Get started

Priceaction

2025-01-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: The bull channel is clear and valid until broken. I do think a bigger pull-back is overdue but until then, bulls are in control. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2670 - 2770 bull case: Bulls want to print above 2761 and make a new high above the December high. If they can get it, we could see more upside to 2800 since there is no more resistance afterwards. the bull channel is tight and no matter how you count it, we had at least 3 legs up and betting on a 4th is a losing strategy in most cases. Invalidation is below 2700. bear case: Bears doing not enough and if they fail at 2761, we will go 2800+ again. Not much to interpret here. We are still in a bull channel on the 1h tf and bears would need a 1h bar close below the 20ema for a start. The previous times we got above 2740, we printed huge bear reversal bars and I am hoping for another one tomorrow. Bears are also seeing this as at least 3 legs up and they want another decent pull-back for at least 50 points like the prior ones. Invalidation is above 2765. short term: Neutral. Waiting for bears to come around here at big resistance. If they fail, we see 2800 soon. No bigger interest in buying this. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-02: If we break strongly above 2700, we will likely retest 2740-2760 and depending on that move, we will either stay inside the big range 2560 - 2760 or retest 2800 or even higher. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the double bottom on the 1h tf at 2722 before EU open. Otherwise just any pullback to the 1h 20ema.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: After hours selling was strong, especially on nasdaq. Sp500 is still well above 5950, which is my line in the sand for bulls. Below the odds for the bears increase big time. I still lean bullish for a retest of 6000 and I do think bears need stronger selling (spike + channel) to trap late bulls. Today was a trending trading range where all bars overlapped big time. The odds that we break below such a day after that rally are very low. current market cycle: trading range (bear channel/wedge on the daily tf) key levels: 5900 - 6030 bull case: Bulls want to chop around 6000 to find more acceptance and break above the big bear channel. Their next target is the prior high 6068. On the previous short squeeze we melted to 6068, pulled back hard for 60 points and then print a lower high. I still expect bulls to get a lower high closer to 6000, if not the breakout above. Invalidation is below 5950. bear case: Bears want to get below 5950 and then test the breakout price of 5918. The 50% retracement is also there at 5913. For now I don’t think today’s price action was that bearish but the after hours selling is weird to say the least. It’s a bad spot for both sides to trade at 5960ish. Invalidation is above 6020. short term: Bearish below 5950 and bullish only above 6020. Neutral in between. Again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting 6000 was decent many many times.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
How I Stopped Missing The Best Trade Entries!!I’ll be honest—when I started trading, I had no idea what I was doing. I’d open a 15-minute chart, see what looked like a good setup, and jump in. Sometimes I got lucky, but more often than not, the market turned against me. I remember one trade in particular that still stings when I think about it. I was trading EUR/USD on the 15-minute chart, and I spotted what I thought was the perfect breakout. Without hesitating, I entered. An hour later, the market completely reversed, and I was stopped out. Frustrated, I zoomed out to the daily chart, and there it was: I’d entered a buy trade right into a major resistance zone during a long-term downtrend. That trade taught me a hard truth: if you don’t look at the bigger picture, you’re setting yourself up for failure. How I Changed My Approach After that trade, I knew I had to change how I looked at the market. I started using multiple timeframes, and it made all the difference. Here’s how I do it: 1️⃣ Start Big (Monthly and Weekly Charts): I always start with the monthly or weekly chart to get the big picture. Is the market trending up, down, or just moving sideways? Are we approaching any major levels that could cause a reversal? For example, if the monthly chart shows a strong downtrend, I know I’ll only be looking for sell setups. That keeps me from fighting the overall momentum. 2️⃣ Zoom In (Daily and 4-Hour Charts): Once I’ve got the big picture, I move to the daily or 4-hour chart. This is where I refine my plan. I look for key levels like support and resistance or patterns like consolidations and pullbacks. These timeframes help me figure out where the market is likely to go next, and they’re where I start building my trade idea. 3️⃣ Precision Entries (30-Minute and 5-Minute Charts): Finally, I drop to the lower timeframes—30-minute and 5-minute charts—to time my entry. This is where I wait for confirmation. Maybe it’s a candlestick pattern, a breakout with volume, or a pullback to a key level I spotted earlier. This part takes patience. There have been so many times I’ve almost jumped the gun, but waiting for that confirmation has saved me more times than I can count. My Secret Sauce Here’s the approach I stick to every single time: 1. Align with the bigger picture. If the monthly and weekly charts are trending down, I only look for sell setups. I don’t care what the smaller timeframes say—sticking to the big picture keeps me disciplined. 2.Identify key levels. On the daily and 4-hour charts, I mark the major support and resistance zones where the market is likely to react. 3.Wait for confirmation. When the price reaches one of my levels, I don’t jump in right away. I wait for the 30-minute or 5-minute chart to give me a clear entry signal. Here’s the real kicker: I’ve learned to walk away if nothing aligns. No trade is better than a bad trade, and patience has become my best tool. Switching to multiple timeframes has completely changed the way I trade. It taught me to be patient, to respect the market, and to stop forcing trades that don’t make sense. If you’ve been struggling with timing your entries or feel like you’re always one step behind, I get it—I’ve been there. Try this approach. Start with the bigger picture, work your way down, and let the market come to you. And if you’ve got questions or want to know more about how I trade, send me a DM or check out my profile. I’m happy to help—you don’t have to figure it all out alone. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:MSFTEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
