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GJ-Wed-28/05/25 TDA-GJ pulling back ahead of FOMC minutes!Analysis done directly on the chart Follow for more, possible live trades update! Today's FOCUS: market positioning You can have good trade idea, BUT you still get stopped out with loss or break even (BE). And one of the reasons why is your market positioning. To solve this problem one of the good ways is to understand firstly the higher timeframe structure. Ask yourself: Am I inside the range? Is price is breaking out of range? ETC... Comment down below if this was useful! Not financial advice, DYOR. Market Flow Strategy Mister Y
by Mister_Y
OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages. The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum. According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level). Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold. On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received. The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by TotoshkaTrades
JPY/USD – Clean Rejection from Mini Resistance | Bearish Move🔻 1. Major & Mini Resistance Zones Mini Resistance Zone: This is a key supply area that aligns with previous highs and recent structure points. As the price approaches this level, it tends to react due to unfilled sell orders and trapped buyers. The chart shows a rejection from this mini resistance zone — visible through strong bearish candles. This suggests institutional selling pressure has entered the market. Major Resistance is still untouched above, which becomes a clear invalidation level for any short bias. If price breaks and sustains above it, the bearish idea would be invalidated. 🔄 2. MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) at Work The MMC idea is clearly illustrated. The price movement after the last major drop is mirrored on the right side: Strong rally > Formation of lower highs > Resistance retest > Sharp decline These mirrored behaviors often hint at psychological repetition in the market, driven by trader memory and order placement. The bearish movement after retesting the mini resistance looks nearly identical to the previous leg on the left — reinforcing the idea that we may see a similar downside structure repeat. 🌀 3. Central Zone Area – Liquidity Trap and Reaction Point The Central Zone Area is labeled where a previous sharp bounce occurred. This zone is critical for several reasons: It acted as support multiple times. It’s also where a liquidity grab occurred — shown with a long wick — before a reversal rally. In current price action, this zone may again act as a magnet for price, as institutions seek liquidity to fuel further moves. Once price reaches it, expect a temporary bounce or reaction. 📐 4. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Confluence The projected target sits right on the 50% retracement level of the previous bullish leg. Institutions frequently target the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci zones to rebalance orders and create continuation moves. This target zone is marked in purple and is aligned with historical support, adding confluence. 📉 5. Sharp Bearish Reversal from Structure You can observe a very clear shift in momentum: The uptrend was broken with a strong bearish engulfing candle. That move wiped out several minor bullish structures — a sign of structure collapse. This breakdown, combined with the resistance rejection and MMC mirroring, strongly supports a bearish continuation bias. 📊 6. Previous Targets and Structure Memory The previous targets and historical swing points are not just annotations — they represent real zones of order flow memory. When price revisits these levels, you often see reactions (reversals, consolidations, or continuation). 🎯 Trade Plan (Based on Chart): Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: After rejection confirmation at mini resistance Target Zone: 0.00675 area (50% retracement) Invalidation: Close above 0.00715 (Major Resistance) ✅ Conclusion: This JPY/USD 4H chart beautifully showcases the power of technical structure, Mirror Market Concepts, and liquidity-focused trading. With a clean rejection from mini resistance, a history of mirrored bearish setups, and a confluence target at the 50% zone, this chart suggests a high-probability short opportunity for disciplined traders.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Silver (XAG/USD) | MMC Retest in Play – Eyes on $33.55 TargetThis 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a clean and compelling bullish setup, applying Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) in combination with classical price action, support/resistance flips, and trendline analysis. It outlines a likely bullish continuation scenario based on how price respects key structural levels. 🧩 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Overview MMC views the market as a symmetrical organism, where past price behavior on one side of a pattern tends to be “mirrored” on the other side. Here, we see the market reflecting previous structural behaviors through: Symmetrical lows and highs Balanced corrective structures Repeatable retests of trendline support This creates a roadmap for anticipating price reactions, especially around previously respected levels. 