GOLD (XAUUSD) Full Analysis – MMC Strategy in Action + Target🧠 What is Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)?
MMC is a psychological and technical framework that interprets market movements as mirrors of past behaviors, often using curves, rays, and emotional imprints to forecast price flow. It assumes that price reacts not just to levels but to memory zones left by institutional actions.
🧭 Chart Overview and Interpretation
1. Black Mind Curve Resistance:
The black curved line represents a dynamic resistance zone where the market previously showed sensitivity.
It aligns with psychological levels where institutional interest faded, marking a high-probability rejection point.
Note the smooth arc — MMC suggests such curves reflect subconscious market resistance.
2. Blue Ray – Institutional Reaction Line:
The blue ray points to a previous impulsive reaction zone near 3,320, marking an emotional high.
Price sharply rejected this area again, creating a mirror rejection.
This symmetry is key in MMC — the present move is reflecting the structure of the past.
3. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
Around the 3,290 level, price previously bounced from this zone (demand), but it has now flipped to act as resistance.
This SR Interchange is significant in MMC as it represents a "mental switch" — demand has turned into fear-based supply.
4. Break of Market Structure + Retest:
A clean break below the short-term bullish trendline followed by a rejection retest confirms the shift in structure.
This breakdown confirms bears are in control for now.
The recent candles show clear rejection wicks from the retest zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Setup)
Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between 3,275 – 3,285, where price is rejecting the SR flip and mind curve.
Target Zone:
🎯 First TP: 3,250 (MMC Support Zone – highlighted in purple below)
🛑 Optional Second TP: 3,240 if momentum continues post-news event.
Stop Loss:
🔺 Above 3,300 to allow space for false spikes, just beyond the curve rejection zone.
📉 Why This Setup Works (Psychological Flow)
The current price action is mirroring the left side of the chart — the same way price impulsively rose from a zone, it's now impulsively falling back into it.
The rejection from the Black Curve and Blue Ray are not just technical — they are emotional resistance zones, meaning institutions remember the reaction.
This creates internal balance that MMC traders look to exploit, riding the memory of the market.
🔔 Risk Factors & Considerations
Watch for the USD-related news event on the calendar (noted on chart). If high-impact, it can cause volatility and short-term spikes.
If price breaks and holds above 3,300, the bearish idea becomes invalid — don’t fight the market.
🧵 MMC Concepts Highlighted in This Chart
Black Mind Curve Zone – Dynamic psychological resistance
Blue Ray – Emotional ray from institutional rejection
SR Interchange – Support becomes resistance
Mirror Symmetry – Price behavior is reflecting the past
Emotional Imprint Zones – Past reactions leave future footprints
🗨️ Community Call-to-Action (CTA)
💬 What’s your view on GOLD today? Are you using Mirror Market Concepts in your trading?
Drop your thoughts, charts, or alternate views below — let’s build solid MMC case studies together!
Priceaction
Nasdaq Bulls Back in the Fight – 21K Is the Battlefield📍 The 21K Line in the Sand – Nasdaq’s Second Chance Setup
The bounce off the purple EMA was no joke — big reaction, and now we’re reclaiming key structure: back above VWAP (red), white EMA, and even the weekly pivot (straight orange line).
That pivot zone at 21K is still the line in the sand. I do expect a potential breach — maybe even a quick liquidity sweep — but if buyers step in with momentum and reclaim, I’m interested in longs again.
⚔️ This is a momentum shift — structure's back in favor of bulls, and until we lose 21K with conviction, I’m treating dips into that area as buyable.
📍And if price overreacts? I’m watching 20,750 as a “second chance” zone. Strong bounce there before — I’m not ignoring that twice.
This is still a two-sided game, but for now, bulls are back in position. Let’s see if they hold the line.
