BIRLASOFT LTD – Bullish Reversal with Volume Surge✅ Trade Plan:
Stock gave a bullish breakout with a large green candle & volume spike
RSI crossed 60 level – bullish strength confirmed
Price broke above short-term resistance zone at ₹407 and nearing ₹425
💰 Buy Zone:
Entry Range: ₹418 – ₹422 (on 15min or 1H candle close above ₹420)
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹425.05 (Immediate resistance)
T2: ₹444.35 (Previous swing high)
T3: ₹485.75 (Gap fill zone and 200 EMA resistance zone)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Intraday SL: ₹407.20 (below support zone and previous candle low)
Swing SL: ₹400 (for positional trade)
🔁 Strategy:
Scalp at ₹425 with 30–40% booking
Hold rest for breakout continuation toward ₹444+
Trail SL to ₹415 once above ₹425
For Education Purposes Only
Priceaction
2025-05-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: If you are a bull and longed anything last week and market hit your 24000 target today, you either took profits at the top and were happy about it or you watched them burn. Now what should we expect when the market hits 24000 the next time? Will bulls willingly hold through another pullback, knowing that it could be 500+ points deep again? I highly doubt that. Usually markets reach their targets and spend more time there or overshoot some to run more stops. Today we did not see any of that, which makes me think this could very well be the exhaustive end of the move → exhaustion gap.
current market cycle: broad bull channel or trading range - doesn’t matter since you trade them the same
key levels: 22000 - 24100
bull case: Bulls need to find acceptance above 23700 and go sideways here. Another strong move below 23500 would mean the bull trend line is broken for good and market could test lower in search of bigger support. I don’t have any targets above 24000 for the bulls and since the pullback was that deep, I am having a hard time believing we could do anything much higher than 24100. With today’s price action, I expect bulls to retest 24000 and maybe some, just to run stops but I do think most bulls will take profits there and bears will short it aggressively again, since it was so profitable today.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: Bears did good in closing the gap down to 23588, making this an exhaustion gap. They will likely short again above 23800 since it has been profitable all day. Only a very strong move above 24100+ would force more bears to cover and we could accelerate up. Therefor sideways 23000 - 24000 is my expect price action for this week. Could bears push it down further because we have Opex? No idea and you should never try to ask why markets are doing something because you will never know the answer. Below 23400 I expect 23000 to come fast.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Neutral. 23000 - 24000 is the range I see for the next days or even weeks, until we get better selling pressure. Trade the bull channel until it’s clearly broken.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
trade of the day: Long Globex open was the obvious trade but shorting 24000 was the even better one. I did not think the short was obvious and I took too long to realize it’s strength and then my risk was bigger than I was comfortable with, so I let it go down without me. I caught another long afterwards for 120+ points.
"USDJPY Just Printed a Trap — Smart Money Is In. Are You?"🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Setup Alert: USDJPY | 15-Min Timeframe
We’re spotting a high-probability bullish continuation setup on USDJPY backed by Smart Money logic. Let’s unpack what’s happening:
🧭 1. Liquidity Grab at the Low
Notice how price created a false breakdown below prior structure — a classic liquidity hunt. Late sellers got trapped before price snapped back aggressively, triggering a Bullish Break of Structure (BOS).
Smart Money needed to grab liquidity before running price higher. Textbook manipulation.
🟩 2. Refined Entry Zone: Discount + Bullish Order Flow
Price has now retraced back to a discount zone, entering the premium-to-discount pullback area. Buyers are expected to defend this level, creating the potential for a bullish continuation.
This entry is cleanly defined by a buy-side imbalance (light green area) which overlaps with a bullish order block and internal trendline support.
📐 3. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Setup
We’ve got an excellent R:R opportunity here:
🎯 Entry: Near 145.910
❌ Stop Loss: Just above 146.314 (invalidate bullish bias)
✅ Take Profit Zone: 145.367 (with continuation possible beyond)
This gives us roughly a 2.3R setup, highly favorable for swing entries.
🎯 4. Confluence
Trendline support holding
Bullish BOS confirmed
Imbalance filled
Liquidity grabbed
Order block respected
FVG forming structure for propulsion
Smart Money is likely to push price back toward internal liquidity highs — and possibly sweep them for a final exit.