🔸 2. Trendline Support – Anchoring Bullish Momentum The rising trendline is a major structural feature. It's been respected three times previously (highlighted with blue circles), providing strong bullish support. Current price is once again approaching this trendline. A bounce here would confirm continued higher-low structure. If trendline is broken, it may invalidate the bullish setup — so this acts as the key decision point. 🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip) The chart marks a wide SR Interchange Zone, previously resistance, now turned into support. This flip is a critical area for accumulation and re-entry by institutional players. Price bounced from this zone earlier. The current structure suggests price may retest this zone again during a potential fakeout or liquidity grab. This level is a magnet zone for stop-hunting before continuation. 🔸 4. “Type of Retesting” – MMC Style This chart specifically labels a "Type of Retesting", which refers to a deeper liquidity sweep where: Price breaks minor support to tap trendline or SR zone liquidity. Then reclaims the structure and resumes the uptrend. This is a mirror market behavior — where past retests serve as a template for future ones. Expectation is for the same type of bounce from the trendline/SR area as seen before. 🔸 5. Projected Path – Bullish Scenario The expected flow includes: Price dips back into the trendline + SR Interchange confluence. Forms a higher low (marked with arrows). Breaks minor resistance levels toward Major Resistance at $33.556. This zone acts as the target — derived from the previous swing high and structural mirror projection. The target zone aligns with a key Fibonacci and historical resistance level — giving extra weight to this forecast. 🔸 6. Volume and Confirmation (Trader Tip) While volume is not shown on this chart, experienced traders would: Watch for volume divergence or spikes near the SR zone. Seek candle confirmation (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or strong wicks) near the trendline/SR confluence before entering. 🎯 Trading Plan Summary: Entry Zone: Near trendline + SR Interchange support zone. Stop Loss: Below the SR zone or swing low. First Target: Return to $33.20–33.30 range. Main Target: $33.556 (marked target zone on chart). Invalidation: Strong break and close below trendline + SR zone, with no bounce. 📘 Educational Notes (For Traders): Trendline retests are best traded in confluence with horizontal levels. SR flips provide high-confidence zones for reaction. MMC adds a predictive edge by recognizing repeating behavior and structure across mirrored segments of the chart. This setup rewards patience, especially during consolidation near major support. ⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Always manage risk properly. Even with high-probability setups like this, price may wick below or fake out. Wait for confirmation. Avoid over-leveraging or premature entries.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Curve Breakout & MMC Structure | Targeting $111KIn this idea, we apply Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method of analyzing symmetrical price behavior to forecast key market moves. This BTC/USD 15-minute chart showcases a beautiful execution of MMC principles, blending curved structure analysis, SR interchange, and trendline dynamics to capture a compelling bullish opportunity. 🧩 Chart Structure Analysis (Detailed Breakdown): 🔸 1. Curve Line Formation & Mirror Market Concepts (MMC): The centerpiece of this analysis is the curved market structure, which resembles a cup-like formation. Using MMC, the market is seen as reacting in mirrored patterns — left side = right side. In this context, the curve mimics the balance of supply and demand over time, providing a visual roadmap of potential price behavior. Curve Line Resistance: The upper black arc served as dynamic resistance. Curve Line Support: The lower arc acted as dynamic support. Once price broke above the curved resistance, it confirmed a bullish market structure shift, triggering a key breakout signal. 🔸 2. Breakout & Retest Pattern: Following the curve line resistance breakout, price pulled back for a retest, validating the structure. This is a high-probability continuation setup where: The breakout confirms bullish interest. The retest confirms that former resistance is now support. This retest occurred exactly near the intersection of: Curve Line Support SR Interchange Zone (gray shaded area) Trendline Support This confluence adds strength to the bullish outlook. 🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip): The horizontal SR Interchange area is a key pivot zone, where price previously faced resistance. After the breakout, price came back to this level and found strong buying interest, flipping it into support. This acts as a reaccumulation zone. Price rejected from this zone with a clean bullish impulse. 🔸 4. Trendline Support Validation: After the retest, price formed a new ascending trendline, respected multiple times by price. This ascending trendline acts as a guide for trailing stop placements or re-entry zones. Price remained above this trendline, reinforcing bullish structure integrity. 🔸 5. Central Zone & Liquidity Sweep: The Central Zone marked a midpoint in the curve, which: Acts as a balance point between the mirrored halves. Is often used as a liquidity grab area before direction continuation. Price dipped into this zone, likely collecting stop orders or liquidity before reversing higher — a classic MMC behavior. 🔸 6. 50% Retracement Level: A horizontal marker near the 50% retracement level serves as a psychological and technical barrier. As of the last candle: Price is hovering around this midpoint. A breakout above this level would trigger further bullish movement toward the target zone. Traders often look for volume expansion at this point to confirm conviction. 🔸 7. Target Zone (Projected via Curve Symmetry & Range Extension): The target zone is marked near $111,600, based on: Mirror projection of the curve's depth (height symmetry). Range extension from the curve’s breakout. Potential measured move based on pre- and post-breakout range. This level represents a logical exit or partial TP zone for long positions. 