Silver Will have one more leg down before exploding higher
Hey guys, Silver recently broke its big down trend and is starting to look like it will start bulling hard. But If you have looked back in the past 9 years silver seems to have some strong seasonality bulling around the end of November to start of December period so I believe we will see some weakness over the next two weeks build the rest of this possible head and shoulders before the bull run starts. Also backing this is my view on the US100 will fall after earnings and Silver and the US100 track quite well at times and when the Us100 declines silver either leads and is a great signal for shorts or follows I touch on this on my first short against the US100.
Preciousmetals
XAUUSD upside bounce...Good Morning, afternoon and evening traders, don't forget to click the follow button after reading my post for more expert daily analysis!
Here we have our XAUUSD chart.
This asset has seen small sideways movement on current market sentiment.
Price movement is indicated by our directional arrows.
gold price volatility (CFD)in the past gold prices have leapt towsrd the end of the year. technical patterns on the monthly have pointed toward muted gains in gold spot, and a drawdown in bullish futures activity.
Gold spot shouldnt break $1923, and should be back down toward 1635 region by june 2022
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (23rd November 2021)Yesterday we updated our previous idea on gold in which we stated that gold became overvalued in short-term. We also warned investors about possible retracement below the breakout level at 1835 USD. Just hours after our comments gold dropped to 1802 USD per ounce. Retracement invalidated bullish breakout which took place in the recent weeks. Because of that we became neutral to bearish in our stance on gold (in short-term and medium-term). However, in long-term we remain bullish and we think any significant drop in price represents attractive opportunity to buy more gold. Though, investors should be cautious as USD continues to strengthen and FED continues its taper and interest rate narrative. We will watch out closely for next monetary meeting of the FED on 14th and 15th December 2021 as it will provide more clues on underlying issues in the market.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is very bearish. Similarly, MACD and Stochastic are also bearish. DM+ and DM- performed bearish crossover, however, ADX contains low value which suggests that trend remains neutral.
Support and resistance
Major resistance sits at all time high of 2075 USD while major support lies at 1676 USD. Short-term resistance sits at 1835 USD. Resistance 1 is at 1877 USD and Resistance 2 is at 1916 USD. Resistance 3 appears at 1959 USD. Then Support 1 sits at 1750 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Bulls are getting ready in Silver?!?Yes, it seems like the bulls are getting ready to attack!
IF the silver price overcomes the 23.6 % Fib level and 50's MA with a sustained close around 23.30 USD, it would be time to fasten your seat belts.
IF XAG/USD doesn't overpower this critical resistance area and is making a move to the south, I would take another short trade into consideration. But this situation needs to be re-evaluated.
GOLD: An Increase In PriceHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis on the 1D linear scale chart for Gold price per oz. There are many technical indicators and oscillators noted in the analysis, so please review everything.
#CryptoPickk noted in the chart:
1) GOLD price has been in a descending channel since August 2020 forming a potential Bull Flag Pattern.
2) The Bull Flag target is around the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension level around $2,646.
3) The prior price rise took 733 days so assume about the same, the price could reach the target by October 2023.
4) The price would be a 45% increase from the current price level.
5) The RSI (relative strength index) has been supported on the bottom trendline and has not broken it.
6) The only concern I have in sight is Hidden Bearish Divergence which may be in motion currently with some price action going down before price goes up.
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Gold Rally to 2,130Gold is in its' last wave up (Wave 5) and specifically in wave 3 of 5 (the strongest impulsive wave), it is now on its' trendline which has been intact since March 2020 and is a sub trendline of the bigger uptrend that has been intact for 4 years now. Moreover, gold is now on the 61.8% Fibo level which supports the scenario of gold going up.
Targets are calculated based on Fibonacci extensions and gold is expected to extend to new all time highs. A safe target would be 2,045 however it is expected to break the previous ATH and reach the following targets:
2,130 ---> 2,180 ---> 2,300
A proper stop loss would be below the 1,756 level to protect the trade from whipsaws and it is recommended to move SL to breakeven right after the breaking of the 1,960 level.
