EURUSD Analysis And Next Market MovePair Name = EURUSD
Timeframe = 12H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Pattern = Falling Wedge
Details :-
EURUSD is making the falling wedge pattern. We are waiting for breakout. After breakout. We can see 300 Pips + gain.
EUR is getting stronger that is pulling market to upside.
Target:-
1.11
1.12
Pound
GBPUSD on the way to 1.34The currency pair in focus is GBP/USD, representing the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of the pair is 1.25, meaning 1 British Pound is worth 1.25 US Dollars. The target price is 1.34, indicating an expected price movement to 1.34, where the British Pound will be worth 1.34 US Dollars. The gain in pips is 400, meaning the price is anticipated to rise by 400 pips, with each pip representing a small movement in the exchange rate. The strategy being followed is based on support and resistance levels, which are key concepts in technical analysis. Support refers to a price level where the pair tends to find buying interest, while resistance represents a price level where selling interest is typically strong. This suggests the pair has recently bounced from a support level and is approaching a resistance level. If the price breaks through the resistance, it could move toward the target price. The pattern of support and resistance helps traders identify potential entry and exit points, guiding them towards achieving the 400-pip gain. This strategy relies on observing price trends and historical levels of support and resistance to predict future price movements. Good Volume Expecting.
XAUUSD on the way to 2900 Price LevelThe currency pair in focus is XAU/USD, representing the exchange rate between gold (XAU) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price of XAU/USD is 2611, meaning one ounce of gold is valued at 2611 US Dollars. The target price is 2900, indicating a projected increase in gold's value to 2900 USD per ounce. The expected gain is 2000 pips, with each pip representing a small price movement in the currency pair. The pattern being observed is a Symmetrical Triangle, a chart formation that indicates a period of consolidation. In this pattern, the price moves between converging trendlines, suggesting that the market is uncertain and waiting for a breakout. A breakout occurs when the price breaks above the upper trendline or below the lower trendline, signaling a strong price movement. Traders are watching for this breakout, as it could push the price toward the target of 2900. The symmetrical triangle pattern typically leads to a significant price movement once the breakout occurs, making it a key technical indicator. This setup is used by traders to anticipate the direction of the next major move in the market.
GBP/USD: Market Sentiment and the Road Ahead for the PoundFollowing up on our previous analysis of GBP/USD, it has been a tumultuous week for the Pound, which experienced significant declines on Wednesday and Thursday. Although GBP/USD managed a brief correction higher on Friday, it ultimately closed the week in negative territory. At the time of writing, the pair is in a consolidation phase, trading below the 1.2545 mark.
The sharp drop in GBP/USD can be attributed to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish dot plot, coupled with the Bank of England's relatively dovish stance after its final policy meeting of the year. This combination led to a notable downturn in the currency pair. However, as we approached the weekend, a more positive shift in market sentiment emerged due to the US Congress successfully averting a government shutdown, which caused the US Dollar (USD) to weaken against its peers. This turn of events allowed GBP/USD to recover some of its earlier losses.
From a technical analysis perspective, we are anticipating continued bearish momentum for the Pound against the USD as we approach the next demand zone.
Previous Idea:
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 20, 2024 GBPUSDThe Bank of England kept its key rate at 4.75%, which was in line with market expectations. However, three members voted for a rate cut, which came as a surprise and emphasized the regulator's softer stance. This reinforced expectations of significant monetary policy easing in 2025 - the BoE is projected to cut the rate up to four times at 0.25%. In comparison, the Fed is planning less aggressive cuts another 1-2 times, which strengthens the US Dollar's position and puts pressure on the Pound.
The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. The Bank of England lowered its GDP growth forecasts for 2024, pointing to weak economic dynamics. Despite the high growth of wages (5.2%), inflation remains above the target level, which requires the preservation of tight monetary policy. At the same time, the regulator noted that its easing will begin only after a steady decline in inflation to 2%.
The fundamental background for the British currency remains negative. Investors will follow further statements of the Bank of England and economic data, but in the near future the pound is likely to continue a gradual decline.
Trading recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
GBP/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 194.63 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 192.70 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 197.35 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for December 17, 2024 GBPUSDGBP/USD broke a three-day losing streak that took the pair to 1.2600 last week, recovering just over half a percent on Monday to return to the 1.2700 range.
UK services PMI results for December hit an 11-month low. On Tuesday, UK traders will focus on wage and labor data. Quarterly average wages are expected to rise to 5% year-on-year.
Markets await the Federal Reserve's rate decision on Wednesday. Traders will be closely watching the Fed's updated summary of economic projections (SEP) and interest rate forecasts from policymakers.