📈 Trading Plan Summary: Entry Zone: After breakout and retest around the SR Interchange/Curve Support/Trendline Confluence. Support Confirmation: Trendline holding and bullish structure above central zone. Mid-Target: 50% retracement breakout ($110,400). Main Target: $111,600+ target zone based on curve projection. Invalidation: Clear break below trendline and loss of SR flip zone. 🔍 Educational Takeaways: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are highly effective in anticipating symmetrical price behavior. Confluence of curved breakout, SR flip, and trendline validation provides high confidence in trade setups. Market symmetry helps define logical targets, entries, and risk zones. Always look for a pullback to structure — the best trades often come after the breakout and confirmation. 🚨 Risk Management Reminder: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Wait for confirmation before entering, and use stop-losses below structural levels (such as the trendline or SR Interchange zone) to limit downside risk.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Failed Wedge, New Setup. Is SUI About to Break Out?In my previous post about BYBIT:SUIUSDT , I mentioned a potential falling wedge pattern. However, the breakout above the 4.0040 resistance turned out to be a false breakout, and the price eventually dropped to the invalidation level at 3.5868. This made the setup invalid. But despite the failed wedge breakout, BYBIT:SUIUSDT remains in a bullish trend overall. During the current consolidation, the price appears to be forming a new bullish pattern — a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW). This pattern typically starts with low volatility and gradually widens. Once price reaches its lower boundary, it often experiences a strong breakout to the upside. Let’s break down the key price action in this DBW setup: Price is moving within a Descending Broadening Wedge and is currently near the lower boundary of the pattern. It’s also sitting around a key support level at 3.4833. A rejection candle formed right at 3.4833, showing the market’s response to this support area. A reversal confirmation would come if the price breaks above 3.6102. A bullish divergence is also visible — price is forming lower lows, while the stochastic indicator is forming higher lows. Based on these five price action signals, it seems that buyers are still in control, even though short-term volatility has created a series of lower lows. That’s why I still believe BINANCE:SUIUSDT has more room to go up. What’s your take on this?
Long
by EkyFabyanto
3
Gold Price Action Analysis – Using MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) 🔍 Overview: In this idea, we dive deep into XAU/USD's (Gold) short-term bearish move using a blend of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The 15-minute chart provides an excellent visual of market psychology shifting, with CHoCHs, supply-demand zones, SR flips, and the Black Mind Curve highlighting the story of price. 🧩 Market Structure Breakdown: 🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Formed Price pushed aggressively upward but met strong rejection near the major resistance zone. This zone acts as a ceiling for the bullish momentum—setting the first signal for a possible reversal. 🔵 2. Black Mind Curve Activated A descending Black Mind Curve was plotted to reflect the psychological shift from bullish to bearish. Price failed multiple times to break above this curve, highlighting strong internal weakness. The Black Mind Curve visually reinforces the bearish tone and offers a roadmap for probable lower highs. 🔵 3. Minor Resistance + SR Interchange As price dropped, it created a minor resistance. When price returned to this area and rejected it, this confirmed an SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)—a classic MMC feature. Mirror Market Concepts suggest that old demand often mirrors into new supply. That's exactly what happens here. 🔵 4. Major CHoCH: Change of Character A decisive break of the bullish structure signaled a Major CHoCH, confirming bearish order flow. This is the moment smart money starts repositioning for shorts—liquidity has been grabbed above previous highs, and the direction shifts. 🔵 5. 50% Retracement After the impulsive drop, price retraced nearly 50%—a key area of interest for MMC traders. This level often acts as a decision point. In this case, price rejects the retracement, creating an ideal zone for re-entries. 🔵 6. Targeting the Demand Zone The projected target lies in a prior demand zone, which mirrors earlier supply structure. This aligns with MMC’s principle of "market reflection"—what was resistance becomes support again, and vice versa. 🎯 Trade Bias: Bearish Entry Confirmation: After CHoCH + rejection from 50% level + re-alignment with Black Mind Curve. SL: Just above the 50% retracement or last minor high. TP: At the marked target zone near historical demand. 🧠 Why MMC Works Here: MMC helps you see the market in reverse—where previous zones mirror and reflect. Combined with smart money triggers like CHoCHs, BOS, liquidity sweeps, and SR flips, this makes for a precise trading model that goes beyond basic support and resistance. The beauty of MMC is that it reveals where the crowd is wrong and where the real momentum lies. 🔑 Key Takeaways for Traders: The Black Mind Curve helps visualize hidden resistance paths. CHoCHs are crucial in understanding market intent. MMC allows traders to anticipate instead of react. High probability setups form where multiple MMC/SMC elements converge. Always wait for confirmation, not assumption.