Get started

Priceaction

#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Bulls nowhere to be found. We are near the minor bull trend line starting from the September low below 64 and it is more likely that this trend line holds and we do not go below the October low 65.74. Can you long this based on that assumption? I would not. Wait for bigger buying pressure and break of the bear trend line currently around 70.4. Can you sell this? On a pullback yes, but not below 70. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish doji on the weekly with big tails above and below. 71.5 is a good low and likely to hold. I do expect another try by the bears though. Only question now is will we see 77+ before 74? I don’t know. So watch for momentum and hope along. I still favor the bulls for at least a retest of 77/78 but I do think we can hit 80 again. Given the strength of the move up, it is reasonable to expect a bigger second leg to 80 or higher. comment: Bulls started ok on Monday and the close was neutral but Tuesday really killed every last bull who bought above 71 and hoped for a second leg up above 75. Market has now left a giant bearish island reversal between 71 and 72.5 and that is as bearish as it gets. Bulls last hope now is to hold above the bull trend line at 68. current market cycle : trading range (triangle on the weekly tf) key levels: 63 - 78 bull case: No more bullish thoughts from me for now. Only an event can save the bulls. Monday they had another chance and they blew it on Tuesday. Now market has formed a big bear wedge but the hope that this will break to the upside is slim. Bull trend line at 68 has to hold or bulls will give up until 65. Invalidation is below 68 bear case: Bears won last week big time. Now they want to run all the stops below 65 and retest 63.46. Problem with their case is the bull trend line and the bear wedge. We are trading at the lows and above the bull trend line, which is a bad spot for new shorts. Any short around the daily 20ema near 71 is probably a decent trade. Invalidation is above 72. outlook last week: short term: Neutral but expecting a retest of 77 and higher again. The closer to 74 you can long this, the better is what I think. → Last Sunday we traded 75.56 and now we are at 68.69. That outlook was garbage. short term: Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bullish pattern, added bear gap and bear wedge.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: 4 consecutive good bull bars last week and we are on our way to 2800. I have two trend lines pointing to at least 2760, so the last thing I want to be here is bearish. Clearly W5 of this rally and we will likely see bigger profit taking into year end or early next year. Quote from last week: comment: Longer pullback than expected and stopped out on a long but got back in since 2620 held and bulls rallied hard on Friday. I do think it’s bullish only and we will likely make a new ath and also a decent chance to break above again for 2750+. comment: Bullish it was and still is. 2800 is the next big target to hit. After 4 very strong consecutive bull bars, you can not hold a bearish thought while the market makes daily new ath. Two upper bull trend lines are still to hit, one of them leads to 2760 and the other to 2800. On the monthly chart we are in a 8 month micro channel upwards without any selling pressure. At some point market will pull back more and we will see a correction but until we see much greater selling pressure, we can not trade on hope. current market cycle: very strong bull trend key levels: 2650 - 2800 bull case: All arguments are on the bull side and they have a big round number ahead. Any pullback will likely be bought, unless some event would change that. Invalidation is below 2650. bear case: Bears got nothing right now. If they somehow break below the most recent trend line below 2650, that would be a start but they would have to keep the market below 2700 then and make it go more sideways longer before it can reverse more. They know it’s the third leg up (W5) and 2800 is the obvious target. Most will likely not do much until we hit it. Invalidation is above 2820. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 2700+ → Last Sunday we traded 2676 and now we are at 2730. Perfect outlook, hope you made some. short term: Bullish for 2800. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None chart update: Added latest bull gap
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: 4 different upper bull trend lines for multiple wedges and all are kinda valid. You just never know which one will be most respected by the algo’s. 6000 is the target, much more likely we get there before a bigger correction. Don’t try to be the first bear on this. Quote from last week: comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this. comment : Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: Bulls know technically we are at the top of them all and the rally is on it’s last legs. Big round numbers are still just too good to not hit if history tells us anything. Bears are not doing anything and not enough bulls are taking profits, so the market only knows one direction. As long as we are staying above the two bull trend lines that are closest, bulls are good and we continue. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are not doing enough. They have many reasonable targets below but what good are those if the 4h 20ema keeps getting bought almost the entire week? Can you sell new highs for a scalp? Sure. Bears need anything below 5800 to start having arguments. Reasonable scalp is probably a break below 5850 for 5800 but as of now, there isn’t much more to expect for Monday. I am open to surprises though. Overall I just doubt many bears want to short 5900 when they know everyone wants to see 60000 and there is much more value to short there. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here. → Last Sunday we traded 5859 and now we are at 5906. Neutral wasn’t too bad since market made 60 points on the week. Wasn’t good either, I know. short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted the many bull trend lines to show it’s pure guesswork which one will be respected. All are valid until clearly broken. Big dotted means that the pattern is on the weekly or monthly chart, and some breaks above are tolerable and do not mean the pattern is invalid. Close is always close enough.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax xetraGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: We are in W5 and no idea how high it will go. 20000 is the obvious choice and only 300 points higher on xetra. Until we hit that level, it’s hard to get bearish. The bull channel is also perfectly leading up to that price and who tf am I to deny technical patterns eh. Only longs for me are on strong momentum and they will be scalps. I am awaiting the weakness to short this into oblivion over the next 2 years. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish outlook was good. Bulls will likely retest ath on Monday/Tuesday and have good chances of making new ones. My targets above are 19500 and 19600 with 20000 being possible if we get blow-off top. Don’t be a bear until bears can close below 18900. comment : Bullish was good but the rally is losing steam. We are in the final leg before we probably transition into a trading range before we go down. 20000 is the target for bulls and I expect them to get it one way or the other. Preferred path is a spike followed by huge profit taking. Nothing about the chart is good for bears and I would not even think about shorts, before we see some decent selling again. You never want to be early in a trade as a retail trader. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19000 - 20000 bull case: Bulls have all arguments on their side again. My bullish wave thesis is still fitting perfectly and W5 could lead to 20000. Any close below 19200 would seriously hurt the bull case. I can’t write anything else but the stuff from last week. Nothing changed. We are moving higher, bears have no arguments, 20k is the target. Don’t make this more complicated as it is. Invalidation is below 19300. bear case: If you don’t want to long this, you simply have to wait. Bears are doing nothing and until we see much greater selling pressure, I will not even waste time on thinking bearish. Will this overvalued trash index lose 30-50% in the next 5 years? I have zero doubts about that. Is this the time to start scaling into shorts? Absolutely fucking not. Invalidation is above 19400. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 19500 and higher. → Last Sunday we traded 19373 and now we are at 19779. Everyone is a genius in a bull trend. Never forget that when your uber driver tells you about Nvidia or Dogecoin. short term: Bullish for 20000. Can see a pullback first or not. We are in the middle of the channel, which is always a bad spot. Trade momentum or long a decent pullback. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. Right now there is no selling pressure. I am confident that we will hit 17000 in 2025 but timing is more important than price, so let’s not waste brain capital on being bearish for now. current swing trade: None chart update: Added minor upper bull wedge trend lines (dotted) which will likely be broken on Monday and deleted again and a possible two legged correction.
XETR:DAXLong
by priceactiontds
NAS100USD shows volume up (↑)Trading is all about repeated patterns, and the most unlikely pattern are the one that goes against the trend. Either way it might just be a 50% chance of being right, but then once you're right, the chances of your trade to make a big move is even higher. Now the repeated pattern on this chart is determined by volume, it is recently showing repeated movements up with more volume up on each repeated move. The first line shows a potential pattern and the second white line shows the next point which a repeated move will go unless there's a reversal which are not showing at the moment.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by CyberFxTrader
1
SasanSeifi| Is a Bullish Breakout Around the Corner?Hey there, ✌ In the daily chart of BINANCE:METISUSDT , as shown, the price has been on a downtrend since reaching the $76 level. After this decline, the price reacted to the $25 level, entering a range between $25 and $42. During this period, the price experienced some fluctuations and relative growth. Currently, after hitting the $42 level twice, the price has pulled back to the demand zone. In this area, we’re seeing some positive movement, with the price now trading near the downward trend line. It appears that a Double Bottom pattern has formed around the $31 level, which could signal a minor upward move. If, in the daily timeframe, the downtrend line and the $37 to $38 price range are broken, and the price stabilizes above this level, there is a chance for an increase towards the $40 and $42.50 resistance zones. In such a scenario, it will be important to monitor how the price reacts to these higher targets. Should the price break through the $42 level and maintain its position above it, the next potential target could be the supply zone between $46 and $50. For risk-tolerant traders, the $36 price range could serve as an entry point. Additionally, upon a breakout and stabilization above the downtrend line, more secure entry points may be identified. The key support area for METIS lies between $33 and $31. Holding this support zone is crucial for a bullish scenario. If this level is lost, further price declines are likely. Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help! If you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌✌
Long
by SasanSeifi
2
SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the Daily Timeframe!Hey there, ✌ FX:GBPUSD In the daily timeframe, as evident from the chart, after a bullish move, the price has struggled to break above the 1.34 level and, following a period of consolidation, has faced a downward trend. Currently, the price is trading around 1.30. The overall trend suggests a bearish outlook, and it’s expected that if the price breaks below the 1.30 level and confirms this breakdown, we could see it heading towards the target of 1.29500. After this move, the price may enter a range-bound or minor consolidation phase before dropping further to the 1.28500 area and the demand zone around 1.28. Alternatively, another scenario is possible where if the 1.30 level holds, and we observe confirmations in lower timeframes, the price could rise towards the FVG zone between 1.30200 to 1.32700 and potentially up to 1.33. In this scenario, after a slight rally and pullback, the price might return to the 1.30 and 1.29500 levels. It’s crucial to closely monitor the price’s reaction to these levels for better insight into future movements. This analysis is based on personal opinion and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
GBPUSD Daily Bias (18th Oct. 2024)It's been 3 consecutive weeks of the Cable printing bearish volumes and we anticipate the bears are not tired yet, at least not today. Looking at the daily TF, we can see the bears just broke out of last week's consolidation on Wednesday and seem to be doing a pullback to clear internal liquidity from the new range it created following the breakout PA. We've identified Wednesday's high as possible IRL (internal range liquidity) that can sponsor a further move to the downside. We'll keep our arms folded as we await today's delivery. GLGT!!! LloydFx, Trade Monastery.
Short
by LloydFX
2
Audjpy signalAfter the release of strong employment data from Australia, the AUD/JPY currency pair increased by more than 100 dollars. Considering the interest rate differential between the two countries and the lack of further rate hikes in Japan, the likelihood of the first scenario is higher. The second scenario is more likely if the market becomes risk off, leading to the rise of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen. In that case, we would expect to see a decline in the AUD/JPY pair down to the bottom of the triangle pattern. Target for the first scenario (long trade): 101.425 Target for the second scenario (short trade): 99.705
Long
by Market-Analyzer
2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions. dax futures comment: Big spike to new ath but also big rejection. Market is contracting inside the clear bull wedge. I doubt we get the breakout tomorrow but it could happen but next week for sure. Where will this break out to? Right now I favor another leg down to 19500ish more than a breakout above. On the daily chart it’s bullish and nothing else. I still do have my 20000 target. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls touched 19800 and got rejected, no surprise there. Only question is how fast do will they retest that price. It’s possible that we need to sell some more to find new buyers but I do think bulls have a better chance of the blow off top if they stay above 19600. Since we are oscillating around 19700, I can’t be anything but neutral for now. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case: Bears need a daily close below 19500 to break outside the bull wedge inside the bigger bull channel on the daily chart. Volume is increasing which is better for the bears than the bulls but they can’t print one decent daily bear bar and until that changes, you simply can not be a bear here. Invalidation is above 19820. short term: Neutral. Bullish above 19820 and bearish below 19500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally. Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade. current swing trade: None trade of the day: S elling 19800 or buying the opening breakout above 19640, which was good for 160 points.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions. nasdaq e-mini futures comment: Fugly chart and yes. Nested bull wedges on the daily chart and on the 1h we have a triangle and a broad bear channel since we are making lower lows and lower highs. Which one to trade? Yeah… 20400 is kinda the midpoint of this and unless bulls get a big breakout above 20700 or bears below 20200, it’s best to fade bigger moves or join momentum. If earnings are good, this will melt again but for now I do think the market should have traded higher by now, if bulls would have wanted this bad. current market cycle: Bull trend (nested bull wedges) key levels: 20000 - 21000 bull case: Bulls grinding this higher but they also have only 1 daily bar closing above 20500 for 3 months. Will they give up or strongly break above on good earnings? I would not bet on the latter. Clear bull wedge on the daily chart and we are trading near the lower trend line and daily 20ema. Support should be very strong here and we can probably expect more sideways movement for 1-3 days. Invalidation is below 20160. bear case: Bears reject everything above 20500 but they are not able to get follow through selling. No bear wants to sell near the daily 20ema and until we close below it with a strong bear bar, I highly doubt we move much. Given the 3 months inside this bull wedge, I do favor the bears slightly to break below but just very slightly. Can you short this now? Absolutely not. Invalidation is above 20700. short term: Neutral medium-long term: Very likely a retest of the ath before I expect a correction 10% or more, before another year end rally. Embrace the volatility. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling 20500 continues to be profitable… Selling the open was a banger trade. Bears also got a second and even third chance.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Gold Nears $2,700 on Election UncertaintyThe price of gold continues its bullish run, nearing $2,700 per ounce due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, despite the strength of the dollar and rising Treasury yields. Political uncertainty is increasing demand for the precious metal, considered a safe haven, as polls show a tight race. Additionally, the recent decision by the ECB to cut interest rates temporarily strengthened the dollar, but this has not prevented gold from maintaining its positive momentum. Better-than-expected economic data in the U.S., such as increased retail sales and the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index, also supported the dollar, but these factors were not enough to reverse gold’s trend. From a technical standpoint, moving averages, particularly the 20-day SMA around $2,649.50, continue to provide support to the bullish trend, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs remain far below, confirming persistent buyer interest. Technical indicators suggest further upside, though minor short-term corrections may occur, potentially offering new buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Apple at a Crossroad – Surfing to 238 or Wiping Out to 226?Alright, trading family, AAPL is catching some chop, and it’s make-or-break time. If we dip, we could slide to 229.25 or even 226.90 before the bulls try paddling back. But if buyers show up, we might ride the wave to 234.79—and if we break through there, 238.56 is the next stop. Key Levels: Support: 229.25 – If this breaks, 226.90 could be the next target. Bounce Zone: 2 34.79 – Bulls need to reclaim this for more upside. Breakout Level: 238.56 – Pushing above this opens the door for higher moves. It’s one of those moments—either we ride the wave higher, or we get dragged under and wait for the next set. Keep your eyes peeled; this one’s gonna get interesting. What do you think—are we riding this one up or taking a dip first? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you prepped for the next move. Mindbloome trader
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Mindbloome-Trading
ETH at a Crossroads – Will We Pump to 2,915 or Slip Below 2,480?Alright, folks, Ethereum is sitting on the edge. If the bulls make a move, we could ride the wave toward 2,915 resistance. But if momentum fades, it’s a quick slide down to 2,480. This is where things could get interesting—either we break out or catch a pullback. Key Levels: Resistance: 2,915 – Clear this, and we might see some serious upside action. Support: 2,683 – Bulls need to hold strong here to avoid trouble. Downside Zone: 2,480 – If we lose steam, this could be our landing zone. It’s one of those “stay sharp” moments—do we get a breakout, or are we in for some chop? Let me know your take—do we pump higher or dip for a reset? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this breakdown helped you prep for the move. Mindbloome Trader
