EURCAD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasOANDA:EURCAD
💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI, The Euro also reached our TP7 at 1.5777 by breaking the resistance at 1.5156.
The broken resistance area will serve as our new support area and Buy Zone.
As long as this area is not broken down, there is a possibility of a resumption of the uptrend.
If the price enters our new buy zone with a corrective wave and is rejected from it, we will enter with buy trades.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.5857
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The uptrend is broken, and price is in an impulse wave.
1.5729 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
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Priceaction
NAZDAQ - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasNASDAQ:NDX IG:NASDAQ
Midterm forecast:
20796.85 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 22254.20 on 02/18/2025, so more losses to support(s) 19337.48, 18815.60, 18313.47 and more depths is expected.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Trend Hunter Sell Zone (20554.38 to 20796.85).
We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
We would set sell orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach short-term targets.
Beginning of entry zone (20554.38)
Ending of entry zone (20796.85)
Take Profits:
19901.88
19337.48
18815.60
18313.47
17841.19
16988.69
16247.08
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2025-03-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears are clearly in control and we have two bear trend lines above us. One around 22600 and the bigger one around 23000. Bulls need to claim 22900 and bears obviously want 22k. Absolutely no idea what we get first. Buying volume increased big time at previous low around 22300 but overall market sentiment has to reverse. I can not see dax rallying 2%+ if us indexes stay at the lows. 22400 is the neutral price, so don’t trade it.
current market cycle: trading range - bull trend clearly broken now
key levels: 22000 - 24000
bull case: Bulls need to get back above 22800 if they want further upside. For now they have buy new lows and scalp. For bulls to reverse this, they would need to print a clear higher low and trapping late bears. Market can not rally, if we make lower lows the whole time. Not much for bulls here and it could be because they expect 22k to be hit and want to buy that.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears want to finally print 22000 again. last time we did was early February. Problem for them is, we are at huge previous support. Should you bet that the breakout will happen? Never. Wait for it to happen and join along and wait for a bounce to sell higher. Any bounce has to stay below 22600 and then we can continue down. Selling below 22400 is bad, no matter what. Bears remain in control until the current bear channel is broken.
Invalidation is above 23600.
short term: Neutral around 22400. Bearish above 22500 if we stall too much and bears come around again. If bulls stay above 22300/22400 and print a lower high, I will join them if us markets do the same. I expect a huge bounce soon.
medium-long term from 2024-02-26: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. Daily close below 22000 is needed to turn this neutral and end the bull trend-.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying during the Globex session was fun and then selling above 22800 again, since it was resistance from yesterday. Where should you have sold? Market hit 22835 and then only printed lower highs for 7 15m bars. That was certainly strong enough to cover longs.
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 73777.00, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 91037.20 breaks.
If the support at 73777.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 109588.00 on 01/20/2025, so more losses to support(s) 78180.00 and minimum to Major Support (73777.00) is expected.
Take Profits:
86499.57
91037.20
94505.46
98489.63
101430.12
105431.17
109932.89
115000.00
120000.00
125000.00
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130000.00
S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
5870.56 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
$S&P500
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 5568.78, 5398.95, 5261.00 and more depths is expected.
Take Profits:
5677.80
5568.78
5398.95
5261.00
5122.47
4944.41
4800.00
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MSTR | Back to 120s / Double Digits | FractalPrice action blew off to a high around $540 and since then closed back under the historical close.
The goal here is to see price action consolidate under resistance in the preparation for a major sell-off
To invalidate all of this I would like to see more of an accumulation pattern back above major resistance, but if we see an increase in aggressive selling then price will be hunting for at least $120.
Price action also looked a bit familiar to the 2021 sell-off with the same blow-off-top and a ABC pattern breakdown
After the C sell-off price retraced back to B and then finally flushed out back to major support
Current price action has pretty much done the first phase and we should expect some consolidation before the next big move.
DKNG | Back to $10Seeing how price action is weakening over time I could say that bears are looking to take over
Would like to see buyers pushup to local resistance to only selloff once again as we head towards $30 in which we will see a pullback trigger occur.
When the time is right we'll asses price action again to see if we get a straight drop or a full retracement back to ~40.
GBPJPY Key Support Retest – Potential Bounce or Break?I've been watching #GBPJPY on the 30-minute chart, and there's a strong support level around 189.91. The price has tested this level multiple times and bounced back each time, showing clear buying interest. Right now, it's retesting the same zone, and if it rejects again, we could see another push to the upside. I'm keeping an eye on this level for a potential long setup, but if it breaks below, further downside could be in play. Waiting for confirmation before making a move!