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XRPUSDT 4H | Untested Demand Zone RevisitIn this 4-hour chart analysis of XRPUSDT, I’m focusing on a clear and well-defined untested demand zone between 2.05–2.13 USDT . Unlike the first demand zone (already tested and played out), this second zone has not been retested since its formation, making it a fresh area of interest for a potential long setup. Why this matters : Untested demand zones often act as powerful magnets for price when revisited, as they represent areas where large buy orders might be waiting to be filled. Because this zone has not been revisited yet, there’s a higher probability for a bullish reaction when price returns to it. Key Technical Factors : ✅ The 2.05–2.13 demand zone was formed following a significant bullish impulse that created a clear break of structure to the upside. ✅ Price is currently consolidating above this demand zone and also above a potential bearish CHoCH at 2.0784 . This suggests that the bullish structure is still valid unless price breaks below 2.0784. ✅ My bullish target is 2.65 USDT , where previous highs were formed and potential liquidity exists. ✅ My stop loss is set just below the demand zone, around 2.05 , to protect against a deeper retracement or a shift in market structure. My Thought Process : I expect that if price returns to the demand zone, there will be a strong chance for buyers to step in and push the market higher. However, I’m aware that if price breaks below 2.0784 , it would signal a bearish CHoCH and invalidate the long scenario. Therefore, patience is key — I’ll wait for price to either test the zone and react strongly or stay above 2.0784 to keep the bullish bias intact. Clear Trade Setup : 📌 Entry Zone : 2.05–2.13 🛑 Stop Loss : Below 2.05 🎯 Take Profit : 2.65 🧩 Invalidation : Break below 2.0784 💬 Let me know if you have a similar zone marked out or if you see a different setup! Let’s share ideas and refine our strategies together.
Long
by johnkhawaja
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown: 🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming 🟪 2. Zone Confluence 📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly 📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play 📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move. 💣 3. Entry Strategy Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area) Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick) Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point) ⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 🎯 TP = 139.888 📍 Entry = 142.550 🔐 SL = 143.443 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888 🧠 SMC Insights This chart is all about liquidity engineering: Push up into OB Reject at premium pricing Drive down to weak low to collect stops Possibly reverse or continue trend from there 💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early 💾 Save it before the drop happens 📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Short
by ChartNinjas88
BTC Short Locked – FVG + 79% Fib = Liquidity Grab Incoming📉 BTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Short – Premium Rejection in Play Bitcoin just tapped into a nasty supply zone that aligns with: 🟥 Fair Value Gap (FVG) 🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement 💥 Previous Breaker Block Zone 🧠 Clean Internal Liquidity sweep 🚩 Structure still bearish – no HH 🔍 1. Market Structure Breakdown Price broke down aggressively from the top (early signs of redistribution) We’re now retesting the FVG + OB zone No candle close above the Strong High = still valid bearish context 🧱 2. Zone Confluence 📍 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance created during impulsive sell-off 📍 OB + Breaker: Strong resistance holding inside 70.5%–79% retracement 📍 Strong High: Still protected 📍 Weak Low: Below = prime target for liquidity sweep Price kissed the edge of that 79% Fib and immediately rejected = 🔥 confidence for a swing short 🎯 3. Trade Plan Entry: Around 110,800 (inside FVG zone) Stop Loss: Above 112,400 (Strong High) Take Profit: 105,248 (below Weak Low liquidity) ⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio) 📥 Entry: 110,800 🔒 SL: 112,400 💰 TP: 105,248 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 Solid asymmetric setup with clearly defined structure, inducement, and imbalance = Smart Money textbook trade. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail longs are entering late = exit liquidity for big players Price filled the FVG but failed to break structure Weak low below is clean AF, likely to be swept for continuation 1H/4H alignment = high conviction short 💬 Type "SHORTED BTC 💥" if you saw this setup before the drop! 📌 Bookmark this – confluence stacking is how you win consistently 👊 Share this with someone still buying the top 📈🙃
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
2025-05-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Back where we started on Friday and I do think one more big leg down will finally be enough for the persistent btfd crowd to scale it down a bit. So far it has been profitable and that’s why bears need a big gap that does not close or otherwise we just continue sideways to up. Bulls need to get trapped for this to end. current market cycle: broad bull channel key levels: 23000 - 24300 bull case: Watch the 1h 20ema tomorrow. If we stay above, we can make another ath and it’s possible we see more upside above 24200. Since all my bull targets are met and I have no interest in buying this, I won’t be your guide in looking for longs here. I think buying above 24000, while we wait for 50% tariffs to the US, qualifies for most stupid the trade of the year. I’m happy for you if you make money on any side