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SWING IDEA - RALLIS INDIARallis India , a leading player in the agrochemical sector renowned for its innovative solutions and commitment to sustainable agriculture, showcases promising potential for swing trading amidst favorable technical indicators. Reasons are listed below : After multiple tests in the 270-290 zone, Rallis India has finally breached the resistance, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. A robust bullish candle close on the weekly timeframe, accompanied by massive volumes, underscores strong buying interest and potential for sustained upward momentum. The price found support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level, adding weight to the bullish thesis and reinforcing the likelihood of continued upward movement. Breaking free from a consolidation phase lasting over 2.5 years, Rallis India demonstrates potential for a new bullish trend trajectory. Trading above both the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages (EMA) on the weekly timeframe, with the 50 EMA crossing over the 200 EMA, further bolsters the bullish outlook, suggesting strengthening upward momentum. Target - 325 // 353 // 392 StopLoss - weekly close below 245 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:RALLISLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Deep Dive into ENS: Full Review of the Project and ENS V2📅 Let's move on to today's analysis. Today, I want to analyze the ENS coin, which is part of the Ethereum ecosystem. With this project, you can buy a domain for your wallet. 🗂 ENS v2 Update : Recently, ENS published an article and introduced the v2 update of the project, announcing that they have added a series of new features to their platform. By collaborating with L2 projects, they aim to reduce fees, increase flexibility, utilize multi-chain capabilities, and make their service more accessible, user-friendly, and cost-effective for everyone, playing a more significant role in the web3 space. ⚙️ How the Project Works : Let's dive deeper into the project and visit its website. The first image you see on the site is a very beautiful landing page. By clicking on "Launch App," you can enter the main space of the platform. 🧩 After launching the app, you need to connect your wallet to the site and search for your desired ID in the search bar. If the domain is available, you can purchase it. If it is registered, it means someone else has already bought it before you. As you can see in the example I searched for, "parham96.eth" has already been registered, but "parham96.box" is still available and hasn't been purchased yet. 🛍 After finding your desired domain, you need to confirm the transaction sent to your wallet. Currently, the cost of this operation, considering the Ethereum network fee, is about $6 for a one-year subscription. According to the project, after the v2 update, these costs will be lower. 🎈 After purchasing, to access the details of your purchased domain, click on the "My Names" section (I prefer not to show you an image of this section due to the privacy of my wallet). You can: 👤 Add a profile picture for your wallet, write a bio, and connect your social media accounts from the profile section. ⚡️ Add another address to your domain from the record section. 🎲 Change the owner of the domain or renew it from the ownership section. 🌐 Create a subdomain for yourself just like websites from the Subname section. ⚓️ Use the permission and more sections to apply other desired settings to your purchased domain. 🌱 Usefulness of the Domain : For example, the "parham96.eth" domain is mine. In this case, I don't need to send my wallet address to someone who wants to transfer to me for each transaction. Just replacing the destination wallet address with the "parham96.eth" phrase will direct the funds to the same wallet. If you search for this domain on Etherscan, you can see it is registered on the blockchain and that the ownership of the domain is also viewable as an NFT in your wallet. 🔄 Renewing the Domain: Click on "Extend," then click "Next," followed by "Open Wallet" to create a transaction. Confirm the transaction through your wallet to renew the domain. ✨ ENS Coin : The ENS project also has a very well-known coin named ENS, which is among the top 100 coins in the market with an $800 million market cap. It is listed on all reputable exchanges, making it a successful project that can achieve even greater success with the launch of ENS V2. 🔍 Technical Analysis : In the daily timeframe, after the price reached a peak of 27.61, the market entered a range, with the price oscillating between 16.58 and 27.61. Following Bitcoin's significant drop, this coin also dropped to the 12.24 area. However, with the announcement of ENS V2 and collaboration with L2 projects, it started an upward movement and returned to the 27.61 area, even briefly breaking this level before returning below it in a fake breakout. 💥 Current Momentum : The price currently lacks momentum. After the fake breakout, there should have been a bearish momentum, but nothing has happened, and the market is still ranging. 📊 Volume Analysis : The volume clearly supports the buyers, as the buying volumes significantly exceed the selling volumes. In the recent bullish candles, the selling volume has significantly decreased. 🧲 Indicators : Due to the ranging market and lack of momentum, I am not using SMAs. However, a break below 43.36 on the RSI would confirm bearish momentum entering the market. 🛒 Long Position : The price has tested the 27.61 resistance six times so far, with increasing buying volume. Given the positive sentiment around ENS V2, it is possible that a few days before the launch, the price will stabilize above this level with a large bullish candle, leaving many behind. 