GBPAUD: Top-Down Analysis & Bullish Setup 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is trading in a long - term bullish trend.
After the price set a new high, it started a correctional movement.
Bears are currently approaching a 4H intraday support.
The price action on an hourly time frame looks very bullish to me.
The price formed a double bottom pattern there and broke its neckline.
I expect a bullish continuation to 1.4746 / 1.9805
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Pound
EURGBP: Your Trading Plan For Today 🇪🇺🇬🇧
Update for EURGBP.
Earlier, we spotted a confirmed breakout of a key daily support.
The market is retesting the broken structure at the moment.
The price formed a bearish flag pattern on a 4h time frame.
Your confirmation to sell will be a breakout of its lower boundary
- 4h candle close below a trend line will confirm a violation.
A bearish continuation will be anticipated to 0.8515 support then.
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✅GBP_CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE🔥
✅GBP_CAD is approaching a supply level of 1.7355
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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GBPJPY 20/8/2023Starting our week off the same way we have the last few weeks with GJ.
Now on Friday we had a slow day for PA but overall we did put a new sell range in, showing deeper sell side prices are to be expected for the next expansion on GJ, now there are some keu points to keep in mind with the range.
firstly we have a very weak break on our SWL, this tells us that price is slowing down on the sell side so we should use caution on entry into our sell trade.
Secondly we have a very low volume POI as it sits within out Asia range which has a lot lower levels of liquidity than our NY and LDN.
thirdly we have a C-swing POI that has pushed price out of our SWL poi bringing us into the 50% level of our range, we also have the ASIA high above our SWH so overall very low risk if we enter this range overall.
**KEY NOTE**
Jackson hole meetings this week that always shake up the markets so please keep an eye on that event!
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
GBPUSD Weekly overviewRegarding our observations, currently there are almost same number of buyers and sellers in the market
These are best levels regarding Support and resistance, Channels, Weekly pivots, Buyers and Sellers focus and order_block.
Regarding our timeframe, levels are so tight so just shorter term traders like intraday traders and scalpers could make profit on this market!
We will not enter medium risk and high risk trades between 1.2850 and 1.2550
GBP-CAD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CAD is closer and
Closer to the horizontal
Resistance level of 1.7348
And because the pair is
Overbought I think that
We can be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
🔥 NEW: GBPCAD 🔥 DT SWING 🔥Requested by: @YOUNGMILLIONS21
SLO @ 1.7310 📉
SSO @ 1.7250 ⏳
TP1 @ 1.6725
TP2 @ 1.6235
TP3 @ 1.5875
TP4 @ 1.5325
BLO @ 1.4860 ⏳
While major moving averages are reflective of strong buying pressure, overall, the major oscillators are nearing indicating sell signals.
This could be point to Price Action being in Supply.
The RSI indicator and the MACD indicator are neutral, but the Stochastic oscillator is overbought.
STRATEGY: PIP MOVEMENT
Scalping: 10 pips
Intraday trading: 10-50 pips
Swing trading: 50-100 pips
Position trading: 100-200 pips
The Bank of England's DilemmaOf the three central banks that I primarily trade, the Bank of England (BOE) has the biggest puzzle. Today's data was the worst possible for Governor Bailey and his team. Specifically, employment fell by 66,000 and the unemployment rate ticked higher by 0.2% for the second month in a row to 4.2% (the Federal Reserve would be delighted with this turn of events).
On the other hand, wages continue to rise in the UK, with the ONS noting that June recorded the highest annual wage growth rate since comparable records began in 2001. In addition, we are now seeing real wages/earnings move back into positive territory for the first time since the end of 2021.
The nightmare of central bankers is coming true.
What does this mean? It just raises further concerns that the squeeze on the economy is starting to translate to the labor market. And in that lieu, it could lead to a sharper downturn in the quarters to come.
This only validates further concerns that the UK could be facing the risks of stagflation, which is certainly not something that the BOE would like to see. Add in higher financing costs and tighter credit conditions alongside the cost of living crisis, and that's not quite the recipe for the pound to be optimistic in the bigger picture.
