Premiumselling
Opening (IRA): IWM Dec 19th/Jan 19th 146/142 Short PutsComments: Squeezing in a couple of extra rungs here at strikes better than what I currently have on, targeting the <16 strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
December 29th 146: 1.47 credit
January 19th 142: 1.47 credit
After this, will primarily look to do "housekeeping" trades running into the end of the year ... .
Opening (IRA): TLT October 20th 93 Short Put... for a .74 credit.
Comments: Adding in an October rung here in 20 year+ maturity paper after taking off my July rung. 30-day IV remains higher than SPY.
Am fine with getting assigned shares if that happens. Prior to COVID, I had a rather large TLT covered call position in my IRA, but felt compelled to take profit on it at or near COVID highs and have been looking to get back in ever since then.
Opening (IRA): XBI October 20th 76 Short PutComments: Looking to sell the around the 30 delta here in the October monthly, which is more aggressive than I usually go, but am fine with taking assignment, selling call against if it comes to that.
Currently, the strike is bid 1.45/ask 1.65 with a 1.55 mid, so will look to get a fill "in that neighborhood."
Just looking for some "engagement" in this broad market, low IV environment with my standard go-to's (IWM, QQQ, SPY) at 17.8%, 18.8%, and (ugh) 13.6%, respectively for their 30-days.
The Day Ahead: TQQQ, GDXJ, USO, GDX, FXI Premium SellingIt's Friday ... the 13th. Here's what's shakin' in exchange-traded fund premium selling ... .
Top 5 Options Liquid ETF's Ranked by 30-Day IV:
TQQQ 22.9 IVR/60.4 IV
GDXJ 23.6/38.9
USO 46.4/38.8
GDX 26.0/33.6
FXI 14.8/31.4
Ideally, you want to have IVR at >50 and IV at >35% in ETF premium-selling land, but you can't have everything in this market ... .
Broad Market Shortest Duration <16 Delta Strike Paying 1% of the Strike Price In Credit:
IWM, the January 19th 151, paying 1.58 at the mid (14 delta)
QQQ, the January 19th 325, paying 3.44 at the mid (15 delta)
SPY, the February 16th 385, paying 3.93 at the mid (15 delta)
Me, Personally
Currently, I still have quite a bit of broad market on in fourth quarter expiries, with the majority being in the December monthly and the end-of-quarter December 29th. (I have one IWM straggler on in the November monthly). I've begun to deploy out a smidge into the 2024 first quarter), but may just sit on my hands this week depending on whether I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Because of that, I may dabble small with TQQQ as an engagement trade (and to see what all the fuss is about). Pictured here is a 16 delta short put at the 30 strike in the December 15th monthly paying 1.01 at the mid which I'll do as a starter position and then work it from there as I wait on my other positions.
I also already have a GDXJ covered call on (See Post Below), but may add a short put to give me a little extra sumthin' sumthin' on that play.
Opening (IRA): SMH November 17th 130 Short Put... for a 1.32 credit.
Comments: Targeting the shortest duration <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor ETF.
I have no current position on in SMH, so will look to add at intervals should IV remain decent (it's currently at 28.7%, but at the low end of its 52-week range).
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Opening (IRA): TSLA November 17th 190 Short Put... for a 2.31 credit.
Comments: High IV at 56.7%. Targeting the <16 strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into Tesla without actually being in the stock. I'll consider adding if I can get in at better strikes than this starter position.
Earnings are on October 18th, so will be looking to "play through."
Opening (IRA): SMH November 17th 125 Short Put... for a 1.26 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the semiconductor exchange-traded fund. Here, I'm adding a rung at a better strike in the November monthly than what I currently have on.
The Day Ahead: GDXJ, FXI, EWZ, GDX Premium SellingIt's Friday, and the last trading day of September ... .
Here's what's at the top of my IV screener in the exchange-traded fund space:
TQQQ, IVR/IV 23.3/64.2%
GDXJ, 22.7/36.4% (2.52% yield)
FXI, 12.5/33.4% (2.26% yield)
EWZ, 11.1/31.9% (10.9% yield)
GDX, 26.0/31.5% (2.23% yield)
You'll notice that everything is still pretty much in the lower one-quarter of the IV range over the past 52 weeks, but there are a few instruments have popped above 30% 30-day. If you're big on divvies, EWZ stands out, but one potential drawback for some may be that it only distributes biannually in June and December.