Huge return on platinum for the next couple years This forecast is for investors, now you look at the global events and find some volatility on gold and silver prices as a safe haven also platinum has the same rule but what makes platinum is the best opportunity right now is the current price has fallen enough to reach the desired support
at 770 $- 820$ area I expect the price to continue going down the path to these levels.
Platinum’s prices are likely to rebound since it's used in manufacturing. It also has a future in renewable energy requests. As an investment, platinum may be useful in a variety of ways, including hedging and speculating. However, If you want to include platinum or any of the precious essences in your portfolio, I will recommend that.
For the position, I recommend a buy order on 770-820 level
with 1 Buy limit order at 590 -620 area with the same amount of the first position
last Buy limit at 405- 425 area just in case the price make a strong move against us with 4x amount of the first position
Our targets::
1ST Target 1284 $ - 1320 $ area
2nd Target 1850 $ - 1900 $ area
============================================
The Period of investment starts from 6 months to 3 years (estimated)
I had given you the areas letting you manage your position
Commitment to strategy will bring you the best benefit of the strategy
we expect 130% to 250% return for 3 years of investment
Long term palladium buy opportunity We can potentially see an additional 10% drop but we’ll be buying at every bit of the dip. I believe this is a 1 in 5 year buying opportunity for palladium. Currently the recent Covid variant news is putting downwards pressure on this precious metal as its main driver of demand is through vehicle manufacturing but the suppression of price won’t happen for too much longer. Long term strategy play, a potential to test prior all time high within the next year. Let’s wait and see…enjoy the ride. ✌️
Silver Price Forecast - Cup & Handle In SightToday I am review the Silver price (precious metal per oz) forecast. The multi-year chart is on an annual (12M) basis on a linear scale.
After 40 years, the Silver price formed a cup and handle pattern since 1980. This is incredible. Unfortunately the price has not broken out yet and it seems in 2021, the price is still below the trendline of the pattern.
As the price took 40 years to get to this point, it will take time for a breakout. Assuming the price breaks out, the target price from this pattern is about $60. That would be a 146% gain. This may take more than a decade to happen though.
In 2011, the price created an all time high at around $50, but also created a shooting star candle which is bearish. This brought the price down to create the handle of the cup and handle pattern.
Lastly, the Fibonacci Extension level brings the target price to 1.618, which is the Golden Ratio.
Keep in mind that it took the price 40 years to get to this bullish pattern of cup and handle, so expect the price increase to take a very long to reach the target (unless of a catalyst event that may occur).
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!In last weeks KOG report we said we were looking for a pullback at some point during the week targeting the 1845-50 region and higher immediate targets of 1874 and 1881. We saw price create a high of the week at the 1877 level and then create a very difficult range to trade before declining into that 1845-50 price zone. We also highlighted the Adam and Eve pattern which had formed on the chart alongside the lower high on the 4 hourly which gave us a hint of the bearish movement that was to come. Hope the updates and analysis during last week helped traders with making the right decisions in the markets.
So what can we expect in the week ahead?
We would like to see some more bearish pressure on Gold this week, however, having said we can most certainly expect some more whipsaw, choppy and difficult to trade price action. Although the movement on Friday looks aggressive the actual movement in price isn’t as extreme as what institutions are capable of in a sell off. We will remain with our view where we are looking for the lower levels to get in to the long trade targeting the 1900 level and potentially beyond. Unless this breaks and holds below the 1820 where we will re-assess the markets again.
We can see that 1830 target being achieved so if the markets open bullish tomorrow we will look at the higher resistance levels of 1850. 1855 and above that 1860 to target that lower level of 1830 and below that the 1820-17 price points. If we reach these levels we will look for a strong rejection and support and then potentially take the long position for the higher levels.
