EURGBP Short SetupEURGBP Short Setup
4H Chart Trendline Breakdown and Retest
Entry : 0.84944
Stop Loss : 0.86678
Take Profit : 0.83310
RR 1 to 1.9
Market broke below the ascending support and retested the underside of a broken trendline confluence. Bearish pressure is building as price fails to reclaim 0.85396 zone. Clean structure for continuation to the downside.
Price is now respecting lower highs with momentum shifting beneath structure. This setup targets the previous demand zone near 0.833 region where price consolidated before the last impulse up.
As long as price holds below 0.854 zone, bearish bias remains valid.
Priceaction
UBER Long Breakout Play | 4H ChartUber Technologies Inc. (UBER) just broke out of a long-standing descending trendline, confirming a bullish structural shift.
Entry: $79.43
SL: $70.45
TP: $86.93
R:R : 1:1.8
Technical Highlights
• Clean breakout above descending trendline and horizontal resistance at $77.35
• Retest and hold above previous resistance confirms bullish strength
• Strong bullish momentum and candle close above key levels
• Targeting the next major resistance zone near $87
Bias
Bullish continuation as long as $77.35 holds as support.
Plan
Trail stop if price sustains above $82. Look for volume confirmation on breakout retest.
2025-04-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: We see big bear spikes but no follow-through. Once every dip stalls, bears are out and bulls take over again and inching this higher. Tomorrow we either get a strong breakout above or below. As of now bulls are in full control, since bears have not traded below the prior’s day low for 6 consecutive trading days. Pain trade is up. Tomorrow is end of month, so I do think bulls want this monthly bar to be a big duck you to the bears and close it above 20000.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 19000 - 20000
bull case: Bulls want 20000. As long as they stay above 19379, they remain in control. Not a strong trend up but it’s making higher lows and higher highs. So buy pullbacks until it stops working. Do. Not. Buy. The. Highs.
Invalidation is below 19379.
bear case: Bears need to stop the higher highs and start making meaningful lower lows again. They are trying to get some selling going but on any decent resistance where market stalls, they run for the exits and bulls pump it higher. Bears are making money on selling new highs though. I turn bear again, once we drop below 19200. Neutral range is 19200 - 19700
Invalidation is above 19720.
short term: Can’t be anything but bullish. Bears could come around strongly any day, given that we only get bad news currently but so far, market does not care and we are squeezing hard. 20000 is the price to hit now.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We are +18% from the lows and I do think, once this turns again, it will easily be the short trade of the year.
trade of the day: Buying the spike down below 19400 and betting on a lower high. Shorting 19600 was decent because you could have down it all day and made a duckton of money.
AUDJPY: H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:AUDJPY
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When Moving Averages Meet the Demand ZoneOne of the simplest ways to identify the market trend is by using the moving average (MA) indicator.
When price moves above the MA, it's generally considered an uptrend.
When price moves below the MA, it's seen as a downtrend.
Aside from showing the trend, moving averages can also act as dynamic support and resistance:
In an uptrend, the MA acts as support — meaning if price retraces into the MA, it often bounces back and continues upward.
In a downtrend, the MA acts as resistance — price tends to reject the MA and move lower.
In BINANCE:WIFUSDT , the moving average is currently acting as support, and price is pulling back into a confluence zone between 0.584 – 0.558, where the MA meets a demand zone. This setup increases the probability of the pullback ending and the uptrend continuing.
The confirmation for a bullish continuation would be a break and close above 0.620.
If that happens, the next target zone is between 0.763 – 0.789.
Keep a close eye when price approaches the previous high. The ideal scenario is a strong impulsive breakout. The worst-case scenario would be a rejection or false breakout from that level.
Alright, what's your take on BINANCE:WIFUSDT ?
Pullback's Almost Over — Get In Before It RunsThe best time to enter in a bull market is during a pullback — when price temporarily retraces before continuing its upward trend.
In the case of BINANCE:SUPERUSDT , price is currently pulling back into a demand zone between 0.7178 – 0.7109. The overall structure remains bullish, with the blue arrows showing a series of higher lows and the red arrows indicating higher highs.
We expect the price to bounce from this demand zone and potentially break the previous high, continuing the bullish trend.
