Priceaction
2025-02-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Interesting day ahead of us. Selling was strong but bulls retraced 70% of it already. If bears come around again and keep this a lower high below 22230, it would show some strength and we could expect another test of 22000. The daily chart looks much more bullish than bearish. Big tails below bars and all bars closing above their mid-point. We have also touched the bull trend line above the daily 20ema. If anything I have a long bias but due to Opex I tend to lean neutral for tomorrow.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 22000 - 22500
bull case: Another dip another bad follow-through. Bulls buy it all and they have all the arguments on their side. They bought where they had to and we now have a decent two-legged pull-back to the bull trend line. Market is free to melt higher but tomorrow is opex and I fare best when I lean neutral on those days and trade less.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears can generate enough selling pressure to go down hard but as soon as the momentum is gone, so are the bears and market just reverses. I doubt bears can keep this a lower high and continue inside the bear channel. If they do, a weekly close below 22k would be amazing for them. That is the only target I have for them for tomorrow because I can’t imagine this going below 21900. Above 22200 bears just have to cover and we could accelerate upwards.
Invalidation is above 22230.
short term: Neutral. No bigger opinion on who wins this tomorrow. Both have reasonable arguments and we are inside the big bull channel and now also inside a bear channel. I wait for strong momentum again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-16: Bulls are on their way of making a new ath again. So no bearish thoughts until market character changes dramatically again. I can see this going up to 23000 but not beyond. No bigger opinion on a medium-term outlook for this.
trade of the day: Buying 22k. Was close enough to the bull trend line, daily 20ema and bears found no acceptance below it.
# Shree Cement , 1W and 1D Good Looking Pattern for Breakout , Bullish Pattern
It is Positional Setup .
Enter when the Upper Trendline Breaks and
Be careful when You enter because They are chance to happen false breakout . Avoid False Breakout by Considering the Nifty50 Trend .
aim for 30% in short Term and aim for up to 80% in Long Run .
This is my Point of view .
If you want to trade the good patterns and want to learn the good price action trading
follow me and like the charts to encourage me .
#NH , 1D and 1W Bullish Pattern
Looks Very Good in Weekly And Daily Time Frame , It is Ready for Breakout from Pattern .
It has Repeated the same pattern in Past so High chances to go up .
if u find this Chart Helpful pls like and Follow for More like this charts .
I am A Swing Trader , Trade only Price Action Patterns .
GOLD LATEST UPDATEI am analyzing the 2H time frame of gold, and as the price faced a strong rejection from its major resistance level, the market has taken a deep dip. From my perspective, I expect the price to retrace towards the buy side if it is to continue dropping further. So, wait with patience and discipline; victory is yours.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze. Confirmation is very important before execute your trade.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
+$278,000 realized profit on $JTAI todayMultiple buys along the way last two buys were one at $8 with "buy & hold" until $10 - $15 target and the last one was at $10 to add to the position from $8 and sell all into the vertical beyond $11
+$278,000 realized profit from JTAI alone
11 trades total on the day
5 wins on JTAI
2 wins on SINT
2 wins, 2 losses on OSRH
Major day 💪
2025-02-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. Biggest bear bar since November and we are close to the elections. Market printed 23000 to the tick and now what? Tops usually get a retest, which can be a higher or lower high. Given today’s strength and the timing of this move, it’s tough to hold any bigger bias for the next two days.
current market cycle: bull trend (was trading range before and that was obviously wrong, sorry about that)
key levels: 22500 - 23200
bull case: As long as this big bull gap down to 22000 stays open, bulls are fine. If bears close it, market turns neutral for the time being. We have elections on Sunday and at this point it’s probably a bumpy ride for the next two days. 22500 should be huge support for the bulls or we flush to 22000. Xetra high was 22935 which is too close to 23000 to not expect it to get hit. Can bulls buy the lows at 22500 in hopes for an immediate reversal? I doubt it. Too strong and we will probably need some time around (sideways movement) 22500 first. The big bull trend line is somewhat 250 points lower and if we get there, I expect huge buying. My bias is still bullish since I expect bigger upside from here than downside.