2025-03-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq e-mini
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Strongest bear bar after a 11 bar bear micro channel on the daily chart, that broke below the big bull trend line. I will never see this as even more bearish. Much more likely is that we are very close to an intermediate bottom and squeeze shorts big time. Only looking to long this. After a decent bounce we can talk lower targets again.
current market cycle: trading range - only daily closes below 20000 mark the end of this bull trend
key levels: 19000 - 21000
bull case: Bulls have to trap bears here or we will go for 19000 or even 18867 (2024-09 low) tomorrow. Bulls do not have many arguments until they produce better buying pressure. Every small rip is sold and market stayed below the 15m 20ema the whole day after it broke below it early in EU session. Bulls must claim 19600 for further upside and next would be weekly open at 19668. If bulls get above 19700, I think most bears will give up and wait for 20000 and either of the bear trend lines to be hit before shorting again.
Invalidation is below 19250.
bear case: Below 19250 we most likely go for 19000 or even 19668. Bears are still in full control but the selling is so overdone and climactic and any bigger bounce will likely do for this to completely melt much higher before bears join again. What are the odds of bears just falling through the multi-year bull trend line and keep going? Very. Very. Low. Not impossible but certainly nothing I would bet money on. For now it’s likely best to wait an see if bulls get make higher highs. If I had to guess I’d say we could have seen the lows today but it’s pure guesswork. Shorts make no sense down here and I will only look for longs for at least 19800.
Invalidation is above 20200.
short term: Can only be neutral for now. Having a bullish bias but bulls are not doing enough for now. I wait. 20k is my first target.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000.
trade of the day: Shorts once market broke below 20000 and failed to get above it again.
EURNZD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.82059, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.85400 breaks.
If the support at 1.82059 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.85400 on 12/27/2024, so more losses minimum to Major Support (1.82059) is expected.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 43.
Supports and Resistances:
1.87650
1.85400
1.82059
1.78251
1.76500
1.74929
1.73804
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EURNZD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
1.84895 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.81705 on 02/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.89340, 1.90550, 1.91400 and more heights is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
1.95650
1.90550
1.87650
1.85400
1.81700
1.78251
1.76500
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NEAR (NEARUSDT) Weekly Analysis: Potential Reversal in SightHey everyone! Let’s take a look at NEAR (NEARUSDT) on the weekly chart. There’s a chance the price might move into the 1.728–2.067 range, possibly sweeping up some liquidity before heading toward the 1.467–1.669 zone. This area seems like it could act as a launchpad for a potential bounce, aiming for higher targets afterward.
Watch for a spike in trading volume around that zone—if volume picks up, it could indicate stronger buying interest. Another key signal to look out for is a bullish candlestick pattern (like a hammer or a bullish engulfing), which might confirm a reversal if it appears near the 1.467–1.669 level.
Of course, if the price drops below 1.467, it might change this outlook and suggest a different path forward. Since the market can be unpredictable, it’s always important to keep an eye on these levels and stay prepared.
Above all, remember to do your own research and stay informed—this space can move fast, and it’s best to approach it with a curious mind. Keep learning, stay positive, and good luck out there! 📈
BTC HALVING APRIL 2024! 479497$As we approach the impending halving event in 2024, slated to commence in a month, speculation arises regarding its potential outcomes. Historical data provides insights into recurring patterns, yet uncertainty looms regarding whether past scenarios will manifest once again.
We invite your insights:
Do you foresee growth or a departure from traditional trends towards decline?
Your perspectives are welcomed and valued.
Soybean Futures Surge: ZS, ZL, and ZM Align for a Bullish MoveI. Introduction
Soybean futures are showing a potentially strong upcoming bullish momentum, with ZS (Soybean Futures), ZL (Soybean Oil Futures), and ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) aligning in favor of an upward move. The recent introduction of Micro Ag Futures by CME Group has further enhanced trading opportunities by allowing traders to manage risk more effectively while engaging with longer-term setups such as weekly timeframes.
Currently, all three soybean-related markets are displaying bullish candlestick patterns, accompanied by strengthening demand indicators. With RSI confirming upward momentum without entering overbought territory, traders are eyeing potential opportunities. Among the three, ZM appears to be the one which will potentially provide the greatest strength, showing resilience in price action and a favorable technical setup for a high reward-to-risk trade.