📊 Strategy:
Wait for bullish engulfing or strong rejection wick from this discount zone to confirm entry.
Trail stop as structure develops on lower timeframes. This setup can also be compounded if price forms another internal BOS.
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Don’t chase. Let price come to you.
Manage risk at all times.
One setup doesn’t define the day — consistency wins.
🧪 Summary:
USDJPY is giving Smart Money vibes — from the liquidity grab, clean BOS, internal order block, to an excellent R:R setup.
This is the kind of trade where you want to be the hunter, not the prey.
💬 Drop a 🔥 if you caught this move.
📩 Tag a trading buddy who needs to learn SMC.
📊 Stay smart. Trade with purpose.
EURCHF Sell - May 12, 2025Risk : Full 1%
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily EMA, with a strong wick rejection and bearish engulfing.
Entry at 15m imbalance left behind inside a 15m POI.
🎯 TP:
First TP at Asia lows, 1:3 RR → take off 75%
Final TP at second Asia low or gap, close to 6RR
📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk Management: Partial close at 3RR
GBPUSD - Bearish Pressure Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per our last GBPUSD analysis, it rejected the $1.27 - $1.28 support zone and has been trading higher.
This week, GBPUSD is approaching the upper bound of its rising wedge pattern marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone around $1.34 is a strong resistance and previous weekly high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD On the weekly timeframe, AUD/USD approached a previously tested resistance zone around 0.63926, marked by prior price interactions. On the 1-hour chart, the price broke out above this level, signaling bullish momentum. On the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level occurred, with the price retesting the 0.63926 zone, now acting as support, before continuing upward.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Entered a buy trade at 0.64072 after the backtest confirmation.
Take Profit (TP): Targeting 0.64352, aligning with the next significant resistance level.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at 0.63926, just below the breakout level, to protect against a false breakout.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): The distance to TP is 280 pips (0.64352 - 0.64072), and the distance to SL is 146 pips (0.64072 - 0.63926), yielding an RR of approximately 1:1.9.
This AUD/USD trade capitalizes on a breakout and backtest strategy, offering a structured setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio for potential upside.
NZDJPY price action trading n a weekly timeframe, the market revisited a previously tested zone. On the 1-hour chart, it broke out of this zone, and on the 15-minute chart, a backtest of the breakout level is currently occurring. Based on this setup, I’m planning to enter a trade.
Trade Plan:
Take Profit (TP): Targeting the last swing high.
Stop Loss (SL): Placing it below the last resistance level.
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): Aiming for a minimum of 1:3.
This setup offers a high-probability trade with a favorable risk-reward ratio, capitalizing on the breakout and backtest confirmation.
COFORGE 8100 CE – 29 MAY EXPIntraday to Short-Term Trade Setup (15min/1H)
🟢 Bullish Breakout | Volume Surge Confirmed
🛒 Entry Zone (Buy Above): ₹258–260
🔑 Confirmation on 15min candle close above ₹260 with volume
🎯 Targets:
T1: ₹276
T2: ₹306.50
T3: ₹353.90 (if momentum continues into next session)
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL: ₹230 (on candle close basis for 15min TF)
Conservative SL: ₹240 (if tighter risk appetite)
📊 Indicators Signal:
✅ 9 EMA crossed 26 EMA (momentum confirmation)
✅ RSI at 76.79 – strong, but watch for pullback
✅ BB %B at 0.89 – breakout zone
✅ Clean breakout above resistance (~₹230) with volume spike
✅ Pivot & resistance flip visible on both 15min & 1H TF
For Education Purposes Only
Bitcoin Flips $94K Into Support — Bullish Momentum BuildsStructure Strengthens:
Bitcoin's technical structure has improved significantly, with price now holding firmly above the $94,000 level — a former resistance that has flipped into solid support after multiple successful retests.
Bullish Trend Confirmation:
This move reinforces the ongoing bullish trend, driven by a broad bottoming formation from February to April and a clear series of higher lows since March.
Investor Confidence:
The consistent accumulation signals strong buying interest from long-term investors, suggesting that market participants are positioning for further upside.
Outlook & Targets:
As long as Bitcoin maintains levels above $94,000, the bullish outlook remains intact. The next near-term targets lie in the $110,000–$115,000 range.