To confirm the pullback is ending and a reversal is underway, we’ll watch for candlestick patterns. Here are two possible bullish confirmation scenarios:
Price breaks and closes above the high of the last red candle — a bullish engulfing setup.
Price dips deeper into the demand zone, then forms a bullish pattern such as:
Bullish Engulfing
Bullish Harami
Other reversal signals, like a close above the high of the previous two candles.
These are the scenarios I’m watching for on $SUPERUSDT.
Let me know your thoughts!
Bullish Pennant in ARDR: A Pause Before Another RallyAfter an aggressive surge marked by a big green candle, BINANCE:ARDRUSDT is now moving sideways. This sideways action represents a "voting phase" between buyers and sellers — a battle to decide who will take control next.
Looking at the current price structure, this consolidation is setting up a potential continuation move toward the next target zone at 0.15199 – 0.15900.
Technically, the sideways movement is forming a bullish pennant pattern — a classic sign where price briefly pauses after a strong rally, gathering momentum before continuing its upward trend.
One thing to watch: after breaking the previous high (marked by the red arrow), price should not fall back into the pennant structure. A re-entry would weaken the bullish setup.
As long as price holds above the key support at 0.12273, the bullish scenario remains intact.
What's your view on this setup?
GOLD ANALYSISIn this analysis we're focusing on 1H time frame for Gold. Today I'm expecting bullish momentum and my bias was bullish. On the basis of SMC concept and price action when price reach my zone and give any bullish confirmation, after observing strong confirmation. I'll trigger my trades. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
This is a higher time frame outlook. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame for finding ideal and crucial entry point. Confirmation is very important.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis.
#XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GU-Tue-29/04/25 TDA-Interesting GBP strength yesterday!Analysis done directly on the chart
Interesting GBP strength yesterday compared to its peers
USD, EUR. What could possibly fueled this move up?
Amid of US-China trade war potential negotiation and ahead
of next important week of interest rate decisions.
Comment down below your thoughts!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPNZD - Marco Trend Still Up!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPNZD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising channels in blue and orange.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support, structure and demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange/blue trendlines acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPNZD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Natural Gas Ready to Explode?In recent months, Natural Gas (NG1!) has shown significant volatility, but now there are clear signals suggesting a major directional move could be imminent.
On the weekly technical chart, price has bounced from a strong demand zone between 2.50 and 2.70 USD/MMBtu, an area historically defended by institutional players. Currently, it is trading above 3.30 USD, consolidating in preparation for the next move. Key resistance zones to watch are between 3.90 and 4.20 USD, a region of high volume confluence and institutional supply.
Retail sentiment is extremely interesting: over 75% of retail traders are currently long. Historically, an excess of retail longs often leads to either corrections or accumulation/distribution phases, as large players tend to act against the majority.
Looking at the COT Report, the data supports the bullish thesis: non-commercials (speculative funds) remain net short, while commercials (physical operators) are increasing their long positions, indicating expectations of higher real demand in the medium term. This is a historically bullish signal, although it may not materialize immediately: commercials often start accumulating well before price movements occur.
Finally, seasonality favors the bulls: historically, from late April through mid-June, Natural Gas tends to perform positively, fueled by storage accumulation ahead of summer and the following winter season.
Strategically, a consolidation phase above 2.90–3.00 USD could serve as a base for larger moves towards 3.90 and eventually 4.90 USD, with the bullish scenario invalidated only below the 2.80 USD area.
EURUSD is Switching to a Bearish Trend!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.14200 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.14200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD racing towards new highs? The market sends clear signalsThe EUR/USD pair is confirming a very strong bullish structure. On the weekly chart, the price is positioned above a key supply zone between 1.1350 and 1.1450, after strongly breaking through previous resistances.
The current consolidation at the top of the range suggests a potential continuation to the upside, with a first target at 1.1500 and an extended target at 1.1600.
Retail market sentiment shows a clear majority of short positions on EUR/USD.
This supports a contrarian bullish view, as historically, retail tends to be positioned against the prevailing trend.
COT report data further strengthens this outlook.
The US Dollar Index (USD Index) shows an increase in short positions among institutional traders, indicating a possible phase of dollar weakness.
Conversely, the Euro FX shows a significant increase in long positions from both non-commercial and commercial traders, highlighting institutional interest in buying the euro.
