GBPUSD: 4HR Death Cross, LH and LL formation downtrendMaintaining my shorts on this pair with validation coming from the 50EMA (turquoise) crossing the 100EMA (white) which forms a death cross in the 4hr time frame.
GBPUSD has failed to make a new higher high and so I'm expecting a push down to the recent low, we may break this immediately, or retrace back to the descending trendline that's now formed. We're making lower highs and lower lows which indicates a down-trend.
Ultimately I'm expecting this pair to fall to below 1.22 in the coming weeks.
Big FOMC release tomorrow, if the notes support Powell's recent hawkish stance then this will be bad for cable, then there is NFP on Friday which is a bit unknown.
Fundamentally for GBP, recent data suggests inflation may be coming down, which suggests that the BoE may become less hawkish.
Powell suggested a couple more hikes, which could mean Fed interest rates remain higher for longer.
I'm also expecting a push up for DXY based on it's chart patterns.
I'm staying short.
Pound
GBPJPY: Bullish Pattern... Again! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
No surprise, GBPJPY is trading in a bullish trend.
However, after the price reached, 183.77 level at the end of June,
the pair started to consolidate.
The market formed a cup and handle pattern on 4H time frame.
Its neckline breakout will be a very strong trend-following signal.
4H candle close above 183.88 will confirm the breakout.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 184.5 level then.
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GBPCAD: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GBPCAD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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GBPUSD, H1 | Potential bearish reversalWe're seeing price test a key overlap resistance at 1.2697 which is a 127% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
A reversal from here could see prices drop all the way down to 1.2613 which is a multi-swing low support.
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GBPAUD: Bearish Move From Key Level
GBPAUD reached a key weekly resistance.
The price formed a descending triangle pattern, approaching the underlined
structure on a 4H time frame.
Its neckline was broken.
I expect a bearish movement now to 1.8955 / 1.8825
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GBPJPY - 29/06/2023 30 Min TF [Short]29/06/2023 - 30 Min TF
After a long Bullish run, we can see on the 30Min & 1 Hour timeframes there has been a shift move in momentum in the last few days. The market has been highly bearish so we will be looking for sells in the market.
The market has been highly bearish so we will be looking for sells in the market. Dispite the bullish momentum on the Weekly & Monthly timeframes.
Recent news articles also points to a potential Bullish run. Raising interest rates also supports the idea of a longer
Looking to enter a trade after price has broken above area of resistance, & it has come back to close below the zone. 1:1 Risk-to-Reward or higher win rate ratio
Happy Trading!
Supreme Trading Society
DISCLAIMER: All trades are just my own ideas and should not be taken as a signal. Follow me for more ideas
GBPNZD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇳🇿
Update for GBPNZD.
The price successfully broke and closed above the neckline of a cup & handle pattern
on a daily time frame.
It is a very important bullish signal.
Taking into consideration that the market is trading in a long-term bullish trend,
probabilities are high that the pair will keep growing soon.
Next goal - 2.096
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🔥 MODIFICATIONS & ADD-ONs: GBPJPY...DT 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥🙌🏾 NO RISK TRADE
MODIFICATIONS
SLO3 @ 191.25 ⏳
SLO1 @ 183.75 📉 +41 pips
+SL @ 183.66 🚫 +9 pips
SLO2 @ 183.20 (1m) ⏳
TP1 @ 169.66 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 157.50 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 148.66 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 135.00 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
BLO1 @ 131.75 ⏳
BLO2 @ 123.75 ⏳
-SL @ 120.00 🚫
🤑 Our Net Equity is @ +158 pips
🚫 +SL modified to preserve capital (see above)
✍️ After Multi-timeframe analysis, on noticed a newly created Supply Zone on the 55m and the 1m chart.
📉 If Price Action (PA) pulls back (PB) up to that Supply Zone, I placed a new Sell Limit Order at the proximal of the range (see above) — the range for an entry is from 183.20 to 183.60 (55D)
🔥 NEW: GBPNZD ✨ AGGRESSIVE TRADE 🔥-SL @ 2.0930 🚫
SSO1 @ 2.0795 ⏳
SSO2 @ 2.0525 ⏳
TP1 @ 2.0000 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 1.9566 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 1.9250 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 1.8750 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
Let's try this AGAIN, now that momentum is indicating price action is in overbought territory. That's great news for shorting this pair.
GBPUSD: Top-Down Analysis & Trading Plan 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
After the price set a new higher high on a daily, the market retraced.
The pair is currently approaching a horizontal key support.
To buy the market with a confirmation, watch a double bottom pattern on 4H.
1.2753 is its neckline.
If the price breaks and closes above that on a 4H, it will confirm the initiation of a bullish movement.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
Goal will be 1.2826
If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will become invalid.
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GBP/USD -27/6/2023-• The pair broke below the ascending trend line in May, one that has been intact since Oct 2022
• Bulls managed to break above the line in mid June but failed to sustain the move
• Bulls and bears are now fighting around the trend line from above and below
• Either of the two needs consecutive big bars above or below the line to get the upper hand
• Immediate support comes at 1.2690-1.27 ( previous resistance that became support ) followed by 1.245 (previous resistance became support)
• Markets are assessing the economic situation in the UK as the central bank keeps raising interest rates to fight the sticky inflation might eventually hurt the economy
• Trend remains bullish as long as above the 1.2690-1.27 and bears need a break below that level to get back in control
GJI don't know what I am doing wrong but I keep getting it wrong as moderators keep flagging my posts. The impulse upwards was an indication that the demand and the supply met each other at the right time.
The blue rectangle was an indication of a area of sensitivity, the market turned just before our entry point. Therefore we missed the initial target but that's okay because they'll always be another trade. I am trying to write this as long as possible because maybe then it won't get flagged. My work and analysis is straight forward and easy to understand but clearly I need to make it complicated and full of things that are not needed.
We see rejection and continuation from both sides, lots of candles, wicks left & right, up & down, sensitive zones, bear candles, bull candles, candlestick formations, channels and movements.