🛎 Short Position : On the other hand, buyers may lose interest in breaking this resistance after six attempts, allowing sellers to enter the market and push the price down. ⚖️ Investment Strategy : If you believe ENS is a good project and that ENS V2 can generate bullish momentum in the market, consider adding this coin to your portfolio and purchasing it according to your strategy. 🎯 Target Prices: If the project succeeds and gains more hype, the initial target prices are 38.10 and 49.27, with the next target being the ATH of 75.80. 👨‍💻 Futures Trading : 📈 For a long position, a candle close above 27.61 in the 4-hour timeframe can confirm an upward trend. You can look for an entry trigger in the lower timeframes like 1-hour, with a target of 32.83. 📉 For a short position, a break below 23.30 and a candle close beneath this level can confirm a downward trend, with a target of 18.94. ♟ Personally, I will try to open a long position on this coin once the price stabilizes above 27.61. For short positions, I prefer to trade a coin with negative news and lacking a strong upward trend like ENS. 🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
2
S&P Bulls Defy Expectations; New Historical HighLast week, the bulls did something remarkable. At the start of the week, there was a clear bearish reversal pattern forming on the daily chart. Despite being a believer in the bulls (given the strength of the weekly chart), I was still quite certain that sellers would at least be able to take down the weak low from the last week of June (SPX 5,448). However, instead of breaking through, the sellers made only a weak attempt on Monday. After a brief pause, the market rallied, breaking through all previous highs. It is hard to grasp such a change in sentiment, especially since there was nothing particularly surprising in the economic data or the FOMC announcements. Sometimes, it seems that the market itself is confused, and the best we can do is observe its behavior day by day and make quick adjustments to our strategy. There was absolutely no clear reason behind the sell-off on Friday the 28th (presidential debates? really???), but we had to trust price action and let it shape our strategy. Only now can we conclude that it was a “fake” weakness (actually, we already started suspecting it on Tuesday). More likely, it was temporary confusion in the market, caused by many contradicting political and economic signals. The current outlook is bullish. The market has set a new high, and the majority of sectors ended the week strong (see Market Inner Strength Index). The only possible warning is that the weekly RSI is approaching the overbought condition. The last time this happened (at the end of March), it triggered a weekly consolidation, but again, nothing is certain. P.S. this week is heavily packed with economic data releases. Also, banks report on Friday. Things might change really fast Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
SP:SPXLong
by hermes_trisme
GBPUSD & DXY Forex Update: Key Triggers and Market Insights📅 Today, we're diving into the Forex market, specifically analyzing the GBPUSD pair. Previously, we examined this pair on the weekly time frame, and now I’ll provide an update with new entry points marked on the chart. 🔄 Weekly Time Frame Analysis In our previous analysis, we identified 1.28019 as the first long trigger on the weekly chart. The price has since stabilized above this level and even activated the 59.01 trigger on the RSI. As mentioned before, the next target is 1.31921, and with a 230-pip distance, this level can offer a significant profit to those who entered long positions following the breakout. 🧲 Curved Trend Line We also have a curved trend line in this area, which can inject substantial momentum into the market and push the price upwards. If this trend line breaks, we can expect a trend reversal and a potential downward move. 📊 Trend Health Check Checking the health of the trend, we notice that each successive bullish wave has weakened while the red candles remain powerful. However, the RSI shows no signs of trend weakness or divergence, and the price has managed to create a higher high. Thus, despite the weakened upward trend, the price has managed to start a robust new trend and cover its previous weaknesses. 📈 Target and Rest Period Upon reaching 1.31921, the price will likely take a rest before creating new market structures, allowing us to find new triggers for decisions. If this area breaks, the next target on the weekly chart is 1.36736. 📉 Bearish Scenario If the price reverses the entire recent upward move and breaks the curved trend line, activating the 1.26262 trigger, we can expect a downward movement. The main trigger is 1.23585, with targets at 1.20909 and 1.18253. 📅 Daily Time Frame Analysis Let's examine the daily time frame to observe price behavior in more detail. After multiple tests of the 1.28019 resistance, the price finally stabilized above it, driven significantly by the recent US CPI news which weakened the US dollar, causing pairs against the dollar to rise. 📰 US CPI Impact The US CPI report showed a decrease in inflation, causing the DXY to drop. Lower inflation reduces investment appeal in the country, leading to a weaker currency. As the dollar weakens, pairs like GBPUSD rise. 💣 RSI and Momentum The RSI has entered the overbought (OB) zone, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market. The price hasn't taken a break, showing only one red candle in the last 12 and forming no structures for a clear trigger. 🎈 SMA99 As previously mentioned, the SMA99 acts like a black hole, pulling prices towards it if they move too far away. Currently, the price isn't too far from the SMA99, suggesting more upward movement potential. However, if it moves too far, the SMA99's "black hole" effect could come into play. 