2025-05-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Focus on the easy trades. Can only get bearish with consecutive 15m or 1h bars below 24000 and for now that is unlikely. Bulls bought 24000 the whole week so look for longs.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24500
bull case: As long as the bull gap 23700 - 23900 stays open, I would only look for longs. 24500 is the next obvious target and it’s not impossible that markets do a complete meltup tomorrow. Structure is a clear bull channel until we print below 24000.
Invalidation is below 23900.
bear case: Bears need something below 24000 again, that means lower lows. Right now bulls remain in full control and I doubt we can go from daily new ath to a big reversal down. I got nothing for the bears here.
Invalidation is above 24550.
short term: Neutral but would only trade long until we see much better selling pressure and prices below 24000.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Short since the bull trap on the open but I did not take it. I thought chances of a reversal were too high for me. I was wrong but that’s ok.
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary:
This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets.
📌 Detailed Breakdown:
1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase)
This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions.
✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles.
👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast.
2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond)
After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond.
This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move.
👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart)
Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection.
You can see:
Long wicks at the top
Bearish pressure stepping in
Start of a curve formation
👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal.
4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase)
Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles.
This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers.
🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure.
5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure)
A major bearish signal occurred here.
Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish.
👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short.
6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area
After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries.
✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation.
7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055
A clean, well-defined target area where:
Liquidity rests
Previous orders may get triggered
Market could react strongly
👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal).
8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345
This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop.
If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move.
🎯 Trading Plan (Example):
📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup
📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown
❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance)
💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology:
“Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.”
Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones.
🏁 Summary:
This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing:
Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown
BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short
Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support)
📢 Don’t Forget:
If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages.
The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum.
According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level).
Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold.
On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received.
The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.
BRENT outlook: Watching for a move toward the upper boundary (D)Price is currently trading within a broad range, and the main expectation is a move toward the upper boundary — but confirmation is key.
I'm watching the high of the May 22 bar as a key level, since it holds the highest traded volume in recent days.
If price breaks and holds above 64.987 ,
🎯 First target: 67.791
🎯 Second target: 68.619
Shilpamed , 1M Pattern is already Breakout Previously , Now we can Trade at Retest Point and it is also Forming a Channel pattern at Retest Point , we can Enter at Breakout of this Pattern in 1D timeframe .
Aim for 40% and Risk very Less.
we can see Bullishness at lower wick strongness in Monthly time frame
follow for More swing Ideas Like this
JPY/USD – Clean Rejection from Mini Resistance | Bearish Move🔻 1. Major & Mini Resistance Zones
Mini Resistance Zone: This is a key supply area that aligns with previous highs and recent structure points. As the price approaches this level, it tends to react due to unfilled sell orders and trapped buyers.
The chart shows a rejection from this mini resistance zone — visible through strong bearish candles. This suggests institutional selling pressure has entered the market.
Major Resistance is still untouched above, which becomes a clear invalidation level for any short bias. If price breaks and sustains above it, the bearish idea would be invalidated.
🔄 2. MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) at Work
The MMC idea is clearly illustrated. The price movement after the last major drop is mirrored on the right side:
Strong rally > Formation of lower highs > Resistance retest > Sharp decline
These mirrored behaviors often hint at psychological repetition in the market, driven by trader memory and order placement.
The bearish movement after retesting the mini resistance looks nearly identical to the previous leg on the left — reinforcing the idea that we may see a similar downside structure repeat.
🌀 3. Central Zone Area – Liquidity Trap and Reaction Point
The Central Zone Area is labeled where a previous sharp bounce occurred. This zone is critical for several reasons:
It acted as support multiple times.
It’s also where a liquidity grab occurred — shown with a long wick — before a reversal rally.
In current price action, this zone may again act as a magnet for price, as institutions seek liquidity to fuel further moves. Once price reaches it, expect a temporary bounce or reaction.
📐 4. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Confluence
The projected target sits right on the 50% retracement level of the previous bullish leg.
Institutions frequently target the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci zones to rebalance orders and create continuation moves.
This target zone is marked in purple and is aligned with historical support, adding confluence.