From a seasonal perspective, May tends to be neutral or slightly negative for the euro, while June historically favors moderate dollar strength.
This suggests that EUR/USD could still have room to rise over the coming weeks, but it will be important to monitor for signs of bullish exhaustion towards the end of May.
In summary, the current context favors further upside on EUR/USD as long as the price remains above the 1.1300 support.
However, it will be crucial to watch for the first signs of weakness as we approach June.
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.
"BTC Just Triggered ChoCh! Are You Ready For The Next Big Play?"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 15M Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📈 What's Happening:
BTC hunted liquidity above the previous highs (notice those $$$ grabs 🔥).
A sharp sell-off followed = Clear ChoCh (Change of Character) printed.
Price is now marching back into the Fair Value Gap sitting right inside the Premium Zone.
🚨 Critical Levels Highlighted:
Strong High = Ultimate invalidation for bears if price closes above.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = First supply area.
Order Block (OB) = Deeper, higher probability short zone.
🧠 Key Observations:
Smart Money grabbed liquidity to trap breakout buyers.
Now price retraces into the imbalance = prime sniper setup.
🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN:
Plan A — Short Setup (Main Bias):
✅ Wait for rejection signs inside FVG or OB.
✅ Trigger short entries only after bearish structure forms (M5 or M1 timeframe).
✅ TP1 = Previous minor low. TP2 = Weak Low (~92,800 zone).
✅ SL = Above Strong High (~95,400).
Plan B — Breaker Play (Alternative):
✅ If price smashes through OB + Strong High with strength, flip bias.
✅ Look for bullish Breaker structure (retest + continuation).
✅ Target fresh liquidity zones above.
📊 Risk Management Tip:
"React to confirmation, not prediction. Let price prove itself before you jump."
🧘♂️ Summary:
✅ Liquidity swept
✅ ChoCh confirmed
✅ Premium Zone retest incoming
✅ High Risk-Reward opportunity forming
🔥 This is where patience = profits.
➡️ Mark this setup, and let's trade like Smart Money, not like retailers.
➡️ Comment "PATIENT SNIPER" if you’re waiting for the perfect trigger!
Two Bullish Scenarios to Watch on ETHUSDTThis week, BINANCE:ETHUSDT has shown a significant upward movement, and there's a good chance it could continue its bullish momentum.
There are two bullish scenarios developing on BINANCE:ETHUSDT :
1. After a pullback, we could see an impulsive move that breaks the previous high (marked with the red arrow) and pushes the price towards the first target at 1,911 – 1,957.
2. The price could move sideways for a while, forming a bullish pennant pattern. In this case, a correction towards 1,756 – 1,731 might occur before the price resumes its move to the first target at 1,911 – 1,957.
Both scenarios remain valid as long as the price holds above 1,722.
If the second scenario plays out, the pullback to 1,756 – 1,731 can be considered a good buy zone (for those who are not in position yet).
Remember: wait for a confirmation candle before entering and place your stop-loss just below the confirmation candle.
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market went nowhere past week so nothing changed from my last weeks update. Bulls want to retest the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears reversing below the 50% retracement of the bear trend that started in January. I do not have an opinion on where the breakout will happen, I can see it going both ways.
current market cycle: trading range on the monthly chart - daily chart is a bear trend that could be transitioning into a trading range again
key levels: 55 - 69
bull case: Bulls see it as a failed acceleration down and want to retest the prior bear trend line around 68. Same target as last week but this week they closed the weekly bar above 64 which was my line in the sand. If they continue here, they will likely squeeze much higher again. 69 next target. Nothing changed in this.
Invalidation is below 60.
bear case: Bears have going for them that they stopped the bounce at the breakout area and under the 50% retracement, which is very important for them. If they get a daily close below 60, we could go lower again but until then it’s a clear trading range 60-52. Market is neutral for me, despite not going above the 50% retracement.
Invalidation is a daily close above 65.
short term: Neutral 60-65, bullish above for 69 and bearish below for 55.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-27: This does look like another bear trap below 60, which was to be expected.
Nothing happened the past week so no better update on this. Will tariffs likely or are they already dampening consumption? Most likely. Will this be reflected in Oil demand in the near term? No fucking clue. Chart is in a bear trend but at such a huge support for so many years, I doubt we go much lower but we could range here for longer.
