GBPJPY ANALYSISIn GBPJPY currency pair we're looking and expecting further bearish move continuation. Let's see what happen and which opportunity market will give us.
Time Frame: 4H
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GBPJPY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Priceaction
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📈ROSE has been overall bearish trading within the falling blue channel and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the $0.03 - $0.05 zone is a strong support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue arrow zone is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #ROSE approaches the intersection zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USOIL(WTI) Price ActionHello Traders,
I hope you all had a great weekend and made some profits last week! As the market opens today, I’ve identified another setup on USOIL (WTI) . Here’s the breakdown:
1. Zones Marked:
- On the 4H chart, I’ve marked two key zones: a Supply Zone and a Demand Zone.
- Switching to the M30 chart, I’ve marked an additional Demand Zone.
2. Liquidity Line:
- You’ll notice a Liquidity Line on the chart. Wait for a sweep of this level before considering any trades.
3. Entry Strategy:
- Move to the M15 chart for a precise entry to lower your risk.
- Look for bullish momentum to confirm a long position.
4. Take Profit (TP):
- The TP levels will remain the same as planned.
5. Volume Observation:
- Volume is currently low, which could indicate a potential divergence. Keep an eye on this as it may impact the trade.
6. Risk Management:
- Always manage your risk carefully. Avoid trading blindly and stick to your plan.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Let’s make it a profitable week. Thank you!
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Channel Rejection and Its Impact Bitcoin Dominance is currently trading within a well-defined downward channel, indicating a consistent decline over time. Recently, dominance attempted to break below the channel but failed, resulting in a re-entry back into the channel. This failed breakdown suggests that the bearish momentum is weakening, at least temporarily.
A declining Bitcoin dominance typically signals a potential bullish phase for altcoins, as market capital moves away from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies. However, in this scenario, the downward movement is relatively slow, confined within the channel, which explains the lack of a strong recovery in the altcoin market.
For a more significant altcoin rally, we need to see a clear breakdown of this channel, accompanied by a sharper decline in dominance. A rapid drop would likely trigger stronger buying activity in altcoins, providing better opportunities for traders.
It's crucial to monitor Bitcoin dominance closely, as its next move will provide key insights into potential market shifts. Stay alert and adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
If you find these market insights helpful and want to stay updated with more trade setups and detailed analysis and join my community,feel free to ping me.
TOSH/USD Long Setup: OTE + Fake Supply zone reclaimed I've spotted a great long opportunity on TOSH/USD using a combination of advanced market analysis techniques:
1️⃣ Liquidity grab below recent lows, clearing out impatient buyers.
2️⃣ Entry at the OTE zone (Optimal Trade Entry) between 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a key area for strong rejections.
3️⃣ A fake supply zone has been reclaimed, signaling bullish intent.
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 0.0006900 (validated in the OTE zone).
Context: Liquidity sweep below support followed by a bullish re-entry.
Confirmation: Clean reclaim of the fake supply zone with momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the last swing low for proper risk management.
Take Profits:
TP1: Previous Higher High (HH). 🚀
📊 Plan:
I’m watching for strong confirmation in the OTE zone and increased volume as the fake supply zone is reclaimed. Risk management is key—position sizing is based on capital and stop-loss placement.
This is not financial advice, just my personal setup idea based on market structure. What’s your take? Let me know below! 👇"
GOLD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2789.95 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2789.95 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2942.55 on 02/11/2025, so more losses to support(s) 2879.11, 2833.00 and minimum to Major Support (2789.95) is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
3000.00
2942.55
2879.11
2833.00
2726.10
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Crude Oil - Ichimoku Theories + Price Action ConceptsNYMEX:CL1!
Combining your Ichimoku strategy, with market structure orderblocks, could provide you with support & resistance levels, for your Ichimoku trend bias.
- Here is Crude Oil futures, on a 4H timeframe
- Analyze how the orderblocks, provide key level resistance, for your short positions
2025-02-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: As expected after yesterday’s cpi reversal, bears are not strong enough and bulls wanted a higher high badly. Now a new ath is much more likely than prices below 21800. Max bullishness would be if we stay above 22k but everything above 21900 is ok for the bulls. We have a decent channel on the 1h tf but it’s not steep enough to get to 21400 tomorrow. So it’s probably best to pay more attention to the lower trend line and not looking to short the upper one.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21800 - 22500
bull case: Bulls now only need to keep it above 21900 and bears can’t hold shorts on this. We could easily print 22500 or higher tomorrow. Today we had wild swings on smaller time-frames so I doubt many bulls would want to buy the highs but we should know an hour into the Globex session if we can expect sideways to down first or if bulls just keep it above 22k in fear of not getting enough points to the upside. Odds are good for a max long day tomorrow.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears can scalp short on new highs but the risk of getting trapped if we break above was never higher this week. If they somehow manage to get below 21900 again, the bull case would be in trouble but for now we are making clear higher highs and higher lows. Could bears stay below 22100 tomorrow and break sideways out of the channel? Yeah but we closed at 22094. If Globex sells-off hard, might happen but I doubt it. Bears do not have much here.
