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EUR/USD ANALYSISIn this analyze we are analyzing 1H time frame to identify that what will be the next move come occurs in EURUSD currency pair. I'm expecting that first price came down and touches our buying zone and than again move in upward direction. Let's wait when price enter into our zone and observed how will price react into our zone. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analyze or prediction. #EURUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Long
by TradeTacticsreal
1
2024-12-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. Prices are messed up due to contract change but my lower targets were hit and market is in balance at now 6140ish. Huge support 6115 for the bulls and bears need a strong 1h bar close below it for lower prices. Bulls are in full control when market can only go sideways right under the ath. comment : Both sides made money today so I expect them to do the same tomorrow. If anything I see the chances of another bull breakout higher than a break below. We have clear support at 6115 and until this is strongly broken, look for longs near it. current market cycle: bull trend - late and will end soon key levels: 6115 - 6200 (contract change, so prices are much higher compared to Monday) bull case: Bulls are still buying the dips and making money. They prevent any stronger selling and that is why most will expect a break above the 1h 20ema tomorrow and the bear trend line. 6150 is their target for tomorrow. Depending on what Jpow delivers, we could melt up again but it’s a gamble I am not willing to take tomorrow. Many bulls also bought this because it’s close to the daily 20ema. We have closed once below it in the past 6 weeks. Invalidation is below 6100. bear case: Bears are trying but getting nowhere. They make money scalping but that’s about it. How likely is acceleration downwards? Very unlikely. Most bullish weeks of the year and markets are at peak euphoria. Invalidation is above 6200. short term: Neutral. FOMC tomorrow and if anything I expect bulls to trade back up to 6180 going into it. 6115 - 6140 is neutral. Bearish only below 6100. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling since Globex or buying previous support 6115. Bears kept it below the 1h 20ema which had 3 great short opportunities today but bulls also had decent bounces off 6115.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
2024-12-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. Third consecutive bear bar on the daily chart but the selling is weak. Bears barely push the market down and we are still 200 points above 20000. The bear channel held but chances are decent that it breaks tomorrow and we either go more sideways 20200 - 20400 or test 20500 again. comment: Bears made new lows, which is nice but the pullback is still minor on the daily chart. Anything below 20200 would surprise me and then we could see some acceleration down to 20000. Much more likely is a break of the bear trend line around 20300 and a retest of 20500+ current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 20000 - 20500 bull case: Bulls buying all the dips and it’s probably just a matter of time when the bears give up again. All bear bars below 20300 look weak and bears have tried 6 times now to break below the channel and have failed. Bullish targets for tomorrow are 20300, 20370 and then 20500. Invalidation is below 20200. bear case : Bears are trying but getting nowhere. Best they can hope for tomorrow is sideways between 20200 - 20300. How likely is it that Jpow grows some, tells the markets they are insane and no more rate cuts? Yeah. Invalidation is above 20600. short term: Neutral 20200 - 20300. Bullish above for 20400 or higher. Bearish below 20200 for 20000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the open and then selling at the bear trend line. The move down accelerated at a weird time and price, so I cut my profitable shorts too early. FML.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
GBPCHF is all set to continue its downward movement!The price is moving down within a descending channel. Right now, it bounced off the upper limit of the channel and hit a key weekly resistance. A candlestick pattern with a long upper wick and a small body has formed. Plus, the price has formed a triple top with lower highs. A short trade looks good based on price action and backed by volume analysis, which clearly shows a clear exhaustion of buyers. GBPCHF is moving towards the major volume activity price range around 1.12. On top of that, volume analysis backs this up, indicating that buyers are getting stronger and ready to push the price down. Time Frame: daily Idea support: - Price action - Volume Analysis - Trend analysis
Short
by luisca826
1