though. Invalidation is below 23300. bear case: Even if tariffs won’t be 50% and only 10%, it would still mean less business for everyone. Markets are not pricing the risks right and are begging to get rug pulled. Only a couple times a year markets are so miss-aligned with reality that in hindsight you feel unwell for not risking more. Having said that, now is not the time to short. We need way more selling pressure again. Wait for big bears to appear. Below 23900 we could see a test of 23800 but it will likely be an easy trap for bears so only take it if we either move very strongly down or if we move down over a long time without any decent bounce up. Invalidation is above 24300. short term: Neutral. Sitting on hands until bulls run for the exits and big bears come out. medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb. trade of the day: Long since Globex open. Tough.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
Bitcoin : Impulse up or Flat Trap!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! BTC has staged a solid move off the May 25 low — but the context matters. We’re facing two distinct, high-stakes scenarios here: one bullish, one bearish. What happens next hinges on whether the May 25 rally is the start of a new impulse or the final leg (C wave) of an expanded flat off the all-time high. Structure Breakdown Bearish View: We’re completing a textbook expanded flat from the ATH: A wave started May 23 B wave pushed to a lower low. C wave began May 25 and is likely wrapping up now If valid, this sets the stage for a powerful Wave 3 down. Bullish View: The May 25 low marked the end of a corrective phase: Rally from that low is an impulsive Wave 1 A pullback to the 108k golden zone would represent Wave 2 Wave 3/C up could follow from that base What to Watch The area around 108,000–107,100 is a magnet. If price retraces into this zone with a corrective look and holds, bulls could be in control. But if we roll over hard from here, it supports the expanded flat thesis — and a much deeper move likely follows. Outlook This is a moment for sharpen focus. The chart structure is clean, but the outcome isn't binary until we see what kind of retrace (if any) forms. Watch 108k like a hawk. If bulls defend it, there’s room to talk new highs. If we break impulsively from here, expect acceleration lower — fast. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoKnee
1
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation. The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context. 🔍 Key Technical Elements: 🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control. The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful. Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity. A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support). 🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange): The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup. If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move. 🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets: Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum. Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection. Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets. These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment. 📐 Measured Move & Target Projection: The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of: The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point. Previous market structure resistance zones. Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further). This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in. 💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation: Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high). Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360). Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460) Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618) Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740) 🔄 Market Psychology: This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment: Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force. Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge. The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move. 🔔 Confirmation to Watch: Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone. Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460. Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation. 🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation) Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout. If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action. This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here. I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely. Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/USD Breakdown Imminent – Rising Wedge at Major ResistanceOn the 1H chart, EUR/USD has developed a Rising Wedge pattern, a classical bearish reversal formation. The pair has been moving higher within a tightening structure, marked by converging trendlines—indicating weakening bullish momentum. What makes this pattern more compelling is that it’s occurring just below a well-defined Major Resistance Zone around 1.1380–1.1400, where previous attempts to break higher have failed. This area has historically acted as a strong supply zone, increasing the probability of a reversal. 🔍 Key Technical Components: Rising Wedge Pattern: The wedge reflects a temporary uptrend with weakening strength. Bullish candles are getting smaller, and volume appears to be fading (not shown here but typically expected in this setup). Black Mind Curve Support: A custom support curve illustrating the underlying parabolic trend. Once this is broken, it often leads to a steeper selloff. Change of Character (CHOCH): Around the 1.1260 level, there's a possible shift from bullish to bearish structure. If price breaks and closes below this level, it will likely confirm a momentum reversal. Target Projection: The measured move and previous structural support suggest a drop toward 1.11479, which coincides with a prior demand zone. This also aligns with a potential liquidity sweep beneath recent lows. 🔔 Price Action Signals to Watch: Bearish engulfing candles or strong rejections from the wedge’s upper boundary. Breakdown below the lower wedge line and the curved support. CHOCH confirmation – market structure shift from bullish to bearish around 1.1260. Retest of the wedge breakout level, followed by continuation to the downside. 📌 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): Entry: On break and retest of wedge support. Stop Loss: Above the wedge high or resistance (~1.1400). Target: 1.11479 for first take-profit level; partials can be taken at 1.1260 if needed. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bearish – Only upon wedge breakdown and confirmation. 🧠 Minds Section (Expanded for Traders' Perspective) EUR/USD is approaching a critical technical juncture. We are seeing a textbook rising wedge formation into a major resistance zone, signaling exhaustion of bullish strength. While the pair has enjoyed upward momentum, price action is showing signs of slowing, and the structure is no longer sustainable. This pattern often traps late buyers before reversing. We are closely watching the lower wedge boundary and curved support—a breakdown here will likely trigger bearish momentum, especially with the CHOCH area near 1.1260 acting as a structure-defining level. If sellers gain control and the breakdown confirms, there’s high probability for a fall to 1.11479, targeting prior demand zones and potential liquidity pockets. Now is the time to be cautious if long, or begin planning short setups. Wait for confirmation—no need to rush the trade.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD - SHORT PREDICTION - MONDAY, 26TH MAY 2025A pullback appears to be underway, following a sweep of inducement around the 15-minute level at 1.13900—marking our first significant Change of Character (CHoCH). This shift aligns with the broader narrative from the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting the potential for a deeper retracement into the extreme 1H order block. With the current price trading around 1.13777, we anticipate a move back up to the 1.14078 level. This area is of interest for initiating short positions, in line with the ongoing correction. Our first take-profit target is set at 1.13368, where we expect an initial reaction. Should bearish momentum continue, we foresee price extending lower to sweep the previous daily low at 1.12771 and potentially tapping into the daily external order block at 1.12664. From there, we’ll closely monitor price behavior. If bullish intent begins to form, we’ll assess the potential for long setups targeting a move back toward the weekly high at 1.14190.
Short
by Sjcosmas
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in Play🔎 Technical Breakdown: 1. Rising Wedge Formation: The pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows but with diminishing momentum. The wedge is visible from the swing low on May 13, where price began to climb aggressively but within increasingly narrow price action. This narrowing range signals weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Resistance Zone: The wedge forms right below a Major Resistance Zone marked earlier in the chart (around 0.007050), where price had previously faced heavy selling pressure. This adds confluence to the bearish bias, as the zone historically acted as a turning point. 3. SR Interchange Zone: Below the wedge lies a Support-turned-Resistance (SR) Interchange level, a critical price area where past support may now act as resistance if the price attempts to retrace. This is a commonly watched level by institutional and technical traders. 4. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge's lower trendline, which is often considered the breakdown signal. A valid breakdown typically includes a close outside the wedge body followed by a retest or continuation. 5. Bearish Target: The projected move is toward 0.006796, derived by measuring the wedge height and applying it from the breakdown point. This level aligns with a historical support zone, adding more confluence to the target. 🧠 Psychological & Structural View: Bullish exhaustion: Buyers pushed price higher into resistance, but momentum slowed, signaling exhaustion. Trapped longs: Traders who entered late in the wedge may now be trapped, potentially accelerating a sell-off as they exit. Smart money behavior: Rising wedges near resistance often signal distribution by smart money before a drop. 🛠️ Trading Plan Suggestion (Not Financial Advice): Entry: After a clear wedge breakdown, consider short entries on a retest of the broken trendline or a bearish candle confirmation. SL: Above the wedge high or major resistance zone. TP: Staggered exits below 0.006850 and final target around 0.006796. 🔁 What to Watch For: Retest of the wedge breakdown (potential short entry zone) Momentum confirmation via volume or bearish candles Price reaction at SR Interchange and final support target 🧠 Minds Section – Condensed Summary JPY/USD formed a Rising Wedge below major resistance, signaling bullish exhaustion. Price has broken down from the wedge, confirming bearish momentum. A clean breakdown targets 0.006796, with SR interchange acting as a minor support. A retest of the wedge breakdown could offer a good short opportunity.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades