GBP/JPY: Race back to 200.000? On Monday, the yen dropped to 160.000 per dollar, marking its lowest level since 1990, before rebounding more than 3% to 154.5 per dollar. This rebound was suspected to be the result of intervention by Japanese authorities.
According to reports from Bloomberg, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) likely injected ¥5.5 trillion into the currency markets after discrepancies were noted in the BoJ's operations report on Tuesday, where market forecasts didn't align with reported current account figures.
Both the GBP/JPY and USD/JPY pairs are gradually recovering on the charts. The USD/JPY is testing levels above 157.500, while the GBP/JPY is eyeing 197.00.
Both pairs could keep on advancing if the forthcoming US data continues to surprise. Notably, the Fed taking a hawkish tone after its FOMC decision on Wednesday and jobs data due on Friday.
The GBP/JPY's recent peak at 200.60 remains a key target for traders despite potential intervention by the BoJ.
Looking forward, market sentiment could appear bullish, with attention focused on key levels such as the 193.600 resistance-turned-support and the 10-day SMA.
Pound
GJI am staying out of it.
It is confusing and that's when it's best to stay away and out of the market.
DAILY
We peaked at 200.50, which is good to look out for possible buys into the market. Which last happened in 2015. This is the final (3rd leg) of the double bottom (W formation).
4H
Ascending Channel within an ascending channel is what we look for when trying to get sells. Which will give us added information for our case of evidence. With where price is (mid=range) it is better to stay out and stay away.
1H
Same as the 4H. Just stay away and stay watching.
GBP/USD: Recovery Momentum Amidst Technical and Fund. FactorsThe GBP/USD pair has shown signs of gaining traction during the early European session on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.2460 mark after experiencing a rebound around the 50% Fibonacci level. Despite previous forecasts suggesting a potential deeper reversal around the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels, recent price action, in line with EUR/USD movements, indicates a potential bullish impulse. However, it's essential to note that our analysis serves as an idea rather than a call for immediate entry into trades.
Looking at the near-term technical outlook, there's a discernible buildup of recovery momentum. Nonetheless, the pair could encounter significant resistance around the 1.2625 level, where the Local Point of Control (POC) of volume from the previous range consolidation area resides. Our perspective revolves around the possibility of a retracement near the POC line followed by a subsequent push downward.
Turning to economic news, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently released data indicating that inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), dipped to 3.2% in March from the previous month's 3.4%, surpassing market expectations of 3.1%. Moreover, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 4.2% during the same period, slightly above analysts' estimates of 4.1%. These readings prompted a strengthening of the Pound Sterling against its counterparts.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar continues to grapple with tepid demand, contributing to the upward momentum of GBP/USD as market sentiment improves midweek. This dynamic underscores the interplay between technical and fundamental factors shaping currency movements.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair exhibits signs of recovery momentum amidst a backdrop of technical indicators and fundamental data. While recent price action suggests a potential bullish impulse, resistance levels loom overhead, warranting caution for traders. The release of economic data, particularly inflation figures, has influenced market sentiment, driving movements in the Pound Sterling. Against the backdrop of a subdued US Dollar, GBP/USD dynamics remain dynamic, requiring traders to remain vigilant and adaptable to evolving market conditions.
Pound H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.2521 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.2588 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.2426 which is a pullback support.
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GBPJPY - Long Trade IdeaI like the long idea here. If the current day can form a Bisi, that would be fantastic. After that I would just be looking price to trade back into the Bisi, into one of the key Breaker levels annotated, at the right time of the day, then STRIKE.
The highest-probability target would be the recent high, and the next discretionary target would be my Wick Chair model (out of view), which basically also has some EQHs as well. A runner could be left for even higher prices should both targets be hit.
The stoploss is discretionary for a better RR as this is the Daily timeframe. The safest option would be the protected low annotated on the chart.
- R2F
GBP/JPY H1 | Heading into resistanceGBP/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 194.91 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 195.47 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and the pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 194.14 which is a pullback support that lies above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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EURGBP - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea I have, and most likely it will come to fruition. We have a good liquidity pool taken out with a great reversal displacement. We also have a great draw on liquidity for the buyside.
See here for my analysis on the Daily timeframe.
Refer to my notes within the screenshots for context.
Happy trading!