Renzo (REZ)REZ Analysis 🔹 Overall Status: After an initial drop, REZ coin has been fluctuating within a range box (yellow zone) between 0.03070 - 0.05034 and has recently broken above the upper limit of the box, moving upwards. Currently, the price is pulling back to this broken range zone. 🔹 Key Levels: 1️⃣ Support Levels: Bottom of the range box: 0.033 - 0.030 0.618 Fibonacci retracement: Current potential support area 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: Daily resistance zone (red): 0.065 Bullish Targets: First Target: 0.17279 - 0.21604 (1 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 0.40065 - 0.50092 (1.618 Fibonacci level) Third Target: 2.09323 - 2.61712 (2.618 Fibonacci level) 🔹 RSI and Entry Signals: RSI is currently in an ascending channel on the daily timeframe and is at the bottom of the channel, suggesting potential support and continuation of the uptrend. A move of RSI into the overbought zone, along with a breakout of key resistances, could signal a stronger entry point. 🔹 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above the 0.065 daily resistance (red) with increasing trading volume, a move towards Fibonacci targets becomes more probable. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to stabilize above resistance, a correction towards the range box bottom (0.033 - 0.030) could occur. 🔹 Trading Volume: Monitoring the increase in volume when breaking the daily resistance is crucial, as it could signal a sharp move. 🔹 Conclusion: Safe Entry: After price stabilizes above the red resistance zone with increased volume. Risky Entry Zones: Near the range box support levels and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. 📊 Confirmations: Breakout of daily resistance with high volume Support from RSI at the bottom of the ascending channel Reaction to Fibonacci levels 🔑 Recommendation: Always prioritize capital management. Set a stop-loss at the breakdown of the 0.030 support zone.
Long
by alizeynali69
2024-12-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Clear channel upwards and we will likely hit 110k over the next days. The channel is wide enough to trade in both directions. Once market breaks below the closes bull trend line and the 4h 20ema, a short is the much bitter trade from a r:r perspective. current market cycle: Still a bull trend as long as above 94000. key levels: 94000 - 110.000 bull case: Bulls got another strong move up that began last Tuesday. It’s pointing to my measured move target 110k and I highly doubt bulls can get it much above that. But I also have a tendency to underestimate these bubbles. We can clearly see two legs up already and a third could get us there. Invalidation is below 94000. bear case: Bears see the broad bull channel and selling new highs was profitable over the past 4 weeks. They see the next bull wedge which can break down over the next 2-3 days and they hope for another deep pullback to 98k or lower. Invalidation is above 110.000. short term: Bulls are in control but I have no interest in buying this. Once the bull wedge breaks down and we trade below the 4h 20ema, I will think about shorts for 98k-100k. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 over the weekend. current swing trade : Nope trade of the day: Shorting above 101k continues to be profitable.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
1
2024-12-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Another mind boggling rally with a strong break above 22000. Volume is atrocious but that does not matter one bit as long as we continue up. Market has now broken above at least 2 bigger patterns on my charts and every time a market does that, I expect it to fail, rather than to be the start of a new and stronger trend. current market cycle: bull trend but very late and will end soon key levels: 20000 - 20500 bull case : I got one more bullish target at 22400 but that’s it. We could reach it but I would be very cautious tomorrow and wait how much interest there is in buying above 22100 when the momentum fades. No more thoughts about this for now from a bullish perspective. It’s beyond overbought. Invalidation is below 21800. bear case: Many upper trend lines and breaks above them. Overbought conditions and low volume. All valid arguments but only price matters and that is going higher. 1h close below 21900 is needed for the bears. Before that I would not trust most selling attempts because it’s more likely they will become another bull flag and break to the upside again. I’d be very surprised if bears manage to get down to 21900 and close the gap. Invalidation is above 22200. short term: I’d rather look for shorts above 22100 than for more longs. Can go higher but it would do so without me. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 over the weekend. current swing trade : None trade of the day: Just balls to the walls long from us open or even Global for that matter. Unreal strength.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
BDL - An update and a VSA Learning ExerciseThis is just a learning exercise. We had anticipated a good move from this stock. However, 1230 was the trigger point for the Up move Now let us do a bar to bar analysis. Refer the box marked “A”. We can see there was a sideways move or a consolidation happening. We can see the prices clustering together and the volume became low. It Indicated accumulation going on. Refer to the bar marked “B”. It is an up bar with increased volume. This bar was an indication that things are about to change. Refer to the Bar marked “C”. The next bar is a wide spread bar going past the trigger point, ending near the top. Also, we can see the volume increased volume indicating a high probable Breakout. And today's bar (marked “D’) opened up above the previous close. The bar did see some selling, but finally it overcame the selling and closed up. Of course, the spread was not, the spread was narrow indicating selling pressure still present. We can see the stock has started its up move and it is all supported by increased volume and the momentum. The price action momentum is also driven by volume and we can see increased relative strength. All that support further up move and the first obstacle we could see would be 1365, where we may see some more consolidation before further up move. This whole exercise is just for learning purpose.
