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Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.21.2024🔮 📅 Tue Jan 21 🗓️ Day 2 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Wed Jan 22 🗓️ Day 3 📍 WEF Annual Meetings 📅 Thu Jan 23 🗓️ Day 4 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 220K (prev: 217K) ⏰ 11:00am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -2.0M 📅 Fri Jan 24 🗓️ Day 5 📍 WEF Annual Meetings ⏰ 9:45am 📊 Flash Manufacturing PMI: 49.4 📊 Flash Services PMI: 56.8 ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Existing Home Sales: 4.19M (prev: 4.15M) 📊 Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment: 73.2 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will get pinned down at HPZ back into the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A lot of resistance overhead. Markets should cool down after the gaps from last week. Small rally into fade downwards. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: We will likely get a small bounce and hold. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
$BTC Inauguration Day Possible $140k? No I doubt it as this indicator I use isn’t always right at all it’s always either very positive or very negative. However this indicator remains plausible. But the fact we have already gone from FWB:98K to $109k today in only 1 hour. We might expect to see a sharp decline to somewhere like $104-$106k but even then this will be a short intra-day drop before a regaining of the overall bullish trend and sentiment. Do be cautious if you are on the Long and want to make profit soon keep eye on those entry or exit points of yours and don’t fall for any FOMO. Also IMO this is the start. The start of a large growth period. Yes there will be downs and BIGGER DOWNS THAN EVER BEFORE. Because the value and volume is larger than ever. The 10% drops can be $11k instead of at 30k that’s $3k. So remember that the larger loss ot seems from same % drops as before is just an illusion you still loose the same or gain the same amount of CRYPTOCAP:BTC coin. Stay strong KEEP BUYING! Let’s make more supply shock!? It only benefits everyone who owns it!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
The Arrest of South Korean President Yoon and the MarketDear readers, My name is Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that has profoundly shaken the international political and financial scene: the arrest of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol. News of this caliber cannot leave us indifferent, especially considering the economic importance of South Korea on the global stage. With you, I want to analyze the consequences of this story, both for the stock market and for the currency market. An unexpected political turning point The arrest of Yoon Suk Yeol came like a bolt from the blue, fueling doubts about the political stability of South Korea. In recent months, his government had been at the center of controversy for its authoritarian management of power, culminating in the announcement of martial law last December. This act had already sparked negative reactions both nationally and internationally, with consequent repercussions on the financial markets. Now, with his arrest, the unknowns increase. South Korea is one of Asia's major economies, with a strong presence in the technology and manufacturing sectors. Any political instability could undermine investor confidence, with knock-on effects on the markets. The impact on the South Korean stock market Despite the initial alarm, the KOSPI index, the main benchmark of the Seoul stock exchange, recorded only slight fluctuations, closing with an increase of 0.2% the day after the news. This moderate behavior suggests that investors are still assessing the extent of the political crisis before making drastic decisions. However, it should be considered that some South Korean companies, especially technology exporters such as Samsung and LG, could come under pressure in the short term. The perception of instability could push foreign investors to diversify their positions, penalizing the South Korean market. The dynamics of the forex market The currency market, notoriously more reactive to geopolitical events, has shown signs of nervousness. The South Korean won (KRW) lost ground against the US dollar, with USD/KRW moving from 1,200 to 1,205 in the hours following the news. This slight depreciation reflects investor uncertainty about the country’s economic outlook. The announcement of martial law has previously caused the won to depreciate significantly, falling 2% against major currencies. Forex is therefore likely to continue to be a key indicator of traders’ sentiment towards South Korea. Looking ahead Looking ahead, it is essential to monitor the South Korean government’s response to this crisis. If institutions can ensure an orderly transition of power, the negative impact on markets could be limited. Conversely, further signs of political instability could lead to capital flight and increased market volatility. In addition, it remains to be seen how the world’s major economies react to the situation. South Korea has strong trade ties with the United States, China and the European Union, and any deterioration in international relations could amplify the economic repercussions. Conclusion Dear readers, the arrest of President Yoon Suk Yeol represents a crucial moment for South Korea. As always happens in cases of political uncertainty, the markets react quickly, but it is the medium and long term that will determine the true consequences of this event. I will continue to follow the developments of this story closely, sharing my analyses and reflections with you. In the meantime, I invite you to stay informed and carefully consider every investment decision. Prudence, especially in times like this, is always a good advisor. Best regards, Andrea Russo
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
The Trump DumpCaution to the sensitive bulls, you're not going to like this one... I know we all like hopium and up-only charts, but this isn't it. Those only exist in fairytales. This is trading and we have to stay grounded if you plan to actually profit outside of the HODL philosophy. The truth is that elections don't matter, new events doesn't matter. At least not how the majority thinks they do. These events merely mark points in time, they can be catalysts or pivots. But those time points don't care about your philosophy on the actual event. Let the emotion and philosophy in and you'll lose, guaranteed. Close those out and look only at the charts, using those events to understand important time points to pay attention to and you might see that this one is going to be critical. On a macro picture, this market structure has been clear, simply a series of expansions and ranges (I know, obvious, this is how all price moves). But recently we had a strong expansion beyond the all-time high, which might seem bullish at first glance but is going to be a liquidity trap in hindsight. On a more local view, we have our range forming after this larger expansion and that range has already generated a fakeout higher and come back into the range, with the next breakout of the range to be to the downside. I do not trade blind FVGs or other ICT stuff, but there will be a lot of hindsight analysis from people claiming that this daily FVG was obvious. Combine this with the important time events that has everyone so bullish, like elections or whatever, and you have the perfect recipe to wreck almost everyone. From here, I am looking for AT LEAST a 30% drop . Targets may get lower as data comes in, but keeping it conservative until more high timeframe candles come in. You may disagree with the post, but at least it has a clear bias.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Obscure_Trading
