Rolling: NVDA May 20th 205C/280P to June 17th 200C/275P... for a 4.48 credit.
Comments: Ugh. Just ugh. Total credits collected of 82.11 on a 75-wide inverted. Break evens at 192.89/282.11.
Premiumselling
Rolling: IWM May 20th 176/217 to June 17th 165/210... for a 1.26 credit.
Comments: Kind of neglected this position a bit, so rolling out, recentering risk instead of rolling down the call side to flatten net delta with 21 days to go. Total credits collected of 3.23.
EURUSD Sells- Read annotationsAnnotations tell you everything I'm looking at, sells withing premium going with the trend are always the HP trade, nice PA too building up lots of LQ, few concerns though but if i get the right confirmation i will take the trade
Opened (IRA): QQQ June 17th 265 Short Put... for a 3.00 credit.
Comments: Filled toward the close, targeting the <16 delta strike in the expiry nearest 45 days until expiry paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit in the broad market exchange-traded fund with the highest 30-day IV.
Some of the rungs of this "ladder" are currently in the money, so can contemplate taking on shares/selling call against or rolling them out in time, but we'll deal with each rung in turn as we get to them.
AJ could go below 90AJ looks bullish overall and possibly retracing back to equilibrium or a FVG. Price is showing bearish displacement and multiple breaks of structure.
Rolled: NVDA May 20th 220 Short Call to May 20th 205... for a 5.45 credit.
Comments: This ... is getting kind of ugly in here. In any event, in for a penny, in for a pound. I also closed out the 290 short call I put on as a delta flattener, since it only had about .25 left of extrinsic left in it and since we're closing in on that 21 day mark where I might want to consider rolling out, particularly where the short put is closing in on almost having no extrinsic left in it.
Total credits collected of 77.63 on a 75-wide (280P/205P) with 202.37/282.63 break evens.
Opened (IRA): QQQ June 17th 280 Short Put... for a 2.78 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 strike paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit in the broad market exchange-traded fund with the highest 30-day IV to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. (And wasn't this green at the open?)
Rolled (IRA): IWM May 6th 185 Short Put to May 27th 183... for a 1.05 credit.
Comments: 50% max roll to the <16 delta strike in the expiry nearest 45 days that is paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. Total credits collected of 5.77 (See Post below) plus the 1.05 here for a total of 6.82 versus the 1.86 or so the 183 was paying, so I've realized gains of 4.96 ($496) so far.
The May 27th 16 delta is just barely paying 1%; otherwise, I probably would have done a "window dressing roll" from the 185 to the May 27th 175 for a small credit to milk the remaining extrinsic out of the option while reducing risk (since it's farther out-of-the-money) and buying power effect (since it would've been a lower strike).
Opened: /ES May 27th 3200 Short Put... for a 3.00 credit.
Comments: Rerunning the far out-of-the-money short put in /ES. 3.00 credit/1.50 max on buying power of 23.98. 6.3% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 3.1% at 50% max. As previously noted, it routes for a 3.00 credit, but its max is only half of that or 1.50 ($150). Will look to take profit at 50% max.
Closed: /ES May 20th 2850 Short Put... for a 1.00 debit.
Comments: Filled for a 2.00 credit (See Post Below); out here at 50% max. Ordinarily, this would be a 1.00 ($100) winner, but the way /ES works is that your max is half of the credit received -- in this case, one half of 2.00 is 1.00 ($100), so 50% max is .50 or $50.
Opened: /ES May 20th 2850 Short Put... for a 1.00 credit.
Comments: Just a little dorky way out-of-the-money short put engagement trade ... . 1.00 credit on buying power effect of 14.99; 6.7% at max as a function of buying power effect; 3.3% at 50% max.
GBPJPY Pro-Trend Trade 10/04/2022GBPUSD is currently bearish on the Higher timeframe(4h+) but bullish on the lower timeframe(15min). I have marked out two zones that will be great opportunities to sell if approached. If a lower timeframe confirmation is seen I will enter sells. Remember do not stick to predictions but REACT!
Opening: NVDA May 20th 290 Short Call... for a 1.95 credit.
Comments: Selling an additional call against my badly inverted NVDA short strangle to flatten net delta. Total credits collected of 72.43 on a 60-wide inverted. Delta/theta 9.34/37.57; 16.26 extrinsic.
I'll look to adjust the extra short call going forward via roll if necessary, since I can't do much currently with the inverted, both sides of which are in-the-money. Conversely, I'll look to sell a put against the 290 if the underlying whips back the other way. This seemed like the best and simplest option among my choices, which were to roll the short call deeper into the money, short stock, or do some other short delta setup (e.g., a skewed straddle or strangle with similar short delta metrics) to allow for theta in the setup to decay in relatively flat delta.
