Priceaciton
Bitcoin analysis(BTCUSD ) on 4 hour chart
__There is an inverted head and shoulders pattern (black color)
__ Exceeding the descending channel and forming an ascending channel (red)
__ He broke through the neckline at 55134 and scored the first goal 56780, then the second goal 58514, correcting it to 56999 and returning back.
__ He now has three Buying Goals: (green clip)
1) = 58514, which is the same as the second target previously
2) = 59559
3) = 60720, which is the fourth and last target
__ May reverse at 59559.
__ Do not forget that it is difficult to exceed 61,455 on the daily chart in the Wyckoff stage
Price Action analysis of USDJPYThis currency has been in an uptrend for weeks now. there's a strong resistance @ 109.600 and 109.150. THESE TWO LEVELS HAS BEEN RESISTING THE BULLS FROM RALLYING. ACCORDING TO MY ANALYSIS THE PAIR IS GOING TO RALLY THE DOWNSIDE SOON TO 106.1. THERE'S A REJECTION @ THESE LEVELS. LETS KEEP OUR EYES ON TIS PAIR.
Could the Bears Push the CAD/JPY to the 81.16 Level?💡 Trade Idea
📈 Sell Order CAD/JPY @ 81.16
🎯 Target Profit 80.61
🛑 Stop Loss 81.31
❌ Do not risk more than 1 % of your account on each trade
🙂 Good Luck !
Description:
The price was trading withing a wedge formation after showing a head and shoulders on higher time frame indicating a potential reversal from upward movement to a downward one. The price managed to break the trendline, by posting a bearish candlestick signaling a potential downward movement.
EOS BitMEX Analysis - Possible Trade Set-upPrice is rejecting the Resistance Zone. I expect price to go atleast go down till the mid.
We can see price is sideways after a Bear Leg.
Disclaimer
Trade at your own risk. This is not a financial advise. We are not registered/licensed organisation for Financial Services.
ORB Nr4 CANDLESTICK PRICE ACTION DAILY STRATEGYStep #1 How to Identify the ORB Nr4
The ORB pattern is defined as a trade taken at a fixed value of the opening range.
The Opening range Breakout trade is more effective if taken after an inside day that has its daily range smaller than the previous 3 days, which is where the Nr4 stands for. You have three candles followed by another candle with a daily range narrower than the previous three days.
Note #1: The 4th day doesn’t necessarily need to be an inside day, it only needs to have its daily range smaller than the previous 3 days. However, inside days tend to produce a higher success rate.
The ORB Nr4 pattern can be the best candlestick patterns for intraday trading too. You simply have to apply the same rules outline in this guide on your favorite intraday chart
What if we told you that, 40% of the time the first trading hour can tell you what is the high and the low of the day. Our candlestick patterns strategy incorporates this price behavior so you can better manage your risk and set your targets.
Basically, you can become a proficient trader.
Like with all our trading strategies we’re going to give you first the trading rules by going through an actual live trade example that uses the best candlestick patterns mentioned through this PDF guide.
Step #2: Identify the best candlestick patterns and mark the high and the low of the 4th candle
When you search for the ORB Nr4 candlestick chart pattern keep in mind two things:
The Daily range of the 4th candle needs to be narrow and smaller than the previous 3 candles.
The 4th candle price range also needs to be inside the candle number 3.
The ORB Nr4 pattern in the chart above is a bullish candlestick patterns because it leads to a bullish move.
Narrow daily trading ranges suggest contraction. And contraction always leads to expansion. This is kind of a general rule because the markets do move from periods of contractions to periods of expansion.
This is the reason why this ORB Nr4 candlestick pattern is so powerful.
Step #3: Switch to 1h TF and Buy if we break the high, Sell if we break the low of the Nr4 candle.
Our trade is taken the next day after the Nr4 pattern showed up. In order to have a clear view of the short-term price action we need to switch our focus to the 1 hour time frame.
Note #2: Only Buy or Sell if the breakout happens during the first 5 hours of the new trading day.
We use the Opening Range Breakout technique to time the market and have an effective trade entry.