📉 5. Sharp Bearish Reversal from Structure
You can observe a very clear shift in momentum:
The uptrend was broken with a strong bearish engulfing candle.
That move wiped out several minor bullish structures — a sign of structure collapse.
This breakdown, combined with the resistance rejection and MMC mirroring, strongly supports a bearish continuation bias.
📊 6. Previous Targets and Structure Memory
The previous targets and historical swing points are not just annotations — they represent real zones of order flow memory.
When price revisits these levels, you often see reactions (reversals, consolidations, or continuation).
🎯 Trade Plan (Based on Chart):
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: After rejection confirmation at mini resistance
Target Zone: 0.00675 area (50% retracement)
Invalidation: Close above 0.00715 (Major Resistance)
✅ Conclusion:
This JPY/USD 4H chart beautifully showcases the power of technical structure, Mirror Market Concepts, and liquidity-focused trading. With a clean rejection from mini resistance, a history of mirrored bearish setups, and a confluence target at the 50% zone, this chart suggests a high-probability short opportunity for disciplined traders.
Silver (XAG/USD) | MMC Retest in Play – Eyes on $33.55 TargetThis 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a clean and compelling bullish setup, applying Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) in combination with classical price action, support/resistance flips, and trendline analysis. It outlines a likely bullish continuation scenario based on how price respects key structural levels.
🧩 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Overview
MMC views the market as a symmetrical organism, where past price behavior on one side of a pattern tends to be “mirrored” on the other side. Here, we see the market reflecting previous structural behaviors through:
Symmetrical lows and highs
Balanced corrective structures
Repeatable retests of trendline support
This creates a roadmap for anticipating price reactions, especially around previously respected levels.
🔸 2. Trendline Support – Anchoring Bullish Momentum
The rising trendline is a major structural feature. It's been respected three times previously (highlighted with blue circles), providing strong bullish support.
Current price is once again approaching this trendline.
A bounce here would confirm continued higher-low structure.
If trendline is broken, it may invalidate the bullish setup — so this acts as the key decision point.
🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip)
The chart marks a wide SR Interchange Zone, previously resistance, now turned into support. This flip is a critical area for accumulation and re-entry by institutional players.
Price bounced from this zone earlier.
The current structure suggests price may retest this zone again during a potential fakeout or liquidity grab.
This level is a magnet zone for stop-hunting before continuation.
🔸 4. “Type of Retesting” – MMC Style
This chart specifically labels a "Type of Retesting", which refers to a deeper liquidity sweep where:
Price breaks minor support to tap trendline or SR zone liquidity.
Then reclaims the structure and resumes the uptrend.
This is a mirror market behavior — where past retests serve as a template for future ones. Expectation is for the same type of bounce from the trendline/SR area as seen before.
🔸 5. Projected Path – Bullish Scenario
The expected flow includes:
Price dips back into the trendline + SR Interchange confluence.
Forms a higher low (marked with arrows).
Breaks minor resistance levels toward Major Resistance at $33.556.
This zone acts as the target — derived from the previous swing high and structural mirror projection.
The target zone aligns with a key Fibonacci and historical resistance level — giving extra weight to this forecast.
🔸 6. Volume and Confirmation (Trader Tip)
While volume is not shown on this chart, experienced traders would:
Watch for volume divergence or spikes near the SR zone.
Seek candle confirmation (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or strong wicks) near the trendline/SR confluence before entering.
🎯 Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Zone: Near trendline + SR Interchange support zone.
Stop Loss: Below the SR zone or swing low.
First Target: Return to $33.20–33.30 range.
Main Target: $33.556 (marked target zone on chart).
Invalidation: Strong break and close below trendline + SR zone, with no bounce.
📘 Educational Notes (For Traders):
Trendline retests are best traded in confluence with horizontal levels.
SR flips provide high-confidence zones for reaction.
MMC adds a predictive edge by recognizing repeating behavior and structure across mirrored segments of the chart.