Election Year Cycle & Stock Market Returns - VisualisedIn this chart, we're analysing the open value of the week the US election took place and comparing it to the open of the following election, showing the gain (or loss) in value between each election cycle. Historically we can see prices in the Dow Jones Industrials Index tend to appreciate the week the election is held. Only twice has the return between the cycles produced a negative return. Buying stocks on election day, 8 out of 10 times has yielded a profitable return between the election cycles. 80% of the time in the past 40 years returning a profit, has so far been a good strategy to take. The typical cycle starts with the election results, an immediate positive movement and continued growth before finishing positive. The Outliers 2000-2004 was the only year which ended negative without prices going higher than the election day. 2004-2008 increased 41.84% before ending negative. 2008-2012 began the cycle falling 30.62% before finishing positive. The names of presidents who won their respective elections is to visualise who had the presidential term during that specific cycle.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Mt.BFX
BTC - Bullish Phase Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard. 🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023? and this post from last month? 📌 It is confirmed. Pattern 1 Activated after breaking above the red channel and 70k. ❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way. Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! 🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
11
Trump Reclaims US Presidency6th November President Trump!!! DXY: Further strength expected to 105.45, could retrace briefly, needs to stay above 104.80. (beyond 105.45 could reach 106) NZDUSD: Sell 0.5935 SL 20 TP 75 (hesitation at 0.5895) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6560 SL 25 TP 80 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2810 SL 30 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0765 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Buy 154.40 SL 45 TP 90 USDCHF: Buy 0.8710 SL 20 TP 40 USDCAD: Sell 1.39 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Looking for reaction at 2733, beyond that could trade up to 2760
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
SPX & Bitcoin Correlation & US presidential election #Spx 1D chart; Let me first talk about the importance of the S&P 500 chart; They are positively correlated (i.e. they move together): *#Nasdaq100 *#Oil *#Bitcoin (sometimes) Now, what I want to draw your attention to is that just before the presidential elections, in September and October, there was always a decline. After the elections, there has been a continuous upward trend in the first 100 days. Not counting the 2008 world economic crisis, this has never changed in the last 3 elections. Even after the 2008 crisis, after falling for a while, it started to rise immediately afterwards. The data we are evaluating here is the first 100 days. In September 2024, I indicated the decline with an orange circle With a decline in October, a long-term uptrend may begin. If Bitcoin also shows a correlation here, which is my expectation as in the #Btc chart I drew earlier, we will start a permanent uptrend after suffering for another 1 month. SP500 end of first 100 days data after the US Presidential election: Post 2020 Election (Joe Biden): +17% Post 2016 Election (Donald Trump): +10% After 2012 Election (Barack Obama - Second Term): +10% After 2008 Election (Barack Obama - First Term): -19%
CBOE:SPXLong
by ugurtash
Trading the Presidential Debate Investor focus is about to turn to the televised presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. With the race currently so tight, even a small post-debate shift in voter sentiment could impact key markets. Budget forecasters are grappling with constant changes, and Tuesday's Harris-Trump debate could introduce new ideas. What we currently know: Trump’s recent embrace of crypto, including plans to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler and promote U.S. Bitcoin mining, could fuel volatility in digital currencies. Harris, though less vocal on crypto, supports policies fostering tech growth, but her stance remains less defined. Trump’s plan to slash the corporate tax rate to 15% could boost S&P 500 earnings, while Harris’s proposal to raise it to 28%, a move that may weigh on profits and valuations. The U.S. dollar could rise under Trump’s policies, with tariffs and increased fiscal spending driving inflation and higher interest rates. However, current estimates show Trump's agenda significantly increasing federal debt which may weigh on its long-term outlook.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
Dollar Strengthening and the coming election cycleUS Dollar will continue to ping pong between supply and demand during the election cycle. With other major economies like China's being Paper Tigers, the U.S. will by osmosis become stronger. As we learned years ago, nationalized tightly controlled markets don't work as well or at all. The CCP will try and buy gold and other assets to de-dollarize which will only work for so long to make the dollar look weaker than it actually is. Trump's cabinet is largely ...less scientifically or mathematically inclined when it comes to policy. This will hurt the U.S. economy by increasing tax breaks for corpos and making it harder to maintain a healthy economy as wealth disparity increases. Despite Biden's less than stellar speaking skills, his policies reflect modern neoliberal globalist economic principles which tend to make America wealthier than other superpowers. Overall, we should expect a hawkish trend despite the extreme propaganda machine telling you that the dollar is weakening. This is a great contrarian opportunity. That is, if you think Biden will win the election. If not, get ready to look towards other assets like gold and Bitcoin.