Trades based on the ORB – Nr4 candlestick chart pattern will show you a profit instantly.
Now, if the trade is not showing you a profit right away than your trade becomes more vulnerable. As a general rule, if after the first trading hour your trade is not in the green, you can safely close the trade at the market.
Of course, you can only do that if your stop loss hasn’t been triggered in the meantime.
Step #4: Place SL below NR4 day low,
Step #5: Take profit using a trailing SL below each 1h candle low/high
For buy trades, hide your stop loss below Nr4 day low. The ORB – Nr4 pattern tends to precede strong trend day activity, so your stop loss should be rarely hit.
Our take profit strategy is fairly easy and it’s slightly modified from the original strategy highlighted in the “Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns and Opening Range Breakout” book written by Toby Crabel.
Even though the ORB nr4 pattern tends to lead to trend trading days we’re more conservative and want to quickly
take profits. We would trail our SL below each 1h candle low and wait for the market to reverse to take profits.
USDCHF Rising/Bearish Flag Expectation (H&S completion)We expect this pair to fall because of the BEARISH FLAG,
there will be 2 things that we expect when we reach 0.7470
1. Rejection that will form double bottom with target 0.7860
2. Breakout that will satisfy the bearish flag continuation with target 0.7235
OANDA:USDCHF
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BTC Weekly Update 7/23/18Welcome! I've been learning/practing technical analysis for awhile now and have recently learned a lot about price action. I plan to publish my thoughts at least once a week. My goal is to practice, improve, learn and hopefully share some knowledge with the community. Please feel free to challenge and question me (respectfully). This is also not financial advice in anyway. PSA: Don't look for advice from random people online!
Weekly: BTC closed last week in a weekly bearish order block. Right now BTC is trying to fight its way out of this order block and break the June high(7798). This year has been a series a lower highs so this could end up being another one of those. I'm a skeptic until we break and close above $10k. I'm expecting to at least wick through the June high. A close above it on a daily chart would be pretty bullish. I think it is more likely we wick through it and sell off before or around the 8k level.
Daily: Since the swing low on 7/21, BTC has closed in the weekly bearish order block once and is currently printing a nice green candle towards the top of this range. Some closes and consolidation in here are bullish in my opinion as supply could be dropping which will allow more movement upwards. There seems to be decent support in the 7200-7300 range. There is still a lot of resistance here and BTC still has not taken out the high from June yet so a bearish price reversal is definitely in play. I'd be worried about a close below the swing low on 7/21.
4H: BTC has made some recent closes in a 4H bearish order block (inside of the weekly) and closed above a recent swing high. Looking left BTC had several wicks into the resistance and the recent moves up have been closes(bullish action). Closes and consolidation within the 4H bearish order block could lead to a break and consolidation above this level.
1H: Similar to the 4H chart. I'm considering longs at the PWC(prior week's close) the 7/21 or 7/22 swing lows. THE PWH is approximately the EQ of the bearish 4H OB and consolidation above this would seem like a positive sign to me.
Trade scenarios I am considering.
1)
Despite the recent bullishness BTC is still in a downtrend. I like a potential short trade around the 7856 level. This level is above the June high, is a 50% retrace from the June high to the recent lows and is just above significant resistance(stops to run/liquidity). I'd like to see a wick into this level and a close below the June high of 7798 which would be a strong signal to take this trade. If this ends up being a new short term high in a continued downtrend there could be a nice RRR available. If I take this trade I plan to sell at intervals on the way down depending on price action (1st target would be about 7200-7300) and would consider trying to target down near the June lows(if not lower). I'd set a stop loss between 8020-8050.
2)
There is definitely the chance for a more bullish move as well. I'm looking for a break and close above the June high. If we get this I will definitely be looking to long any retrace to the previous resistance that could become support. From there, I will start to take profit around 8500 and continue to take profits as BTC climbs. My stop loss will be around 7590.
3)
This is another short term trade I like that could happen before #1. Given how much support there has been I'd consider a long around the weekly open or 7/22 swing low. I'd target the June high for profit taking. My stop loss would be below the 7/21 swing low (7200ish). This provides a nice 2.0+ RRR.