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GBPJPY Potential longsFX:GBPJPY After a week of bearish movement, the price has finally broke and closed above last week's high. This pair may give opportunity for some short-term bullish momentum towards the upside. On yesterday's PMI news, price broke above the fib zone and came back retesting, before continuing its second expansion upwards. Price has previously broke above the 4H swap zone but quickly came back to the 1H support zone at 188.24 and retested twice without breaching the support zone. This gives us extra confluence for entering longs. For swing trading, we can take buys from the second half of the swap zone to the end of the 0.79 fib zone. The reason why we could also enter buys off the 4H swap zone is because price has already retested once on the fib zone, and the swap zone remains as a very strong support. As for intraday and scalping, I’d prefer to wait for short timeframe confirmations and enter with a smaller stop loss for more precise entry. We can target the buys towards 4H resistance zone at 191.180. Trade safely 😃
Long
by CandleCipher
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels. Current Situation: The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement. Potential Bullish Scenario: A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245. Potential Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322. Conclusion: The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
SKILLING:US100
by AccumulationPro
2025-04-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - dax Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls in full control, next target is the Globex to 22535 or 22586 on the daily chart. Volume is atrocious and we are in a global trade war but hey, let’s go for another ath I guess. This will crash down to 19000 and lower again, zero doubt in my mind. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 23000 bull case: Bulls want 22535 or 22586 next. Above that there is no reason not to go for 24000. Nothing more to say about this tbh. Measured move from the lows to spike high is 24375 and yes, I think it’s beyond insane and yes I also think we could get there over next days. Invalidation is below 21700. bear case: Bears need prices below 21780. Simple as that. They are not doing anything right now but any decently bad news could get us there. If they print 21780, it only means something if they then close the Global gap to 21674. So far away and unlikely that we get a strong bear trend tomorrow. Market will probably need to range first before we could maybe sell again. Invalidation is above 22600. short term: Neutral. Having a hard time believing we can do another bull trend up tomorrow. I expect sideways into the weekend. Anything below 21800 is a bear surprise to me medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is ongoing but for now I still think 19500 and below is an amazing buy if you can hold for years. Things will have to turn really bad for this market to find acceptance below the bull trend line from the covid lows and right now this trade war is just front running. Markets were not priced for risk 3 weeks ago but this drop was too much too fast. My bearish targets for this year are met and with the current environment I will not call for lower prices than 19000. If the trade war turns real bad, yeah sure but for now it’s not. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the bear trap 21900, betting on a higher low and that the big globex gap stays open. I traded it horribly and went long way too late but it was still enough to went green on the day.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
Gold Today's Technical Outlook - BullishAfter two days of selling pressure, we may start to see renewed buying interest in gold today. On the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, a Head & Shoulders pattern had formed and was broken to the downside, with a successful retest confirming the breakdown. However, despite this bearish setup, gold managed to hold above the key support zone of 3305–3306, indicating that buyers are still active and defending this level. This price action suggests that the downside momentum is weakening and a potential bullish move could unfold today. Buy Side Scenario: If the support at 3305–3306 continues to hold, we could see upward movement toward the following target levels: Target 1: 3380 Target 2: 3400 Target 3: 3435 Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shroffakshar
JK CEMENT | Strong Volume Breakout | Short-Term Upside in Play📈 Short-Term Trade Plan: Buy Zone: ₹5,240–₹5,255 (on retest of breakout zone) Target 1: ₹5,310 Target 2: ₹5,360 Stoploss: ₹5,195 (below the breakout candle wick) 🔍 Technical Insights: Strong volume surge on breakout above ₹5,220–₹5,230 resistance zone. RSI comfortably above 60, suggesting sustained strength. Box breakout pattern typically suggests upward continuation with momentum. for educational purposes only