📈 Long Position Strategy For a long position in this time frame, we should wait for the price to form a new structure. We could also look at lower time frames like 4-hour or 1-hour charts to find suitable long triggers. In this time frame, patience is key before opening a long position. 📉 Short Position Strategy The short position trigger remains the same as on the weekly chart. We need to wait for the curved trend line to break and activate the 1.26262 or 1.23585 triggers. 🔍 DXY Chart Analysis The DXY chart on the daily time frame shows a large ascending triangle, with a previous false breakout and a move back up from the 100.883 support. The recent upward move failed to reach the 107.017 resistance and turned back from 106.338, a strong supply area making it difficult for the price to stabilize above this range. 🔫 Short-Term DXY View On a smaller scale, the DXY has a ranging box between 104.039 and 106.338. The recent upward move couldn’t reach the box ceiling, and with the main ceiling at 107.017, this confirms significant upward trend weakness. 🪓 RSI Confirmation A drop below 38.71 in the RSI confirms the entry of bearish momentum into the market. If the price breaks the ascending trend line and stabilizes below 104.039, downward momentum will drive the market. 📰 Fundamental Weakness in USD As highlighted in the GBPUSD analysis, the USD is weakening fundamentally, adding another layer of confirmation for a potential DXY decline. 🎯 DXY Targets The initial target for a DXY drop is 102.688, with a second target at 100.883. Upon reaching these targets, the price will likely range for an extended period, forming a new structure for either a drop or a rise. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
1
Tesla's Shocking Plunge: Is the Bubble Finally Bursting?This is a Walk through of How i Took Advantage of the Giant Move on TSLA Current Price Action: The current price is $240.89, reflecting a decrease of $7.20 (or 2.90%). Liquidity Zones (LQZ) / Take Profit (TP) Levels: There are two marked LQZ/TP levels: LQZ/TP 1 at $263.53 LQZ/TP 2 at $270.21 Support and Resistance: Multiple dashed lines indicate key support and resistance levels: $138.36, $142.18, $145.51 (support zones) $159.45, $168.98, $173.21, $175.92 (support/resistance zones) $260.27 (resistance) $300.01 (resistance) Trend Lines: A downward-sloping trend line (dashed blue) from previous highs suggests a long-term bearish trend. Price recently broke above this trend line, indicating a potential change in trend or a strong bullish move. Candlestick Patterns: Recent candlesticks show a strong upward move followed by a pullback, which is typical after a strong rally. Volume: Volume is indicated, with the latest volume bar showing 6.468 million shares traded.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Adlercon333
Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios. 🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase. ⌛️ Recent Market Behavior Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present. 🧲 SMA25 Analysis The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303. 📊 Volume Analysis The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend. 📈 Bullish Confirmation Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout. 📉 Bearish Scenarios In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Short
by itsparham96
2024-07-10 - priceactiontds - daily update - #daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Indexes just strongly green. No deeper analysis needed. Support held everywhere and markets just melted again. My top call was as moronic as can be. Markets humble you quickly. Obviously I was not humbled enough so far. Does not change my mind about this peak bubble behavior at the end of this trend and we correct/crash into year end. Commodities - Gold inside a triangle and it’s important for bears to stay below 2390 or very likely breakout above again, shorts preferred for trade back to below 2375. Oil got the expected bounce a bit later but still there. My target was 83/84 and high was 82.65. I expect some more tries by the bulls but should stay below 84 before more down. Bitcoin - Bulls got higher than expected but bears did a nice reversal a bit below the daily ema. Market behaves nicely. Good chance we go down to the lows from here at 57200. dax comment: Strong day by the bulls in a very tight channel. Bulls need to get above 18650 again to test 18800. Bears want a deep pullback like on Monday. It’s a big triangle with one giant bear trend line and multiple bull trend lines below. Market will have a couple more days inside the range before a big breakout. We are oscillating around the daily 20ema so excuse my short analysis. Market is in balance inside given range. current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the daily chart) key levels: 18380 - 18800 bull case: Perfect double bottom 18370 for the bulls and a strong move for 250+ points. Bulls expect follow through tomorrow and want to reach 18800 again. Invalidation is below 18470. bear case: Bears argue for a retest 18600 but they would need a very strong reversal around 18600 and that is not probable. If bulls continue to buy strongly, bears will probably step aside until 18760 and try shorting higher again. Invalidation is above 18630. short term: Overall bearish but neutral until 1h ema comes closer or a strong break below 18360. No need to rush into trades because of something you hope will happen. Let it happen and hop along. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Started a small short position 18611 during today’s sell off. Will hold this until we reach 17000. Currently +200, stop is 18500 trade of the day: Shorting against the 1h 20ema.