Invalidation is below 21950.
bear case: Bears had a huge day and closed below 22500, which is really god for them. Their next target is the big bull trend line around 22250 and if they have enough momentum, they can overshoot down to 22000. 22000 is also the 50% retracement of this recent bull leg, the gap close from last Wednesday and the daily 20ema. Big magnets there but I am cautious after big up and then big down. What I absolutely can’t see for now is anything below 21950. If we get down to 22000, we will probably see big buying for a retest of the highs.
Invalidation is above 23200.
short term: Neutral and cautious. Big up, big down, big confusion. If bears get follow-through, they have big magnets below but I highly doubt the bull trend line will be broken.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Sell anywhere. Market did not touch the 10m 20ema for 500 points down.
Is History Repeating? XAUUSD on the Verge of a Breakout!📌 Description:
Gold's price action is aligning with a familiar historical pattern, hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down:
1️⃣ Historical Precedent – Looking back, a similar market structure led to a significant bullish move. Recognizing these patterns can provide an edge in anticipating market behavior.
2️⃣ Recurring Structure – Once again, the chart is shaping up in a way that mirrors past price action. If history is any guide, this could be a pivotal moment.
3️⃣ Bullish Pennant Formation – The current price action suggests the formation of a bullish pennant, a classic continuation pattern. When combined with historical context, the probability of a breakout strengthens.
🔍 Fundamental Factors:
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Rising tensions and macroeconomic instability continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Interest Rate Expectations: With potential shifts in central bank policies, any dovish signals could fuel further upside in XAUUSD.
- Inflation & USD Strength: Any weakness in the dollar or persistent inflation could further support gold’s bullish case.
⚡ Is this the next major move for gold? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts below! 👇
TRON is going to the MOON? TRX Weekly forecast & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 0.17000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 0.27260 breaks.
If the support at 0.17000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.20100 on 02/03/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.24740, 0.25800 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.27260) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.24740
0.25800
0.27260
0.30099
0.33299
0.45000
__________________________________________________________________
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GBP/USD Analysis & Key Trading Zones🚀 GBP/USD is at a crucial point, showing signs of potential movement. Here’s what to watch:
🔹 Daily Structure:
GBP/USD remains in a choppy range, showing indecision at key price levels.
Major liquidity zones remain below recent lows, making downside sweeps possible before any bullish continuation.
50% retracement level aligns with the next area of interest, suggesting a potential reaction point.
🔹 4H Structure & Liquidity Grabs:
The pair has tapped into a fresh 4H demand zone, which could fuel the next upside move.
Internal liquidity sweeps suggest GBP/USD may be gathering momentum for a push higher.
If price breaks a key 1H fractal high, it could confirm a shift in structure.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zones:
1.2600 - 1.2580: Potential liquidity grab & bounce zone.
1.2550: Deeper support for high-probability longs.
❌ Resistance Zones:
1.2680 - 1.2700: A key supply area.
1.2750: Break above = bullish confirmation.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📊 If GBP/USD retests demand & holds, long positions targeting 1.2680+ are valid.
📊 If the dollar index weakens further, GBP/USD may see additional bullish momentum.
📊 If support fails, look for a break-and-retest of 1.2550 before considering longs again.
⚡ What’s your bias on GBP/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📉📈
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Liquidity #TradingView
2025-02-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears started the day very bearish and printed decent bear bars down to 22200 but bears failed to find sellers below 22130 and we went sideways 22100-22200 until we saw bigger buying coming through again and bears gave up late into the day. Bulls closed it between Friday’s close and today’s open, so the day was neutral as can be. Bears failed to get down to 22k which is my line in the sand for them. We have to expect higher prices, given that this was a shallow sideways correction on the daily chart.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 22100 - 22500
bull case: Bulls happily buying every dip and bears could not even touch the breakout price of 22094 (January high). Can only see today’s price action as bullish and on the 4h chart it’s a two-legged pullback to the 20ema with a decent buy signal bar now. Longs with stop 22090 are reasonable for target 22450+.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears tried an failed. They made some points and then covered as bigger buying came late in the day. They need a strong 1h bar close below 22k to turn this neutral again. For now they can only hope to sell new highs and scalp some points. Most bears wait for 22450ish and if we find more sellers there.