NSE:JKCEMENTLong
by rmhetre15
EMCURE PHARMA | Approaching Key Resistance | Breakout or Triple ⚙️ Technical Setup Highlights: Price is testing a resistance zone around ₹1100, which has been rejected twice before (as indicated by black arrows). Volume has picked up on the recent move up — indicating buying interest. RSI is turning up from near the 50 level, signaling positive momentum. 📈 Trade Plan: 🔹 If Price Breaks Above ₹1110-1120 with Volume: Buy above ₹1120 (wait for a breakout candle with volume) Target 1: ₹1180 Target 2: ₹1240 Stoploss: ₹1070 (just below the breakout level) 🔻 If Price Rejected at ₹1100-1120 Zone Again: Sell near ₹1100-1110 (on bearish reversal candle confirmation) Target: ₹1020 Stoploss: ₹1130 🎯 Ideal Strategy: Wait for confirmation — either a clean breakout above ₹1120 or a rejection signal at resistance. Avoid trading within the zone. for educational purposes only
NSE:EMCURE
by rmhetre15
ASTRAL LTD | At Key Trendline Resistance | Breakout or Rejection🟢 Buy Recommendation (Breakout Trade) Entry: Buy only on breakout and daily close above ₹1,420–₹1,430 (above trendline resistance). Target 1: ₹1,550 Target 2: ₹1,650 Stop Loss: ₹1,320 (below recent consolidation support) 📌 Rationale: If price breaks above the trendline on good volume and closes above ₹1,430, a trend reversal may begin. 🔴 Sell/Short Recommendation (Rejection Trade) Entry: Sell if the price gets rejected from ₹1,400–₹1,420 and shows a red candle (confirmation). Target 1: ₹1,280 Target 2: ₹1,180 Stop Loss: ₹1,445 (above the trendline) 📌 Rationale: If the price fails to break the trendline, it could resume the downtrend. RSI is overbought, and sellers might take over. 🔴 Sell/Short Recommendation (Rejection Trade) Entry: Sell if the price gets rejected from ₹1,400–₹1,420 and shows a red candle (confirmation). Target 1: ₹1,280 Target 2: ₹1,180 Stop Loss: ₹1,445 (above the trendline) 📌 Rationale: If the price fails to break the trendline, it could resume the downtrend. RSI is overbought, and sellers might take over. for educational purposes only
NSE:ASTRAL
by rmhetre15
EUR/USD Explosion or Trap?EUR Futures Asset Managers: Strongly net long and continuously increasing since December 2024 → a clear sign of institutional confidence in the euro. Leveraged Money: Also rising, moving from net short to net long → sentiment reversal even from speculators. ✅ Interpretation: Both institutional categories are bullish on the euro, suggesting potential upward support for EUR/USD. USD Index Futures Asset Managers: Decreasing since the end of February → reducing long exposure on the dollar. Leveraged Money: Recovering from net short, but still uncertain → mixed sentiment. ⚠️ Interpretation: The dollar is structurally weakening. This reinforces the bullish bias on EUR/USD. 🧠 Technical Analysis – EUR/USD Weekly Chart Current price: 1.13150, right in the middle of a weekly/monthly supply zone, marked by upper wicks → clear seller presence. Price has made a strong rally from 1.03600, breaking through all intermediate supply zones. RSI: Slightly declining after previously reaching overbought territory. 📌 Key levels: Major support: 1.1000–1.1080 Structural resistance: 1.1350–1.1450 (current zone) 🧠 Technical Scenario: If price holds above 1.1250, we could see an extension toward 1.1500. If it breaks below 1.1200, a pullback toward 1.1080–1.1000 is likely. ✅ Trade Summary: COT bias: Bullish EUR/USD → strong EUR, weakening USD Technical: Watch price behavior in the 1.1350 zone → if rejection continues, expect a technical retracement before potential continuation. 🎯 Potential Setups: Long on pullback toward 1.1080 Breakout long above 1.1450 → targeting 1.1600 Short-term short if bearish price action appears in the current zone
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
2025-04-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqnasdaq e-mini futures comment: Until bears close the gap down to 18500, this is bullish, no doubt about it. I just think that we have seen 3 legs up and we are at big resistance. There is a chance that we have see the high today for this bull leg in what is likely a bigger trading range or still a very small chance of the continuation of the bear trend. Tomorrow will likely be key for this week. If we find acceptance above 18700, no reason not to run all the stops up to 19400. Below 18700 last chance for the bulls is defending the bull gap 21600 and below we go down hard again. current market cycle: trading range, triangle on the daily chart - that is dead once we go above 19400 key levels: 17800 - 19500 bull case: Bulls want to test the 50% retracement and run all the stops up to 19500. That is the only price that matters for them. That would mean we are making higher highs again and this bear trend is over for good. There really isn’t much more to it right now. Bulls just can’t let the market