EASYMARKETS:DAXEUR
by priceactiontds
STX Daily Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis in the crypto market. Today's coin is STX, one of the coins that gave significant returns during Bitcoin's surge from 16k to 73k. We won't analyze Bitcoin today since I will provide a complete analysis of Bitcoin tomorrow. 🔍 Analysis of STX Project Overview STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, similar to other layer-2 solutions, it increases network speed and reduces transaction fees. Additionally, STX provides infrastructure on the Bitcoin network for building decentralized applications (DAPPs). Many well-known DAPP projects use this platform and protocol for their infrastructure. 🎲 Chart Analysis The analysis is conducted in the daily time frame. As you can see, STX had a powerful upward trend and, after reaching the resistance of 3.686 and concurrently with Bitcoin reaching its peak of 73k, it started to retrace. This retracement has been marked by a curved trendline and a trendline from the price bottom, leading the price down to the 1.316 area. 🧩 Key Support Level The support level at 1.316 is quite strong. It is significant not only from a price action perspective but also because it coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, adding to its importance. 📊 Volume Analysis During the last upward wave from 1.316 to 3.686, the volume of green candles began to decrease, indicating a weakening trend that was visible on the chart. After this, and during the correction phase down to 1.316, the volume continued to decrease, suggesting that traders did not engage in buying within the range of 1.316 to 3.686. This indicates that the resistance at 3.686 is not very strong, and the price is likely to test this area again. 🧲 Trendlines and Breakout Scenarios The trendlines that have brought the price down from 3.686 to 1.316 are nearing their end. The price will soon break either the upper or lower trendline. If the curved trendline is broken and its trigger is activated, the price could rise back to the 3.686 peak with a significant influx of buying volume. Conversely, if the trendline from the price bottom is broken, there are two potential scenarios: If selling volume enters the market and Bitcoin loses its 55k support, we can expect a strong bearish momentum. Breaking the 33.44 support on the RSI can confirm this momentum entering the market. If the trendline is broken but Bitcoin maintains its support and selling volume does not enter the market, we might see the bearish trend exhaust, and the price could move back above the 1.316 support level. 💥 Bitcoin's Influence The reason Bitcoin's support and resistance are crucial for this coin's movement is that STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin. Layer-2 projects generally have a high correlation with their primary projects. Additionally, with Bitcoin's dominance at 54%, Bitcoin naturally influences all altcoins, especially one that serves as a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin. 🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot The safest trigger for buying this coin in the spot market is 3.686, which is the all-time high (ATH) for this coin. If the price stabilizes above this level, it could move towards new targets. However, this trigger is 130% away from the current market price, which is quite a distance. Until the price reaches 3.686, there are other triggers that, upon stabilizing above these levels, the price could move upwards. Naturally, these triggers are riskier than 3.686, and the probability of hitting a stop loss is higher. The first trigger is 1.801, which is the peak of the Low Wave Cycle (LWC). Since the price is in a High Wave Cycle (HWC) uptrend, you can consider entering in the LWC. The next trigger for buying is 2.422, which is the MWC resistance. After breaking and stabilizing above this area, we can move towards the 3.686 peak. 📝 Conclusion STX, a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, is currently at a critical support level of 1.316, which is significant both in price action and Fibonacci terms. With decreasing volume indicating a potential test of the 3.686 resistance level again, traders should watch for key breakouts and Bitcoin's influence on the market. Considering the triggers and support levels mentioned, strategic entries can be made with proper risk management. 🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2. 🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please like and share this analysis. Feel free to leave your comments or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Long
by itsparham96
1
Best Price Action Pattern For Beginners to Start FOREX Trading There are a lot of price action patterns: wedges, channels, flags, cup & handle, etc. If you're just starting out your Forex journey, it's natural to wonder which one to trade and focus on. In this article, I will show you the best price action pattern for beginner s that you need to start forex trading. I will share a complete trading strategy with entry, stop and target, real market examples and useful trading tips. High accuracy and big profits guaranteed. The pattern that we will discuss is a reversal pattern. Depending on the shape of the pattern, it can be applied to predict a bearish or a bullish reversal. Its bearish variation has a very particular shape. It has 4 essential elements that make this pattern so unique: A strong bullish impulse, A pullback and a formation of a higher low, One more bullish impulse with a formation of an equal high, A pullback to the level of the last higher low. Such a pattern will be called a double top pattern. 2 equal highs will be called the tops , the level of the higher low will be called a neckline . Remember that the formation of a double top pattern is not a signal to sell. It is a warning sign. The pattern by itself simply signifies a consolidation and local market equilibrium. Your confirmation will be a breakout of the neckline of the pattern. Its violation is an important sign of strength of the sellers and increases the probabilities that the market will drop. Once you spotted a breakout of a neckline of a double top pattern, the best and the safest entry will be on a retest of a broken neckline. Target level will be based on the closest support. Stop loss will lie above the tops. A bullish variation of a double top pattern is called a double bottom. It is also based on 4 main elements: A strong bearish impulse, A pullback and a formation of a lower high, One more bearish impulse with a formation of an equal low, A pullback to the level of the last lower high. 2 equal lows will be called the bottoms , the level of the lower high will be called a neckline . The formation of a double bottom pattern is not a signal to buy. It is a warning sign. The pattern by itself simply signifies a consolidation and local market equilibrium. Your confirmation will be a breakout of the neckline of the pattern. Once you spotted a breakout of a neckline of a double bottom pattern, the best and the safest entry will be on a retest of a broken neckline. Target level will be based on the closest resistance. Stop loss will lie below the bottoms. Double top & bottom is a classic price action pattern that everyone knows. Being very simple to recognize, its neckline violation provides a very accurate trading signal. Moreover, once you learn to recognize and trade this pattern, it will be very easy for you to master more advanced price action patterns like head and shoulders or triangle. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
1
GBPUSD analysis week 28☘️GBP/USD rebounded above 1.2800 supported by revived interest rate cut hopes. Investors are betting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be pushed further to cut interest rates in the third quarter after US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) labor figures showed issued a misprint, beating forecasts but with a large revision from previous figures. ☘️The most recent UK Parliamentary election took place and ended with little volatility in the markets. GBP traders will have to do their best to wait for next week's UK Industrial Production figures for May, which are expected to recover from April's sharp decline. ☘️The pair is climbing to the resistance level of 1,280 and shows signs that a strong breakout could continue next week. Some further buying should break the nearest resistance level and push the pair back to two-week highs around 1,285. The circular resistance zone around 1,290 will be where GBP investors look to take profits when the price slides to this zone. In the opposite direction, the pair may still need a recovery to continue maintaining its stable uptrend. The first support level is around 1,276 where there is strong support from the two EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines. The price can retreat more strongly to the support area of ​​1,271 retracement points of Fibonacci 0.5 and is the break out area from downtrend. Support: 1,276-1,271 Resistance: 1,285-1,289 Trading signals SELL GBPUSD zone 1.28-1.290 SL 1.292 BUY GBPUSD zone 1.271-1.269 SL 1.267
by TVS-Trader
SWING IDEA - V GUARD INDUSTRIESThe technical analysis of V-Guard Industries suggests a compelling swing buying opportunity. The reasons are listed below : The stock has successfully breached a significant resistance zone at 270-280, showcasing potential for an upward trend continuation. The presence of a robust bullish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe, coupled with the stock finding support at the 50 EMA, enhances the bullish outlook. Following a prolonged consolidation period exceeding six years, the stock is poised for a potential breakout, indicating the likelihood of substantial price movement. The formation of higher highs further reinforces the bullish sentiment and suggests an established uptrend. A notable increase in trading volumes during the breakout phase supports the authenticity of the upward movement. Target - 360 // 424 Stoploss - weekly close below 282 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:VGUARDLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Gold price edges lower as PBoC keeps Gold buying on hold☘️Fundamental analysis Gold prices attracted some selling during early European trading on Monday. Gold lost momentum as the People's Bank of China (PBoC), China's central bank, kept its gold purchases unchanged for