XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!KOG Report:
In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted to the price push up in the early part of the week and we would be looking at the resistance levels of 1806-10 and above that the 1825-30 region. These are the levels we suggested opportunities to short the market could be taken from. We said the ideal scenario would be for the price to push up into the resistance levels and we wanted to see a bearish engulfing candle formed to then take us down into the lower support levels as our targets.
As you can see from the chart, we tapped into the higher resistance level, got the bearish engulfing just as planned and got our tap and bounce from the 1785 level. Well done to those who followed and capitalised on the moves and analysis given.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Again, as we’re drawing close to the end of the year, we’re taking our foot off the peddle and will be trading this lighter than usual. We’ll keep the report short but will illustrate the potential move as we usually do. We will stick with the same chart and use the same key levels as we have been for most of this month. The resistance levels are unchanged, however, we have added a new support level of around 1770-73 which could be a potential tap and bounce in the week ahead! For now, we will be looking for the price to stay below that 1806-10 region, and as long as it does we feel there will be an opportunity to short the market from there down into the lower support regions starting at 1785 and below that 1775. Please note, if the price breaks and holds above that 1810 level then it is likely we will see them grab the liquidity from higher, in which case the support regions are there to be bought.
The ideal scenario for us is for this to come down, swoop the low and give us an opportunity to get in on the long trade to carry this up towards the 1830-35 price point where again we feel there is likely to be a reaction in price. This now gives you the overall range for the week which we feel the price can play in along with the levels to look for to take your entries and exits. We’ll be tracking Excalibur and will let that guide us through the markets giving us fine tuned targets across numerous pairs.
Wishing you a successful week ahead.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Preciousmetals
GOLD Key Levels! Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has formed a narrowing
Rising wedge while retesting
A horizontal resistance 1
Which makes me somewhat
Suspicious because these
Wedges usually break
To the downside
In which case the horizontal
Support 1 will be retested
Other key levels on Gold are:
Horizontal Resistance 2 at 1870
Horizontal Support 2 at 1620
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✅SILVER KEY LEVELS|ANALYSIS📊
✅SILVER is trading in an uptrend
Alsong the rising support line
And is currently stuck between
The support 1 and resistance 1 levels
Once we see a breakout either way
The next key levels to retest
Will be either support 2 or resistance 2
ANALYSIS📊
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Gold beats SPX, NAS100, DJIA, and Bitcoin in 2022Despite seven interest rate hikes in 2022, gold is down only about 1% for the year. That shows the strong resilience of gold against a backdrop of the slowing economy, cryptocurrency bear market, and still relatively strong U.S. dollar. In fact, gold has outperformed the Standard & Poor 500 index, Nasdaq 100 index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Bitcoin.
Performance (year to date)
Gold (YTD) = -1.1%
DJIA (YTD) = -9.8%
SPX (YTD) = -20%
NDX (YTD) = -32.3%
Bitcoin (YTD) = -63.6%
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD. Yellow arrows indicate particular FED rate hikes throughout the year.
In 2022, gold has seen record demand from central banks, amounting to 663 tonnes in the first three quarters. Interestingly, buying from these institutions shows a growing trend in the first nine months of 2022.
Accumulation by central banks
The first quarter = 84 tonnes.
The second quarter = 180 tonnes.
The third quarter = 399 tonnes.
However, investment demand for gold declined 47% year over year in the third quarter of 2022. Despite that, in 3Q22 retail investors continued to make bullion purchases, boosting retail demand 36% higher from the third quarter of 2021. Meanwhile, during that same time, jewelry demand returned to its pre-pandemic levels, showing growth of 10% year over year.
As for our stance on gold, we continue to be bullish in the long term. Although we are worried that if the stock market selloff continues, it might put a temporary lid on the price of gold. Indeed, it might get hammered down with the rest of the market, just like on previous occasions. Therefore, we are very cautious until we see signs of decoupling between the two.
Technical analysis
Daily = Neutral/Slightly bullish
Weekly = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
$XAU - Gold - Where to next?!$XAU - Gold - Where to next?!
We've got whole load of US Data and ECB as well, this could play either direction
Currently we are within this pattern in play, you could even think of it as H&S brewing. This morning its a DXY move, we've had majors decline and precious metals. This could decline further if the bears gain further control. However, if we go above the highs then bulls are back in control.
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GOLD Technical Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading is some sort of
Rising wedge and made a pullback
From the key horizontal resistance
So we will either see another retest
Or the price will go down to
Retest the support levels below
Analysis!
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SILVER Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is trading in an uptrend
In a rising wedge and after
The retest of the rising support
We are seeing a bullish reaction
So with all the evidence point
Towards the high likelihood
Of bullish continuation
Buy!
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GOLD Local Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an uptrend
And I think that the current
Resistance level will be broken
Eventually, however, the rising
Channel that was formed
Makes me somewhat locally
Bearish biased and I think
That IF a bearish breakout happens
Then the price will go down
Temporarily to retest the
Demand levels below
Sell!
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SILVER Key Levels Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
SIVLER is moving upwards
From the support level1 at 22.171
Towards the horizontal resistance 1 at 24.433
And I think it's highly likely we will see a retest
Of this resistance. If it gets broken
Then the next target level will be around 25.175
Let's wait for the market open and see how to goes
Analysis!
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GOLD Key Levels! Analysis!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD has made a pullback
From the horizontal resistance level
Just as I predicted in my previous analysis
Now, the price is in the lymbo
Between the resistance at1810
And the nearest support level at1720
So we will be able to tell the
Potential direction of the next move
After the retest of the one of these levels
IF the current support breaks then
The next support level will be at 1620
So let's wait and see!
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