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
by Mindbloome-Trading
TESLA – Slippery Slope to 208 or a Drop All the Way to 191?Alright, traders, here’s the lowdown on Tesla (TSLA). Things are looking a bit dicey as the price slips through key zones. If the bulls don’t step in soon, we could see TSLA sliding down to the 208-207 range (black box). But if that level doesn't hold, we’re in for a deeper pull toward the 191-188 zone (orange box). Key Levels to Watch: Current Price: 218 First Support: 208-207 (black box) – Bulls need to show up here, or it’s more downside. Deeper Target: 191-188 (orange box) – If sellers keep control, this could be the next landing zone. The sellers seem to have the upper hand for now, but a bounce from 208 could shift things in the bulls' favor. Keep an eye on lower time frames to catch any early signs of a reversal. If this analysis helped you, drop your thoughts in the comments—do we hold 208, or are we heading for 191? Follow, share, and spread the word if you found this valuable. Stay tuned for more updates. Mindbloome Trader
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
NVDA – Ride to 146 or Wipeout at 137?Alright, folks, here’s the deal. NVDA is balancing on the edge—either we ride the wave up to 145-146, or the market drags us back to 137-138 for a reset. This is that make-or-break moment where bulls need to paddle hard or risk missing the set. Key Levels: Support: 137-138 (black box) – Lose this, and it’s back to the lineup. Target: 145-146 (orange zone) – Bulls need to hit this to stay in control. It’s all about how price moves in these channels—either we push higher, or we take a quick dip before the next chance comes. What do you think—are we riding this wave or catching some chop? Let me know below. MB Trader Ride the wave
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
How to Identify and Trade Flag Patterns EffectivelyThe flag pattern is one of the most effective trading setups in the crypto market, known for its reliability and high probability of continuation in trending markets. Here’s a detailed overview of what a flag pattern is, how to identify it, and why it works so well in crypto trading. What is a Flag Pattern? A flag pattern appears as a brief consolidation following a strong price movement, resembling a rectangular shape. There are two main types of flag patterns: bull flags and bear flags. Bull Flag: This pattern typically forms after a strong upward price movement (the flagpole), followed by a slight pullback or consolidation (the flag) before the price continues its upward trend. The flag usually slopes downward or moves sideways. Example of Bullish Flag Pattern. Bear Flag: Conversely, a bear flag occurs after a significant downward movement, followed by a consolidation that trends slightly upward, indicating a continuation of the downward trend once the price breaks down through the flag. Example of Bearish Flag Pattern. Identifying Flag Patterns To identify a flag pattern, traders look for: 🏳️ Flagpole: This is the initial sharp price movement. 🏳️ Flag Formation: This should be a consolidation phase that lasts from 2-3 candles up to more than ten, depending on the timeframe. 🏳️ Volume Analysis: Ideally, the volume should be higher during the flagpole and lower during the flag consolidation. An increase in volume upon breakout is a strong confirmation of the continuation. Here is the example chart for identifying the flag pattern: Trading the Flag Pattern To trade a flag pattern effectively, follow these steps: 📈 Entry: For a bull flag, consider entering the trade once the price breaks above the upper boundary of the flag. For a bear flag, enter on a break below the lower boundary. 📈 Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the flag (for bull flags) or above the flag (for bear flags). 📈 Profit Target: A common target is to measure the height of the flagpole and project that distance from the breakout point. Example chart showing how to place a trade using the flag pattern: Why It Works in Crypto Markets The flag pattern is particularly effective in the crypto market for several reasons: 📊Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, which can create strong price movements leading to clear flag formations. 📈 Trend Continuation: Flags often appear in trending markets, where there’s a significant amount of bullish or bearish momentum. 🧠 Psychological Factors: Traders recognize these patterns, leading to increased buying or selling pressure at breakout points. Example of Bullish and Bearish Flag Pattern: Bullish Flag: Bearish Flag: Flag patterns are highly effective in crypto trading, offering clear signals for trend continuation. They are especially useful in volatile markets, providing reliable entry and exit points. By identifying strong momentum during the breakout and combining it with volume analysis, traders can use flag patterns to make well-informed, high-probability trades.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by HexaTrades