II. Technical Analysis of Soybean Markets
A closer look at the price action in ZS, ZL, and ZM reveals a confluence of bullish factors:
o Candlestick Patterns:
All three markets have printed bullish weekly candlestick formations, signaling increased buying interest.
o RSI Trends:
RSI is in an uptrend across all three contracts, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Importantly, none of them are currently in overbought conditions, suggesting further upside potential.
o Volume Considerations:
Higher volume on up moves and decreasing volume on down-moves adds credibility to the bullish bias.
III. Comparative Price Action Analysis
While all three soybean-related markets are trending higher, their relative strength varies. By comparing recent weekly price action:
o ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) stands out as the one which will potentially become the strongest performer.
Last week, ZM closed above its prior weekly open, marking a +1.40% weekly gain.
RSI is not only trending higher but is also above its average, a sign of potential continued strength.
o ZS and ZL confirm bullishness but lag slightly in relative strength when compared to ZM.
This comparative analysis suggests that while all three markets are bullish, ZM presents the most compelling trade setup in terms of technical confirmation and momentum.
IV. Trade Setup & Forward-Looking Trade Idea
Given the strong technical signals, the trade idea focuses on ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) as the primary candidate.
Proposed Trade Plan:
Direction: Long (Buy)
Entry: Buy above last week’s high at 307.6
Target: UFO resistance at 352.0
Stop Loss: Below entry at approximately 292.8 (for a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1
Additionally, with the introduction of Micro Ag Futures, traders can now fine-tune position sizing, making it easier to manage risk effectively on longer-term charts like the weekly timeframe. Given the novelty of such micro contracts, here is a CME resource that could be useful to understand their characteristics such as contracts specs .
V. Risk Management & Trade Discipline
Executing a trade plan is just one part of the equation—risk management is equally critical, especially when trading larger timeframes like the weekly chart. Here are key considerations for managing risk effectively:
1. Importance of Precise Entry and Exit Levels
Entering above last week’s high (307.6) ensures confirmation of bullish momentum before taking a position.
The target at 352.0 (UFO resistance) provides a well-defined profit objective, avoiding speculation.
A stop-loss at 292.8 is strategically placed to maintain a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio, ensuring that potential losses remain controlled.
2. The Role of Stop Loss Orders & Hedging
A stop-loss prevents excessive drawdowns in case the market moves against the position.
Traders can also hedge using Micro Ag Futures to offset exposure while maintaining a bullish bias on the broader trend.
3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure
The Micro Ag Futures contracts enable traders to scale into or out of positions without significantly increasing risk.
Position sizing should be adjusted based on account risk tolerance, ensuring no single trade overly impacts capital.
4. Adjusting for Market Volatility
Monitoring volatility using ATR (Average True Range) or other risk-adjusted indicators helps in adjusting stop-loss placement.
If volatility increases, a wider stop may be needed, but it should still align with a strong reward-to-risk structure.
Proper risk management ensures that trades are executed with discipline, preventing emotional decision-making and maximizing long-term trading consistency.
VI. Conclusion & Disclaimers
Soybean futures are showing bullishness, with ZS, ZL, and ZM aligning in favor of further upside. However, among them, ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) potentially exhibits the most reliable momentum, making it the prime candidate for a high-probability trade setup.
With bullish candlestick patterns, RSI trends confirming momentum, and volume supporting the move, traders have an opportunity to capitalize on this momentum while managing risk effectively using Micro Ag Futures.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Market had big swings up and down last week but went nowhere after Monday’s gap up. Can’t be anything but neutral. The bull channel is valid until broken so bulls remain in control.
current market cycle: Bull trend until consecutive daily closes below 22000
key levels: 22000 - 24000
bull case: Above 23500 we could go for 24000 next week. Market is still euphoric given the probable spending spree the new government wants to do. It’s still being front-run since there are still couple of hurdles before that bill is approved, so bulls better be cautious buying new highs on the hopes of higher ones. New highs were immediately sold lately so I guess we continue with the deeper pullbacks for bulls to buy. I’d be very surprised if we see an acceleration of this trend and a break above the channel. More likely is some more sideways to down until we hit the lower trend line again.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears selling new highs and making decent money but that’s about it. Bull channel is alive and well and we have not closed a daily bar below the daily 20ema since first trading day of 2025. Bears had a really strong bear day on Tuesday but the follow-through was even better, so they are burned again if they did not take profits the same day. Bears can start yapping again once we have a daily close below 23k, until they I will mainly look for long scalps.