Bitcoin appears well-positioned for the next leg of its rally. 🚀📈
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #Support #Breakout #MarketUpdate #PriceAction #CryptoMarket
Golden Rejection Candle Strategy–Catch Explosive Intraday Moves!Hello Trader!
Are you tired of buying options and watching premiums die slowly?
Or chasing breakouts that reverse the moment you enter?
Here’s your solution – the Golden Rejection Candle Strategy , designed especially for option buyers who want timed entries, fast momentum, and defined risk .
What is a Golden Rejection Candle?
A special candlestick that forms when price hits a strong level (like VWAP, trendline, or demand/supply zone) and gets instantly rejected.
It leaves behind a long wick (shadow), showing that buyers or sellers stepped in with force .
This candle often marks the start of a sharp intraday reversal .
It's not just a random wick — it’s a smart money footprint .
Live Chart Example – Nifty Spot vs Option Premium (23950 CE)
Date: 9th May 2025
Timeframe: 1 min (Spot), 1 min (Options)
Spot Chart Setup: Nifty approached a marked green support zone and created a strong wick rejection with a small body candle — classic sign of buyers defending the level.
Confirmation Candle: The next candle broke above the rejection candle’s high, confirming the reversal setup.
Premium Reaction: On the 1-min ATM Option chart (23950 CE), premiums jumped from 270 to 344 – a clean 26% gain within few minutes.
Risk-Reward Snapshot: Entry was at breakout, SL just below rejection wick, and target hit in a single momentum burst — the kind of move option buyers live for.
How to Trade It as an Option Buyer
Choose the Right Strike: Use ATM or slightly ITM options to get faster movement when price reverses.
Entry Strategy: Wait for the next candle to break the rejection candle’s high/low. No break = No trade.
SL Placement: Keep it just beyond the wick. Small loss if wrong, big reward if right.
Exit Plan: Aim for intraday resistance/support or spike-based exits — option premiums often give quick moves post-rejection.
What NOT to Do:
Don’t enter on the rejection candle itself — wait for confirmation.
Avoid trading this pattern in low volume or middle of the range.
Don’t hold blindly — if premium spikes, take the money and run!
Rahul’s Tip:
“Sudden reversals are where option buyers make money — not slow trends. The rejection candle shows intent. The breakout shows confirmation. Combine both.”
Conclusion:
The Golden Rejection Candle Strategy gives you an edge that most random trades lack — timing, context, and structure.
If you're an option buyer, this can be your go-to setup to avoid traps and enter only when smart money steps in.
No more guessing. No more fear.
Just clean, price-action-based entries that make sense.
👇 Have you ever used rejection-based setups? Drop your favorite trade below! Let’s learn together.
If you found this post valuable, don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW!
I regularly share real-world trading setups, actionable strategies, and learning-focused content — all from real trading experience , not theory . Stay connected if you're serious about growing as a trader!
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: Can’t be anything but bullish. Weekly chart is clear as day and we are in the third leg up.
current market cycle: bull trend inside a big bull wedge and we are close to the top
key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next)
bull case: Upside will likely be limited to something below 120000 but bulls are in full control until we print below a higher low again. Bulls want 110000 and then some. It’s a clear bull wedge and longs above 100000 are tough because stop has to be at least 97000. It looks like we could accelerate up and get to 110000 faster but betting on it is a bad strategy. Any decent pullback to 100000 or 98000 will most likely be bought.
Invalidation is below 96000.
bear case: Bears can scalp this at best but tough way to make a living. They are not doing much because most will wait for a new ath or at least let the market get closer to 109000 and see better selling pressure. We are at the top of a potential channel up but until bears print something below 102000 again, it would be gambling to hope for a better pullback to sell.
Invalidation is above 112000.
short term: Bullish but buying at the very top is tough. Any long 100000 or 98000 is likely good, if it’s not during a crazy strong bear spike.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: I expect a trading range 700000 - 100000 for longer. The current move above 100000 I see as a retest of the ath and it could overshoot but I doubt market can find acceptance there for longer. Only interested in shorts on anything above the 1h time frame.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Market closed near the high of the week and we made a textbook double bottom below 56. Sometimes it’s not more complicated than that to take a trade.
current market cycle: trading range on monthly tf and bear trend on the daily
key levels: 58 - 64
bull case: 63 is my first bull target, followed by 64 and above 64.38 we likely test up to the bear trend line around 67. Best for bulls would be to keep the gap 59.8 - 60.3 open.