U.S. PMI data for December was mixed, with the services PMI hitting multi-year highs and the manufacturing PMI falling below 50.0, indicating contraction. Retail sales data will be released on Tuesday, but may attract limited market attention ahead of the Fed's final rate decision this year.
On Wednesday, traders will keep an eye on fresh UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, while the rest of the market will await the Bank of England's (BoE) latest rate decision scheduled for Thursday. The Bank of England is expected to leave the interest rate unchanged.
Trading recommendation: Watching the level of 1.2700, trading mainly with Buy orders
GBP/USD Sell Setup Incoming!!we can clearly see a nice formation of a bearish structure on the monthly timeframe which is consistent with the weekly structure
we also a key monumental shift on the EMA crossover and the price is now below the trendline
So as the DXY (Dollar index) continue to rise we shall see GBPUSD continue lower and currently we have multiple confirmation in higher structure confirming the probability setup
Use proper risk management!!
stop loss anywhere at 1.29000 level seem okey!!
target 1.21500
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eurusd short/long +180/+180 swing trade setup🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
We are currently stuck in 180 pips high/low range, so it's best
to focus on selling high and buying low in current market conditions.
🔸Key levels for eurusd traders: 0420 s/r bulls, 0600s/r bears,
0600 mirror s/r bears level will get re-tested by the bulls for liquidity.
🔸Recommended strategy for eurusd traders: the sequence
is short / long so you want to short high off the s/r bears at 0600 SL 40
TP 0420 pips, this is the the reversal play / re-test of the mirror s/r bulls
at 0420 then flip long at/near 0420+-20 pips SL 40 pips TP1 +90
TP2 +180 pips final exit bulls at mirror s/r at 0600. this is a swing
trade setup, patience required. good luck traders!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBP/USD Analysis 1H TimeframeWe are observing a breakout below the purple support level, indicating potential bearish momentum. However, my idea focuses on the next key support level in the green zone, which holds significant importance.
This support level has been untested for a long time and has historically shown high trading volume.
I anticipate that when the price retraces to this green support level, buyers could step in, pushing the price higher.
The BoE's interest rate cut path is becoming unclear.
Bloomberg Economics reports that the Bank of England (BoE) is unlikely to keep cutting interest rates after 2025 due to an overheating economy and the risk of rising inflation. While BoE Governor Bailey anticipates four 25bp cuts next year, markets are skeptical about the central bank's ability to further reduce rates without igniting inflation.
GBPUSD continues its uptrend, holding above the trendline. Both EMAs widen the gap, indicating a bullish momentum. If GBPUSD holds above the trendline, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 1.2850. Conversely, if GBPUSD breaks below the trendline, the price may retreat to the support at 1.2715, where EMA78 coincides.
+140 pips The Best Level to BUY/HOLD EURUSD swing trade🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for EURUSD today.
Overall, strong price chart with sequence of higher lows in progress.
🔸Clearly defined set of overhead resistances and supports below
market price with liquidity distributed equally among buy side
and sell side order blocks.
🔸Primary pattern / structure is 3 drives in progress, expecting
a final pullback to trigger OB liquidity at/near 0510/0520 before
bullish reaction and final push (3rd drive).
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended
at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0510/0520 SL 30 pips TP1 +70 TP2 +140 final exit at 0640. Bears should
wait for further updates and get ready to short from sell side order
blocks near 0640/0660 S/R zone. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPAUD at most important resistance since 2020The GBP/AUD pair shows a notable pattern on the daily chart, displaying a clear uptrend that has persisted since July 2024, characterized by rising lows but encountering resistance at the 2.000 level. Recently, the price approached 1.9967, a significant resistance level not seen since 2020. This level is pivotal, not just as a historical high, but also as a key psychological barrier near the round number of 2.000. Following this resistance testing, the price has begun to exhibit signs of weakness, indicating a potential reversal or at least a short-term correction.
Current Market Context
The bullish trend has been backed by a distinct ascending trendline connecting the key lows. However, as the price neared the 1.9967 resistance, candles with long upper shadows emerged, signaling rising selling pressure.
Potential Sell Opportunity: Close Below 1.9735
A close below 1.9735 would result in a Bearish Engulfing pattern, where a bearish candle completely covers the previous bullish one, indicating a shift in market sentiment toward sellers. In this context, closing below 1.9735 would validate this pattern and support a potential sell-off.
Characteristics of the Potential Sell Trade:
Entry Point: Approximately 1.9730 (upon a close below 1.9735).
Stop Loss: 2.0010, above the recent high, to guard against false breakouts.
First Target: 1.9350 (380 pips away), aligning with significant support from November, where the price faced strong rejection previously.
Second Target: 1.9150 (580 pips away), corresponding to an even stronger support level, reinforced by the long-term ascending trendline.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Risk: 280 pips (from 1.9735 to the stop at 2.0010).