NSE:BDLEducation
by karthikmarar
1
Compound (COMP) 🔢 COMP Analysis 🔹 Overall Status: The COMP coin, after following an ascending channel, successfully broke above the channel’s ceiling. At the PRZ zone (which includes the ascending channel ceiling and weekly resistance), selling pressure led to a price correction, pushing the price down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. ✅ Key Point: Stabilizing above the PRZ zone can accelerate price growth toward Fibonacci targets. Trading volume in this area is crucial as it can provide stronger signals about the buyers' or sellers' dominance. 🔹 Support and Resistance Analysis: 1️⃣ Support Levels: First Support: 0.382 Fibonacci level around $79-$81. Second Support: 0.5 Fibonacci level around $68-$71. Third Support: 0.618 Fibonacci level near $60-$62. 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: PRZ Zone: Weekly resistance and broken ascending channel ceiling (around $92-$103). Bullish Targets: First Target: 1.618 Fibonacci level (already achieved). Second Target: 2.618 Fibonacci level near $300-$330. Third Target: 3.272 Fibonacci level around $500-$550. Final Target: 3.618 Fibonacci level near $720-$750. 🔹 Price Movement Prediction: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (if price stabilizes above PRZ): If the price stabilizes above $140 (PRZ zone), it may head toward the 2.618, 3.272, and 3.618 Fibonacci levels. Increased trading volume above PRZ will confirm buyers' dominance. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (if the correction continues): If the 0.382 Fibonacci level is broken, the price correction could extend to the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. These levels could offer attractive opportunities for re-entry via laddered buying. 🔹 RSI and Entry Signals: The RSI indicator on the weekly timeframe is at 72.71 (overbought zone), indicating possible selling pressure. Positive Note: A bullish divergence between the price and RSI suggests the uptrend may resume after a correction. The ascending RSI trendline can act as support. ✅ Conclusion and Recommendations: 1️⃣ Key Levels: Supports: $79-$81 (0.382), $68-$71 (0.5), and $60-$62 (0.618 Fibonacci). Resistances: $130-$140 (PRZ) and higher targets at $300-$330, $500-$550, and $720-$750. 2️⃣ Entry Strategies: Laddered buying near 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci support levels if the correction continues. Entry after price stabilizes above the PRZ zone ($130) with rising trading volume. 3️⃣ Risk Management: Pay close attention to trading volume and price action near critical levels. Monitor the RSI indicator to assess trend strength and identify potential corrections or continued growth. 💡 Final Recommendation: In the current conditions, wait for technical confirmations (such as stabilization above resistance or corrections to lower levels) before entering. Prioritize capital management to minimize risks.
by alizeynali69
EUR/USD: Awaiting the Fed for the Christmas Rally!EUR/USD continues to show weakness, hovering near weekly lows at 1.0453, reflecting an unfavorable macroeconomic outlook for the euro. The ECB's decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, combined with the removal of the term "restrictive" in its monetary policy stance and the projection of inflation nearing 2% on a sustainable basis, indicates a less aggressive approach by the central bank, with negative implications for the euro. Christine Lagarde also highlighted downside risks to economic growth, amplifying concerns about the Eurozone. On the U.S. front, a higher-than-expected PPI and an increase in initial jobless claims suggest a mix of inflationary pressures and potential signs of labor market softening. The dollar benefits from strong demand driven by these economic dynamics and the perception of U.S. resilience compared to the Eurozone. Technically, the pair remains in a clear downtrend. In the short term, focus shifts to Federal Reserve statements and U.S. inflation data, which could further strengthen the dollar if they confirm a more robust economic context in the U.S. compared to Europe.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1