- R2F
GBP/JPY H4 | Falling to pullback supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 190.29 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 189.88 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 191.63 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
British Pound can turn around and try to break resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. By observing the chart, we can see that the price a not long time ago started to decline inside the downward channel, where it first rebounded from the support line and rose to the channel's resistance line. But after this, EURGBP bounced from this line too and continued to decline in the channel to the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and then price some time traded in this area. Later the price rebounded up, exiting from the downward channel, but after this it made a downward movement, breaking the 0.8540 level again. Soon, GBP turned around and started to rise inside from an upward pennant, where it broke the support level one more time, making a fake breakout. After this, the price made a correction to the support line of the pennant and then made an impulse up to the resistance line, thereby breaking the 0.8615 level, which coincided with the seller zone. But a not long time ago British Pound turned around and in a short time declined below the resistance level and now it continues to decline. In my mind, EURGBP can fall to the support line, after which the price will turn around and rebound up to the resistance line of the pennant, breaking the resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at the 0.8635 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBP/NZD D1 | Potential bearish breakoutGBP/NZD is falling towards a breakout level and could potentially break through it to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 2.0899 which is a potential breakout level ( wait for the 4-hour candle to close below 2.0899 for confirmation ).
Stop loss is at 2.1225 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 2.0417 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GJDAILY
Still in our bullish trend, currently forming a channel where we are slowing down and pulling momentum. Towards the 190.00 is where we would expect a reversal and continuation of the trend.
4H
Still letting it fall and as practice analysis, our forecast from early in the morning is currently on par with the market. 190.00 our aim
1H
In the distribution phase so we know this is where momentum is best.
GBP/CHF Sell setup 94 Pips Weekly timeframe
Price has massive rejection with wick on top so we could see price retrace to 31.8% fib as it broke the structure
H4 Timeframe
Price has broken the wedge to the downside and now the price has retraced to the 61.8% fib level and we see weakness on momentum to upside, so price is forming downward trend so we shall see a continuation to fill the wicks
Follow me for more breakdown, Comment and like
GBP/USD Outlook: Waiting for CPI
Hello traders,
As we approach tomorrow's release of CPI data for both GBP and EUR, it's likely that the markets will adopt a wait-and-see approach until then.
Considering the longer-term perspective, GBP appears to be oversold within a bearish channel. As such, it's advisable to avoid short-term trades with high risk exposure.
Keep an eye on the yellow trend line, as a break above it could present opportunities for long trades.
Trading Scenarios:
The UK CPI is estimated to be around 3.1%. Any bullish surprise, particularly between 3.2% to 3.3%, may offer a favorable zone around 1.2482 for shorting the pair. However, a figure exceeding 3.5% could signal a potential change in trend, prompting us to seek technical reasons to long the pair.
Conversely, any bearish surprise has the potential to breach key levels and invalidate the bearish channel. In such a scenario, I'll promptly announce new scenarios.
In the absence of any surprises, it's prudent to explore zones closer to the current price for shorting opportunities.
Stay informed and remain adaptable to evolving market conditions.
Best regards,
GBP/JPY H1 | Falling to 38.2% Fibonacci supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 191.72 which is a pullback support that aligns with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 191.25 which is a level that lies underneath the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 192.71 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/NZD H1 | Potential bullish reversalGBP/NZD is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2.1033 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 2.0983 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 2.1106 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to a 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GJI am seeing a long sell
DAILY
We have struggled to break the high for the third time, telling us the ceiling is high and filled with sellers. An ascending channel is forming and within it we have another ascending channel which adds to the confluence.
4H
We have a bullish channel in the smaller ascending channel. Where it is also struggling to break the high. 179.80, this gives us ideas of what to do next as we wait on the market open today which will come with the supply.
1H
Impulsive bearish candles, they dragging each other. Let's stay watching 192.20 and see how the trade idea goes.
GBPUSDThe pound, like the euro, is also in a long context since yesterday. A clear order flow in the long direction is visible. The target in the form of the previous day's high (PDH) has already been reached in the news-driven movement. I've marked the second target for the day, which is the nearest high-liquidity zone.
EUR/GBP H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceEUR/GBP is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8568 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.8596 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8531 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Analysis of England POUND in Daily Time
The British economy, like Europe, is waiting for collapse and weakening, and the time has come for the dollar to dominate again.
This currency has taken a downward guard and by hitting the key and important red resistance area, the energy needed to launch the price to the 1.18 area with the first scenario and to reach the 1.036 area with the second scenario.
GJStill holding a bad trade from yesterday, entered too early.
DAILY
We had a close with a reversal stop candle which was showing us downwards demand, now we we are forming a bullish reversal candle. So we know that the candlestick use is wrong, as we should use patterns to give us more guidance. Retesting 192.00, which we have established as our resistance and price of reversal.
4H
192.50 was the turning point and we are still moving to down side, so we will wait and hold.
Having a trend within a trend, we have a bullish reversal channel forming in the larger bull structure, therefore we need a break and retest in order to fully execute this trade idea.
1H
The close of the candlestick will give us the confirmation we need to start thinking of placing our sells. 191.60 is where we need to break and reject before we fully execute.
15Min
First let price reach 191.80 and break through here first.