This setup rewards patience, especially during consolidation near major support.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Always manage risk properly. Even with high-probability setups like this, price may wick below or fake out. Wait for confirmation. Avoid over-leveraging or premature entries.
BTCUSD Curve Breakout & MMC Structure | Targeting $111KIn this idea, we apply Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method of analyzing symmetrical price behavior to forecast key market moves. This BTC/USD 15-minute chart showcases a beautiful execution of MMC principles, blending curved structure analysis, SR interchange, and trendline dynamics to capture a compelling bullish opportunity.
🧩 Chart Structure Analysis (Detailed Breakdown):
🔸 1. Curve Line Formation & Mirror Market Concepts (MMC):
The centerpiece of this analysis is the curved market structure, which resembles a cup-like formation. Using MMC, the market is seen as reacting in mirrored patterns — left side = right side. In this context, the curve mimics the balance of supply and demand over time, providing a visual roadmap of potential price behavior.
Curve Line Resistance: The upper black arc served as dynamic resistance.
Curve Line Support: The lower arc acted as dynamic support.
Once price broke above the curved resistance, it confirmed a bullish market structure shift, triggering a key breakout signal.
🔸 2. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
Following the curve line resistance breakout, price pulled back for a retest, validating the structure. This is a high-probability continuation setup where:
The breakout confirms bullish interest.
The retest confirms that former resistance is now support.
This retest occurred exactly near the intersection of:
Curve Line Support
SR Interchange Zone (gray shaded area)
Trendline Support
This confluence adds strength to the bullish outlook.
🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip):
The horizontal SR Interchange area is a key pivot zone, where price previously faced resistance. After the breakout, price came back to this level and found strong buying interest, flipping it into support.
This acts as a reaccumulation zone.
Price rejected from this zone with a clean bullish impulse.
🔸 4. Trendline Support Validation:
After the retest, price formed a new ascending trendline, respected multiple times by price. This ascending trendline acts as a guide for trailing stop placements or re-entry zones. Price remained above this trendline, reinforcing bullish structure integrity.
🔸 5. Central Zone & Liquidity Sweep:
The Central Zone marked a midpoint in the curve, which:
Acts as a balance point between the mirrored halves.
Is often used as a liquidity grab area before direction continuation.
Price dipped into this zone, likely collecting stop orders or liquidity before reversing higher — a classic MMC behavior.
🔸 6. 50% Retracement Level:
A horizontal marker near the 50% retracement level serves as a psychological and technical barrier. As of the last candle:
Price is hovering around this midpoint.
A breakout above this level would trigger further bullish movement toward the target zone.
Traders often look for volume expansion at this point to confirm conviction.
🔸 7. Target Zone (Projected via Curve Symmetry & Range Extension):
The target zone is marked near $111,600, based on:
Mirror projection of the curve's depth (height symmetry).
Range extension from the curve’s breakout.
Potential measured move based on pre- and post-breakout range.
This level represents a logical exit or partial TP zone for long positions.
📈 Trading Plan Summary:
Entry Zone: After breakout and retest around the SR Interchange/Curve Support/Trendline Confluence.
Support Confirmation: Trendline holding and bullish structure above central zone.
Mid-Target: 50% retracement breakout ($110,400).
Main Target: $111,600+ target zone based on curve projection.
Invalidation: Clear break below trendline and loss of SR flip zone.
🔍 Educational Takeaways:
Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are highly effective in anticipating symmetrical price behavior.
Confluence of curved breakout, SR flip, and trendline validation provides high confidence in trade setups.
Market symmetry helps define logical targets, entries, and risk zones.
Always look for a pullback to structure — the best trades often come after the breakout and confirmation.
🚨 Risk Management Reminder:
As always, proper risk management is crucial. Wait for confirmation before entering, and use stop-losses below structural levels (such as the trendline or SR Interchange zone) to limit downside risk.