Reward:
First Target: 380 pips (Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.35).
Second Target: 585 pips (Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.52).
This scenario presents an attractive opportunity for traders seeking a short-term trend reversal.
Scenario: Breakout of 2.000 Resistance
Conversely, if the price breaks and closes above 2.000, this historical resistance would be invalidated, potentially allowing the uptrend to continue. In this case:
Entry: Close above 2.000.
Stop Loss: 1.9900, positioned below the broken resistance to protect against retracements.
First Target: 2.0100 (90 pips from the entry), a significant psychological level likely to attract market interest.
Second Target: 2.0250 (240 pips from the entry).
Signals Against Selling:
A breakout candle with increasing volume above 2.000.
Sustained closes above the resistance, indicating buying momentum.
In this scenario, the bullish structure would resume, with buyers regaining control.
Summary
The GBP/AUD pair is at a critical juncture. A Bearish Engulfing pattern following a close below 1.9735 could present a viable sell opportunity, supported by clear targets and a favorable risk-reward ratio. Conversely, a break above 2.000 could pave the way for new highs, sustaining the uptrend. Traders should closely observe price movements in the upcoming sessions to determine the likely outcome.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Fundamental Market Analysis for December 04, 2024 GBPUSDUS labor and payrolls data will dominate this week ahead of Friday's NFP.
Pound/Dollar has been charting just south of the 1.2700 mark on Tuesday, holding rates in check as Pound Sterling traders struggle with a significant lull in meaningful UK economic data, while the broader markets prepare for a fresh batch of US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data due out later in the week.
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey is due to speak early Wednesday. The head of the UK central bank will give a pre-recorded interview at a conference organized by the Financial Times. Nothing noteworthy is expected from the Bank of England Governor's speech, but GBP traders will be keeping their ears to the ground to make sure they don't miss any significant phrases the BoE Governor may announce.
Wednesday will see the release of the US non-farm employment change data from ADP, which is expected to fall to 150k from the previous reading of 233k. In the US trading session on Wednesday, investors will also receive data on the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The US services PMI survey is expected to fall to 55.5 in November from 56.0 in the previous month.
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell is also expected to speak on Wednesday. The Fed chief will answer questions from the audience during a discussion organized by the New York Times.
Trading recommendation: Watch the level of 1.2700, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
The Psychology of Wealth
🔸The psychology of wealth centers on cultivating a mindset that aligns your thoughts, beliefs, and actions with abundance, financial success, and prosperity.
🔸The affirmations you’ve mentioned—such as "money comes easily," "I deserve success," and "I’m in control of my future"—are key components of a wealth-oriented mindset. This approach isn’t just about positive thinking; it’s about rewiring your brain, creating empowering habits, and developing the emotional resilience needed to achieve financial and personal success.
🔸Here’s a breakdown of how these affirmations and principles relate to the psychology of wealth:
1. "Money Comes Easily"
▪️Belief in Ease and Flow: This statement fosters a belief that financial opportunities are abundant and accessible. When you believe money can come easily, you’re more likely to notice opportunities, attract resources, and act on them confidently.
▪️Shift from Scarcity to Abundance: Many people operate with a scarcity mindset, feeling money is hard to earn. By affirming that money comes easily, you break free from this limiting belief and open yourself to creative solutions and ideas.
🔸Actionable Steps:
▪️Identify opportunities in your field or new markets.
▪️Develop skills that make earning money simpler and more sustainable.
2. "I Deserve Success"
▪️Self-Worth and Wealth: Believing you deserve success ties your financial achievements to your sense of self-worth. If you subconsciously feel undeserving, you may sabotage your efforts or settle for less.
▪️Breaking Limiting Beliefs: Many people are conditioned by childhood experiences or societal expectations to believe success is reserved for others. Reaffirming that you deserve success challenges these limiting beliefs.
🔸Actionable Steps:
▪️Reflect on past achievements and recognize your value.
▪️Engage in self-care and personal growth activities to reinforce your worthiness.
3. "There Is an Abundance of Money"
▪️Abundance Mentality: This statement helps shift from a scarcity mindset to an abundance mindset. Believing there’s enough wealth for everyone fosters collaboration, innovation, and generosity.
▪️Law of Attraction: When you focus on abundance, you’re more likely to act in ways that attract wealth and prosperity into your life.
🔸Actionable Steps:
▪️Practice gratitude daily to focus on what you already have.
▪️Seek out stories or examples of abundance to reinforce this belief.
4. "Nothing Can Stop Me from Success"
▪️Resilience and Determination: This affirmation builds a mindset of resilience and perseverance. It reminds you that challenges are temporary and that you have the power to overcome obstacles.
