More fake news to manipulate BTC priceBelow is a direct copy of a statement released earlier today, and it is no more true than Mike Novogratz' prediction that BTC would be approaching 20 k right about now. Inexperienced investors are all too often spooked by such statements, the man who said this knows this to be true, and wants it to happen , so he can buy in at 2k. Don't lose your money to naked manipulation. One day it is a hedge against a growing sentiment of fear - a safe haven in the fear mongering storm to come, the next?? Read this bit of fake news with a grain of salt:
"What a difference a few months can make. It seems like a lifetime ago that Arthur Hayes, CEO of cryptocurrency derivatives platform BitMEX, predicted that the bitcoin price could reach $50,000 in 2018. In fact, it has been less than six months, though the events that have occurred during that interlude have been sufficient for Hayes to slash his short-term crypto forecast by more than 95 percent.
CCN reported earlier this week that Hayes, a former Citigroup trader, is now predicting that the bitcoin downtrend could last another 18 months, mirroring the “nuclear bear market” the crypto industry experienced in 2014 and 2015. Writing in Friday’s edition of the BitMEX Crypto Trader Digest, Hayes doubled down on that portentous outlook.
While chart-watchers often treat bear markets as beginning as soon as an asset dips below its cyclical peak, Hayes said that a better strategy may be to mark the beginning of the bear market as the date at which the bitcoin price falls below its 200-day moving average (DMA). By this metric, bitcoin entered bearish territory on March 12 when it was priced at $9,152 and has only seen a 37 percent decline since dropping below the 200 DMA.
bitcoin price bear markets
Source: BitMEX
Given that past bear markets have seen bitcoin break much further below its 200 DMA, he argued that it’s likely we still have a long way to go before the bears finish twisting the knife, potentially dropping BTC as low as $2,000 before the bulls regain their footing.
“How low can we go?” he asked. “A 75% fall from $9,152 takes us close to $2,000. $2,000 to $3,000 is my new sweet spot but don’t tell Michelle Lee just yet.”
Hayes also cited the decline in bitcoin volatility as justification for his bearish outlook, taking a different tack from Fundstrat founder Tom Lee, who said that he was “pleasantly surprised” to see the decline in volatility given conditions in the broader equities markets."
Predictions
Gbpusd technical analysis Monday 22OctGbpusd on last Wednesday has already broken the small support line (red break line) at 1.3146. This has led the market to fall towards the first support of 1.3013 If the market manages to break the first support line, it is likely to reach the second support line at 1.2929. If the market shifts to the north instead the analysis is void. The second resistance can be seen at the point 1.3222 after the break support line acts as the first hurdle in the 1.3146 line.
Important week on the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto IndexI like to use the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index (BGCI) to get an overall View on where the Crypto Market is heading in general. If you aren't familiar with this index, please visit:
data.bloomberglp.com
Please take the time to follow Cryptorae on Twitter if you like this chart :-)
TradingView chartsetup: Credit @Cryptorae on Twitter
This week is really important for the cryptomarket in general - Bitcoin volatility is down to a minimum and everybody is keeping their breath - hopefully we will get a major move upwards - but as always in Crypto: Be prepared for the worst!
Analyzing Fractals on LTCEUR 2018I've been studying fractals on LTCEUR for a couple of months and for what i see, I believe the cycle it's on its way. You can check the fractals reflected by color, supported with same curve in different scale and proportional lapse time. If everything goes has its going, December will be a comeback :P ... Finger crossed. Cheers..
The Game of Charts- short term price predictionsBITFINEX:BTCUSD
Chart speaks louder than words.
Thank you for checking out. If you liked short term price prediction, please like and share it. Feel free to comment what yours price predictions are...
Hope for the best. May the odds be ever in your favor.
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.
1st Critical look on a June Bull run and a July correction#poe
This is a very important chart to look at. A couple things we need to observe fairly quickly. We can see that the 4hr compared to other coins have been fairly level on the RSI and has not yet hit any BIG bumps. So either there are strong selling pressures or most people buying the coin are hodlers.
ONE VERY VERY critical path we need to see on is the daily charts. We have hit the current support level of 380 Satoshi. We can expect the 1st rise towards our T1 target of 425 to be at minimum 10-15% ROI from our current positions as the MACD looks to come up to the median trend line.
Our T2 target can be a bit higher and more aggressive but i would like for us to hit T1 first before making any longer assumptions. I am cautiously entering this market as the bulls can fake us out with so many TA's and articles calling for a 6/6 rise on BTC (my personal analysis stating the same conclusion). The goal of this trade analysis is for me to continue drawing a development on POE and studying the market patterns of what will make it successful.