the second month of June, according to official data released on Sunday. It should be noted that China is the world's largest consumer of gold bars, and a pause in gold purchases could affect gold prices. On the other hand, growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the third quarter could push up unprofitable gold prices. Furthermore, political instability in France after voter opinion polls showed the final round of voting in the French parliamentary election pointed to a hung parliament, which could spur Safe haven assets like Gold. Traders will pay closer attention to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who will testify on Tuesday ahead of June US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data on Thursday. ☘️Technical analysis Gold price decreased slightly during the day. Technically, the yellow metal maintains a bullish bias on the daily chart as it holds above the 34 EMA and 89 EMA. The precious metal maintains a breakout above the formed descending trend channel formed on May 10. RSI reacts at the 50 zone, signaling that gold will still maintain its upward momentum today. The first upside barrier for XAU/USD will appear at the psychological $2,400 level after overcoming Friday's peak around 2392. On the downside, support for the yellow metal lies at $2,370, a break out of a key multi-day high. Support: 2378 -2370 - 2364 - 2360 Resistance: 2385 -2393 - 2400 SELL price range 2398 - 2400 Stoploss 2403 BUY price range 2370 - 2368 Stoploss 2365
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2024-07-08 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax/oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Trading range price action. Elevator up and stairs down today. Helps no one and we have to wait for tomorrow for a clear direction. Market is oscillating around the 1h and the daily 20ema. Fade the extremes until clear breakout. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18580 - 18800 bull case: Bulls tried again at 18800 and only got a lower high below it. They bought 18600 and until that range breaks, it’s neutral. Invalidation is below 18500. bear case: Either bears print below 18600 or step aside for another lower high below 18700. Until then, bulls will continue to btfd. Invalidation is above 18830. short term: Bullish around 18600 for trade back to at least 18680. Stop has to be 18570 for any long. medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged current swing trade: Started a small short position 18611 during today’s sell off. Will hold this until we reach 17000. trade of the day: Strong small pullback bull trend since EU open and market could not touch the 2m 20ema for 130 points. Market also reversed just as hard but a bit slower couple of minutes after the high. Had to be quick to exit longs once bar 36 traded below 35 without any pullback. Bulls quickly gave up above 18780.
EASYMARKETS:DAXEURLong
by priceactiontds
2024-07-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Good follow through by the bears and a clear break below the bull channel. If we continue down from here, I would be surprised. More likely is another retest from the bulls to 83/84. Selling is strong enough that we have a decent chance of 84.52 being the high of this bull trend that’s now over and we are in a trading range at the highs. Odds strongly favor the bears since we are in a huge triangle. current market cycle: Trading range key levels: 80 - 84 bull case: Bulls failed at the 1h 20ema multiple times today but held it above 82 which means we are forming a smaller descending triangle which will likely break out early tomorrow. Retest of the bull channel to 83.5 is reasonable. Invalid below 82. bear case: Bears showed strength by consecutive decent bear bars on the daily chart. They want the 1h 20ema to be resistance as long as possible and their next target is the daily 20ema at 81.2ish which is also the recent trading range and a magnet. short term: Two bear trend lines which can both work and we will only find out tomorrow. Market should stay below 82.9 if bears are in control. If bulls break above, can see 83.4/84 again. So looking for shorts near 1h 20ema and upper bear trend lines. Long scalps above 83. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday current swing trade: Small short initiated and will add on higher if necessary. Plan to hold this to at least 76 with profit taking/adding on in between. trade of the day: Look at all the bars with a tail above 82.7. That’s more than enough reason and time to place some shorts because market is screaming at you, that bulls are not strong enough above 82.7.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
$6 Copper by 2026An update for my last copper theory based off trade pattern From 2016 till this day copper has formed a double bottom on such a large scale that makes it hard to miss. 2022 - 2023 looks to be the pullback phase back to the neckline, at liquidity (S/D). 2024 will be the year of the rally (expansion) seeing price action head towards $4.6, and then causing a second pullback before seeing ~$5.8. Local price action (todays prices) in sellers has slowed down drastically at the same time buyers are building a solid support zone.
OANDA:XCUUSDLong
by Nathanl19
#202428 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bears broke the bull trend line for good and market is now fighting for 56000. Bulls want to get back above 60000 to make this a bear trap and keep the trading range alive. Bears want to keep it below 59000 and the bull trend line. Odds favor sideways movement 56000-59000 until the next breakout and my money is on the bear side for 50000 and ultimately 40000 in 2024. Quote from last week: "What could happen next for bitcoin? Market has not touched the daily 20ema for more than two weeks. The upper bear trend line will get hit soon, where I expect another rejection at that price level above 61700, like the previous 5 days. The breakout below the previous bear wedge was strong enough that this is a new trend and we are currently forming the channel with this pullback. Once market makes a new low, we know where to draw the channel lines. Odds heavily favor the bears to retest below 59000 and testing the bull trend line from 2023-10." comment: Bear trend in full swing and we have a good looking channel down. My lower targets are at least 50000 over the next 1-3 weeks and probably closing the bull gap to 47000. Even if you don’t think it’s not a bear trend and it will trade back up again, buying anything other than for a scalp before the bear channel is broken and market is trading above the daily 20ema again, is suicide for your account. current market cycle: Bear trend since we made new lows below 56000. If bulls do a huge reversal here and get back above 62000, I am wrong and this could have been a lower low inside the big trading range 50000-74000. key levels: 50000-60000 bull case: Got not much for you here. Bear trend in full force and officially a bear market since it dropped 27% from the highs. The best bulls can hope for is sideways and stopping the lower lows above 53500. Invalidation is below 50000. bear case: Bears are in full control of the market but they are not producing climactic sell offs, which increases the odds that the bear trend continues in orderly fashion. The bear trend line held since early June and W5 could bring us down to 47000ish or lower. Most likely bears want to wait for the 1h 20ema to come closer again before another leg down. It’s less likely but not impossible, that the bear trend accelerated last week and we will trade down faster in a tighter channel. Measured move from last weeks bear leg would lead to 43000 and the 50% pb for the whole bull trend since 2023-10 is 45000. Some can argue it’s 50000 and that is a reasonable take as well. I do think the breakout price from the 2023-01 high at 49000 will be hit over the next 3-6 months. Invalidation is above 62000. outlook last week: “short term: More sideways to down movement expected (not much down, max 79.7ish) before bulls try the third leg up. Can’t be anything but bullish looking at this chart until bears build bigger selling pressure.” → Last Sunday we traded 62000 and now we are at 57000. I gave you the 57000 area many weeks ago, hope you made some. short term: Bearish but pull backs around the 57000 price are expected. Market could go sideways until the daily ema comes closer. Currently at 61000. medium-long term: I have been writing about getting down to 50000 for many many weeks now and since we are only 3500 points above it, it’s time to review my medium-long term take. I do think we are doing a very similar thing to 2021. Market will probably touch the monthly 20ema at 46000 soon and then go for a dead cat bounce. I do not think market can do a higher high again. For me it’s lower highs from here on and highest I think it can get again is 65000 but I do think there is a good chance, 63000 may be all bulls can get again. If it trades strongly below 46000, probably 30000 soon after but let’s make 46000 first and then I reevaluate my take. current swing trade: Want to see more sideways to up trading between 53000 - 59000 first before thinking about new shorts. chart update: Replace previous two legged moves with the bearish 5 wave series but other than that, the chart was drawn 5 weeks ago and pretty fn perfect so far.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
#202428 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Bears last stand is 84 and my choppy outlook was drawn 3 or 4 weeks ago. My outlook is the same as last weeks. More sideways movement under 84 needed until bears give up or bulls strongly break above again and we will then most certainly see 86 fast and decent chance this time they get to 90 again. I lean slightly bearish. Quote from last week: comment: High of the week was 82.72, so 22 ticks above my lower bull target. Most was said in my tl;dr. Bulls trying to break above 82 but can’t a one single daily close above that price. Market will also break out soon. After last week, I see this as 50/50 who get’s the breakout. comment: Bulls got the breakout again, retested it and held above 82.74. I do think the high is here in the price area below 86 but market will probably have to spend more time here before bears can potentially trade it back down. In April we spent 14 days at the highs until market broke below, retested and went down for good. I expect the same pattern. current market cycle: trading range inside the big triangle. Market should stay below 86 or this take is probably wrong. On smaller tf we are still inside the bull channel. key levels: 80-86 bull case: Another breakout for the bulls but the volume is increasing and the selling pressure is building. If bulls can keep this long enough above 80, bears might give up again and the trend could continue but it’s hard to argue after 3 pushes up and the clear triangle pattern on higher tf. Invalidation is below 81.3. bear case: Bears want this to be a lower high since market has been doing this for 2 years now. April high was 86.27 so there is your sl if you want to short this. I do think bears want to break the bull channel first, put in another retest of 84ish for a tripple top or head & shoulders before they sell more aggressively again. They see this bull trend with the 3 pushes as done and now they want to get back below 75 again. You play the best pattern on the highest time frame because the higher the time frame the more reliable the pattern is. If multiple pattern on multiple tf align, even better. On a 1h chart we are also forming bull wedges which can break to the downside any day now. Invalidation is above 86.27. outlook last week: “short term: Still slightly favoring the bulls because of the highers highs and higher lows but breakout above need to happen next week. Once we hit 83/84, I think next 10 points will be made to the down side again.” → Last Sunday we traded 81.54 and now we are at 83.16. High was 84.52 and I gave you 84. +246 if you will. Hope you made some. short term: Bearish but I wait for bull channel break and bigger selling pressure. Can come fast or take the whole week. All bullish targets are met and as I wrote last week, next 10 points will probably be made to the down side. medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. We are at the bear trend line and odds favor the bears if they stay below 86.27 for trading back down below 76 again. current swing trade: Will short once we break the bull channel and we see decent selling pressure. chart update: Removed the bull wave series but all bearish patterns were drawn 2-3 weeks ago.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202428 - priceactiontds - weekly update - gold futures Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: Strong consecutive bull bars in a trading range but still a lower high. Once bulls break above 2406, market is free to go back above 2440 but I wait for confirmation. Bears not having good arguments here for reversing this. Only a strong 1h close below the 1h 20ema would raise the odds for the bears. Quote from last week: bull case: Bulls keeping it above support but can not print consecutive daily closes above the daily 20ema. Will probably see a breakout over the next 1-2 weeks. comment: Bulls got the breakout above and 2 good looking bull bars above the daily 20ema. Above 2407 we can expect bears to give up and a retest of 2460 or higher. Market is amazingly symmetrical. 3 tries to drop below 2300 and we are probably seeing the 3rd try at printing above 2477 over the next days. It’s a big trading range and I will long this above 2407 for 2460+ and will short this above 2460, once market turns around again. Maybe bulls can print a higher high or maybe they don’t, it does not matter since you wait for the clear reversal before shorting again. On the weekly and monthly tf market is having huge tails above the bars and market has not closed a monthly bar above 2350. After this retest of 2460/2500, I expect a deeper pullback to the low of this current bull wedge/channel 2250 and likely even deeper over the next 6-12 months down to the big bull trend line starting 2018, which would be around 2000. current market cycle: trading range until 2300 or 2407 is broken. If bulls break above, trading range is expanded again up to 2480 key levels: 2300 - 2480 bull case: Bulls are right below the previous high at 2406 and the move up is strong enough to give the odds here to the bulls. Market tried repeatedly to break below 2300 and could not do it, so bears giving up here and want to short higher for better value. Measured move from Thu/Fri would bring us exactly to 2465. Another reason for this up move is the weekly 20ema which is at 2310 and we missed it by a couple of points. Invalidation is below 2300. bear case: Bears failed 3 times at 2300 over the past 4 weeks and now want higher prices for better shorts, which means they are mostly giving up. They know that we are in a trading range for 3 months and the r:r for shorts above 2460 is much better than for the bulls. Bears need to keep the monthly closes below 2350 or risk attracting more bulls buying high. Invalidation is above 2510. outlook last week: “short term: Neutral. Play the triangle.” → Last Sunday we traded 2339 and now we are at 2397. Perfect outlook. short term: Neutral until break above 2407. Bullish above medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is moronic and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so don’t. —unchanged current swing trade: Will go long above 2407 and look for shorts above 2460. Chart update: Removed bear trend lines.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds