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Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups. Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach. Key Technical Components in the Chart 1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern. The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred. This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside. The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally. 📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase. 2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend. Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum. A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying. 📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact. 3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move. Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher. Price Movement Post-Breakout: After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace. Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders. 📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal. Trading Plan & Strategy 1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones Buy on Pullbacks: Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements. This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals. Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles). Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation. 2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661 Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk. If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction. 📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level? It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations. 3. Take-Profit & Target Projection 📍 Target Price: $3,170 The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance. If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts. 4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias ✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels. ✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones. ✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions Market Sentiment: If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely. If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction. Geopolitical & Economic Factors: Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties. Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend. Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout. 🚀 Trade Setup Summary: ✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels ✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support) ✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation 🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup. Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
AUDCAD | Reoccurring FractalsWe're looking at 3 complete fractals and the fourth one being the current one. Same phase as the last, a bit of sideways trading/consolidation then aggressive buying breaking out to the upside. Price action has been trending upwards with HHs and HLs and we're currently at a Lower High bouncing off the lower trendline below. Would be ideal to look for long positions only for this setup as bulls are looking stronger from this view. ~300pips going into the 3rd wave.
Long
by Nathanl19
2025-03-25 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Volume is garbage but we are moving higher. Likely more due to strong bears stepping aside rather then strong bulls buying. 20700 is the 50% and we will likely get there over the next 1-2 days. I do think bears have to prevent the bulls from getting a 4th consecutive daily bull bar or more bulls could join and more bears cover. My thesis is that we are in W2 and forming a bear channel, so I would greatly prefer it if market stays below 20700. 20900 would be the breakout retest and is the next logical target above. current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2 (above 20700 that thesis drops to a 50/50 chance) key levels: 19600 - 20700 bull case: Bulls have a bull trend from Globex open yesterday and keeping the market above the 1h 20ema. Right now longs with stop 20360 are reasonable since we are making higher lows. 20700 is the obvious target and then the breakout-retest 20900. As long as bulls keep the lower bull trend line valid, they are good. The upper wedge line is likely to get broken, so I don’t think it’s bigger resistance. Market is doing his best to keep most traders out of this move up, since most of the gains are made in the pre- and after market (obviously not futures). Invalidation is below 20360. bear case: Bears don’t have much right now. The bear trend is obviously still alive and market is likely forming a bear channel but since we are going up in a very tight channel, bulls are in control on the lower time frames. Bears need to either print a strong rejection tomorrow before or after we hit 20700. I’d prefer before, then another leg up to the 50% and then another strong rejection down to 20000 but it’s a rough guess. First target for bears is a break below 20300 again and going sideways. short term: Neutral 20500 and bullish only closer to the 1h 20ema. 20700 is my bull target and there I expect the battle for either continuation of the big bear trend or transition into a big trading range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. trade of the day: Buying 20300 early in EU session or any pullback close to the 1h 20ema. Market is so strong since open of the week that moving far below the 1h 20ema was very low probability.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
EUR/JPY Breakdown: Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish SetupThe EUR/JPY 4-hour chart is presenting a well-structured price action setup, featuring a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish trendline, and key resistance and support levels. This detailed analysis will walk through each aspect of the chart to provide a professional trading perspective. 1. Market Context & Price Action Overview At the beginning of the chart, EUR/JPY was experiencing a downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a falling wedge pattern. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal signal, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers may take control. Once the price reached a key support zone near 156.08, it bounced, leading to a breakout of the falling wedge. Since the breakout, the price has been moving in a bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting an ascending trendline. 2. Technical Patterns & Key Levels 🔹 Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Breakout The falling wedge is identified by two converging trendlines sloping downward. It indicates that bearish momentum is weakening as price compresses. A breakout above the upper wedge line confirmed the shift in trend direction. The breakout candle had strong bullish momentum, suggesting increased buyer interest. 🔹 Support and Resistance Levels 📉 Major Support Level (~156.08): This level acted as a demand zone, where buyers aggressively stepped in. The price formed multiple rejections at this level before breaking upwards. A stop-loss placement below this level is ideal for bullish trades. 📈 Resistance Level (~163.50 - 164.00): This zone has been tested multiple times as price approaches from below. A break and retest of this resistance would confirm further bullish momentum. If price faces strong rejection, a short-term pullback to the trendline may occur. 🎯 Final Target (~166.79): This is the next major resistance level, aligning with previous swing highs. It serves as a strong take-profit (TP) level for long positions. If price reaches this level, we may see a consolidation phase or possible reversal. 3. Trend Analysis & Market Structure 📈 Bullish Trendline: The price has been respecting an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support. This trendline connects higher lows, confirming a strong bullish trend. As long as price stays above this line, buyers remain in control. 📊 Market Structure: Since breaking out from the falling wedge, the price is forming a classic bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows. This indicates sustained buyer pressure and a potential continuation toward resistance levels. 4. Trading Setup & Risk Management 📌 Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: After the wedge breakout with a tight stop-loss. Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the trendline support or a break and retest of resistance at 163.50 - 164.00. 🔻 Stop Loss Placement: Below 156.08 (previous support zone) to protect against trend invalidation. Alternatively, below the rising trendline for a dynamic SL approach. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 163.50 - 164.00 resistance zone (Partial profits). TP2: 166.79 final target, aligning with historical resistance. 5. Market Outlook & Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability) If price holds above the trendline and breaks 163.50 - 164.00, we expect a continuation towards 166.79. The structure remains intact as long as higher highs and higher lows persist. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Low Probability, but Possible) If price fails at resistance and breaks below the trendline, it could signal a deeper retracement. A break below 156.08 would completely invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a potential downtrend. 6. Summary & Key Takeaways Trend Bias: Bullish, supported by a falling wedge breakout and higher highs. Key Levels: Support at 156.08, resistance at 163.50 - 164.00, final target at 166.79. Trading Strategy: Buy on retests of trendline or resistance breakouts. Risk Management: Use dynamic stop-loss levels to minimize downside exposure. 🔹 Final Verdict: If price remains above support and successfully breaks 163.50 - 164.00, a strong move toward 166.79 is expected. However, traders should remain cautious of trendline breakdowns and manage risk accordingly. 📊 Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and always use stop-loss protection! 🚀 #EURJPY #Forex #TradingStrategy #PriceAction
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently. 1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs. 📌 Key characteristics of this triangle: ✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression. ✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout. ✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move. Pattern Psychology: A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure 🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227 The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times. The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant. Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance. 🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500 The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher. However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation. The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline. Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend. The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan: 📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position) ✔ Entry Strategy: Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700. The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest. ✔ Stop-Loss Placement: To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227). This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals. ✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level): The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle. Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level. Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits. ✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk. A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades. 4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis 🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping? While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs. 🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP: GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining. EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements. Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios. ⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown: If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal. In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Sideways Consolidation: If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move. Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades. 6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways ✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish). ✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend. ✅ Trade Setup: Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700). Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance). Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move. ✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR. ✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend. 📢 Final Thoughts This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly. For best results: ✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations). ✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels). ✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements. By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely. Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement. Key Components of the Chart 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when: The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum. Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area) The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market. This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone. The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply. 🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls. Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal. However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation. If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity. Trade Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Point: Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation. For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss. 📌 Profit Target: The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level. If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade. Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade 📈 Trend Reversal Signals The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal. A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend. 📊 Volume Confirmation Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure. If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management. 🔍 Retest & Price Action A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum. If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry. Risk Management & Trade Considerations Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early. Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility. Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀 This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
COMP - Shift in Momentum in Action!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🔹 COMP has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel in red. However , it is currently rejecting a strong weekly support at $35 - $40. Moreover, it is clear that the bears are exhausted as the bearish impulse phases are getting more flat. 📈 For the bulls to take over, and shift the momentum in their favor, a break above both trendlines and $50 round number is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup. 1. Market Structure & Trend Overview Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal. A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity. 2. Key Technical Levels & Zones A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher. Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region. This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure. A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels. C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in. If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target. D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days. A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control. The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward. E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11. This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking. 3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan 📌 Entry Point: Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96. This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher. 📌 Take-Profit Target: Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react. Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support. 📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain. This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management. 4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook ✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern. ✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure. ✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum. ✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence. ✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment. 5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario 📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade? If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case: Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid. Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market. 📌 Market Conditions to Monitor: Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering. Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume. News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement. 6. Final Thoughts & Summary This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement. 💡 Key Takeaways: Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96. Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60. Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup. If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
CHF/USD – Double Bottom Reversal Setup - Trading SetupComprehensive Analysis of CHF/USD 4-Hour Chart The CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a technical trading setup based on a Double Bottom reversal pattern, combined with trendline support and key resistance levels. This pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance is cleared. Below is a professional breakdown of the chart, covering the market structure, pattern formation, and a strategic trading setup. 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis The overall market structure suggests that CHF/USD has been in an uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline that has consistently provided support. The price has recently tested a key support zone twice, forming the Double Bottom pattern, which is known for signaling a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend. The dashed trendline connecting higher lows confirms the bullish momentum. As long as the price stays above this trendline support, the bullish bias remains valid. A break below the trendline would indicate a possible reversal or a deeper retracement. The most critical observation here is that the price is respecting both the trendline and horizontal support zone, which increases the likelihood of a breakout in the upward direction. 2️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern Formation The Double Bottom pattern is clearly formed at a strong demand zone, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines. The first bottom was formed after a rejection from the 1.1250 - 1.1290 support zone. The price then attempted to recover but faced resistance at 1.1350 - 1.1400, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. The second bottom was formed at approximately the same price level as the first, confirming the validity of the pattern. A Double Bottom pattern is considered bullish, but confirmation is required through a breakout above the neckline resistance (1.1350 - 1.1400). If the price successfully breaks this level, it will indicate that buyers have regained control and the price is likely to move higher. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels In this setup, there are three crucial price zones: support, resistance, and the target area. The support zone, located around 1.1250 - 1.1290, is where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. This level is crucial because it provided strong demand during the formation of the Double Bottom. The resistance level at 1.1350 - 1.1400 serves as the neckline of the pattern. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish trend continuation, while rejection could lead to another retest of support. The target area is projected around 1.1500 - 1.1550, based on the measured move of the Double Bottom formation. This is the price level where traders may start taking profits if the bullish breakout occurs. 4️⃣ Trade Execution Plan To take advantage of this potential setup, traders should focus on three key aspects: entry, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels. Entry Strategy Aggressive traders can enter a long position above 1.1350, anticipating an immediate breakout. Conservative traders may wait for a break and retest of the 1.1350 - 1.1400 zone, which would act as a confirmation for a sustained bullish move. Stop-Loss Placement A logical stop-loss should be set below 1.1138, which is beneath the Double Bottom formation and trendline support. If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential trend reversal. Profit Targets The first target zone lies around 1.1450 - 1.1500, where traders may consider securing partial profits. The extended target zone is 1.1550, which aligns with the expected measured move of the Double Bottom pattern. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Final Considerations Since this setup is based on a strong trendline support and bullish pattern, risk management is essential to protect against fake breakouts or sudden trend reversals. Traders should monitor price action near the 1.1350 - 1.1400 resistance zone. A strong bullish candle closing above this area increases the likelihood of a successful breakout. If the price fails to break out and starts moving lower, it may indicate that sellers are still in control, which could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.1200 or lower. 6️⃣ Summary & TradingView Idea This CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bullish setup based on a Double Bottom reversal at a strong support zone. The key confirmation level to watch is 1.1350 - 1.1400, which, if broken, will likely push the price toward 1.1500 - 1.1550. Entry: Buy above 1.1350 or after a breakout retest. Stop Loss: Below 1.1138 to avoid false breakouts. Take Profit: First target at 1.1450 - 1.1500, extended target at 1.1550. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a strong potential trading opportunity. However, traders should always wait for confirmation signals before entering a position. 🚀
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup. 📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks: Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback. Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback. Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend. This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway. 📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line). The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support. However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing. A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement. 📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones. 📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area): 0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in. If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss. This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone. 📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone): The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken. If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades. A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline. 📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone): The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward. This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area. If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play. 📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade. ✅ Entry Strategy: Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline. Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position. 🚀 Stop-Loss Placement: Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern). Ensures protection from a potential false breakout. 🎯 Take-Profit Strategy: First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern). Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward. 📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider: 🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment. 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out. 🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup. 🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance. 📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity. 💡 Key Takeaways: ✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal. ✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry. ✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776. ✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation. 🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
XAU/USD Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakdown – Trading Setup📌 Chart Overview The chart represents the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, where the price is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern consists of a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating market indecision. However, as price approaches the apex of the triangle, a breakout is imminent, making this a high-probability trading opportunity. The analysis suggests a potential bearish breakdown, with price action likely to drop toward key support levels if the lower boundary of the triangle is breached. 📊 Breakdown of Key Chart Elements 1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation The symmetrical triangle is a well-known technical pattern that signals a period of consolidation before a significant move. It forms when: Buyers and sellers struggle for control, resulting in a narrowing price range. A breakout occurs when one side gains dominance, leading to an expansion in volatility. In this chart, the price is trapped within the triangle, gradually forming a squeeze, and a breakout is highly likely. 2. Resistance & Support Levels Understanding key support and resistance zones is crucial in determining the next price direction. 🟧 Resistance Zone (~3,030 – 3,058 USD) Marked in yellow, this area has acted as a strong resistance. Multiple rejection points suggest that bulls are struggling to push prices higher. If price breaks above this zone, it could trigger a bullish rally. 🟦 Support Level (~2,990 USD) This is a critical support zone that has been tested multiple times. The lower boundary of the triangle aligns with this level. A clean breakdown will likely trigger stop losses and aggressive selling pressure. 📉 Expected Breakdown & Price Projection The price is currently trading near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle. Based on technical probabilities, the higher likelihood is a breakdown, which is why the trade setup leans towards a short-selling opportunity. 3. Retesting Area (~3,015 – 3,020 USD) If price breaks below the triangle, it may retest the broken support before continuing downward. The retesting area is a critical zone where sellers may re-enter to drive prices lower. A failed retest (bounce back inside the triangle) would invalidate the bearish setup. 📈 Trading Strategy & Execution Plan This setup presents a well-structured short-selling opportunity based on the expected breakdown scenario. 🔽 Short Entry Strategy Entry Confirmation: Short position can be taken once price breaks and closes below 2,990 USD (triangle support). Retest Entry: If price retests the breakdown zone (around 3,015 – 3,020 USD) and rejects, it confirms the bearish bias. Aggressive Entry: Traders who take early positions can enter a short once price approaches the lower triangle boundary with a tight stop-loss. 🎯 Target Levels Upon confirmation of a breakdown, price action is likely to follow a measured move toward the following downside targets: Target 1: 2,942 USD (first major support level) Target 2: 2,920 USD (next key demand zone) These levels are determined by previous price reactions and historical support zones. 🛑 Stop-Loss Placement To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high to protect against a fake breakout. Safe Stop Loss: Above 3,058 USD (strong resistance zone). Aggressive Stop Loss: Just above the breakout retest zone (~3,030 USD). 📌 Market Psychology & Risk Management Traders should consider the psychological aspects behind this setup: Bullish traders may attempt to defend the support zone, but a failure will lead to panic selling. Smart money (institutional traders) often use fake breakouts to trap early sellers before driving the price lower. Wait for confirmation before entering trades to avoid being caught in false moves. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) Entry: ~2,990 USD Target 1: 2,942 USD Target 2: 2,920 USD Stop Loss: 3,058 USD This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio (RRR), making it a high-probability trade. 🔎 Conclusion & Final Thoughts The symmetrical triangle is at its final stage, and a breakout is imminent. A break below 2,990 USD will likely confirm a bearish move. Retesting the breakdown zone (3,015 – 3,020 USD) is crucial for short entries. Downside targets are 2,942 USD and 2,920 USD based on historical support zones. Proper risk management is essential—always use stop-losses to mitigate potential losses. This setup presents a strong opportunity for short traders, but patience is key. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY – Key Resistance Tested After Strong RallyThe USD/JPY pair has been in a steady uptrend after finding support near the 147.800 level, leading to a breakout above key levels. The price is currently testing a significant resistance zone around 150.500, where previous rejections occurred. Key Levels to Watch: 📌 Resistance: 150.500 (current test), 155.500, 156.500 📌 Support: 147.800 If buyers sustain momentum above 150.500, we could see a move toward the 155.500 - 156.500 zone. However, rejection at this level could trigger a pullback toward 147.800 support. Traders should monitor price action at this level to determine whether a breakout or rejection occurs. What are your thoughts? Will USD/JPY break higher, or are we due for a pullback? 🚀📉
by PIXEL_BLADE
BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe . Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed. Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity. If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900. I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target. Watch how price reacts from this level. — Shared by CelestiaPip
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CelestiaPips
#GOLD ANALYSIS (BEARISH BIAS)🔍 XAU/USD Technical Breakdown – Bearish Setup Ahead? Gold has been struggling against a key trendline resistance, with a strong supply zone acting as a barrier. The price is currently approaching a critical rejection area ($3,033 - $3,040), aligning with the downward trendline. A potential liquidity grab in this region could trigger a bearish reversal. Always take confirmation before executing your trade. Expected Price Action: A rejection from resistance, followed by a lower high formation. A move towards the $3,010 - 3015 level, with a possible test of liquidity. Break below could open doors for further downside. 🔴 Stop-Loss: Above the resistance zone. 🟢 Target: Key support around $2,999-$3,010. Will the bears take control, or will bulls break through? Let’s watch how price reacts! 👀 #XAUUSD 30M Technical Analysis Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
1
2025-03-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Big day for the bulls tomorrow. US markets rallied hard while this closed neutral but the rejection above 23300 made this day good for the bears. Bulls need to stay above 22954 and bears below 23200. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 22900 - 24000 bull case: Bulls have no more room to the downside. Either break above again or go down. Above 23300 we test 23500 and maybe higher but for now the battle is fought between 22900 and 23200. Bulls are still in control since the bull channel is alive and well. They have closed above the daily 20ema and have also six 1h bars with big tails below 23100. Problem though is that six is a bit much. They need to rally hard tomorrow or at least stay above 23100. Invalidation is below 23000. bear case: Bears printed a good rejection above 23300 and had 3 legs down while the third one made a double bottom, which is not good for them. Structure below 23100 looks better to buy and not to sell. If they keep it below 23200, they could poke 23000 a bit more and maybe more bulls will give up but for now it’s a big maybe. Market is still always in long until we have consecutive daily closes below 23000. Best bears can hope for is to continue to print lower highs below 23374. Invalidation is above 23400. short term: Slightly bullish bias around 23100 with stop 23954. I want to see a new ath and then a huge rejection from maybe 24k, which should align with my guess for the big second leg down in us markets. Still a rough guess for now. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying Globex open was easy but selling was hard. Bears surprised me multiple times. Bad trading on my part today.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line. This decline will continue, but the support area of ​​2955 could trigger a rebound. At the support area of ​​2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines. If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of ​​2789.95. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE. 💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe: The price is in a Corrective wave. Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955. 💡 H1 Timeframe: A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area. 3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSD
by ForecastCity
17
What is a Swing Failure Pattern? - Basic explanation!A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) is a technical chart pattern often used in price action trading to identify potential reversals in the market. It is typically seen on candlestick or bar charts in the context of trend analysis. The basic idea behind a Swing Failure Pattern is that the price temporarily breaks above or below a previous swing high or low, but fails to sustain that move and reverses direction quickly. This indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, and it can be a signal for a trend reversal or breakdown. When is it a SFP? - In needs to sweep the previous low - It has to close the candlestick above the previous low. So only a wick down When the price closes the body of a candle below the last low, it will not be considered an SFP. In this case, it is highly likely that the trend will continue in that direction. The SFP can occur across various timeframes, from lower to higher timeframes. Example on the daily timeframe Here, we see two SFPs: one to the upside and one to the downside. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
32
XTIUSD Price ActionHello traders! As you can see, I've highlighted two valid Supply and Demand zones on the chart. Notice that the previous trendline liquidity has already been swept, and the market grabbed liquidity at the top before forming the supply zone. This presents a good opportunity to enter a trade targeting the next valid demand zone below. Remember, always pay close attention to risk management—protect your balance first, then aim for profits. If you can manage risk effectively, you'll thrive in the market. Wishing you all successful trades—happy trading!
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDShort
by SuvashishFx
2