Failed Wedge, New Setup. Is SUI About to Break Out?In my previous post about BYBIT:SUIUSDT , I mentioned a potential falling wedge pattern. However, the breakout above the 4.0040 resistance turned out to be a false breakout, and the price eventually dropped to the invalidation level at 3.5868. This made the setup invalid.
But despite the failed wedge breakout, BYBIT:SUIUSDT remains in a bullish trend overall. During the current consolidation, the price appears to be forming a new bullish pattern — a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW).
This pattern typically starts with low volatility and gradually widens. Once price reaches its lower boundary, it often experiences a strong breakout to the upside.
Let’s break down the key price action in this DBW setup:
Price is moving within a Descending Broadening Wedge and is currently near the lower boundary of the pattern.
It’s also sitting around a key support level at 3.4833.
A rejection candle formed right at 3.4833, showing the market’s response to this support area.
A reversal confirmation would come if the price breaks above 3.6102.
A bullish divergence is also visible — price is forming lower lows, while the stochastic indicator is forming higher lows.
Based on these five price action signals, it seems that buyers are still in control, even though short-term volatility has created a series of lower lows.
That’s why I still believe BINANCE:SUIUSDT has more room to go up. What’s your take on this?
Gold Price Action Analysis – Using MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) 🔍 Overview:
In this idea, we dive deep into XAU/USD's (Gold) short-term bearish move using a blend of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) and Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The 15-minute chart provides an excellent visual of market psychology shifting, with CHoCHs, supply-demand zones, SR flips, and the Black Mind Curve highlighting the story of price.
🧩 Market Structure Breakdown:
🔵 1. Major Resistance Zone Formed
Price pushed aggressively upward but met strong rejection near the major resistance zone.
This zone acts as a ceiling for the bullish momentum—setting the first signal for a possible reversal.
🔵 2. Black Mind Curve Activated
A descending Black Mind Curve was plotted to reflect the psychological shift from bullish to bearish.
Price failed multiple times to break above this curve, highlighting strong internal weakness.
The Black Mind Curve visually reinforces the bearish tone and offers a roadmap for probable lower highs.
🔵 3. Minor Resistance + SR Interchange
As price dropped, it created a minor resistance.
When price returned to this area and rejected it, this confirmed an SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)—a classic MMC feature.
Mirror Market Concepts suggest that old demand often mirrors into new supply. That's exactly what happens here.
🔵 4. Major CHoCH: Change of Character
A decisive break of the bullish structure signaled a Major CHoCH, confirming bearish order flow.
This is the moment smart money starts repositioning for shorts—liquidity has been grabbed above previous highs, and the direction shifts.
🔵 5. 50% Retracement
After the impulsive drop, price retraced nearly 50%—a key area of interest for MMC traders.
This level often acts as a decision point. In this case, price rejects the retracement, creating an ideal zone for re-entries.
🔵 6. Targeting the Demand Zone
The projected target lies in a prior demand zone, which mirrors earlier supply structure.
This aligns with MMC’s principle of "market reflection"—what was resistance becomes support again, and vice versa.
🎯 Trade Bias: Bearish
Entry Confirmation: After CHoCH + rejection from 50% level + re-alignment with Black Mind Curve.
SL: Just above the 50% retracement or last minor high.
TP: At the marked target zone near historical demand.
🧠 Why MMC Works Here:
MMC helps you see the market in reverse—where previous zones mirror and reflect. Combined with smart money triggers like CHoCHs, BOS, liquidity sweeps, and SR flips, this makes for a precise trading model that goes beyond basic support and resistance.
The beauty of MMC is that it reveals where the crowd is wrong and where the real momentum lies.
🔑 Key Takeaways for Traders:
The Black Mind Curve helps visualize hidden resistance paths.
CHoCHs are crucial in understanding market intent.
MMC allows traders to anticipate instead of react.
High probability setups form where multiple MMC/SMC elements converge.
Always wait for confirmation, not assumption.
XRPUSDT 4H | Untested Demand Zone RevisitIn this 4-hour chart analysis of XRPUSDT, I’m focusing on a clear and well-defined untested demand zone between 2.05–2.13 USDT . Unlike the first demand zone (already tested and played out), this second zone has not been retested since its formation, making it a fresh area of interest for a potential long setup.
Why this matters :
Untested demand zones often act as powerful magnets for price when revisited, as they represent areas where large buy orders might be waiting to be filled. Because this zone has not been revisited yet, there’s a higher probability for a bullish reaction when price returns to it.
Key Technical Factors :
✅ The 2.05–2.13 demand zone was formed following a significant bullish impulse that created a clear break of structure to the upside.
✅ Price is currently consolidating above this demand zone and also above a potential bearish CHoCH at 2.0784 . This suggests that the bullish structure is still valid unless price breaks below 2.0784.
✅ My bullish target is 2.65 USDT , where previous highs were formed and potential liquidity exists.
✅ My stop loss is set just below the demand zone, around 2.05 , to protect against a deeper retracement or a shift in market structure.
My Thought Process :
I expect that if price returns to the demand zone, there will be a strong chance for buyers to step in and push the market higher. However, I’m aware that if price breaks below 2.0784 , it would signal a bearish CHoCH and invalidate the long scenario. Therefore, patience is key — I’ll wait for price to either test the zone and react strongly or stay above 2.0784 to keep the bullish bias intact.
Clear Trade Setup :
📌 Entry Zone : 2.05–2.13
🛑 Stop Loss : Below 2.05
🎯 Take Profit : 2.65
🧩 Invalidation : Break below 2.0784
💬 Let me know if you have a similar zone marked out or if you see a different setup! Let’s share ideas and refine our strategies together.
GJ-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-4hFVG respected, possible upside continue!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consolidation, structure, breakout
Again
Consolidation, structure, breakout
Market is fractal, it repeats itself again
and again. But to understand it deeply,
it's not easy at all.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control
We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown:
🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed
Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high
Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone
Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming
🟪 2. Zone Confluence
📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly
📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play
📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone
This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move.
💣 3. Entry Strategy
Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area)
Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick)
Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point)
⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
🎯 TP = 139.888
📍 Entry = 142.550
🔐 SL = 143.443
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout
Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity
They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows
Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888
🧠 SMC Insights
This chart is all about liquidity engineering:
Push up into OB
Reject at premium pricing
Drive down to weak low to collect stops
Possibly reverse or continue trend from there
💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early
💾 Save it before the drop happens
📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
BTC Short Locked – FVG + 79% Fib = Liquidity Grab Incoming📉 BTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Short – Premium Rejection in Play
Bitcoin just tapped into a nasty supply zone that aligns with:
🟥 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
💥 Previous Breaker Block Zone
🧠 Clean Internal Liquidity sweep
🚩 Structure still bearish – no HH
🔍 1. Market Structure Breakdown
Price broke down aggressively from the top (early signs of redistribution)
We’re now retesting the FVG + OB zone
No candle close above the Strong High = still valid bearish context
🧱 2. Zone Confluence
📍 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance created during impulsive sell-off
📍 OB + Breaker: Strong resistance holding inside 70.5%–79% retracement
📍 Strong High: Still protected
📍 Weak Low: Below = prime target for liquidity sweep
Price kissed the edge of that 79% Fib and immediately rejected = 🔥 confidence for a swing short
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: Around 110,800 (inside FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 112,400 (Strong High)
Take Profit: 105,248 (below Weak Low liquidity)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: 110,800
🔒 SL: 112,400
💰 TP: 105,248
✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5
Solid asymmetric setup with clearly defined structure, inducement, and imbalance = Smart Money textbook trade.
📉 5. Why This Works
Retail longs are entering late = exit liquidity for big players
Price filled the FVG but failed to break structure
Weak low below is clean AF, likely to be swept for continuation
1H/4H alignment = high conviction short
💬 Type "SHORTED BTC 💥" if you saw this setup before the drop!
📌 Bookmark this – confluence stacking is how you win consistently
👊 Share this with someone still buying the top 📈🙃
GU-Tue-27/05/25 TDA-Great pullback, good structure is forming!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
Consistency, show up daily is not easy. Many
in fact will quit. If you want to really get good
at something you need to put into hard work.
Short cuts will benefit short term, but long term
it will cost you!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
2025-05-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Back where we started on Friday and I do think one more big leg down will finally be enough for the persistent btfd crowd to scale it down a bit. So far it has been profitable and that’s why bears need a big gap that does not close or otherwise we just continue sideways to up. Bulls need to get trapped for this to end.
current market cycle: broad bull channel
key levels: 23000 - 24300
bull case: Watch the 1h 20ema tomorrow. If we stay above, we can make another ath and it’s possible we see more upside above 24200. Since all my bull targets are met and I have no interest in buying this, I won’t be your guide in looking for longs here. I think buying above 24000, while we wait for 50% tariffs to the US, qualifies for most stupid the trade of the year. I’m happy for you if you make money on any side though.
Invalidation is below 23300.
bear case: Even if tariffs won’t be 50% and only 10%, it would still mean less business for everyone. Markets are not pricing the risks right and are begging to get rug pulled. Only a couple times a year markets are so miss-aligned with reality that in hindsight you feel unwell for not risking more. Having said that, now is not the time to short. We need way more selling pressure again. Wait for big bears to appear. Below 23900 we could see a test of 23800 but it will likely be an easy trap for bears so only take it if we either move very strongly down or if we move down over a long time without any decent bounce up.
Invalidation is above 24300.
short term: Neutral. Sitting on hands until bulls run for the exits and big bears come out.
medium-long term from 2025-05-25: My rough guess from early May was down over the summer and up into year end. POTUS certainly helped with the 50% tariffs. I need to see market reaction next week and if there is no 180° reversal until Friday, they will become reality the week after and dax should do 20-30% down over the next months. Markets were not positioned for any risk what so ever. Now we got the atomic trade bomb.
trade of the day: Long since Globex open. Tough.
Bitcoin : Impulse up or Flat Trap!?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
BTC has staged a solid move off the May 25 low — but the context matters. We’re facing two distinct, high-stakes scenarios here: one bullish, one bearish. What happens next hinges on whether the May 25 rally is the start of a new impulse or the final leg (C wave) of an expanded flat off the all-time high.
Structure Breakdown
Bearish View: We’re completing a textbook expanded flat from the ATH:
A wave started May 23
B wave pushed to a lower low.
C wave began May 25 and is likely wrapping up now
If valid, this sets the stage for a powerful Wave 3 down.
Bullish View: The May 25 low marked the end of a corrective phase:
Rally from that low is an impulsive Wave 1
A pullback to the 108k golden zone would represent Wave 2
Wave 3/C up could follow from that base
What to Watch
The area around 108,000–107,100 is a magnet. If price retraces into this zone with a corrective look and holds, bulls could be in control. But if we roll over hard from here, it supports the expanded flat thesis — and a much deeper move likely follows.
Outlook
This is a moment for sharpen focus. The chart structure is clean, but the outcome isn't binary until we see what kind of retrace (if any) forms.
Watch 108k like a hawk. If bulls defend it, there’s room to talk new highs. If we break impulsively from here, expect acceleration lower — fast.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Xrp - New all time highs will come next!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is preparing for new all time highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Xrp has clearly been trading sideways for the past 8 years. Meanwhile, market structure is respected perfectly and it seems to be just a matter of time until Xrp will create new all time highs. With the recent bullish break and retest, this scenario becomes even more likely.
Levels to watch: $3.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBPUSD - One More Leg for Bears to Take Over!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in red.
However, it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge acting as an over-bought zone.
And the $1.365 - $1.375 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.