The data is one side of the coin, but the other, more important side, is the chart, as everything is drawn on it.
The area described in the previous analysis has so far prevented bears from another charge. The key level for supply is currently 1.2819 . It should be maintained if the falls are to pick up pace.
It is also worth paying attention to whether the supply will remain in the downward channel (red lines).
We still have important US data today, namely retail sales, which will tell us how strong the American consumer is - this may have a significant impact on GBP/USD prices.
EURGBP: Time For Pullback 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP was falling for some time within a channel.
After a test of a key horizontal support, the price bounced and violated the resistance line of the channel.
It is an important sign of strength of the buyers and a highly probable bullish continuation.
Goals: 0.8615 / 0.8628
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GBPJPY: Key Levels & Technical Outlook 🇬🇧🇯🇵
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPJPY.
Resistance 1: 183.77 - 184.25 area
Support 1: 181.10 - 181.30 area
Support 2: 180.44 - 180.71 area
Support 3: 176.30 - 177.05 area
The market is currently approaching the Resistance 1 based on the year's high.
Its bullish breakout - daily candle close above will push the prices much higher.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of Support 1 may trigger a correctional movement.
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Demand zonePair is trading over a strong demand zone. It is worth to open a small long position and add at every drop. It could more days to take off. GBP is getting stringer across the board. Wide stop loss, forex is very volatile, the stops loss triggers when a daily candle closes and break down the demand zone.
GBPUSD: The beginning of the end?I'm expecting full on GBP weakness over the coming weeks, regardless of what happens with the dollar.
We've broken below the months of ascending trendline and so far failed to break back above, we have a beautiful bearish engulfing candle on the 4hr close from Friday.
I get this pair wrong a lot (because I live in the UK and can see a car crash happening in slow motion...), so will definitely not be jumping in. We have big US CPI data on Thursday at 13.30 GMT, if inflation figures are worse (lower) than forecast then this will be good for the GBP in the short term - however I'm thinking that the best will happen is a failed retest of the trendline and I'm thinking we're starting the move back down - just deserts for how the BoE have performed imho.
GBPJPY: Breakout, Retest, Down...In my recent ideas I’ve noted JPY strength resuming and this is evident in the performance last week, and we can see this when looking at the JPYWCU chart which is like DXY for the Yen. We can see what could be a higher low forming and a fourth retest of the resistance around 0.005350 which could break.
We’ve seen out-performance of the Yen against many crosses in the past week, which has generated good pips, it’s too early to suggest a strong recovery (especially as BoJ clearly want a weaker currency to support exports), however they have an economy that when recessions start to hit, I believe they’ll fair better.
All crosses against yens are at their high points, this doesn’t mean they can’t go higher, but money flows and I believe the shift is starting.
I’m expecting GBP weakness over the coming weeks due to high inflation and massive threat of recession, and definitely this week against the Yen, so looking for shorts around 181.4.
First target will be 167 area.
GBP/USD -Flirting Resistance *W
- Great British Pound seen on a more broader picture of
Weekly Time-frame *W (tf) .
Flirting with Trendline Resistance that rejected price action
on 4 times of interactions previously.
Fakeout occurance would be put to stop by 200EMA coming down as
Resistance Ceiling for GBP/USD
Breakout of Trendline + 200EMA re-testing them as Supports would give
much more room for growth regarding GBP
Below Supports
- Daily Order-Block *D OB
- Last Higher Low at 1.18$
- Weekly Order-Block *W OB
TRADE SAFE !
*** Note that this is not Financial Advice !
Please do your own research and Consult your own Financial Advisor
before partaking on any trading activity based soly upon this Idea.
Plan GBPJPY at July 24 | Short at 183.0xAfter Setup for Long and has taken profit 200 pips. I am backing with 1 Setup for Short with Entry at 183.0x
This setup is based on the SMC method and structure H4/D1 that I am using most of the time with previous ideas on Tradingview.
My ideas trading are usually simple and straightforward
I will update this Setup regularly
Let's comment/like if you agree or share more of your idea about my idea
Thank you and Have a good trade!