Invalidation is above 22150.
short term: Clear plan. Stay above 21900 and long for 22400+. Dip below and see if bears can generate follow-through. Leaning heavily bullish though.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again.
trade of the day: Strong selling on the open but by now everyone knows bears are only getting trapped this week, so buying around 21750 was where market found support late yesterday and we dipped only 6 points below the low from yesterday evening. Market refused to go down after the early EU session selling was done, so long it was. The pullback from 22000 down to 21890 was deep and holding longs through it was tough but if you look at the 1h chart at the end of the day, it was much more bullish than lower time-frames suggested.
GBPJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
If you entered during the aggressive selling phase, I hope you managed to capture at least 100 pips! Now, as you can see, the price action has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern. However, I don’t trade patterns blindly—this setup is backed by a fresh 4-hour Supply and Demand zone, which adds more weight to the trade idea.
If the price respects this zone, we can expect a drop. But remember, always take small risks and manage your position size wisely. Don’t get greedy—stick to your plan and let the market do its thing. The beauty of trading is that the market repeats itself over and over again.
Stay disciplined, trade smart, and happy trading!
GBPJPY Price ActionWe’ve already hit our take-profit (TP) target, and the price has now reached the highest volume zone, which is where it previously dropped from. Currently, the price is attempting to form a higher high, but the upward momentum is slowing down. If you look at the volume, there’s a noticeable divergence—price is making progress, but the volume at the bottom isn’t significant, indicating weakness in the move.
For your take-profit levels, you can aim for TP1 which around 250+ pips during the initial impulse move and TP2 which is 450+ pips if the price continues to push higher. Keep an eye on the volume and momentum for confirmation.
Hint - FOR SL Don't use more than 30-40 Pips or MAX 50 Pips Depends Your Lot Size and Risk Management.
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024.
The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout.
The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
CADCHF: Range BreakoutCADHCF has been in a range since August 2024. This range is quite wide at approximately 160~ pips.
Another observable detail is that the upper range boundary breached twice - once in November 2024 and then again last month, in January 2025.
Right now, in early-February, price is showing signs of breaching the upper range boundary again. Unlike the previous breakouts, this one seems more sustained.
Right now, the daily ATR is 41.4 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 20 and SL 41.
2025-02-12 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: CPI was the gift to the bears and what was the perfect setup for continuous selling to the lows of this bigger trading range, became the ultimate bear trap. Bears now have only 2 daily bear bars during the past 8 trading days and today printed a really nasty reversal bar. We are still making lower highs but if bears can’t stay below 21900 tomorrow, I think we could see a bullish breakout above for a retest of the ath.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21500 - 22000
bull case: Bulls probably burned enough bears today that many will give up until we see bigger selling pressure instead of single sell spikes. That opens the possibility for the bulls to print higher highs above 21900 and test the previous monthly high at 21967. If bulls are strong enough tomorrow, it could setup the next impulse higher to retest 22450.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Likely that bears are done with these reversals and they could give up tomorrow because market clearly rejects lower prices. Bears now had 5 big spikes down in the past 8 trading days and all were rejected hard. Above 21967 I highly doubt bears will fight this if we get above 21967. What would the bears need to keep this another lower high and go down? Yeah right. Neither trade war stuff nor the hot cpi print could bring this down. If somehow bears manage to get strongly below 21750 tomorrow, there is a small chance of more downside to 21670 but at this point it’s very low probability.
Invalidation is above 21970.
short term: Can’t be bear after such a trap today. Bulls need something above 21967 and if they get it, it’s a clear buy signal and we likely melt higher. Bears having more arguments if they strongly go below 21760 again but it would likely turn the market neutral at best. Middle of this range is still 21700.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-09: Another lower high but also higher lows. Bears are not doing enough, so we are in a trading range below the ath. We are close to it that there is always the possibility of printing a higher high again. Bears need lower lows below 20600 before we can talk about 20000 again.
trade of the day: I am always flat into bigger news releases, so shorting into cpi was out of the question. Could you buy the big cpi print near 21500? Well, I would not and I did not. Why? Of course bulls reversed most this week but the spike was so huge, it could have easily become a risk-off event. Biggest question today was, when should you have joined the bulls and when did it became clear that bears can not retest the lows again? Bar 19 had a huge tail below, bears tried to test down to 21500 but failed. Bulls then printed another very strong 5m bar and if you did not want to go long like me, it should have been at least the death for bearish price action for that moment since if bears would have been strong, those big bull bars would have never happened or would have at least been followed by a bear bar and bulls just printed consecutive bull bars.
GBP/USD: Bearish Pressure Amid US Inflation and Trade TensionsThe GBP/USD pair has recently declined, closing at 1.24445 on February 12 (-0.0233%) after a 0.6688% increase on February 11. Volatility has dominated recent sessions, with fluctuations between 1.2400 and 1.2500. The decline was triggered by US inflation data, which strengthened expectations of higher Fed rates, weighing on the pound. Despite a 2.5% increase in UK retail sales (compared to the expected 0.2%), GBP struggled to maintain upward momentum, further pressured by uncertainty surrounding US tariffs on steel and aluminum. Technically, support between 1.2320 - 1.2330 remains crucial for potential rebounds towards 1.2550 - 1.2600, but future movements will depend on upcoming economic data and monetary policy expectations on both sides of the Atlantic.
