NZD weakness. In today’s session, CHF also gained modestly following stronger-than-expected CPI revisions and cautious risk flows in the Asian and European sessions.
Technically, we’ve seen a clean break of the recent support zone near 0.4890, and the market structure has flipped bearish on both the daily and H4 charts. I expect further downside continuation toward the 0.4680–0.4700 range, especially if the current lower highs pattern persists. The bearish flag breakdown and consistent lower closes support continuation toward my 0.46 target. This offers a solid short setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio in play.
I’ll continue monitoring for any pullback toward the 0.4920–0.4950 area for potential re-entries on weakness. Momentum and volume indicators also point lower, aligning with the price action thesis. As long as we stay below 0.4970, the bearish scenario remains active, and I’m looking to capitalize on this developing bearish cycle in NZDCHF.
Pound Stable as Markets Eye BoE, Fed MovesGBP/USD remains below Friday’s three-year high, trading around the mid-1.3500s in a narrow range during Monday’s Asian session. The pair shows limited downside as traders await a busy week of key data and central bank decisions.
Markets are watching the UK CPI on Wednesday and the Bank of England’s policy announcement on Thursday, both crucial for the Pound. The US Federal Reserve will also decide on rates Wednesday, likely guiding the dollar’s short-term path.
Friday’s UK GDP showed a 0.3% contraction in April, increasing bets on faster BoE rate cuts. The USD is supported by safe-haven flows due to Middle East tensions, though soft US inflation data has raised expectations for Fed cuts by September. A broadly positive global risk mood is offering some support to GBP/USD.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISXAUUSD is currently forming a clean bullish pennant pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential continuation of the dominant uptrend. After a strong impulsive rally that pushed gold prices to new highs, the market entered into a consolidation phase, tightening within the pennant structure. This type of price action typically precedes a breakout, and with current price action hovering near the upper boundary of the pennant, a bullish breakout looks imminent. If we break above this consolidation zone, the next target stands at 3500, in line with the measured move projection from the prior leg.
From a fundamental standpoint, gold remains in strong demand amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting central bank policies. Recent data out of the US showed signs of a cooling labor market and slowing inflation pressures, increasing the odds of the Federal Reserve leaning toward rate cuts in the second half of 2025. A dovish Fed would weaken the US dollar and lower Treasury yields—two key drivers that historically push gold prices higher. Additionally, continued central bank gold buying globally, especially from emerging markets, is providing a strong underlying bid for XAU.
The current consolidation is healthy and is allowing the market to build momentum before another leg up. Volatility is compressing, volume remains steady, and price structure is respecting key trendlines. Once we get confirmation with a breakout and close above the upper pennant boundary, it would open the door to a swift move toward the 3500 region. Traders should monitor volume and RSI closely for early signs of breakout confirmation.
In this environment of economic uncertainty, demand for safe-haven assets like gold is only increasing. With technicals and fundamentals aligned, XAUUSD is gearing up for a powerful bullish wave. As long as we hold above the key 3280–3300 support range, the bullish thesis remains fully intact. This setup offers excellent reward-to-risk potential and is one of the more compelling opportunities currently on the radar.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
GBP/USD has reached a key resistance zone and is currently trading below it. A bearish divergence has also formed, signaling potential weakness in bullish momentum.
Given the confluence of resistance and negative divergence, we expect the price to struggle breaking above this level and likely decline toward the specified support zones.
Unless price breaks above the resistance decisively, the bias remains bearish in the short term.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after successfully bouncing off the key support zone around 1.34300. This level, which previously acted as a major resistance, has now flipped into solid support, confirming a classic breakout-retest structure. With the daily chart printing higher highs and higher lows, the market is clearly building a bullish continuation structure. Price action above this level signals that the bulls are gaining confidence, and we are now setting up for a clean run toward the 1.38000 target in the coming sessions.
Fundamentally, the British pound is currently benefitting from improved economic sentiment in the UK. With services PMI holding firm and inflation slowly coming under control, there’s growing speculation that the Bank of England could maintain a more hawkish stance compared to the Fed. Meanwhile, the US dollar is facing pressure due to softer labor data and increased expectations for a potential rate cut later this year. This divergence between the BoE and Fed is creating a favorable environment for GBP strength against USD.
From a technical perspective, the bounce off support is being validated with strong bullish candlesticks and momentum continuation. The market structure remains intact with a bullish trendline, and Fibonacci confluence levels are lining up perfectly to support higher price objectives. The nearest resistance sits just under 1.36000, and a break above that would likely trigger accelerated buying pressure toward the 1.38000 handle. Traders watching for trend continuation setups will find this level highly attractive.
GBPUSD is preparing for another bullish wave, and this structure remains one of the cleaner technical patterns in the majors right now. As long as the pair holds above 1.34300, the bias remains bullish with potential for extended gains. Monitor DXY and Fed rate sentiment closely, but with current fundamentals aligning with technicals, this setup is shaping up to be a high-probability bullish continuation.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.3570 with little movement ahead of the US (US) labor market data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is trading above around 98.80 at the time of writing. The upcoming US non-farm payrolls data for May is expected to add 130,000 jobs, down from April's 177,000. The unemployment rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%.
Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, above the 235,000 expected, U.S. Labor Department data showed. ADP US private sector employment data released on Thursday showed a 37,000 increase in May versus a 60,000 increase (revised from 62,000) recorded in April, well below market expectations of 115,000.
GBP/USD is gaining support as the Pound Sterling (GBP) finds support amid rising risk sentiment in the United Kingdom (UK) markets following US President Donald Trump's executive order signed on Tuesday. British exporters still face the previous 25 percent tariff rate as Trump granted the UK temporary relief from the US' stiff 50 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3500, SL 1.3600, TP 1.3300
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair attracted sellers during Tuesday's Asian session and broke part of a strong overnight move up towards the 1.3560 area, or multi-day peak.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, rebounded from a six-week low reached on Monday and proved to be a key factor putting downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair.
In addition, concerns over the deteriorating US fiscal situation and renewed trade tensions between the US and China should help limit USD gains. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, may continue to receive support from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will take a pause at its next meeting on June 18 and will not rush to cut interest rates further.
Traders may also prefer to wait for the hearing of the Bank of England's monetary policy report in Parliament. Investors will be closely watching comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and other members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) for information on the policy outlook, which in turn will influence the GBP exchange rate.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3495, SL 1.3595, TP 1.3295
GBPUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPUSD has played out exactly as forecasted, completing a clean bullish leg from the Fibonacci confluence zones and breaking through the key 1.3430 resistance level. The structure remains strongly bullish, and after this minor retest, I’m anticipating another impulsive wave to the upside, with the next target sitting firmly at the 1.3900 level. The pair continues to respect both structure and momentum, showing consistent demand on dips.
Fundamentally, the British pound continues to gain strength backed by sticky inflation data and hawkish tone from the Bank of England. With UK CPI remaining elevated and core services inflation running hot, the BoE is being forced to hold its tightening bias. This contrasts sharply with the Federal Reserve, where recent data shows signs of softening labor markets and cooling price pressure, bringing rate cut expectations back on the table for the second half of 2025.
Technically, GBPUSD has cleanly respected all key fib levels from the previous correction. The breakout above 1.3430 has flipped structure into bullish continuation, and the market has already begun forming higher highs and higher lows on both daily and 4H timeframes. As long as price holds above the 1.3430–1.3450 retest zone, the bullish outlook remains intact with high-probability momentum toward 1.3900.
In current market sentiment, GBPUSD remains one of the strongest trending pairs, with institutions adding to long exposure as the dollar index weakens. As a professional trader, I remain long-biased and look to scale in on lower timeframe retracements. This is a textbook continuation play backed by both technicals and macro momentum. Let the trend work—bulls remain in full control.
Pound Tops $1.357 on Solid DataGBP/USD advanced above $1.357, hitting its highest level since February 2022, as Trump’s delay of the 50% EU tariff boosted global sentiment. The pound also gained from promising April data, with retail sales rising 1.2%, marking the fourth monthly gain. Inflation stayed high at 3.5%, adding uncertainty over the BoE’s next move. Markets now price in a 50% chance of a rate cut by August, with another possible by year-end.
Support lies at 1.3425, with resistance at 1.3600. Other key levels are 1.3850 and 1.3750 above, and 1.3165 and 1.2890 below.
GBPJPY: Weekly overview + Significant zonesHello dear traders,
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone.
The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. I've doubled the short-term channel because it was so thin ;-).
* I don't use 189.663 zone to take short! There are too many moving S&R around it.
This analysis is valid until the end of the week.
**************************************
Important news that could change the direction of the trade:
Wed: Great Britain CPI of April.
GBP/USD Firms as UK Data Performs WellGBP/USD edged up by 0.25% in Friday’s Asian session, nearing 1.3450, after upbeat UK retail sales and consumer confidence data lifted sentiment. The GfK index rose to -20 in May, beating forecasts, while April retail sales surprised to the upside.
However, PMI data showed divergence as manufacturing fell to 45.1 (vs. 46.0 expected), while services ticked up to 50.2 from 49.0.
The pound also benefited from a weaker U.S. dollar as Treasury yields retreated from 19-month highs. Trump’s budget bill, which includes tax breaks on tips and U.S.-made car loans, passed narrowly and is projected to add $3.8 billion to the deficit.
Resistance is at 1.3470, followed by 1.3550 and 1.3700. Key support lies at 1.3250, then 1.3150 and 1.3000.
GBP/JPY Holds Key Support as Bullish Momentum BuildsA bullish setup has emerged on GBP/JPY, with recent price action suggesting bullish momentum is building. With GBP strengthening against USD, GBP/JPY may present a higher-probability bullish scenario compared to USD/JPY in the near term (though this also looks bullish to my eyes over the near term).
GBP/JPY held above key moving averages midweek. GBP/JPY failed to close below its 200-day SMA on both Wednesday and Thursday, while yesterday’s session also respected support at the 50-day EMA and the 192.00 handle.
Momentum indicators support the bullish case, with the daily RSI trading above 50 after rebounding from its most oversold level in six weeks.
As long as prices hold above Thursday’s low, bulls may look for a retest of the cycle highs near 196.00.
** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in >30 minutes **
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com