GBPJPY - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 199.790, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 182.782 breaks.
If the resistance at 199.790 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The descending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg lower.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 198.945 on 12/30/2024, so more losses to support(s) 191.884, 189.477, 186.231 and minimum to Major Support (182.782) is expected.
Take Profits:
196.006
193.510
191.884
189.477
186.231
182.782
178.409
Total Profit: 3204 pip
Closed trade(s): 1584 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 1620 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 8 SELL trades @ 196.68 based on 'Peak' entry method at 2024-12-30, signaled by DTO.
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 196.006 touched at 2024-12-31 with 67 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 193.510 touched at 2025-01-09 with 317 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 191.884 touched at 2025-01-13 with 480 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 189.477 touched at 2025-01-17 with 720 pip Profit.
67 + 317 + 480 + 720 = 1584 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one SELL trade is 196.68(open price) - 192.632(current price) = 405 pip
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 405 x 4 = 1620 pip
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GBPJPY: Can't get better than thatGreetings Fellow Traders:
We published an idea about GBPJPY last week and we mentioned 174.60 as an area of resistance...
It did hold pretty well...
But wow factor is that we mentioned 172.87 as our Target 🎯
And rest you can see by yourself
Congratulations to those who took benefit out of this analysis
GBPJPY CONTINUES TO FALL... Today's trade on GBPJPY is a SELL. Following yesterday's bearish price action, we may continue to see more selling pressure to our target level of 167.65 level. Using the PIVOT POINTS, our trade entry is at 169.618 level, which is today's main pivot.... for a 4:1 reward to risk. Goodluck!
~Happy Trading, Cheers! 💰
GJ Analysis week of 9-26Analysis and price points of interest on chart.
Higher time frame bearish after an impulsive fundamental drop. We could potentially see a large retest fading out the yen strength we saw last week. Any resistance created could provide sell opportunities going with the trend. Further confirmations required (resistance, break of range, engulfing bearish candles).
GBPJPY ANALYSIS FOR JUNE 2022FX:GBPJPY
The monthly chart shows that British Pound very probably will increase in value against the Japanese Yen. As we can see in May the price consolidated and closed above the resistance. In June we can expect the candle to form a bottom wick and continue to go up to fill the wick of April, once it exceeds April's high, it has a free traffic until 172.600.
Another possible scenario is a pure consolidation of the price around that zone. It may drug up and down without decisive direction for a whole summer. However, one a big scale it is very improbabile it will break the bullish trend.
Will we see GBPJPY reach 164.242 this week?Watch how price responds to the diagonal levels and the horizontal level. I am looking for a breakout candle to close above the horizontal level first. Next, I am looking for a candlestick to close above the diagonal trend line line. If price closes above the diagonal trend line, then I will consider a long entry.
Do technicals point to more downside for GBPJPY?This most recent week, we saw GBP/JPY following the same bearish direction as the previous three weeks, with its strongest impulse happening during Wednesday's New York session. When looking at the weekly time frame, this pair has been in an uptrend. However, it is fast approaching a breakout of this upwards trendline, which has held prices up for the past couple of years.
Technically we can look at the hourly chart and see the adherence the price showed to the Fibonacci and Exponential Moving Average.
Looking at the most recent hourly range, we see GBPJPY retrace above the week's opening price during Monday's New York session to the 61.8 level. In that area is the EMA indicating another confluence for a move down. Price didn’t return to that area, with only two other weak retracements shown before the sell-off.
Fundamentally speaking, there were no high impact news events for either currency last week. However, the UK has had its hands full with several factors. Brexit issues with Ireland continue, and numbers show the economy shrank at the end of March. Factor in that the Japanese Yen is typically seen as a safe haven, and the bearishness in this pair isn't too surprising.
The coming week for GBPJPY
Looking ahead at this upcoming week, it is full of news events for the GBP, with monetary policy report hearings happening Monday. This is followed by unemployment, CPI numbers, and retail sales later in the week. Of course, the most critical report is CPI, which I released on Wednesday. UK's CPI for April is expected to rise two percentage points to 9%, from 7% in March.
The significant economic report from Japan is released at the end of the week. Japan's April CPI is released on Friday, and the market consensus is that it will rise to 1.5% from 1.2% in the previous reading.