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: tl;dr covered it.
Markets denied me fantasy, tough excrement. On the weekly chart it’s still just a textbook two-legged pullback to the moving average (daily 20 in this case, which is around 20000). We are also still close enough to the 50% retracement that it’s not out of the question that we reverse from here. Issue for the bears is, that the market went very strong into the weekend, which is a buy signal going into next week. Unless the bears get big help from newsbombs, it’s likely to expect more upside. Targets above are 20000 and then 20500. Below 19200 the next target would be 19000.
current market cycle: bear trend but above 19388 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range
key levels: 15500 - 19500
bull case: 20000 is the obvious target for bulls and for now my thesis is that we wont break above 20600. 20050/20540 would be my next targets above it. The weekly 20ema is right around those prices and that is where the panic selling again. Bulls see the move last week as strong enough that we are likely in a greater trading range which could even get up to 22000 again. Is it likely though? If you are a bull and bought 18000, your stop is likely 19200 now or maybe 19000. Do you hope to make 20500? I don’t know how you can structure a decent trade around that. More likely is the play that we are in a strong uptrend on the 1h tf and if the bull trend line, which is currently at 19100 - holds, we can continue. Once we are making meaningful lower lows again and fail to make new highs, this momentum is gone and bulls run for the exits again. Short squeezes are violent and can go on for much longer than anyone expects but once they stall too much, they crumble again.
Invalidation is below 18000.
bear case: Tough to be a bear. Momentum is clearly on the long side and bulls have almost no resistance. Bears can still argue this was just a test of the 50% retracement and if we build enough selling pressure, I think it’s more likely that the squeeze abruptly ends than continuation up. When all become max bullish again because the move is so strong that it must be the start of a new trend, that’s when these squeezes end and we crash down again. We did this so many times in 2022 that it’s hard to not remember them. You don’t have to go back to 2008 to find examples.
Invalidation is above 20500ish, max 20536 but above 20080 we likely go for 20600 or higher.
short term: Neutral at best. Way too early to short anything or look for shorts. Need to stop the higher highs and go sideways first. It’s best to not sell the first sign of bear strength, ever. Same for bounces in a bear trend. Never buy the first. You can get lucky but it’s just that.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Bear trend most likely over. We could maybe get another strong move down but it’s more likely that even then, we are in a trading range and until we see much more hints of a deeper recession, we can not assume that this will go much lower than 16452. Market is currently probing where the high of it is and for now I doubt we will see 21000 again but that’s a very rough guess.
#202517 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: This is a short squeeze and very little could concinve me otherwise. Does it matter? No. We are going higher and until bears print a big bear bar again, bulls remain in full control. 8 Consecutive daily bull bars is always something special. Above 22700 there is no reason not to go for 24000.
current market cycle: Trading range - bull trend on the 1h tf
key levels: 21500 - 24000
bull case: Big breakout on Wednesday with follow-through. Bulls want to go above the start of the panic selling down at 22735ish. If they do, I doubt there will be much resistance until we print a new ath and even then the first pullback will likely be bought again. The volume is atrocious compared to the selling weeks but that is unimportant. Market is going higher, low volume or not. Stops are not dependent on volume. Below 21900 most bulls will likely think the squeeze is over and secure profits.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears last hope is that prior support turned resistance and we stay below 22700. How likely is that? Given that we have not seen a red daily close for 2 weeks, very very unlikely. What would change my mind? Daily big bear bar closing on it’s low below 21900. Nothing else. We have a clear bull trend line and until that is clearly broken, bulls remain in full control. I do think this is a gift to late bulls who did not sell yet. If I had long term longs, I’d thank the lord for a second opportunity to exit them. We will see lower lows below 19000 this year. Zero doubt.
22700
short term: Neutral. Bullish above 22700 for 24000 and bearish only below 21900 on very strong momentum. Bears have turned this bearish again only with a break of the bull trend line and gap close to 21400.
medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is over. We could still print a lower high below 23000 and go down to 19000 or lower but that would rather be a very shallow broad bear channel. Yes, it can be shallow due to marginally lower highs and lower lows but broad because the range is huge. Can we go much below 19000 this year? Only with a deep recession. We could already be in one but for now it’s unlikely. US tariffs will duck excrements up but it will take more time to manifest.