The flip side to the above is if we continue down from here we'll look for a strong level to form as support and then get in for the long trade. In this case we will need to trade it level to level as we don't want to get stuck in short trades if the market decides it wants to turn aggressively from the support levels.
Please keep in mind, if they really want to stretch the buy from dippers they can take it all the way back down to 1795-97 before resuming the bullish move. For this reason, any short trades we take we will make sure to take partial profits along the way and protect the trades so we don’t miss out on any further decline.
We’re still bearish on Gold but we would like to see our higher Excalibur targets achieved before Gold resumes any declines.
Support:
1830
1820
1817
1805
1790-95
Resistance:
1850
1855
1864
1875
1885
1895
We have added the hourly chart below which we had shared with our group during last week. You can see the price is still in the range with a slight breakout to the top and now its targeting the lower support. What you’re looking for here is a break or rejection in the area below.
We’ve also added the 4H chart which shows the Adam and Eve pattern we were monitoring last week. What we’re looking at here is to see if they complete the move around the 1830 level or they stretch it out a little further down towards the 1807-10 levels and below that 1790 before resuming the bullish movement. We’ve also highlighted the support levels below so you know what to look for if a level is broken.
Again this week we will be trading lighter than usual mostly from level to level removing most of our positions when we reach short term targets and moving stops to entry just incase the price resumes in the direction.
Gold Futures Do Not miss this Swing short opportunity Looking at the Monthly chart we can see a clear similarity in the price action from the present time to
the previous ATH back in 2011.
With HTF Resistance above us and previous attempts to retest those highs creating monthly lows since the
August 2020 ATH I anticipate a potential SFP into the red box marked RESISTANCE before a move to the downside.
This presents a great opportunity to open shorts with a generous risk reward .
I have pulled some key fib levels that align with the EMAs in chart for additional confluence in those lower regions .
Set alerts and wait for the trade to come to you .
Always know your invalidation and stick to your trading plan .
I will post my monthly Chart of the DXY index also as that analysis correlates very well with this idea.
Thanks for stopping by and be sure to follow me for future analysis and updates
My filter before developing setups | Gold FuturesToday I will share the filter I have before taking a new setup on the precious metal.
The key idea here is that every time the price was on a bullish trend, we observed clear corrections on the way to the final target. We have defined all the cases; we will trade case 4 using the three previous situations as models.
The main characteristic we observe once the price takes inertia in our expected direction (bullish) is to observe corrective patterns from 4 to 9 days before the new impulse. So what I did was look at them on the 4HS chart with the idea of having an objective parameter to execute setups on all of them.
CASE 1:
CASE 2:
CASE 3:
As you can see, all the structures show an ABC pattern that helps us define the exterior edge of the structure. Once that is clear, we can define pending orders above B and set our stop loss below C.
What about the target?
In the previous scenarios, all of them reached a target with a 2.5 risk to reward ratio except for the last case that reached 1.8, and then we saw a total reversal. In this scenario, our final target is around 1960, with a risk to reward ratio of 2.3
The only place where we may observe reactions is on the previous resistance level of the previous trend. That may be a place where we want to protect our setup, moving our stop loss to break even.
The expected duration of this setup is less than 25 days once it is executed
The risk I will be taking is 3% of my trading capital on the stop loss.
Thanks for reading! feel free to add any idea or chart about this setup on the comments
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (25th October 2021)XAUUSD continues to climb higher. At the same time, the odds for validation of inverted head and shoulders pattern increasingly grow. Pattern will get validated once neckline (around 1835 USD) is penetrated to upside. This neckline currently acts as important resistance level. We expect occurence of breakout above this resistance to be accompanied by resumption of bullish trend which will take gold to new all time high. We continue to be bullish on gold and we would like to set short-term price target to 1850 USD. Our medium-term price target remains 1875 USD.