Invalidation is below 58.
bear case: If we drop below 58 again, it’s a clear descending triangle and we could do 56 or lower, again. Right now bears don’t have much since last week was bullish and closed at the highs. Best bears could get is a trading range 55 - 65, so they better keep making lower highs or they have to try again around 67 or higher.
Invalidation is above 64.4
short term: Bullish for 63 or higher. No interest in selling down here.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: 3 legs down on the weekly chart and market has printed a credible bottom around 55. I think we can test back to 65 over the next weeks.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Not much changed last week so I do not change much of what I wrote then. Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s still too early to short. The bull wedge is about to break out over the next 1-2 days and if bulls stay above 19600, we should expect higher prices.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 19000 - 21000
bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000. Nothing of this changed to last week. Bulls preventing the bears from getting any decent pullback, which is uber bullish.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Problem for the bulls is, that we have not closed above the weekly 20ema for two weeks now and bears defending the prior lower high 20536. That was and will be my line in the sand next week. Gap close to it, we have no reason not to print a new ath but below19600 I think more bulls will give up, depending on the strength of the selling. As of now, nothing about the chart is bearish but one decent down day > -2% could change that.
Invalidation is above 20620ish.
short term: Neutral. Market went nowhere and trading on hope and fairy dust is not my thing. I wait.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-11: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer. Same update as for dax, I guess we could go down and sideways over the next weeks/months and then have another squeeze into year end. Stairs up, elevator down.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax
Good Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Bull targets are met and we have 4 legs up. 5 even if you count the spikes at the lows. We can do higher but what are the odds? Market is overdue for correction again and given that we easily could do -20% from here, it will be a tough summer. Technically it’s still just bullish but I would not buy up here. Macro-schmackro-wise it’s reasonable to assume that most companies with any US/CN business are worse off than they were before “liberation day”. So my take on this is still a house of cards ready to be blown away by the next small breeze.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 22600 - 24000
bull case: 5 Consecutive bull weeks now. If you buy into this at the high, only God may help you. 24000 is the obvious target and it’s a coin flip if bulls can get it. What would make me turn bull? Nothing. Even if bulls print 24400, I would expect it to crash down in less than 2 weeks.
Invalidation is below 22900.
bear case: Two very small pullbacks last week and bulls bought it. Market is refusing to go down and we are still making higher highs. Nothing for the bears here until bulls are clearly exhausted and want out. Market turns more neutral with a daily close below 23000 and I think bearish only below 22600.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Neutral. I wait for clear topping signals and more selling pressure. Long scalps against support if bulls want 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-05-11: So here is my very rough guess about the next months. This short squeeze is clearly overdone and global macro stuff has most likely already deteriorated a great deal. Down to 20000 over the next weeks and form a big trading range. Up through October-Year end. Zero thought about a new bull trend above 24000 or that we have seen the lows for either 2025 or 2026. Good question is always, “How would you allocate 100k right now?”. 50% short dax, 25% of it levered/options and with the rest I would scalp.
QNT - The Bulls are Leading!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After breaking above the last major high marked in red, QNT has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand and structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #QNT retests the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin -Weekly Forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
86499.57 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 86499.57 is broken.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 74545.70 on 04/09/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 105431.17, 109932.90, 115000.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57 ✅
91037.20 ✅
94505.46 ✅
98675.19 ✅
101430.12 ✅
105431.17
109932.90
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
132000.00
140000.00
150000.00
160000.00
167666.00
________________________________________________________________
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GBPAUD: 2 Strong Bearish Confirmations 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is in a very bearish price action after a test
of the underlined horizontal resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern
and violated its neckline and a support line of a rising
parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities will be high to see a decline at least to 2.064 support.
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XAUUSDHello traders!
There's a buy opportunity on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share this trade with you. The trade is currently active on my end, and I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1.50.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3320.74
✔️ Take Profit: 3335.20
✔️ Stop Loss: 3311.13
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
09.05.25 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:EURCAD
FX:USDCHF
FX:EURUSD
FOREXCOM:COFFEE
Heads up guys!! I will be heading to Greece today so next week my morning forecast videos may not be as consistent, due to internet and just not having my full equipment, so I will do my very best to get some forecasting posted for you all!
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.