GOLD ANALYZEHere we are analyzing 2H time frame for gold. By using trendline and price action module. According to this analysis I'm looking sell trade when price come into our zone than we will take some confirmation like candles confirmation and price action and than after strong confirmation we will take sell trade.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Priceaction
CHFJPY: Intraday Bearish Move Confirmed 🇨🇭🇯🇵
I think that CHFJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
I spotted a formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern on an hourly time
frame after its test.
The breakout of its support line indicates a local strength of the sellers.
We can expect an intraday bearish movement at least to 171.82 level.
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2024-12-11 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil futures - Neutral. Having a hard time being bullish inside trading ranges and unexpected moves higher. Volume is utter trash and yet market broke above last weeks high and the bear trend line. Bulls want 71 next but I would not be surprised if we go down to 68 or even 67 again.
comment: Daily chart shows the trading range which is still contracting but the very small break above last weeks high is a start for the bulls. Buying at previous resistance inside a trading range is always a bad trade. I’d rather wait if bulls come around big time on a pullback and see if it has strong momentum and can break above 70.5.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 67 - 71
bull case: Bulls made a small higher high and now want 71 next. The rally is not particularly strong and the volume is also atrocious. I don’t have many arguments for the bulls here.
Invalidation is below 66.27
bear case: Bulls have not printed more than 2 consecutive bull bars for almost 2 months now. Bears see that, previous resistance 70.5 from last week and still a bear trend line close enough. They have much more reasons to sell this, than bulls have for buying it.
Invalidation is above 70.6.
short term: Neutral. I wait for one side to gain momentum again but my bar for the bulls is higher than for the bears. I don’t have an opinion on where this goes next. For me it’s 50/50 if we go down to at least 69 or higher to 71.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-10 : Unless an event comes up, this will very likely close around 70 for the year.
current swing trade : Nope
trade of the day: Tough. Long was obviously right but there were so many trend lines that could have been resistance, it was much more reasonable to not take the longs than to hope for a breakout above multiple trend lines.
NZDJPY is all set to continue its upward movement! The price is moving within an ascending channel and has just hit the lower limit again, bouncing back up and forming a bullish candlestick with a long lower wick and a small body. This suggests that sellers have made another unsuccessful try to change the trend, even creating a higher low that backs up the uptrend. The price is also bouncing off the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. NZDJPY is moving towards the major volume activity price range around 90.5. On top of that, volume analysis backs this up, indicating that buyers are getting stronger and ready to push the price up.
Time Frame: daily
Idea support:
- Price action
- Volume Analysis
- Trend analysis
EURAUD is all set to continue its downward movement! The price is moving down within a descending channel. Right now, it bounced off the upper boundary and hit a key weekly resistance. A candlestick pattern with a long upper wick and a small body has formed. Plus, there's a rising wedge on the 4-hour chart. A short trade looks good based on price action and backed by volume analysis, which clearly shows a clear exhaustion of buyers.
Time Frame: daily
Idea support:
- Price action
- Volume Analysis
- Trend analysis
2024-12-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Beautiful bear channel and you should trade it until it’s clearly broken. We are going down but it’s weak selling. Bears barely get lower prices, even on increased volume. Means that there is also much scaling into longs for probably another big leg up.
current market cycle: Bull trend - very late and we are in the very last stage of it
key levels : 21000 - 21700
bull case: Bulls are keeping the market two sided, since the channel is shallow. Market closed only 80 points lower than yesterday. As long as bulls have strong pull backs in between, they are fine and they can scale into longs and make money. Bears have to take profits at new lows in fear of another big pull back higher. That is why we are mostly moving sideways, despite making lower lows and highs.
Invalidation is a daily close below 21000.
bear case: Bears are trying on increased volume but they are not doing enough damage to the bulls, to make more cover or prevent them from buying new lows. Bears can’t sell 21400 because we can easily test back up to the top of the channel. If bears are strong, they will keep it below 20500 tomorrow but I highly doubt that. I do think the high 21606 will hold. Trade the channel.
Invalidation is above 22000.
short term: Bullish for 21500ish. Maybe 21530. I favor one or two more legs down before Friday’s close. As of now with the structure we have, I can only imagine that we will see another full melt up from next week into year end. Maybe 22000. If this closes 2024 below 21000, consider me surprised big time.
medium-long term: Will update this over the weekend. 22000 is a possibility but a bit far for now. Daily close above 20500 would bring it in play. First target for Q1 2025 is 19000.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling near 21600 was perfect. Bears showed strength in that area and once we broke below 21540, market never looked back.
2024-12-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Bullish but only until 2740ish. Bulls broke strongly above 2700 and the triangle is dead. Next stop is previous resistance around 2743. I do expect a pullback first, since the channel is obvious. Chart shows the preferred way for me.
comment : Bulls are in control again. My chart is very clear, so I won’t try to make stuff up in here. 2678 should not be broken again and next target for the bulls is 2743ish. I expect a pullback down to 2710 or even 2700 before another leg up. If we break above the current channel, we will likely print 2800 before end of Friday.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2680 - 2745 (above that is 2800 next)
bull case: Chart tells the whole story for the bulls. Don’t make this more complicated as it is. Any pullback below 2710 is a decent buy with stop 2678.
Invalidation is below 2678.
bear case: Bears gave up once they could not reverse the market below 2670 again after y close and the early test down to 2683 in the EU session.
Invalidation is above 2745.
short term: Bullish. Look for longs near the lower channel line or 1h 20ema.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom near 2680.
Review and plan for 11th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stock- swing trading.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Decentraland (MANA)📊 MANA Analysis
🔹 Overall Status:
MANA has successfully broken out of its descending channel. However, it failed to push higher after reaching the weekly resistance (red zone). Currently, the coin is correcting and pulling back from this resistance toward the top of the descending channel.
🔹 Daily Timeframe Analysis:
Correction of the Uptrend:
The upward wave, which started from the bottom of the channel, has now retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
Forecast:
This correction might deepen further and test lower support levels, such as 0.5 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
🔹 Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
If MANA can break its weekly resistance:
The price could rally toward the gray zones.
These zones align with the 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci levels.
🔹 RSI and Entry Signals:
The RSI entering the Overbuy zone on both daily and weekly timeframes can act as a trigger for entry.
✅ Conclusion and Recommendations:
1️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels:
0.382 Fibonacci level (current support).
Red zone (weekly resistance).
2️⃣ Entry Strategy:
Gradual laddered entry after confirming support or breaking the weekly resistance.
Support confirmation could include retesting and stabilizing at these levels.
3️⃣ Monitor RSI:
Pay close attention to RSI signals on the daily and weekly timeframes to ensure trend strength.
4️⃣ Risk Management:
Laddered entries help reduce investment risks and allow for adjustments if deeper corrections occur.
💡 Pay close attention to price behavior, manage your risk effectively, and stay alert to key support and resistance zones.
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 2H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking for potential sell trade opportunity. Let's see what happens and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
2024-12-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
dax futures - Weekly outlook on point. 20506 was the max and we have seen the start of profit taking today. I expect 20200 to be hit tomorrow or Wednesday but it will be a choppy way to get there. We have an ugly head & shoulders on the 30m/1h tf and the measured move goes to around 20200. Close is always close enough. It’s possible that we retest 20500 before another leg down, so don’t short the lows, unless there is a clear and strong break below.
dax futures
comment: Clear trading range 20300 - 20500 until we strongly break above or below. Bears closed at the lows, which is good for them and fits with my weekly outlook.
current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon
key levels: 20000 - 20500
bull case: As long as bulls keep it above 20300, they are good. They want to keep the market in a tight trading range near the ath. That’s about it. Got no higher targets for you. 20500 is beyond insane but we can go higher if we see another Santa rally after the pullback.
Invalidation is below 20280ish.
bear case: Bears want to print lower highs and trap late bulls. If they strongly break below 20300 tomorrow, we could see some acceleration to bigger support. The poor structure between 19700 and 20300 is one giant spike that wants to be filled. For now I take it level by level. 20300 and then see if we can do 20200 and 20000 after.
Invalidation is above 20520.
short term: No bigger interest in shorting now lows but rather pullbacks, as long as we make lower highs. 20200 is my first target and if we go above 20400 again, I would only short 20500 again or on really strong momentum.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-02: 20000 hit, hope you listened. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your current trading at all. Now it’s about being patient and waiting for the profit taking to start.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: 20478 was previous resistance and the open was 20480. Shorting it was the trade of the day.
2024-12-09 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. Don’t short new lows because this is not a strong bear trend. Wait for pullbacks. I’d be surprised if we hit 6100 tomorrow but I can’t rule it out. My next bear target is 6035 for tomorrow and there is a good chance we print 6000 or lower this week.
sp500 e-mini futures
comment : Strongest bull bars that late in the trend? Tough. I have two higher targets still. First is the bull trend line to around 6160 and second is a measured move target to 6300. Bears are doing nothing but it’s also unlikely that we just continue higher in this tight of a channel on the daily chart. Market is on it’s last legs up and these windfall profits will get taken off the table before they disappear. You don’t get bullish this late in a trend, you get cautious.
current market cycle: bull trend - late and will end soon
key levels: 6000 - 6170
bull case: Bulls did not much today to fight it. Profit taking was expected and I can’t see many bulls buying 6035 but rather waiting for 6000. Not much else to I can come up with here.
Invalidation is below 6000.
bear case: Bears want to test 6000 and the daily 20ema near the bull trend line. 3 Perfect reasons to expect 6000-6030 to be hit tomorrow/Wednesday. I do not expect market to just sell off but rather hurt many traders on both sides first, by chopping back and forth. Perfect for bears would be to stay below 6084.
Invalidation is above 6120.
short term: Not shorting the lows but looking for shorts on pullbacks. I want to see 6035 and 6000 or lower this week.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Bar 13 - 23 was a good first leg and strong enough to expect some follow through. Bar 35 was a good signal bar and bar 38 should have been your entry bar, once it strongly broke below 6089.
Gold Analysis - December 2024Gold maintains its bullish momentum, trading above $2,660 per ounce due to optimism surrounding new economic stimulus from China and a weakening US Dollar, which enhance the appeal of the precious metal. During American trading hours, spot gold reached an intraday high of $2,667.31, reflecting sustained demand after the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) resumed gold purchases following a six-month hiatus. This aligns with a macroeconomic context that favors safe-haven assets. News of Chinese stimulus has improved sentiment for gold, with China, being a significant consumer and investor, showing clear support for prices through central bank purchases. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is weakening ahead of key central bank announcements and economic data releases, making gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies. Attention is focused on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data due on Wednesday, which could influence expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. A higher-than-expected CPI could pressure gold, while weaker data may further support its bullish trend. Decisions from various central banks, including the Federal Reserve, ECB, and BoE, may shape market sentiment, with dovish signals potentially further boosting gold. Wall Street opened lower, with major indices in the red, while government bond yields ticked slightly higher, creating a mixed environment that supports safe-haven flows into gold.
Review and plan for 10th December 2024 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Interesting stock charts.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Intraday Analysis: CADJPY Forecast and Trade SetupThe overall trend on the major timeframes for CADJPY remains bullish, despite a breakdown continuation observed last week.
Current Market Overview:
The lower timeframe (M5) printed a bullish wave structure this morning.
We anticipate a corrective move below 105.76.
In the short term, a potential downside reversal is expected.
Trade Setup:
Look for shorting opportunities below 106.34, targeting a break below 105.77.
If price action breaks below 105.77, we can consider buying opportunities, aligning with the larger bullish trend.
Key Levels to Watch:
Sell Point : 106.34
Buy below : 105.77
ROSE, by any other count...If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
In at 0.082.
Idealized Count.
Want to break above and flip the
0.137 level it has had some trouble with in the past.
0.10467 break complicates the Elliott.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
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