In the broad market exchange-traded fund space:
QQQ, IVR/IV 22.2/22.3% with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 321, paying 3.30 at the mid)
IWM, 21.6/20.8%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the December 15th (the 162, paying 1.72)
SPY, 22.1/17.1%, with the shortest duration <16 delta strike that pays 1% of the strike price in the January 19th contract (the 385, paying 3.91).
You can naturally opt for shorter duration and be more aggressive with your delta, with the trade-off being that you may end up being assigned shares more frequently or have to manage in-the-money's via roll, which is not the funnest way to manage a tested short put, depending how deep in-the-money it is. (I'm talking mostly about what I do strategically in my retirement account, which is short put/acquire/cover or "wheel").
Me Personally ... .
I pretty much mechanically put on the shortest duration <16 delta strikes paying around 1% in broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) on a weekly basis, so am going to do that today, assuming I don't already have rungs camped out where I'd want to pitch my tent with a secondary consideration being whether the contract represents a better strike than what I've currently got on.
And, in spite of the short term pain I'm experiencing in my attempt to acquire TLT shares at these levels, I'll probably also add in a rung (or two), since I have a maximal buying power that I want to devote to that position, and I'm not there yet. The probable result at the moment is that I will be assigned various lots at various strikes and will have to cover (i.e., sell call against) at various durations, some of which may be quite long-dated with my current highest strike at the 94 (in the November 17th) and the lowest at the 84 (in the December 15th). Naturally, were I to have followed my initial plan as to when I wanted to start picking up shares, (See Post Below), I would be "less red" ... .
The Day Ahead: IWM, QQQ, TQQQ, GDXJ, FXI, EWZIt's Friday and a Triple Witching to boot!
Well, IV isn't great here pretty much across the board for us premium sellers. Nevertheless, if you must play (and some of us gotta), here's what's shakin' ... .
Broad Market
QQQ, .8 IVR, 17.8% 30-day IV, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th.
IWM, .7 IVR, 16.8% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1% of the strike price: December 29th.
SPY, .9 IVR, 12.9% 30-day, with the shortest duration in which the <16 delta is paying greater than 1%: (Ugh), March (there is no February monthly yet).
Exchange-Traded Funds
Ideally, you want to hit these when IVR >50 and IV is >35%, but IVR is at rock bottom, with most skimming the very low end of their 52-week ranges. Sometimes, you just have to settle for what the market gives you.
TQQQ, 8.5 IVR; 52.6% 30-day.
GDXJ, .6 IVR; 31.6% 30-day.
FXI, 7.9 IVR; 29.4% 30-day.
EWZ, 2.8 IVR; 26.7% 30-day.
Fortunately, all of these are <$45/share, so you will be small in terms of buying power effect with the natural exception of the leveraged TQQQ, which your broker may require be cash secured on margin (which naturally makes it less sexy in that environment from an ROC %-age perspective).
Stay small and don't get all of your powder wet.
Opening (IRA): SPY January 19th 375 Short Put... for a 3.76 credit.
Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Going out to January here, because I already have quite a few rungs on in the Nov and Dec monthlies, as well as the Dec 29th.
I may still try to squeeze some rungs in November and December if that turns out to be productive and/or at better strikes than I currently have on.
Opening (IRA): IWM December 29th 155 Short Put... for a 1.56 credit.
Comments: Rounding out rungs in the last of the available expiries in the 4th quarter, targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market using short puts.
If I had nothing on in IWM, I'd probably go shorter duration (e.g., November 17th) where the 165 is paying 1.75 at the moment; I already have a rung at that strike, so am going out farther in duration to keep theta on and burning. The same would probably go for my Friday stuff in the Q's and in SPY.
Opening (IRA): IWM Nov/Dec 165/159 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 strike in the shortest duration paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market.
Filled the November 17th 165 for 1.71 credit; the December 15th 159, for 1.60.
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max or roll down and out for duration and a credit if tested.
Opening (IRA): TLT October 27th 91 Short Put... for a .96 credit.
Comments: Adding on weakness, targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit in the contract nearest 45 days duration.
This is more aggressive than I usually do, since it's at the 30 delta, but I'm looking to pick up shares at or around these lows if at all possible. Because of this, I'll look to run these right up until expiry and/or take them off for "approaching worthless"; I immediately stuck an order in to close it if it gets to .05.
If I get assigned, I'll look to cover with short call.
Opening (IRA): SPY Dec 15th/Dec 29th 391/384 Short PutsComments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Laddering out in successive expiries to disperse risk over time.
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max or roll down and out for a credit if tested.
December 15th 391: 3.96 credit
December 29th 384: 3.86 credit