Pounddollar
Double Top? Price could make a double top on a key resistance/pivot area.
We can see a well defined downtrend channel.
If price fails to break resistance, it should look to test the most proximate support; should such support break, a continuation to even lower support areas should occur.
The extension of a bearish impulse would lead to the inferior trendline of the channel.
Best of luck!
GBPUSD short term top in sight?: GU resistance zones on 1h chartJust a quick plot to watch the three zones of interest for possible short entries.
The three zones are in my opinion resistance.
The zone marked with end of Wave (C) is most likely I think.
Barring great news regarding Brexit, I think the bounce is almost done.
Looks like an ABC correction to a down move.
Background:
This is an update to my last short term Idea looking for the dip and bounce
My GU adventure started with a search for top of uptrend around Sept 20th
Then came the big drop, which I caught most of. Then I started looking for bounces to short
After catching a few scalps and a couple big rides down, I was then waiting for a pull back again
During the pullback, I managed to get in a few short scalps but with tight stops
Then, just before NFP, the Pound started getting some good news and showing signs of bullishness so I threw some longs down
Which brings me to the current plan, looking for an ABC correction to end soon
Pound Still Mighty From Dollar SwayAt analysis chart GBP USD H4 above, the price is driven up by the rise of bullish reversal confirmation (orange circle) yesterday. There is a tendency to continue rising to the top of the NenStar harmonic pattern projection (blue line), so that trends will complete forwarding towards the point D.
I suggest to open a buy position in the 1.3040 area, because the H4 continuous bullish candlestick confirmation (orange circle) appears. Profit targets sell in the 1.3140 or 1.3200 area, of course as usual there will be resistance from the buyer. Stop Loss can be in the area of 1.2990.
GBP/USD daily overviewThe British pound depreciated 0.20% against the US Dollar since Friday’s session. On Monday morning, the rate was located above the monthly PP at the 1.3046 mark.
In the near-term future, most likely, the rate will surge upwards to the weekly PP at the 1.3083 mark but will bounce off it due to the resistance of the 55-hour simple moving average. It seems that the British pound will trade at the 1.3040 level during the session.
On the other side, the rate might break the weekly PP resistance and ignore the resistances of the simple moving averages to trade at 1.3100 level on Monday.
GBPUSD - Long for about 200 pips!GBPUSD had a massive sell-off after PM Theresa May's speech. Pound fell for 200 pips and reached 38.2% retracement which coincides as a broken resistance, now acting as support.
Also, a arising wedge is also broken.
My view on GBPUSD at the moment is neutral although slightly bullish. We need to see if price will break through the resistance turned support at around 1.3040-50 or if it will retest the broken rising wedge at around 1.3140.
If price doesn't break support at 1.3040, look to buy and target 1.3140 as TP 1, and 1.3270 as TP2.
Stops must be placed around 1.2980 to give trade some room to breathe.
Feel free to share your charts in the comments!
EURUSD and GBPAUD ideas are also posted.
GBP/USDI'm not messing with this just yet. But I would just like to point out that considering the dollar index is in that channel which can break and can make another shoulder up (possibly small), you may get some trade opportunities on Gbp/Usd. The price action it is making makes me think it may make a running flat, or even possibly a correction for a WXY type pattern. Simplified: The blue is 800MA. The red is 200MA. This is the 4hr chart. You may get a bounce or flat/zig zag between them, or at least an opportunity to get a stop in profit on a sell, or await a pattern for a running flat to buy. It's at the 1.236 extension, but I prefer to catch GU off a big spike out when it is chopping like that so be careful. The 1.618 level lines up with the 800MA, so if it were to shoot up to that level it should at least react I would think. It may make a little sell from right at this fib area but I ain't messing with it. This is more you guys that will be awake during London and you can see where it is at.
GBP/USD daily overviewThe British pound depreciated 0.10 % against the US Dollar. On Monday morning hours, the currency exchange pair was supported by the 100-hour simple moving average, located above the August high at the 1.3100 level.
In regards to the near future, the 55-hour and the 100-hour simple moving averages will move along with the rate giving support for the currency to surge upwards to the upper boundary of the medium ascending line at the 1.3150 mark.
Besides, the rate should not ignore technical indicators during today’s trading session due to absence of Brexit fundamentals.