▪️Reframing Failure: By adopting this belief, you view setbacks as opportunities to learn and grow, rather than insurmountable barriers.
🔸Actionable Steps:
▪️Break big goals into manageable steps to maintain momentum.
▪️Develop a "growth mindset," where challenges are viewed as essential for improvement.
5. "I’m in Control of My Future"
▪️Empowerment and Responsibility: This belief emphasizes personal accountability and the ability to influence your financial destiny. It counters feelings of helplessness and external blame.
▪️Focus on What You Can Control: While you can’t control every external event, you can control your reactions, decisions, and efforts.
🔸Actionable Steps:
▪️Set clear financial and personal goals.
▪️Continuously educate yourself about wealth-building strategies, such as investing, saving, and entrepreneurship.
Final Thoughts
The psychology of wealth is about more than financial gain—it’s about cultivating a mindset of abundance, gratitude, and empowerment. By believing that money comes easily, you deserve success, and you are in control of your future, you set the stage for proactive behaviors and sustained growth. Pair these beliefs with practical strategies, and you’ll find yourself on a path toward financial freedom and personal fulfillment.
eurusd h4 long/short +220/+300 pips swing trade plan🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4hour chart for EURUSD today.
All previous setups hit TP, +600 pips original short and recently
another short from resistance TP hit +240 pips.
feel free to recap via links below:
🔸Currently after hitting 0500 EURUSD remains weak / vulnerable
to further downside. I'm not expecting any bounce from current
levels and also can't recommend any new entries, right now this
is a no trade zone for me.
🔸Bears will target re-test of key s/r zone at 0380, this is also
the highest probability zone for a bounce in EURUSD.
Resistance overhead set at 0600, so this is a +220 pips trade setup
based on the bounce off the key s/r zone.
🔸Recommended strategy for EURUSD traders:no trade recommended
at current price, however bulls should enter BUY/HOLD at/near 0380
SL 40 pips TP1 +120 TP2 +220 final exit at 0600. Bears should wait
for the bounce to complete and short from overhead resistance at
0600 TP1 +150 pips TP2 +300 pips final exit at 0300. SL 40 pips.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBP/USD 1H AnalysisThe price has broken above a key resistance zone, which is now acting as support. This breakout signals potential bullish momentum.
✅ What I’m watching for:
If the price pulls back to the new support zone, it could present a good opportunity to enter a long position, but only with confirmation of buyers stepping in.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for clear signals, like bullish candlesticks or increased buying volume, to confirm the support holds before entering.
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GBPUSD SHORT TO $1.24300 (UPDATE)Once again overnight (Asia session) GU shot back up again towards our Wave 5 entry zone, rejected it again & is running 70 PIPS in profit so far.
Me & my Gold Vault Academy students understand that Wave 5 being the FINAL IMPULSE WAVE, means that wave will move slowly & trap in a lot of early buyers before it reaches its target. As an Elliott Wave trader, you need to learn to be generous with your SL as we are long term traders trading the higher TF’s, not scalpers👌
GBP/USD: Analysis , Can the Pound Find Support at 1.2400?The Pound Sterling is experiencing a sustained bearish trend, remaining under significant pressure following President-elect Donald Trump's recent announcement of a proposed 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, alongside a 10% increase on all imports from China to the United States. These developments are likely to strengthen the U.S. Dollar further, potentially driving the Pound and other currencies into another bearish phase against the Dollar.
As the market digests these tariff implications, investors are wary of the potential economic repercussions, especially as they pertain to trade relationships. The insistence on higher tariffs could lead to retaliatory measures from affected countries, creating uncertainty that weighs heavily on the Pound.
Looking ahead, analysts are closely watching the 1.2400 mark, which is recognized as a potential demand zone for the Pound. If the currency falls to this level, it may attract buying interest from traders looking to capitalize on a rebound. However, the overall sentiment appears to favor further bearish movement unless there are significant changes in the economic landscape or policy shifts.
In this volatile environment, market participants are advised to remain vigilant, as the unfolding situation may present both risks and opportunities.
✅ Please share your thoughts about GBP/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Silver Strategic Outlook 2025: Bulls will Target $40 USD 50% BUY🔸Hello guys, today let's review D1 price chart for SILVER. 5 waves
impulse in progress, currently wave 3 completed and we are entering
wave 4 pullback / re-accumulation stage right now.
🔸Well defined 5 waves structure, with two re-accumulation zones
in wave 2 / wave 4. Impulse projected to end in 2025 with wave 5
and bulls will target 40 USD. 40 USD will cap the upside in precious
metals and will result in ABC correction in 2026.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: BULLS should focus on
buying low from the lows of the re-accumulation zone, so the best
entry to BUY/HOLD is near 27/28 USD. TP is 40 USD. 50% unlevereged
upside in this trade. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.