XRP Breaks Out of Downtrend Is a Big Rally About to Begin ?XRP is currently trading around 2.42 and has recently broken out of a descending channel formation. This breakout suggests a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. The price is now consolidating just above the trendline, indicating that buyers are stepping in to support this level.
The descending channel was characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. However, the breakout above the upper boundary of the channel signals that the selling pressure may be weakening. If the price holds above this level, further upside movement is expected.
A key support level is now established around 2.40 to 2.42, which was previously resistance. If the price stays above this zone, the bullish case strengthens. Immediate resistance is found around 2.50 to 2.55, where price has faced rejection before. A decisive break above this area would confirm further upside movement.
Volume analysis shows that trading activity is still relatively low, which is common during consolidation phases. A strong increase in volume above 2.45 would provide additional confirmation of bullish strength. Monitoring this volume breakout is essential for validating the move.
Momentum indicators such as the RSI should also be observed. If RSI moves above 55 to 60, it would indicate growing buying pressure. A hidden bullish divergence, if present, would add further confidence to the breakout.
The first target for this breakout is 2.50 to 2.55, where resistance is expected. If price gains strength beyond this zone, the second target would be 2.65 to 2.70. These levels mark potential areas where price could face selling pressure or profit-taking.
To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed below 2.38 to 2.40 to avoid potential fakeouts. If price falls back below this support, the breakout could be invalidated, leading to a potential retest of lower levels.
XRP is at a crucial turning point, with signs of bullish momentum building. If the price sustains above the breakout zone and breaks through 2.45 to 2.48 with strong volume, a larger upward move could follow. Traders should remain cautious but keep an eye on price action for confirmation of the next trend direction.
Priceaction
ETH Building Blocks...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH Building Blocks:
📈 Short-Term Bullish:
ETH is currently trading within a short-term bullish block.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $3,500 resistance level is broken to the upside, ETH is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $4,000 mark.
📉 Short-Term Bearish:
If ETH breaks below the short-term bullish block at $3,250, it will enter a short-term bearish block phase.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $3,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $2,500 mark, is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCAD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
1.39318 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 47 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.34185 on 09/25/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 1.44670, 1.46000, 1.46900 and more heights is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
1.46900
1.46000
1.38884
1.38168
1.37487
1.36876
1.36072
1.35404
1.34323
1.33664
1.31816
1.30929
__________________________________________
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XRP/USDT Short Opportunity: Daily CHoCH and Fresh Supply Zone XRP/USDT is presenting a high-probability short opportunity as it approaches key technical levels. A Change of Character (CHoCH) on the daily timeframe signals bearish momentum, while a fresh H1 supply zone at $2.42 could serve as a strong resistance point. With these factors aligning, a potential downside move to the $2.18 level is in focus.
Key Technical Factors Supporting the Short
Daily CHoCH Formation:
XRP/USDT has printed a CHoCH on the daily chart, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish market structure. This signals a possible trend reversal as sellers begin to take control.
H1 Fresh Supply Zone at $2.42:
On the H1 timeframe, a newly formed supply zone around $2.42 aligns with the bearish narrative. This zone is likely to act as a strong resistance, providing an ideal entry point for short positions.
Target Level at $2.18:
If the supply zone holds, the next logical support level lies at $2.18, making this a reasonable take-profit target.
Risk Considerations
Volume Confirmation: Ensure there is bearish momentum (increased sell volume) as price taps the supply zone.
Invalidation: A clean break above $2.45 would invalidate the short setup.
GBPJPY Price ActionIf you followed today's Early Analysis on GBP/JPY, you would have noticed that the pair has already moved over 100 pips. Now, it’s time for a pullback, and there’s a high probability of a reversal from these levels. Take a closer look, manage your risk with a stop loss, and avoid letting greed dictate your decisions. Wishing you the best of luck and happy trading! Thank you.
GBPJPY Price ActionHello Traders,
I hope you're all doing well! I wanted to share a quick market observation with you. On the 4H timeframe, I noticed that price entered the demand zone and swept the liquidity. After switching to the 1H and then the 30M timeframes, I observed a divergence forming. For those of you who trade based on divergences, this might be worth checking out.
Personally, I prefer to focus on price action, and from what I see, there’s enough supply in the current zone. I believe it’s now time for demand to take over, which could lead to a reversal. If price starts moving, we might see a Rally Base Rally pattern forming.
Keep a close eye on this setup, and as always, trade wisely. Wishing you all the best and happy trading!
Cheers!
BTC/USDT at a Make or Break Moment Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming an inverse cup and handle pattern on the hourly timeframe, signaling potential bearish continuation. The price is testing the neckline support around 96,480 USDT, and a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger further downside momentum. However, the most critical support level to watch is 92,000 USDTit is essential for Bitcoin to hold this level to maintain any bullish momentum. If BTC closes below 92K, we can expect further declines, possibly towards 88,500–89,000 USDT or even lower. On the upside, 97,500 USDT remains a key resistance, and only a sustained recovery above this level would invalidate the bearish structure. For now, all eyes are on the 92K support zone, as losing this level could lead to a deeper correction in the market.
2025-02-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Relentless selling on every rip. Bulls can’t catch a break and only a daily close above 75 will change that. Bears will likely get 70 tomorrow and then we will either see some bigger support or acceleration downwards.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 70 - 75
bull case: Well, some bulls are buying heavily for an hour or two and then it crumbles again. Bulls have no arguments and they better make 70 support or 65 is next.
Invalidation is below 70.
bear case: Bears are selling every rip. That’s about it. Their next target is 70 and for now I think it could be support for longer but we will have to see. I currently not trading this much. Bears have a wedge down and are still inside a bigger bear channel. Try to look for shorts close to the upper bear trend line with stop 75.2.
Invalidation is a daily close above 75.
short term: Bearish on pull-backs higher for target 70 but then neutral again.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling every big rip continues to be the name of the game.
2025-02-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Strong bull trend from the open and I now have several measured moves that lead to 21800 and 22k. It would be surprising if bulls could not get it tomorrow or Friday. Can only get bearish again below 21550ish.
current market cycle: bull trend until we get a daily close below 21550.
key levels: 21400 - 22000
bull case: Bulls continue with higher highs and higher lows but the highs are barely higher. They will likely get another ath over the next 2 days but the upside will probably be very limited around 22k. Pullback has to stay above 21550ish but best would be to stay above 21600.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: If bulls can not claim 21800 tomorrow, I do think we have a decent chance of a big reversal but for now, bears have completely given up and they need a bull trend line break to turn market neutral again.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Bullish for 22k if we stay above 21550ish and if we get 21800 tomorrow early. 22k is possible over the next 2 days.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying anywhere I guess.
GBPAUD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 2.02967, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 1.94297 breaks.
If the resistance at 2.02967 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2.01490 on 02/03/2025, so more losses to support(s) 1.97390, 1.95896 and minimum to Major Support (1.94297) is expected.
Take Profits:
1.99134
1.97390
1.95896
1.94297
1.92784
1.91271
1.89131
1.85883
1.82533
1.80340
1.77000
1.72489
__________________________________________
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EUR/USD: Between Rebound Hopes and Tariff TensionsThe EUR/USD pair experienced a strong rebound on Tuesday, rising by 0.8% and breaking a six-day losing streak, although it failed to reclaim the 1.0400 threshold. Despite this recovery, bullish momentum remains fragile as the euro is heavily influenced by broader market flows and the anticipation of upcoming US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. The pair found initial support at the weekly low of 1.0209 on February 3, with a potential decline towards the 2025 bottom of 1.0176 if this support fails. A break below this level could pave the way for a test of the psychological parity threshold. On the upside, resistance is identified at 1.0532, the year’s high recorded on January 27. The pair’s recovery was driven by a weakening US dollar, as the Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 108.00 support, influenced by market reactions to President Donald Trump’s plans to delay a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican goods while maintaining a 10% levy on Chinese imports. Although the US dollar has weakened, the tariff issue is expected to strengthen its position in the long term, potentially supporting a bullish outlook for the currency. Central banks also play a crucial role: the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week, signaling a cautious approach amid strong economic growth, persistent inflation, and low unemployment. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates by 25 basis points, hinting at possible further easing while expressing optimism about controlling eurozone inflation. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized a data-driven approach, ruling out the possibility of aggressive rate cuts. Trade tensions, particularly those linked to US tariffs, could further complicate the euro’s outlook. Prolonged tariffs could fuel inflation in the United States, prompting the Fed to adopt a more hawkish stance, which could strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the euro, potentially pushing the EUR/USD pair toward parity. Looking ahead, the euro faces challenges from the resilience of the US dollar, divergent monetary policies between the ECB and the Fed, and structural issues within the eurozone, such as Germany’s economic slowdown. While short-term rallies are possible, the overall outlook for the euro remains uncertain, with persistent risks related to geopolitical tensions and tariff policies likely to shape the pair’s trajectory.
Gold’s Bullish Surge Eyeing the $2,700 Breakout! The chart displays a bullish recovery following a significant downtrend, transitioning into an uptrend within a defined ascending channel. A symmetrical triangle breakout during the bearish phase marked the beginning of this upward movement. Key support is identified around $2,600, while resistance levels are at $2,697, aligned with the 100% Fibonacci projection, and $2,728, which corresponds to the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and acts as a potential exhaustion point. The psychological level of $2,700 plays a critical role as a resistance zone. The price is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting possible resistance and a chance for consolidation or retracement. If the price breaks above $2,700, it could target $2,728 or higher, while a rejection might lead to a pullback toward the midline or lower boundary of the channel. The bullish momentum remains intact, and traders could consider entering on a breakout above $2,700 or on a retracement near the channel’s lower boundary. Targets lie at $2,728 or higher, with stops placed below the last swing low or channel support. This chart signals a strong bullish trend with critical action expected around the $2,700 level.
GOLD ANALYSIS In this analysis, we're focusing on gold's price movements on the M30 time frame. Recently, gold reached its all time high (ATH), and with the market trending bullish, the momentum from the bulls has been undeniable. Today, I'm looking for a buy opportunity around my key demand levels. Let's observe how the market unfolds. Confirmation is key.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
GBP/CAD Fall of the Pound A Bearish Trap Has Been Set Rising Channel Breakdown
The chart previously exhibited a rising channel with two parallel white trendlines containing the price movement.
The price broke below the channel, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Momentum Confirmation After the breakdown, the price retested the lower trendline but failed to reclaim it, confirming resistance.
A strong bearish rejection followed, indicated by the red shaded area showing selling momentum.
Short Entry & Risk-Reward Setup
The short position was entered near 1.78981, slightly below the breakdown point.
The stop-loss is set at 1.80996, positioned above the breakdown level to avoid whipsaws.
The take-profit target is 1.75724, aligning with previous support and a logical demand zone.
Indicators & Confluence
EMA or Trend-Based Indicator. The red shading suggests the price is trending below a dynamic moving average, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
Bearish Candlestick Formation, A series of red candles and a retest failure further confirm selling pressure.
Trade Rationale & Risk-Reward Analysis
Trade Type: Short
Entry: 1.78981
Stop Loss: 1.80996 (~200 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 1.75724 ( 325 pips below entry) Always book Profit every 10%
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1.6 , indicating a solid risk-adjusted trade with a favorable reward potential.
This trade capitalizes on the bearish breakdown of the rising channel, with a clear stop-loss placement and a logical take-profit target. If momentum sustains, the price could continue trending lower towards 1.75724 or even extend further.
2025-02-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Gap is still open but bulls making higher lows. Can go both ways tomorrow and it will probably be another news-driven impulse. 50% retracement is 21560 on my chart and we are close to it, so don’t try to be clever and think you know which way the breakout will happen. Odds are even. Wait for it an hop along.
current market cycle: bull trend until we get a daily close below 21600.
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls making higher lows but failed to close the gap. I don’t think we have seen strong selling at 21600 but since we have not moved down either, bulls chances of a breakout are as good as those for the bears. Bull targets are 21650, then 21755 and finally 22000.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: I won’t make stuff up here. below 21550 bears are favored again but for now they are obviously not doing enough. First target is 21500 and then 21400. If 400 won’t hold, we quickly move down to 21200 again.
Invalidation is above 21600.
short term: Bullish above 21600 for 700/800. If we break below 21450, we will likely test 400 and then if bears are strong, below 21370 we go for 21200 again. Most likely is a continuation sideways between 21370 - 21550.
medium-long term from 2024-01-25: No more bullish talk. Full bear mode.
current swing trade: None.
trade of the day: Buying the double bottom 21400. Big bars with huge tails below at a big round number. Just buy it.
2025-02-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Market have formed another bull wedge but until bears break below 21500 again, we can’t know for sure that we top out around 21700. Bears need something big tomorrow or we will likely reverse the complete sell-off and go above 22000 again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21300 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want all those stops above the start of the sell-off on Friday and print 22k. They have closed the gap and closed today at the highs. They are in control and favored to continue higher. Can you long above 21600? I would not. We will likely get better pull-backs to 21550 or the 1h 20ema where r:r will be better.
Invalidation is below 21450ish.
bear case: Bears need a big surprise tomorrow or we will go higher again. They failed to make lower lows again and every bear bar after EU open printed big tails below it. Sure sign that bears are weak, despite the decent selling during Globex session. First target for bears is 21500 and if they get below 21450ish, they are favored to break below the bull wedge and go down further. Below targets are 21350, 21200 and then 21000.
Invalidation is above 21900.
short term: Neutral. Can go both ways but I think bulls are favored as long as the bull wedge holds.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying US open since bears just gave up after the gap close. Shorting 700 was also decent since every new high was heavily sold this week.
NVDA | Pivot Points | $100Price action still pulling back around $127 - $120 for a continued sell-off towards $100
I'm using pivot points to help read the direction of trend and then measuring the waves in sellers to get an idea of how well momentum is doing which can also be used to generate targets like shown on chart
Entering at current price would make a 1:1 trade vs looking for a higher entry @ ~126 would allow for less risk.
GOLD | Bullish Pivot Points | $3,000This TA focuses on the bullish pivot points while at the same time using the 150-day SMA in conjunction to help manage trades and to use as a dynamic support level
The Fibonacci extensions are there to confirm the pivot points and to have an idea of where the trajected targets are
Next targets are $2,850 -$2,875
🎯
Keeping an eye on these pivots will help forecast the next psychological target of $3,000