2024-07-31 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: July is behind us, so let’s take a look at the daily chart since the weekly and monthly do not help in any way, analysing this.
For dax it’s easy today because we absolutely have no Idea when it wants to go where, since my calculated 50% of this range is 18520 and market closed July at 18608. Absolutely neutral. We know for sure that the recent bull trend is over and we are in a trading range. We are in the middle of the triangle on the daily chart and you have to play the range until it’s clearly broken. Does the weekly or monthly chart tell us anything different? Absolutely not. The daily 20ema is completely flat and we just have to wait for one side to gain control and make new highs or new lows. Bullish above 18800 and bearish below 18100. Going into August I do expect more volatility and even if Bulls get another ath, odds are great that we will make new lows below 17800 over the next 2 months.
current market cycle: trading range (big triangle on the daily chart)
key levels: 18200 - 18700
bull case: Bulls made lower highs this week but could not get one close above 18600. They are weak as the bears and that is why we are mostly moving sideways. Bulls tried enough to get above 18700 by now and I do think they will give up tomorrow/Friday and we test 18300 or lower again. They would need a strong move above 18800 for higher prices.
Invalidation is below 18400.
bear case: Bears are weak too but at least they mostly keep it below 18600. They need to start producing lower lows again and test back to 18300. I do think odds favor the bears over the next weeks for lower lows but as of now, market is in absolute balance. First target for the bears tomorrow is a 1h close below 18500.
Invalidation is above 18700.
short term: neutral. Bullish above 18700 and bearish below 18500.
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. —unchanged
Priceaction
KSMUSDT Analysis: Potential Reversal or Further Decline?✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the KSMUSDT pair in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project: Kusama (KSM) is an experimental blockchain platform designed to provide a proving ground for new technologies. It serves as a sister network to Polkadot, allowing developers to build and deploy decentralized applications (dApps) quickly and with lower risk.
📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
In this timeframe, KSMUSDT has experienced notable fluctuations. The price reached a significant peak before entering a correction phase. Currently, KSM is trading around the $21.18 level, with a key support at $17.38. A stabilization above $24.35 could signal a bullish trend, potentially targeting $37.42 and $55.99. However, a failure to hold above $17.38 might lead to further declines, with the next major support at $14.50.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, KSMUSDT has shown a bearish trend with the price consolidating around $20.44. The key resistance levels are at $24.23 and $27.00. A break above these levels could indicate a shift to a bullish trend. On the downside, a break below the $16.72 level might lead to further bearish movement. The RSI currently stands around 43.95, suggesting potential bearish momentum.
📅 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, KSMUSDT is consolidating near the support at $20.05. A drop below this level could signal further declines towards $16.63. Conversely, a move above $21.20 could indicate a short-term bullish reversal, targeting resistance at $24.28. The RSI is around 47.61, indicating a neutral to bearish sentiment.
📊 RSI Oscillator
The RSI is currently ranging between 37.54 and 47.61 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
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SWING IDEA - KNR CONSTRUCTIONSKNR Constructions , a leading infrastructure development company, is showing technical signals that suggest a potential swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
325 Zone Tested Multiple Times : The 325 level has been a significant resistance zone. The price is now attempting to break through this level, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : The recent formation of a bullish marubozu candle on the weekly chart indicates strong buying pressure and suggests potential for further upward movement.
50 EMA Support on Weekly Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-week exponential moving average, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level.
Breaking Out of a 3-Year Consolidation Zone : KNR Constructions is breaking out of a long consolidation phase that lasted for 3 years, signaling a potential new bullish trend.
Sudden Surge in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the price move, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the current trend.
Trading at All-Time High : The stock is trading at its all-time high, suggesting strong market confidence and potential for further gains. However, traders should watch for potential overbought conditions or profit-taking at these levels.
Target - 400 // 450
Stoploss - weekly close below 265
DISCLAIMER -
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@visionary.growth.insights
TRENDLINE SUPPORT / SUPPLY DEMANDIn this analysis we are focusing on (30M) time frame for XAUUSD. Here we are using trendline support with the combination of price action and supply demand concept. In this analyze I'm looking for potential sell today , without any confirmation we could not execute our trade. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
# GOLD 30M, Technical Analyze Expected Move.
NZDCAD: Bullish Sentiment Confirmed?! 🇳🇿🇨🇦
NZDCAD has a nice potential to grow after a test of a major rising trend line on a daily.
I see a clear sign of strength of the buyers on a 4H time frame with a double bottom formation
and a confirmed change of character.
I think that the pair will reach 0.82 level soon.
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2024-07-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Down, up, down up. Today was up where open was almost the exact low of the day. Market stalled around 18550 and it’s critical for the bears that it stays a lower high below 18650. Bears need to break the bull trend line for lower prices. Shorting above 18550 and buying 18500 was king today. Can not be anything but neutral going into tomorrow.
current market cycle: trading range (big triangle on the daily chart)
key levels: 18200 - 18700
bull case: Bulls made around 100 points from eu open to close. Looks more like a leg in a trading range than strong buying. Bulls want a higher high above 18657 but I highly doubt that they get it. Market is in breakout mode. Watch the triangle on the daily chart. There are 2 potential bear trend lines above which can act as magnets. 18600 and 18660ish. I do think that if bulls can break above 18660 again, they can test the bear trend line from the ath around 18800.
Invalidation is below 18480.
bear case: Bears tried to keep it below 18500 but bulls poked enough that they stepped aside and shorted above 18550 again. Bears need to keep this a lower high or risk a breakout out of this triangle. Their first target is a break below the bull trend line below 18480.
Invalidation is above 18560.
short term: neutral. Bullish above 18600 and bearish below 18480.
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. —unchanged
trade of the day: Long since EU open or shorting above 18550 and buying 18500. Clear support and resistance today but tbh, not a fun day to trade this.
2024-07-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Gold had a huge bull day and my line in the sand for bears was 2436. Market now broke above it 2 times and the buying into US close was strong enough for a second leg which could bring us above 2480 again. Still a trading range on the daily chart and anything above 2300 is good for the bulls. Probably another try at printing 2500 over the next days.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2300 - 2500
bull case: Bulls want a new ath and all the stops too close above it. 2500 would be a nice round number to reach. After that I don’t have anything for the bulls. It’s a trading range since April and such big trading ranges happen before the final flag and this one here is probably it. I would not bet on another strong bull trend above 2500.
Above was written last week and is valid as ever. Bulls do not want to drop below the 1h 20ema again or the chop continues. They want the momentum continuing and another strong break above 2460 for the second leg up.
Invalidation is below 2440.
bear case: Bears tried to keep it below 2440 but market made higher lows and on the strong buying at bar 13, they stepped aside enough to let the market rip into US close. I don’t think many bears want to battle between 2450 and 2480, so I expect this becoming a quick move up before they see value in shorting again. Below 2440 I am wrong and bears showing strength again.
Invalidation is above 2460.
short term: Bullish af again. Want to see a proper channel form, that we can grind to 2480 or 2500.
medium-long term: For now I think the most reasonable outlook I could give is a trading range 2200-2500. This could hold for some time. Bear in my still thinks this rally is dumb and we will see 2000 again this year but that’s as unreasonable of an outlook one could hold so DON’T. —adjusted 2450 to 2500
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Tricky. Bar 10 was strong enough to expect more upside but the pullback afterwards on bar 11+12 was deep enough to trap many traders out. Bar 13 was the long to be in while it formed but tricky in any case.
EURCAD Forex Pair Analysis: Market Trends and Key Levels✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the EURCAD pair in the Forex market.
🗂 About the Pair: The EURCAD pair represents the exchange rate between the Euro and the Canadian Dollar. It's influenced by factors such as European and Canadian economic data, central bank policies, and global market sentiment.
📊 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
In this timeframe, EURCAD has shown significant range-bound movement. The pair is currently testing a key resistance level around 1.50153, with major support found at 1.29621. The RSI indicator shows a reading of 62.21, suggesting the market is nearing overbought conditions but not at extreme levels yet.
📈 If EURCAD breaks above 1.50153, we could see further bullish momentum, potentially reaching towards the next resistance level at 1.57769.
📉 Conversely, if the price fails to break through and reverses, a pullback towards the support level of 1.43037 could indicate a bearish trend continuation.
📊 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, EURCAD has been trending upwards since early 2023, with the current price action testing the resistance around 1.50153. The RSI at 63.44 reflects bullish momentum but is close to overbought territory.
🧲 A breakout above 1.50153 could signal a continuation of the uptrend, targeting higher levels.
📉 However, a reversal or stabilization below 1.49002 may indicate a weakening of the bullish trend and potential for a correction.
📊 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, EURCAD recently experienced a strong bullish impulse, followed by a consolidation phase. The pair is currently testing resistance at 1.50182.
📈 For long positions, a breakout above 1.50182 could provide an entry point, with targets at 1.51000 and beyond.
📉 For short positions, key support levels to watch are 1.49188 and 1.48730, with a potential for deeper retracement towards 1.47733.
📊 RSI Oscillator
The RSI across the timeframes is currently indicating a mixed outlook:
Weekly: 62.21, close to overbought
Daily: 63.44, nearing overbought
4-Hour: 46.58, neutral with room for both upside and downside
A clear break of the RSI levels, combined with price action confirmation, could help identify potential trade entries.
🧲 Conclusion
Given the current bullish momentum in the weekly and daily timeframes, a short-term long position could be considered if EURCAD breaks above 1.50153. However, caution is warranted as the pair approaches resistance, and the RSI suggests potential overbought conditions. A watchful eye on support levels and volume trends will be crucial for assessing the strength of any moves.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply providing this analysis for educational purposes. Always do your own research and consider your trading strategy and risk management plan.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a pair you'd like me to analyze next.
Insecticides - Poised for a 25% upmove Swing Trade1) The stock is about to break out of a multi year Trend Line, 2017, 2022 in Monthly timeframe.
2) The stock is in up trend in all major time frames.
3) Daily shows a god trigger of a breakout soon indicated through a Volatility contraction Pattern.
For a 3% SL, 25% Targets expected , around 1000 Rs.
My entries - 789
SL - 767 Daily closing Basis
Target Around 1000
Sector : Chemical - Momentum Sector - AGroChemical.
solanaHey guys
It seems that we can expect a reaction from the two specified price ranges.
On the thirty-minute time frame, a compression movement has been created and it seems that according to the signals issued by Ichi Moko; We can expect an upward trend up to the specified price area.
Keep in mind that if the marked red support area is completely consumed, the possibility of a downward trend to the $60 price area can be considered!!!
Is the news that QSOL is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange true?
What do you think?
ETH - Bullish Short-Term!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
ETH has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel in red.
📈As long as the last low in red holds, a continuation towards the $2500 would be expected.
In parallel, if the red low is broken downward, a bearish correction towards the $3000 round number would be expected.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CAMPUS: Low Public Shareholding 📉🤦
The shareholding pattern of a company refers to the distribution of its ownership among different categories of investors, including promoters, Foreign Institutional Investors (FII), Domestic Institutional Investors (DII), and the general public.
The ideal shareholding pattern can vary depending on the nature of the company, industry dynamics, and regulatory guidelines. However, A low public shareholding tells a lot about the future of both the company and its shareholders. Below are some good to know pointers:
1. Low Liquidity:
Low public holding can lead to lower trading volumes a.k.a. Low liquidity. It means there are fewer buyers and sellers in the market.
2. Wider Bid-Ask Spreads:
The reduced liquidity could result in wider bid-ask spreads. The bid-ask spread is the difference between the highest price a buyer is willing to pay (bid) and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept (ask). In illiquid markets, bid-ask spreads tend to be wider, making it more expensive to buy or sell shares, and potentially making it difficult to execute trades at desired prices.
3. Lack of Price Discovery:
The market sets the price for every security after discounting it for everything that matters. In illiquid markets, the true market price may be difficult to determine due to a lack of trading activity. This lack of price discovery can make it harder for investors to assess the fair value of the share.
4. Market Manipulation and Market volatility:
Low liquidity markets may be more susceptible to market manipulation, as a small number of investors can have a significant impact on prices. Imagine a particular DII or FII exiting its entire position in an illiquid market. The prices would crash like crazy.
5. Risk of Delisting:
This is a rare case scenario but is still a possibility. PE and VC funds keep an eye on such companies as it is comparatively easier to make such companies private.
When to invest in such companies:
Taking a closer look at CAMPUS's shareholding, we can see that promoters own about 75% of the company, while Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have 7.5%, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) hold 6.5%, and the general public has around 8%. This does show that the promoters, DIIs and FIIs are pretty confident about their investment.
Promoters, FIIs, and DIIs are different from regular individual investors. They invest for the long haul, focusing on the company's overall health rather than just buying and selling shares. Unlike many individual investors, FIIs and DIIs carefully choose to invest in a business for specific reasons. They're patient and willing to wait for their investments to grow over time because they believe in the company's potential.
A retail investor may invest in such a company if:
- He has confidence in the industry the company operates in,
- He trusts that the company's business is solid,
- He has faith in the management's ability to make good decisions, And
- He is willing to be patient for the Company to reach its prime
Else, investing in such a company can be a real Nightmare. Campus stands at an All-Time low. Imagine an investor who invested during its IPO and is still red.
Can you tell us what other companies have low public shareholding?
What should we analyze next?
Have Requests, Questions, or Suggestions? DM us or comment below.👇
⚠️Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are merely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. Like everybody else, we too can be wrong at times ✌🏻
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Lower low again after market formed a perfect double top with Globex high, which was couple of ticks above Globex open. Market is going down but barely. Bears taking profits at new lows and wait for market to go higher again before they sell it. 1h 20ema is a roller coaster. Need to trade small, have wide stops and wait for decent pullbacks.
current market cycle: trending trading range or broad bear channel, whatever you prefer to call it
key levels: 74 - 78
bull case: Bulls buying new lows and making money. That’s about it. They are too weak to push to make new highs and bears will probably stop at bigger resistance which I think is below 74.
Invalid below 73.
bear case: Bears in control but they are taking profits at new lows and thats why the channel down is so broad and we have two sided trading. Play the bear channel until it’s clearly broken. Do not try to be a rocket scientist here and start with macro schmackro stuff about oil. It’s going down, look for shorts. Be Forest Gump and not Cathie Wood.
Invalid above 78.
short term: Bearish. Play the channel.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: Still short since 82.69.
trade of the day: Selling the double top Globex and EU high at 77.6. Had to get short latest at bar 42 but better 41 since it was also a head & shoulders or the top of the trading range. More than enough reasons to sell.
2024-07-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Decent selling by the bears today. I expect follow through tomorrow but mostly sideways markets going into US close tomorrow. Earnings is a gamble imo and I don’t do that. I’m playing the bear channel and will be flat once market stalls.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 18200 - 18700
bull case: Bulls also bought new lows here and scalped. They bounced at the 50% pb from last week and now they want to go mostly sideways to break out of the bear channel. I don’t think they want to die on that hill. They had a decent pullback last week and know that bears want at least 18300 again.
Invalidation is below 18200.
bear case: Bears did ok today but closed barely below Friday’s close. They want to continue the channel down to 18300 but I don’t think many traders want to have big positions going into tomorrow’s US close given the earnings releases. Play the channel until it breaks.
Invalidation is above 18560.
short term: Bearish as long as the bear channel holds. 1. Target below is 18300
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: 400 points in profit, will take most off around 18000-18100 and see where Market wants to go. —unchanged
trade of the day: Trading range from Globex until US opened. Best trades were shorts from EU open bar 28 for gap close and can exit bar 37. Next best short was bar 52, follow through selling after a two legged pullback right below the 15m 20ema.
NZDCHF: Time For Pullback 🇳🇿🇨🇭
NZDCHF may bounce from a key daily historic support.
After its test, the price formed a cup & handle pattern on a 4H time frame
and broke its neckline with a bullish imbalance.
I expect a bullish move to a falling trend line.
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