TVC:DXYLong
by ghosttrees
14
1 Year Of BTC El Salvador CelebratesEl Salvador has used Bitcoin for a year. El Salvador started using Bitcoin as a legal tender a year ago after President Nayib Bukele made a contentious choice. The public welcomed the new chance with enthusiasm, but since then, Bitcoin's value has fallen, and some experts believe the initiative was a disaster. Bitcoin is up 2.72% today, Ethereum is up 8%, and Solana is up nearly 5% as the cryptocurrency markets rebound. This Thursday morning, cryptocurrency markets are up. Pololu, Polygon, and Ethereum have made gains. Shiba Inu and Dogecoin, two meme coins, have also increased in value over the past 24 hours. Volatility has been seen in stablecoins. "More CBDC news," the Ripple advisor teases. According to Ripple, it may soon reveal additional information regarding its central bank digital currency projects. Advisor to the CBDC Antony Welfare The last session saw a 3.1% increase in BTC/USD. The latest session saw a massive 3.1% increase in the Bitcoin-Dollar pair. The MACD is sending a negative signal. Resistance is at 20712.8113, while support is at 17730.3773.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by IPatrice
Ukraine Legalizes Bitcoin (BTCFor the Ukraine, sentiment towards Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market has been more favorable. Back in September of last year, the government had introduced a crypto bill only for the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to veto it shortly afterwards. The Bill, legalizing and regulating Bitcoin, only had 6 votes against and 276 votes in favor. According to the Kyiv Post, the President vetoed the Bill and sent it back to Parliament for changes. President Zelensky cited a lack of funds in the budget to meet the regulatory oversight requirements of the Bill. The previous bill had stated that “the virtual assets market would be regulated by the Ministry of Digital Transformation, the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), the National Securities Commission (NSC) and a new independent regulatory body that would have to be created“.
CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by fomecacom
1
GOLD Falling Within A ChannelGOLD has seen some tough weather lately. I think the pain is far from over. After producing a fake break out with a double top only two weeks of days ago, gold is falling again. It's to be expected that risk in the markets is going to decline with the inauguration of Biden soon, leading to a decrease in the demand for gold. I've marked two areas of potential support on the chart, S1 and S2. S1 placed at the most recent low and S2 placed at $1700. Consider S2 a longer term target. Happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FieryTrading
32
Debt / GDP and other economic dataAll series are on their own scale. This chart serves 1 purpose, to see change in the values relative to their own range, over time and thereby giving a visual way to see how they moved versus one another over time. The chart is broken down by presidential terms. This chart does not imply that any one president caused or did something, it's simply a good way to get an idea of what was happening as the executive budget and current ideology has an impact on debt levels.
FRED:GDP
by turbotrainedbamboo
3
S&P 500 Yearly Forecast (Nov 2020 - Nov 2021)S&P 500 Index (SPX) (November 18th 2020 through November 2021) Low: 3010.3 points High: 3876.6 - 3900 points There could be some great buying opportunities ahead of us in the coming year, can't wait to see what 2021 brings us. Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, anyone in the trade needs to do their own due diligence and decide what is right for YOU. My charts can be wrong at any time and it's very important that you have your own strategies and plans in place. I run this channel for my own educational purposes of learning to trade, and I will never be 100% right, so please do not let me confirm any bias for you! (Dangerous to do so, stay safe and remember the basics & rules of risk assessment.) Expect the unexpected and happy trading!
TVC:SPXShort
by Hambooger
5