SPY Channel BreakThe S&P500 opened and closed below the lower support line of an uptrend channel. This in itself is excuse to sell or go short, but generally you want to see 2-3 days of price below or above a channel before considering it a trend shift. Most likely first level of price support to watch for if price does head lower is $500. Nice round number and a psychological level for traders especially going into the end of the week. If bulls are still serious about the bull market they'll defend $500.
The PPO trend indicator shows the green PPO line trending below the purple signal line which indicates a short-term bearish bias in price. The trend would be considered bearish in the medium to long-term if both lines cross below the horizontal 0 level.
The TSI momentum indicator shows the green RSI line trending below the purple signal line which indicates a short-term neutral trend or slowdown in momentum. The RSI line crossing below the horizontal 50 level also indicates a short-term slowdown in momentum. The green RSI line is also trading below its lower Bollinger Band; in general you want to be short when the RSI line is below the lower BBand.
With the hot inflation numbers that came out traders are probably starting to realize that there likely won't be a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June, and maybe no cuts at all this year. The Fed is responsible for maintaining steady prices and low unemployment. Until unemployment rises the Federal Reserve is not likely to cut rates with persistent inflation.
Ppo
Netflix: Bearish Crab with Bearish ConfirmationNetflix recently traded just above the HOP level of a Bearish crab and has since gapped down below the 1.618 PCZ and given us a Bearish Divergence on all Oscillators as well as PPO Circle Confirmation. We could see Netflix begin a full retrace of the Harmonic range from here.
WTICO: Potential Bullish 5-0 Looking to Take USOIL Up to $105.30USOIL has recently retraced to the 0.382 from the PCZ of a Bearish Shark, but now it's looking to try and hold the 200 SMA and the 38.2-0.50% zone with Hidden Bullish PPO Divergence and an impending PPO Bullish Confirmation. If it does hold here, it could confirm a Potential Bullish 5-0 and if this 5-0 plays out, I think it could take USOIL above $100 and likely up to $105.30, as that would be the 61.8% retrace from high to low.
BTCUSD: PPO Intraday Bearish Gartley Breaking DownBTC reacted the first time to the first Bearish Gartley in price, but it failed to break down below the range and came back up. This time it looks like the Price Action Gartley turned into a Crab while the Gartley in the PPO has still held on and is breaking down below its range. Due to this, I see this as another chance to try to target below the range from here.
EURUSD: Now Breaking Down on a Higher TimeframeEURUSD has reversed from the HOP level of a Bearish Alternate Bat after having earlier went beyond the standard PCZ, and now the EURUSD is back below the PCZ and breaking down on a much more significant timeframe both in terms of Price Action and PPO.
I think that things should continue as expected and that it will go for $1.035 and then go for the bigger targets under $1 for the reasons highlighted on the Monthly Chart below:
EURUSD: Bearish Bat with MACD Bearish DivergenceWe have an Intraday Bearish Bat on the Euro with Bearish PPO Confirmation and MACD Bearish Divergence.
Earlier today, the Euro Doubled Bottomed at $1.05 and has since been on the rise, but so far it has only managed to come back up towards the moving averages and move up to complete a Bearish Bat. Now it is showing multiple signs of coming back down, and if it does, I don't think $1.05 will hold but that it will instead break and make its way towards $1.035. I think we will continue this trend until the Euro Is Back Below A Dollar.
The DXY and Yields are Set up to Make a Midday ReversalThe DXY and the 30 Year Yield have been on the decline for most of the day but are now showing signs of reversing back up at the PCZ of a Bullish Bat and a Bullish Shark in the form of MACD Bullish Divergence and PPO Confirmation, respectively.
When these two start to rise again it is very likely that the QQQ start to continue down as it is trading at the PCZ of a Bearish Deep Crab and has formed Potential MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence and if it starts to go down it will also give us Bearish PPO Confirmation which from there may result in a fast move down to make a lower low.
All of this will likely be triggered by whatever the Fed has to say today.
NATGASUSD Is About to Start Outperforming WTICOUSDWTICOUSD has developed a Diamond Top pAttern at the HOP level of a Bearish Shark and has given Bearish PPO Confirmnation Arrow at this level. Along with that, the PPO has broken below trend and may now look to crash lower. If we are to take all these indications into account, we can safely assume that WTICO is about to Bearishly break down from the Diamond it's formed against NATGAS. This could mean a few things, but mainly it means that either Natural Gas is about to start going up a lot or WTICO is about to start going down a lot, or maybe a combination of the two.
In anticipation of this, I will primarily be buying Natural Gas Related Assets and Selling Oil Related Assets.
Kroger: Bearish Crab with an Ascending Broadening WedgeKroger has formed an Ascending Broadening Wedge and blasted pass the 1.618 PCZ leading to an ultimate test of the 1.902 HOP level, now KR is trading below the PCZ and has tested it as resistance multiple times this year and has broken below the Demand Line of an Ascending Broadening Wedge. From here out I think the target will be a minimum of $22.32 which would be the 0.886 fibonacci retrace but it could go as low as $17.37 as that would be the standard target of the Ascending Broadening Wedge.