Invalidation is above 22150.
short term: Bullish. Below 22k that changes but for now you can buy every good bullish signal bar after a dip.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-16: Bulls are on their way of making a new ath again. So no bearish thoughts until market character changes dramatically again. I can see this going up to 23000 but not beyond. No bigger opinion on a medium-term outlook for this.
trade of the day: Very good bearish signal bar going into US open and then follow-through to 22200. Market then printed bar 36 + 37 and the big tails below was a good sign to be cautious with shorts because we are finding more buyers in that area, so the downside might probably be limited. Market then went sideways until we made a lower low major trend reversal with bar 53 + 54. 55 was the bar to go long on but could also have waited for bar 56. This has now also build a head & shoulders bottom and a measured move brings us above 22300 again.
EUR/AUD: Weekly Engulfing Bar Pullback!The recent performance of the EUR/AUD exchange rate shows a fluctuating trend, with a slight recovery, closing at approximately 1.6450 in the first week of February. In the preceding days, the rate experienced several declines, with a significant drop. These fluctuations reflect the economic dynamics of both the Eurozone and Australia. In the Eurozone, inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the third consecutive month. Despite this, the ECB plans to continue cutting interest rates, expecting inflation to reach its 2% target over the year. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy showed no growth in the last quarter of 2024, with contractions in Germany and France and stagnation in Italy. In Australia, the leading economic indicators index increased by 0.2% in October 2024, suggesting a slight economic recovery. However, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers confirmed a worsening fiscal deficit, projected to rise by AUD 21.8 billion over the next four years, mainly due to unavoidable expenditures. These economic developments impact the EUR/AUD exchange rate, with the Euro benefiting from a more accommodative monetary policy while Australia faces fiscal challenges. Despite the recent upward movement, the negative trends from previous sessions and technical analysis suggest caution is warranted when assessing the short-term trajectory of the EUR/AUD exchange rate.
GBP/CAD Potential short opportunity 📉 Price is back into a key supply zone, signaling a potential reversal. Before executing, I’m watching for:
✅ Further confirmation on H1 or H4
✅ A clear Change of Character (CHoCH)
✅ Liquidity sweep to trap early buyers
⚠️ Patience is key! Let the market show its hand before entering. A strong rejection and lower timeframe breakdown could confirm the setup.
📊 What’s your take? Are you seeing the same setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#GBPCAD #ForexTrading #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #CHoCH #PriceAction #ForexSetup
2025-02-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Nothing bearish happening, so max bullishness. I scalp long until it stops working because are obviously not.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 22500 - 23200
bull case: Bulls want 23100ish and keep going. Since no one is taking bigger profits and bears not doing anything, why would it stop? Scalp long. If we break outside the bull channel, which is likely in Globex session, wait for a pull-back to maybe 22700 and a good bull signal bar before longing again.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears not doing anything so let’s skip this. Daily close below 22500 changes that again.
Invalidation is above 23200.
short term: Can’t be anything but bullish. Goes only up. Scalp long until it stops. 23k next and likely 23100/23200 because xetra will likely overshoot somewhat.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the Globex low since we could not even touch the close of last week. Market printed 1 decent bear bar on the 15m tf and that is obviously not enough to exit any long.
UK100 (FTSE)-Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
8380.25 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 8006.10 on 12/20/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 8833.83, 9000.00, 9100.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
8664.21
8765.00
8833.83
9000.00
9100.00
__________________________________________________________________
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Gold Price ActionHello Traders,
Take a look at the higher timeframe (4H)—it's clear that the market is in an uptrend. Here, we can see a rally-base-rally formation, indicating a continuation of the trend.
We can follow the market momentum and look for opportunities near the 15M zone or even before the price reverses. Keep a close watch and consider going long, but always remember to manage your risk properly.
Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Thank you.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week my bearish take was wrong again and market moved closer to 23000 than below 22000. Until bears start closing gaps below and breaking bull trend lines, this is still max bullish, no matter the valuations. Still hard to buy the highs, given that we are trading either above or at the high of all of the ones you can draw. We are also far away from the daily 20ema and markets always come back to them. For now it’s useless to look for shorts because bears are not doing anything to have a decent trade setup for shorts. Bulls buy every dip and make money, so join them until it stops working. Trade small.
current market cycle: Bull trend (very climactic move last weeks, market needs to take a breather but it doesn’t)
key levels: 21800 - 23000
bull case: Not much difference to last week, other that we are 700 points higher. Bulls buy it all because it continues to be profitable. Clear bull trend line around 21800 and if we get there, we can expect heavy buying to happen but I highly doubt we get there in the first place. Upper target is 23000. I expect a sideways correction much more than one to the downside. Longs closer to 22000 are better than ones closer to 22600, obviously.
Invalidation is below 21800.
bear case: A decent pull-back is overdue but that does not make it happen tomorrow. Bears need to start by closing the gap down to 22150 and testing the bull trend line. For now we can’t expect them to get much more than that. It’s likely that we only see the beginning of more profit taking, once we stop making daily new ath and market stops finding buyers buying new highs. Hasn’t happened yet, so don’t spend too much time looking to short this. Daily close below 22000 would be a huge surprise to me and then we can talk lower targets.
Invalidation is above 23000.
short term: Neutral until we have a daily close below 22000. Can only look for longs until we clearly stop making daily new ath and see bigger selling pressure.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next.
current swing trade: Burned the last shorts. Only long scalps for me as of now.
chart update: Just highlighted current bull trend lines.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls got the higher high. Next stop is likely a new ath above 22450. Weekly candle closed at the very top and all dips were bought last week. Let’s see how high we can go now. Bears can only dream of going below 21800 again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20500 - 22100
bull case: 22k was support on Friday and that’s my line in the sand for bulls. We stay above, much more upside to follow. Next targets are the obvious ath 22450 but my next ones would be 22500 and then 23000. We have a bigger bull trend line around 21700 but also one on the 1h tf at 22150. In any case, bulls should keep it above 22000 or we could go 200-300 points lower from there. The weekly chart shows nested bull wedges and we could go up to 22700 for the most recent one. Problem for the bulls is that we don’t have a single monthly close above 21946 so this month’s end will be interesting if we stay above 22000 until then.
Invalidation is below 21900.
bear case: Bears gave up on Thursday and Friday and they will probably try again near 22450. If bears somehow manage to break below Friday’s low 22042/22000, their next target would be the breakout price at 21930 but that is very low probability as of now. If anything it would be news related and we saw every news bomb being bought last week, even hot cpi/ppi numbers.
Invalidation is above 22500.
short term: Bulls bought it all last week and I think Thu/Fri showed bears giving up. We can only assume higher prices next week and a retest of the ath. Dips are likely very good buying opportunities if we stay above 22000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-16: Bulls are on their way of making a new ath again. So no bearish thoughts until market character changes dramatically again. I can see this going up to 23000 but not beyond. No bigger opinion on a medium-term outlook for this.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Removed bearish trash.
#202507 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: No bigger opinion on this trading range. 70 holds, we chop until a bigger news event pushes us above 74. Below 70 we could flush to 69 and then 67.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 70 - 75
bull case: Bulls preventing meaningful lower lows but we have a clear bear trend line. Bulls are still favored going into next week to buy around 70 and test back up to at least 72. They want to break above the Tuesday high 73.67 and make the market more neutral again. If they get it, we could test 75 next.
Invalidation is below 69.7.
bear case: Bears have closed the week near the lows and they want to poke at 70 until it fails. I have no idea how likely that is next week but for now it’s support and if we see decent buying pressure tomorrow, bulls are favored. Volume is also trash again. Below 70 we test 69 and then 67.
Invalidation is above 75.
short term: Neutral for now. Still no interest in this tbh. 70 should hold but the last thing I want to do is buying this. Nothing has changed since last Sunday. Play the range or trade something else.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Nothing