3
POSSIBLE BEARISH MOVEIn this analysis we are analyzing 2H time frame for gold. Today I'm looking and expecting downside move from the key level (2680 = 2690). Because as we know that market external trend was bearish and also price rejected 2700 area which is act like a resistance. Let's see what happen. Just wait for price when it comes into our zone take confirmation and trigger your trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #GOLD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEIn this analysis, we're examining the 2-hour time frame of gold. Looking closely, we can see the market has formed a parallel support and resistance level. Additionally, it has broken through both the previous CHOCH and the previous internal HIGH. This confirms that the market is currently operating within its internal structure. Based on my theory and approach, I’m anticipating a potential buying opportunity from this key area. Now, let’s watch closely to see how the market unfolds and which direction the price takes once it opens. Key levels: 2675 - 2660 Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral around 6000. Market is close to the daily 20ema, bear trend line and big round number 6000. I won’t even think about longing this but it’s obviously wrong to short too early. As long as bulls keep it above 5950, they are good and in full control of the market. Targets above are 6030 and then 5050. If bulls break above the bear trend line, there aren’t many reasons why we could not just melt to 6100+. comment: Huge bull day but right at multiple prior resistances. Bad buy no matter how you put it. I would actually not be surprised if we trade below 5950 or lower tomorrow. We have been going wildly up and down in this bear wedge/channel and that pattern is valid until clearly broken. current market cycle: trading range (bear channel/wedge on the daily tf) key levels: 5900 - 6030 bull case: Bulls got the big move from the CPI news and they want to test the bear trend line and break above it. It’s just not a good buy and hoping for a breakout. I won’t make stuff up here. If bulls break above 6020, next target is 6068 and then 6100. Invalidation is below 5795. bear case: Bears need anything to stop the rally. They have good arguments with the daily ema, bear trend line and big round number 6000. They came around the prior weeks and until that bear trend line is broken, I expect them to keep this a lower high as well. It would be pretty funny if we completely reverse today before we go into the weekend. Invalidation is above 6030. short term: Bearish below 5950 and bullish only above 6020. Neutral in between. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the double bottom on the 15m chart around 5956 was good.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax xetra - Neutral and waiting for bears. New ath 20629 and market stayed above 20600, which is very bullish. Bears would need a miracle to reverse this over the next 1-2 days. We are once again at multiple upper bullish trend lines that should be resistance but market could just continue higher. I don’t have any interest in buying this but would need very strong signals to short this right now. I still think the bull wedge is the pattern to trade here and I wait for bears to come around. comment: What are the odds of 20629 being the high and we go down from here? Low at best. Since the overall markets have been choppy as hell, it’s not entirely out of the question that this could reverse strongly but I highly doubt it. current market cycle: bull wedge key levels: 20100 - 20700 bull case: Bulls got a new ath and now what? I have two trend lines that have room to be hit and one would even get us to 21000. Bulls want the obvious follow through and preferably stay above the 15m or 60m 20ema and just continue higher. Buying above 20600 is hard though. Stop would have to be at least 20420 and betting on this getting to 20800 is a stretch but so was making a new ath again. I got two measured move targets 20800 and 21000. Invalidation is below 20420. bear case: Bears pretty much did nothing since EU open and we can’t expect them to come around all of a sudden tomorrow. Best bears can hope for here is to stop the advance and go sideways until we get a new impulse. Trading consecutive bear bars below the 15m 20ema is their first target for tomorrow and if a miracle happens, retesting 20420 would be the next target. Invalidation is above 20650. short term: Neutral. Bullish if momentum continues and we stay above 15m or 60m 20ema. Bears can only get me below 20420 again. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: None - cut my losses on last position. Need to see bigger bear bars first before thinking about it again. trade of the day: Could have bought anywhere and made money. Most happened due to news, so that’s always tough and I never gamble on it.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
7
BiTcoinThe corrective scenario is valid only if the $89,308 support zone is fully mitigated. After a single liquidity sweep into this level, we anticipate a bullish retracement targeting the $106,225 price range, where sell-side liquidity is expected to be tapped. Following this, a bearish continuation toward the $84,000 zone is likely. If the $89,308 support zone remains unmitigated and the $101,195 resistance zone is fully cleared, the probability of revisiting lower levels becomes invalid for now. That said, considering the current market structure and order flow, the bearish scenario appears more probable, but confirmation is still required. What’s your perspective on this?