If the T1 targets hit I will share my T2 targets moving forward. Trying to see market patterns and psychology in this one. I do have a lot of optimism for this coin and can expect anywhere between 20-60% ROI within the coming month. So positioning a LONG TREND buy is not a bad idea here. However again....to build on my long term btc idea any trades i am playing at the moment will only be played out until the 1st week of july and i plan on liquidating all of my positions into fiat.
BTCUSD upward momentum expectedTried to keep it simple, Still think Long. Passing the top resistance entering the green area would give some confirmation, bullish behavior is expected there. Still possible we go down into the red and through orange a few stages a bit before this will happen though.
I believe we will get there.
Let's see...
Some pullback on BTC in the coming week(s). Then all systems go!Well, in my last post I had identified a H&S that we were watching to see if it played out. It did not. Bears failed to break the neckline. Failed H&S patterns tend to reverse bullishly very quickly. That it did.
What now?
Well, if you're a bull, waiting patiently to get in before we rocket off, you may have one more chance.
If you're a bear, I am finding it harder and harder to observe many significant bearish indicators.
What I have noted here on this chart is that BTC is currently engulfed in to not one, but two, bearish ascending wedges. These are to be distinguished from ascending triangles, which are very bullish. Ascending triangles have a horizontal top. Ascending wedges, which are bearish, have an ascending top. I am expecting that we might go a bit higher within each one of these wedges, but that withing the next coming week or weeks, we will break down.
If we fall out of these ascending wedges, it is still possible that we travel down to the 7.5-8k range which I predicted in my previous post if the H&S pattern were to play out.
Two more indicators that we are not fully bullish include: a failure to break 54 on the weekly RSI AND, on the weekly chart, we still have not completely conquered the BLUE descending trendline.
I'm not one to tell others how to spend their cash reserves but IMO, it's seems likely a better price could be offered to buyers in the next coming week or so. Try to ward off that FOMO. Hold tight. And wait for your best buying opportunities. I know this is hard, especially sensing that we are very near the end of the bear market and then all signs are GO. So, I don't blame you if you do buy here. I'm just suggesting that you might find a better price in the near term coming days.
Peace and happy trades all!
Everybody is bullish again. That's because their not seeing thisHi friends,
First of, I am actually bullish long term. However, short term we do still have some hurdles to conquer. For this reason, I still remain neutral to bearish short term.
So let's take a look at what I've got here.
You can see that Litecoin has fallen out of an important ascending channel (outlined in BLACK). At almost the same time, we also fell back under the 200dma. We're also under 58 on RSI, an important number as is 54, which we're currently just under and flirting with.
My suspicion is that little Litecoin just wants to kiss daddy 50 and mommy 200 one last time before a final send off into next year.
Be ready for that final discount window to open buyers.
Peace and happy trades.
S&P PatternI think we can fall as low as 2550 soon, but another mad, unhealthy , rush back up to 3,000 is not unheard of in this environment of thin air.
It would be best if we took a breather back down to the 2000 level, where more retail buyers would come back in, and maybe make a healthy charge to 3,000.
Otherwise, we can and will fall into the typical crash pattern - Ether may be nice to have at that point ;)
New Triangle and Death Cross Spotted for poor little LitecoinFriends, critics, foes. A few days ago I made the prediction that little litecoin would break out of that first purple triangle you are seeing here on my charts. That it did. I was confident that it would go up rapidly. Not so much. Here's what I missed and why litecoin is baulking a bit at this upwards move.
I knew the 200dma was ahead, however, because I am not an elite "PRO" member here on TV, I was not permitted to also have the 50dma indicator (a basic member restriction) on my chart. It was not until I changed my MA time frame that I noticed the 50dma exactly where the 200dma was ...and crossing! When a downward 50ma crosses and upward 200ma, this is known as the "Death Cross", a bearish indicator.
Additionally, I was observing that other analysist had been drawing another triangle on their charts. This one with a higher top than my first. I have drawn this new triangle on my chart. Notice how it also intersects exactly at the point of the Death Cross. I don't think I have to tell you that this is not a good sign.
I know that I was fairly bullish in my previous post. And I had good reason to be. I did make good money on this trade, however, I am redacting my previous statement regarding holding for the long term as I am now doubting whether or not this is the longer term bottom. I am also lowering my sell target to between $140-$150 with these newly discovered indicators. I do plan on selling in this range.
I will not become bullish again until we both break above this second triangle AND cross over at least one (preferrably both) of these significant moving averages.
Stay safe. Peace and happy trading my crypto friends.
Chain Link Ascending Channel PredictionsSo what we have here is the corrected ascending channel following the 3 month falling wedge . We see in the chart that the ascension is following a growth rate of 1% - 2.5% daily if the USD price follows the channel which it seems to have done so far. Over the coming days and or weeks we will hopefully see a price increase from .28 cents USD (at breakout) possibly to .60 - .65 cents USD by May 1st. Ill be watching the charts closely for the coming weeks and will analyze any changes that may arise following this ascending channel .