Fortunately, I don't exactly have tons going on in the margin account right now, so I'm okay with tying up the additional buying power to give me a shot a scratching this beast out in this cycle.
Rolling: XBI May 20th 75/105 Short Strangle to June 76/110... for a 1.09 credit.
Comments: A different way to do a delta adjustment when your setup is in profit ... . Locking in the realized gain of the May 20th setup while returning the position back to net delta neutral and improving break evens. Total credits collected of 2.35 (See Post Below) plus the 1.09 here, for a total of 3.44 relative to a current value for the June 17th 76/110 of 2.72, so I've realized gains of about .72 ($72) so far.
IVR/IV is still pretty decent in here at 53/42.6%.
Opening: QQQ May 27th 315/380 Short Strangle... for a 6.20 credit.
Comments: Selling 16 delta-ish strikes on both sides after closing out my previous QQQ position for a small winner. 6.20 credit on buying power effect of 41.91 (on margin); 14.8% ROC at max; 7.4% ROC at 50% max. Delta/theta .37/17.
Closed: QQQ April 22nd 354C/356P... for a 14.10 debit.
Comments: Well, there's my "more than a buck." Total credits collected of 15.64. Closing out here for 14.10 results in a realized gain of 1.54 ($154) with 14 days to go.
Here's the blow by blow:
Opened: QQQ April 22nd 290/361 for a 5.85 credit.
Rolled: QQQ April 22nd 290 Short Put to the April 22nd 341 for a 3.95 credit. (Defensive roll, cutting net delta in half).
Rolled: QQQ April 22nd 341 Short Put to the April 22nd 348 for a 1.15 credit. (Defensive roll, cutting net delta in half).
Rolled: QQQ April 22nd 348 Short Put to the April 22nd 356 for a 1.95 credit. (Defensive roll, cutting net delta in half).
Rolled: QQQ April 22nd 361 Short Call to the April 22nd 354 for 2.74 credit. (Defensive roll, cutting net delta in half).
As you can see in 20-20 hindsight, I probably could've just left the original setup alone and been better off. The April 22nd 290/361 -- the original, unadjusted setup -- is marking at 2.88 at the moment, so I would've hit 50% max at some point. That being said, I generally operate on the assumption that you never know if the position will continue to move against you or not and that it's best to adjust sooner than later.
Opening: SMH May 20th 215/280 Short Strangle... for a 5.30 credit.
Comments: Selling some nondirectional premium in semiconductors (implied volatility rank 60/30-day 41.2%) in the May monthly (42 days 'til expiry). 5.30 on buying power effect of 24.94 (on margin); 21.3% ROC at max as a function of buying power effect; 10.6% at 50% max.
Rolling: QQQ April 22nd 361 Short Call to the 354 Short Call... for a 2.74 credit.
Comments: Inverting slightly here with 14 days to go. Total credits collected of 15.64 on a two-wide inversion (the April 22nd 354C/356P). Delta/theta 17.58/40.95, 9.48 of extrinsic.
I don't usually hang out in these much past this point, opting instead roll out for duration and then doing adjustments from there on the rolled out setup. Here, my "landing pad" is quite huge at this point (break evens of 340.36 on the put side/369.64 on the call) and would like to get something more than a 1.00 out of this after working the crap out of it. (I've done a total of four adjustments to it; 3 on the put side, one on the call).
As usual, I'll either end up regretting closing it out for something smaller or be pleasantly happy with closing it out for something more.
Opening (IRA): SPY July 15th 370 Short Put... for a 4.00 credit.
Comments: Part of a longer-dated short put ladder strategy targeting the <16 delta strike paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit.
Portfolio net delta remains long, hedged off in part by a short delta SPY long put diagonal.
Opening (IRA): QQQ May 27th 305 Short Put... for a 3.20 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike in the expiry nearest 45 days until expiry paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Opening (IRA): IWM May 20th 180 Short Put... for a 1.90 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta in the expiry nearest 45 days until expiry paying at least 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Rolled: IWM May 20th 229 Short Call to the 217... for a .78 credit.
Comments: Flattening net delta of my short strangle on this down move. Total credits collected of 1.97. Resulting setup is the May 20th 176/217 with delta/theta of -.52/8.36.
Opened: IWM May 20th 176/229 Short Strangle... for a 1.19 credit.
Comments: A bit of an experiment here, selling the 90 day duration 2 x expected move strikes in shorter duration. Using the June 30th expiry (86 days) as the basis for this setup, I looked at the strikes nearest the 16 delta in that duration, and then sold premium in those same strikes in the expiry nearest 45 days. The benefit is a higher probability of profit setup, with the trade-off being less credit received.
I'll look to manage it, however, like any other short strangle -- rolling in untested sides, taking profit at 50% max and/or rolling to a delta neutral setup in longer duration for a realized gain and a credit.