In addition to that, the PPO may soon break below its Demand Line.
Berkshire Hathaway: Bearish Gartley Hinting at a 40-60% DeclineBerkshire Hathaway is currently trading at the HOP level of a Bearish Gartley and at this HOP level, upon close, will likely confirm a Bearish PPO Confirmation Arrow as the PPO Oscillator itself gets closer and closer to breaking below a well established trend line.
Along with that, we have some Bearish Divergence on the MACD and the price action we got at the HOP resulted in a green Shooting Star Candlestick Reversal Pattern that we are working on confirming via a Weekly Bearish Engulfing.
If all goes as expected, I would think that the shares of Berkshire Hathaway will first pull back 27% which would put at the 2022 lows but after that I think it will likely pullback around 40%-60% to fill an unresolved gap at $314,850.00
Walmart Inc: Bearish Alt Bat and Rising Wedge w/PPO ConfirmationWalmart has formed a Rising Wedge into the PCZ of a Bearish Alternate Bat, and as it's made its way to the PCZ, the PPO has given us both a Bearish Confrimation Circle and 3 Falling Peaks. If this plays out, I think WMT could easily see $130, but there is room for it to go down to as low as $90.
NZDCAD: Bullish Butterfly Trading at Support in a Falling WedgeWe have some PPO Confirmation at the PCZ of a Bullish Butterfly near a Support Level, along with some Pending MACD Bullish Divergence inside of a Falling Wedge Pattern. I think we are setting up to eventually Breakout of the wedge and get a 10-20% move out of it.
CADJPY: Bearish Shark Anticipating PPO ConfirmationCADJPY has formed a Bearish Shark Pattern that I think will eventually be realized and once it is realized, I think it will target the previous major Support/Resistance Level down at 91.60 JPY. For now, the entry remains unconfirmed until the PPO crosses back below the upper extremes, but despite that, I'm entering here in risky anticipation of it doing so from here.
SPXL: Bearish Deep Crab with PPO Confirmation at HOP LevelThis is the 3x Leveraged ETF for the SPY, and at the moment we have a 3 Line Strike with a PPO Confirmation Arrow at the HOP level of a Bearish Deep Crab with Bearish RSI Divergence.
If this plays out, I think the SPXL will at least make a 0.618 Retrace of the range, but it could go as deep as 100% or even more.
SQQQ: Bullish Butterfly with PPO Circle and MACD DivergenceThe SQQQ has given us PPO Confirmation at a potential 1.414 Bullish Butterfly PCZ and has topped it off with MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence. If we are to see the QQQ pull back 50-65% then the SQQQ should go up about 100-200% from here, though I may end up just targeting $32 depending on how fast it goes.
AMZN: Bearish Bat with Confirmation Could Take It Down to $42.99We have officially gotten PPO Confirmation at the Bearish Bat PCZ, as a result, I am now convicted to this trade and am even willing to lower my target back down to $42.99. We have broken trend on the PPO and Confirmed an Arrow at the PCZ; a move down to $42.99 would be the completion of a Perfect AB=CD BAMM and the Bearish Bat here just may act as our Early C entry to catch the more macro CD wave to $42.99.
ADBE: Bearish 5-0 Bearish Entry Anticipating PPO ConfirmationBack in December 2021, ADBE gave us a Bearish ABCD entry that led us into a Shark BAMM Pattern. Once it made it to the BAMM target, it bounced back up to where it is now. The interesting thing is that the PPO is looking like it's ready to roll over, and it happens to be at what would be a Potential Bearish 5-0 entry. If the PPO crosses below the upper extremes, we could see this go for a lower low, and if we are to judge how far it can go harmonically, I'd say it could go all the way to the 1.414, which would be the PCZ of a Potential Bullish ABCD.
For additional context, I have left the Bearish Entry setup from 2021 in the Related Ideas Section below.
US30USD: Potential Right Shoulder and Bearish Gartley at HOPThe Dow Jones Industrial Average is forming a Potential Right Shoulder within an Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern and in this Right Shoulder, we can see a Potential Bearish Gartley at the HOP level with PPO confirmation. If it plays out, we will confirm a Partial Rise and increase the chances of a full on breakdown below this wedge pattern which at the very least would take us to the lows of the entire range.
GameStop: If it can hold above the PCZ, still targets up to $417The GameStop Trade is not over yet, as the Falling Wedge is still in play, the price is still above the PCZ, and it is still trading above the Log scale All Time 38.2% retrace. If we hold here, we can eventually get a rally up to $156.72, and if it wants to go for a symmetrical move, it would go for the full 1.618 Fibonacci extension all the way up to $417.05.
We have PPO Confirmation at the PCZ of the Bullish Shark and the 38.2% retrace, so this would be the perfect spot as ever to begin a big move up, if it was ever going to do it.