EURUSD - H4, H1 forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasIntraday forecast
The downtrend is broken, and the price is in an impulse wave.
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
2- Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs
SL: Below 1.0331
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Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
Let’s break this down in a simple and friendly way. If you’ve noticed, gold is dropping even though the overall market is in an uptrend. Here’s what you can do:
1. Switch to the 2-hour timeframe and use my Supply and Demand Analyzer Indicator. You’ll see that the price has reversed from a fresh demand zone, which is a good sign.
2. Now, check the 30-minute timeframe. You’ll notice liquidity at the top, along with fresh supply zones. If the price continues to follow the overall trend, there’s a high chance it could move upward.
3. Always manage your risk! Even if your win rate is around 30-40%, solid risk management can keep you ahead in this business. Remember, protecting your capital is key to long-term success.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart. 😊
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Consolidation, Demand Zones✅ Daily Timeframe Insights:
The EUR/USD has been consolidating between the 25% and 75% levels of its range. A potential upside continuation is expected if the demand zone at the bottom of the range holds. We’re eyeing a breakout of key levels for a bullish push.
✅ Weekly Timeframe Overview:
The EUR/USD is poised to target the previous week's high, supported by a weekly structural shift. This aligns with a broader retracement from liquidity lows, indicating strong momentum for further upside in the short term.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 1.04670 (December high) is critical for further bullish confirmation.
Immediate downside risk arises if the current demand zone fails to hold.
✅ Economic Impact:
Today’s inflation data release will likely drive significant volatility. Traders should prepare for rapid price action and adjust strategies accordingly.
⚙️ Technical Tools & Key Concepts Used:
Liquidity zones
Supply & demand analysis
Fibonacci retracements (0.5 and 0.618 levels)
Weekly and daily fractal structure shifts
🚀 Forecast Summary:
While the bullish trend remains intact, news events like inflation figures could create temporary volatility or even reversals. For now, EUR/USD’s demand zones remain in control, favoring upside continuation. A break below key levels would signal short-term bearish opportunities.
Tags:
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #TradingStrategy
2025-02-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I do think the profit taking is around the corner but for now that does not help. Longs are paying, so join the bulls or wait for bigger bears to appear. No more bullish targets from me. 20k was a bubble but 22k is beyond everything. -30% would bring us to 15% and that was the beginning of this bull trend in 2023-10. No matter how you draw the patterns, we are above all of them or at the very top. Looking for shorts does not help when the market goes only up. Join the momentum or wait for the profit taking to begin.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 22000 - 22300
bull case: Bulls have measured move up from last weeks low and there is a bull wedge line going up to 22300ish. No idea if we can get there but until we have a daily close below 20k, bulls have all the momentum on their side to continue.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears need to break below many bull trend lines and ema before this can start selling bigger. If bears could prevent the current gap from 22118 to 22180 tomorrow, that would be a start. Retesting 22000 would be the next step but for now the bull trend line is intact and we can’t expect it to break all of a sudden. If bears somehow get below 22k, which I doubt, 21850 is the next bigger target.
Invalidation is above 22300.
short term: Neutral. Can’t hold the bearish bias when market is only going up. Can this be the top and we go down from here? Yeah sure but the same logic was true at 20k. Picking tops is a bad game. Need to have a daily close below 22k before we can look for lower targets. Right now bulls are still creating gaps below and that’s bullish af.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-11: I need to stop playing the top picking game. This trend is so beyond anything. Disgusting also. Big bull wedge on the daily chart has to break down and if we can close below 21900 again, I will look for lower targets. I still think this is a blow-off top and will be the exhaustive end of the trend but that believe does not help when the market is only going up. 19600 is my minimum bear target for this year.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the open and holding because the low 21969 held, which was only couple of points below the Globex low.
Bitcoin’s Price Squeeze—What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) is currently consolidating within a marked accumulation zone after facing resistance near its all-time high (ATH). The price is fluctuating within a broad range of approximately $17,800, indicating a phase of indecision between buyers and sellers.
The key observation is that a previous resistance trendline has now flipped into support, showing a potential shift in market sentiment. Additionally, the 100-day EMA around $93,458 is providing dynamic support, reinforcing this bullish structure.
The key support zone (highlighted in green) remains critical; as long as BTC holds above this area, the bias leans bullish. A breakout above the accumulation range could trigger a strong upward move, potentially retesting the ATH. Conversely, if BTC loses the support of both the trendline and the 100 EMA, it may lead to a deeper correction toward lower support levels.
GBPJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
Last week, we observed significant supply, which has nearly been exhausted as we move into this week. Now, the focus shifts to demand—provided there’s no hidden supply left. You can also see the breakout happening, and I took an early entry, which I plan to hold throughout this week.
If the price breaks through key levels, wait for a pullback before entering. However, the best time to enter the market is now. I hope this makes sense to everyone.
Remember, risk management is everything. Always use a stop loss and avoid being greedy. Market structures tend to repeat themselves over time.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Thank you.