GBP/USD - Ichimoku Kijun Bounce SetupWith the Brexit news last week we saw a resilient GBP rise to new recent highs. I am looking to see if we can snag a buy at kijun support. We've tested kijun once since our initial breakout on the chart last week, so I'll be watching to see if we do the same here. If we can hold support at kijun with a strong rejection, then I'll look for a buy every as shown in this setup. I'm targeting previous structure high as my TP, but I may hold partial position longer as long as we continue to make higher highs and higher lows. If we fail to hold support at kijun or our bullish sings change, this setup may become invalidated, so it will take some patience to look for a good entry.
Yesterday's pound growth is a rehearsal before a big moveYesterday's growth of the pound on all fronts (against the dollar increased by 150 points in less than half an hour) is a rehearsal before a big movement. Traders come out of the summer hibernation and begin to knead muscles.
We have already noted that this fall, pound pairs will constantly "explode". The fate of Brexit, and therefore of the pound, is solved practically in real time.
Therefore, whenever such things happen on the pound charts (see the figure above), with a high degree of probability this means news from the Brexit fields.
Yesterday the Bloomberg news agency published information that Germany and Great Britain had made a breakthrough in the negotiation process. Germany abandoned a few requirements to the UK, greatly easing the latter process of bidding. And since Germany is a key EU country (especially in terms of economy and filling the budget of the European Union), this kind of news should be taken as very positive signals for the pound.
Recall, the Brexit deal should be closed this fall. The current prices of the pound, in fact, reflect the option of leaving the UK from the EU without a deal. Accordingly, if the deal is signed, the pound will have a very wide space for growth. According to our estimates, we are talking about the marks of 1.41-1.43. And this is more than 1000 (!) Items, if you buy from current prices. Since we are confident of a positive outcome of the talks, we believe the purchase of the pound on all fronts is one of the best mid-term deals in the currency market this fall.
GBPUSD - AUG 27 - SHORT TERM SWING, SELL OPPORTUNITY!GBPUSD struggled to rise up last Friday even with the dovish statement of FOMC, unlike it's other counterparts EURUSD, XAUUSD, and AUDUSD. After the minutes were released, the pair had a limited upside. We attribute this held back upside move to a weak GBP rather than a weak USD. This week, we are looking to short this pair.
SELL GBPUSD.
Entry: 1.2850-60
Stop loss: 1.2900
Take profit: 1.2760, and 1.2690.
GBPUSD Sell OpportunityLast night we saw major USD pairs rally when PBOC bought some of its stocks and Trump's remarks on Fed Powell's rate hikes.
Today we expect USD pairs to continue its bearish trend before reversing. It broke upwards the lower trendline of the bearish channel during the fundamental effect of last night's news, but as long as 90 EMA holds, we are still bearish on the pair.
GBPUSD is at a horizontal resistance now, just below the 90 EMA on 4 hour timeframe. Failure to break above this will push us to go short on the pair.
Entry, stop loss, and take profit levels are indicated in the chart.
Trade at your own risk!
Potential 100 pip trades aheadPound has been moving strong but without any real long-term direction. We are approaching another key lever which is around 1.3175, it is also a 61.8 fib retracement level from previous bull run and the one before, seems like everything is lining up for a bullish run through the resistance we have touched yesterday. But also if we go below this level, we could see bears taking over and smashing the support 1.3050,... Ok, let's take it easy 1.3050 support is holding very strong with weekly confluences as well but if the 1.3150-1.3175 level wont hold we can expect at least a touch of 1.3050. Just wanted to give you guys a quick recap of what is happening, we don't have a trade yet, price action will determine nice entries but first, as said before lets see what price does around 1.3175.
GBP/USDSo basically, the way I have it drawn up as it did a 5 wave from the top, wave 5 being in the form of an ending diagonal. So, at this point, I would watch that 200 on 4hr to possibly give a buy setup in the form of flag. I circled where buy should have been from. I don't really feel like we can predict exact structure considering where we are at, but I drew up what I see as potential pattern. I consider it to be a buy setup and would think it would test that zone at least with a possibility of making some kind of flat pattern. Safest thing... Watch the 200 on 4hr, see if you get a smaller correction there. It can just break out, but watch out for a larger W-X-Y pattern to form. (That's the flat scenario I am showing). It's bout strategy.