Short
by BiTBingo
FIL on the Rise Eyeing a Breakout to $6+Key Observations 1. Channel Formation The price is attempting to move within an ascending channel formation. The lower trendline acts as support, while the upper trendline serves as resistance. 2.Current Price Action The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel. To confirm bullish momentum, a strong 4-hour candle close above the channel is essential. 3. Resistance and Target A breakout above the channel indicates a bullish continuation, with the immediate target around $6+. $5.50 might act as minor resistance before the target. 4.Support Levels If the price fails to break out, the lower channel line (around $5.00) will serve as a critical support zone. A break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario. 5. Volume Confirmation Monitor trading volume for confirmation. A breakout with high volume increases the likelihood of reaching the target. 6. Market Sentiment Current sentiment aligns with a potential bullish breakout if external factors like Bitcoin movement or news events don’t cause significant volatility. Strategy Entry: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline with support retest. Target: $6.00+ Stop-Loss : Below the channel’s lower boundary (e.g $4.90) The setup looks promising, but caution is advised due to market volatility. Always use proper risk management when trading.
by wolfchemist
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area. For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs. The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior. Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors Monitor the wedge breakout closely. Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position. Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data. BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
XRP - Roadmap to $3Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📦XRP has been trading within a large range, bounded by two round numbers, $2 and $3, forming a symmetrical triangle. Last week, after rejecting the lower boundary of the triangle, XRP turned bullish in the short term. For the bulls to maintain control and regain the long-term trend, a breakout above the red trendline and the green structure is required. Such a breakout would target $3 as the initial objective. 🎯 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
18
2025-01-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Market is in balance around 94k. Bulls want to test the bear trend line and bears want to get below 94000 to test 90000 again. Market is contracting so don’t make this more complicated as it years. Trade near the extremes and not too much in the middle. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90000 - 101000 bull case: Bulls had their second leg up but it was weak and market then went sideways below 97k. They need a break above 97400 for more upside and their next obvious target is the big bear trend line, which probably not many expect to be broken on the next hit. They are still trading above the 1h ema, so they are in control and favored for more upside until we trade below it again. Invalidation is below 89000. bear case: Bears need to close a 1h bar below the ema to turn the market neutral again. If they can make 98000 resistance, it would show strength and I don’t think many bulls will hold on to longs if we can’t make it to 100k tomorrow/Thursday. Otherwise bears do not have much on the higher time frames since Monday was so bullish. I expect more bears to come around closer to 100k. Always ask yourself if you had to have a position right now, which side would it be and where would your stop be? Being a bear here is hard because your stop would have to be 103k and that’s 6k points. 1:1 r:r would need to hit 91k. Really not an ideal trade. Invalidation is above 101000. short term: Neutral 94k - 98k. Bulls are in control as long as we are above 94000. We are in an expanding triangle inside a bigger contracting triangle. Market is in breakout mode and we will probably see a breakout later this week or next. medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: Want to see market closer to the big bear trend line and then more selling pressure before new shorts. trade of the day: Long since EU open was decent or any short near 9700 since market found no buyers above it. The long on EU open was because of strong momentum and a second leg up was expected after Yesterday’s very bullish price action. The 1h 20ema has not been touched at that point, which added to the strength of the bulls.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
2025-01-14 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral. Strong by the bulls to keep the Globex gap open to 20326 but they failed at finding acceptance above 20420. We continue sideways until one side clearly gives up. We are still close to the middle of the bigger triangle so shorts need a stop 20622 and that’s far away. I still slightly favor the bears to rather trade back down to 20200ish than above 20500. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20200 - 20500 bull case: Bulls want to stay above 20300 and continue upwards to test 20500. They are in control as long as the Globex gap stays open. Bulls are also above most important 20ema and that means they are in control of the market. Their issue is, that they can’t find more buyers above 20400 and all daily bars since last week have decent tails above them. Bulls will only try so many times before more give up and want to short lower again. Invalidation is below 20300. bear case: Bears have a decent head & shoulders pattern that could break down over the next days. The measured move target is around 20150 which was Monday’s low. First target for them would be to close the gap to 20320 and close a 1h bar there. Bulls have bought every touch of the 1h 20ema and until that changes, we continue sideways to up. Problem for the bears is, that we could go up to 20500 or even 20550 to hit the bigger bear trend line. That stop is far away and likely a reason why bears scalp out near support. Invalidation is above 20500. short term: Neutral 20300 - 20400. Bears need a strong move below 20320 and bulls need to find acceptance above 20420. medium-long term from 2024-12-22: Any short near 20000 is reasonable if you can hold for another 1000 points higher. 17000 is much more likely than 21000 though. My first target for the next months is 19000, followed by 17700ish and ultimately down to 16000-16300 in 2025. current swing trade: Scaling in and out of shorts. In above 20450 and out where market shows support (currently 20350). trade of the day: Buying close to the Globex gap was good for many longs. Also selling close to 20500 was a no-brainer since market went mostly sideways before and we had huge prior resistance 20500 and above.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
EURUSD OUTLOOKIn this analyze we are focusing on 4h time frame. As we can see, the price has formed a range and consolidation within a parallel channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Additionally, the price has broken the parallel channel to the downside. If the price retests and reaches our supply area, and shows a bearish rejection, we will execute a sell trade. Intraday traders can hold until Take Profit 1 or 2, while swing traders can hold for the full move. For now, this is my bias; let's see what opportunities the market provides once it opens. Make sure to use a stop loss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #EURUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Short
by TradeTacticsreal