Invalidation is above 23500.
short term: Neutral around 23000/223400 and only interested in strong momentum trades. Longs above 500 or around 23k. Shorts only on another strong rejection above 400 or very strong selling below 23k.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed last weeks guess of a contracting range. Market is still too bullish for that. Added new bull channel.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear rejections around 20000 are getting stronger and we could have seen the intermediate lows on Friday. I lean heavily bullish since we have touched the big bull trend line and market reacted there as expected. Bounce up could easily go for 21k again, which is the 50% retracement. Again. Bears need to form a proper wider channel down if they want lower prices. The past 3 weeks of selling were getting climactic and unsustainable.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 19500 - 21400
bull case: Very bullish daily bar on Friday and bulls need follow-through to trigger a short squeeze. They want at least 21k again and if bears are not strong enough there, this selling could already be over again. 50% retracement is 21k and two big magnets are enough for me to have this as my main target next week. Bulls have to stay above 20k or they risk more poking at the bull trend line that started 2 years ago. On the monthly chart we are in a perfect bull wedge that has room to the upside and a bounce would fit the structure much more than a break below 19700.
Invalidation is below 20400.
bear case: Bears have shown strength for 3 consecutive weeks but are they really gonna fight the big trend line before we had a bounce? Selling around 20k is bad, no matter how you look at it. My measured move target for the bears was 19600 and the low was 19766. I really don’t have much for the bears at these lows. Sure we can continue down but it’s very unlikely. Best bears could get is probably sideways movement and if they are really strong, we stay below 20400.
Invalidation is above 20400.
short term: Neutral until bulls continue. Heavy bullish bias going into next week. I doubt we go much lower than 19766. 21k is my target.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Updated possible bigger wave thesis for the next months. Until we have a W2 and new lows afterwards, it’s a rough guess.
#202510 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Every bounce is sold. Target 75k remains but I hope for 70k. The big bear trend line is valid until broken, so bulls need to claim 94k again for higher prices. Not the white house summit nor the crypto reserve could break the bear trend line, why would it break now? People are running for the exits and are desperate for exit liquidity. Hence the explosion in "btfd posts”.
current market cycle: bear trend
key levels: 70k - 94k
bull case: Bulls need anything above 94k to break above the bear trend line. If they can claim it, no reason not to go for 100k again but for now that’s a pipe dream. This is going down and bulls would need to stop the daily big bear bars for more days to turn this neutral again.
Invalidation is below 70k.
bear case: Bears showing strength and are in full control. They want to retest the previous ath 73805 and the cluster of previous highs in that area. For now it’s tough to have a better looking structure than this ABC move. The weekly chart could be seen as W3 we are currently in but it’s ugly af. If bears are really strong, we go directly down to 70k and then we could very well test the bull trend line around 67k. There is no reason why it should break on the next touch but it would be amazing for the bears to get there because it would be a 40% crash in roughly 2 months. I am enjoying this down move a lot, given the attention these people get, that tell everyone they should sell their grandmother and a kidney to buy btc above 100k.
Invalidation is above 94k.
short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed 5-wave thesis for now.
GOLD UPDATE ROUTE MAPI am currently analyzing the 4-hour timeframe of gold. As we know, there has been strong bearish pressure in the gold market over the past few days. Therefore, my focus will remain on bearish opportunities. On the higher timeframe, gold has broken its bullish trendline, and my selling area will be around this level, as seen on the chart. I will wait for the price to reach my key levels and either show bearish confirmation or any reversal signal so that I can plan my sell entry at my ideal level. Confirmation is very important. Let's see what happens.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction. Let's analyze more deeply in smaller time frame.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
If resistance at 2955 can prevent further price increases, a price drop to 2833 and ultimately the buying zone of 2790 is expected.
If gold can break the resistance at 2955, the price could reach $3,000 or even $350.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3050.00
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Russel 2000 Compared to General MarketTVC:RUT has continued to sell off since my last couple posts and I believe we could see a huge market correction this year if price doesn't look to stop selling.
The next play on RUT I would like to see price pullback to the last breakout zone ($2,200) to confirm a continuation in trend
This play also looks very familiar to the 2022 selloff with equal highs to our current price structure. Seeing that AMEX:SPY is at a higher high tells me there is market-wide divergence and a topping pattern could be in play.
Now when we add CRYPTOCAP:BTC and $OTHER to the mix we can see bitcoin actually tops out first while Alts and SPX look to make one more leg up before crashing out.
The Trend Reader at the lower tab has topped out and has a bearish crossing in the overbought zone indicating we can see a long term play to the downside.