Technical analysis
MACD performed bullish crossover which strongly bolsters bullish case for gold. In addition to that RSI and Stochastic remain bullish. We expect eventual RSI crossover into overbought territory which will be accompanied by validation of inverted head and shoulders pattern (and subsequent resumption of uptrend). ADX continues to contain low value which suggests that trend is very weak.
Support and resistance
Short-term resistance appears near 1835 USD which coincides with neckline of forming inverted head and shoulders pattern. Another important resistance sits at 1916 USD. Short-term support sits at 1800 USD, while another important support level sits at 1750 USD. Major support sits at low of 1676 USD while major resistance sits at all time high of 2075 USD.
Our previous thought from 14th October 2021:
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Technical analysis update: XAUUSD (8th November 2021)XAUUSD trades just 10 USD below its short-term resistance. We will observe gold in the following days and we will look for potential strength that could elevate price above short-term resistance. In our opinion such occurence would be very bullish development for gold. Indeed, we expect it to cause resumption of uptrend in gold. Because of that we continue to be very bullish on gold and our short-term price target is 1850 USD. Our medium-term price target is 1875 USD and long-term price target is 1900 USD.
Technical analysis
We expect price to continue climb higher as MACD, RSI and Stochastic are all very bullish. Though, ADX contains low value which suggests that trend remains neutral at the moment. Despite that we are bullish as we expect breakout above short-term resistance and eventual resumption of uptrend.
We previously showed inverted head and shoulders pattern being formed.
We later stated that pattern was taking too long to form and we abandoned it. However, resistance level at 1835 did not lose any importance. It is still valid level for breakout as it coincides with short-term resistance.
Support and resistance
Short-term resitance sits at 1835 USD while short-term support lies at 1750 USD. Next important resistance sits at 1916 USD and then major resistance appears at 2075 USD. Major support level sits at 1676 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
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Quarterly dividend of $0.30/share
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Diverse, Long-Life Portfolio
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Growth in long-life reserves
Growth and Optionality
Acquisitions, mine expansions and new mines driving growth
10.1 million ounce increase in Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources at Detour Lake
Long-term options in gold, copper and nickel
Noront consolidation likely to accelerate development of Ring of Fire properties
39.78x Price to Earnings (PE) ratio = too much
FNV (CA$178.55) is trading above estimated fair value (CA$144.54)
Technicals
Found decent support and has carved out a bull flag. If we get decent volume on a breakout to the upside , the fib extension targets are the most logical levels to look for.
XAUUSD - Daily LevelsQuick update from us following on from the KOG report on Sunday. We said at the beginning of the week we would be looking for more bullish momentum with the first target at around 1829. We've hit 1830 and rejected which also coincides with the trendline resistance on the Daily TF. We can still see some more bullish movement to come so keep an eye on the KOG levels we posted on the KOG report. We will be looking for a small correction tomorrow possibly targeting the 1805 level but will update you again tomorrow with our plan and trade idea.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
SIlver bulls charging up!Silver currently sitting at the $22 support point. Definitely a good area to be slowly accumulating Silver. Real physical Silver. With the way inflation is heading, I see Silver first heading up to test the next resistance point at 130, from there I suspect support to be built up and serious FOMO kicking in. From there, we run it up to $2300.
I will be making a post on Gold later on today, it'll make a lot more sense as to why $2300 Silver isn't so crazy.
Gold: Weekly Forecast 7th November 2021Despite the dollar has strengthened, the gold marked a strong weekly gain and breaks towards the upside.
This could certainly help the gold to climb further but it will face strong resistance at the top of the symmetrical triangle and a strong supply level at 1828 which could provide a good short-term sell opportunity.
After which, we will look for a buying opportunity again as the price pulls back towards 1807, follow by 1790 which is near the bottom of a newly formed rising channel.
As such, we will have both buying and selling opportunities and this week's movement will give us a better idea whether the gold is ready for another bullish run or remain range-bound within the symmetrical triangle.