fall below 18600 or today’s rally was indeed the bull trap I expect it to be. Invalidation is below 18600. bear case: Bears want a lower high below 19388 and continue inside the triangle. If they can make lower lows again, the momentum would be dead and only really good news could help the bulls. Right now I prefer the triangle structure we are in and favoring the bears to trade back down to at least 18400 tomorrow/Friday. Above 19000 I don’t think many bears will hold short and hope that 19165 remains resistance. Invalidation is above 19000/19170. short term: Neutral at 18900. Bearish only below 18700 and how strong the move is. Bullish above 19000 for 19165 retest and maybe much higher to 19500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Only a big tariff agreement news can move the markets and that can go either way. You have no edge in guessing what will happen, so having huge swing positions right now does not make much sense. If earnings go bad, we will go much lower. What is the next big support to be hit? The lows of 2022 at 12565. Can we really get there? With a deep recession and some bigger failings, sure but for now it’s unrealistic to expect it. trade of the day: Long since Globex open but the selling above 19100 was a big warning and then market let the bulls out with a higher high but that was is. Easiest move was either holding long on Globex open or buying the double bottom 18630 with stop below the gap down to 18400ish.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
BTC NEXT MOVE ANALYSIS Bitcoin is showing strong bullish momentum, with a potential pullback setup forming. We are currently watching the $93,300 zone for short term reaction, but our primary interest lies lower. A buy limit is planned at $90,500, aligning with a high-probability demand zone and market structure support. This area could provide an optimal entry for a continued push toward the draw of liquidity near $96,500. Stay patient any dip toward this zone is a buying opportunity. Setup is valid unless price closes below $90,000. Stay Tuned For More 🤝🎖️🫡
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
Crypto Bulls Awaken – Is This Just the Beginning?In the past 48 hours, the crypto market has brought joy to traders and investors who managed to buy near the bottom. (Sorry to the cryptobros still holding floating losses—your time will come too! 😊) Some of you might be thinking it's too late to ride this bull run. But if you zoom out and look at the bigger picture, there's still plenty of room for the bull to run. Just switch to a higher timeframe like the weekly or monthly chart, and you'll see the potential upside. One coin that looks particularly interesting is BINANCE:SUIUSDT . There's been a pullback from 2.1829 - 1.7997, and it's supported by bullish divergence, suggesting a continuation of the impulsive move with 7.6108 as the first major target. This bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above 1.7174. You might be wondering, " So can I just buy/long BINANCE:SUIUSDT now? " Not yet. For a better entry and a more favorable risk-reward ratio, I suggest using the daily chart. Wait for a pullback, then look for confirmation using candlestick patterns. (I'll cover those patterns in my next post—stay tuned!)
Long
by EkyFabyanto
BTC - Bullish Control, Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 🚀 As per my last two setups (highlighted on the chart), BTC rejected the $72,000 support and pushed higher with strength. 📈 This week, BTC broke above the $90,000 structure, confirming a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. 🟢 For the bulls to stay in control, a break above the $95,200 resistance is still needed. 📊 In the meantime, as BTC retests the $89,000–$90,000 zone, we’ll be looking for medium-term trend-following longs to catch the next impulsive move. 📚 Reminder: Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key. Good luck, and happy trading! All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:BTCUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
BTC - Distribution Confirmed After Accumulation Cycle CompletionThis 4H chart is a textbook illustration of how smart money cycles play out over time—starting with accumulation, leading into a sharp markup, and culminating in a deceptive distribution phase characterized by manipulation and false breakouts. Let’s dissect each stage of this engineered move: --- 1. Accumulation Phase Following a Double Bottom At the left of the chart, price forms a clear double bottom —a classic retail reversal signal. - Smart money likely used this area to absorb sell-side liquidity, building long positions while retail traders expected further downside. - This base formation set the foundation for the upcoming accumulation range , marked by sideways price action and multiple rejections from both highs and lows of the range. The purpose of accumulation is simple: transfer supply from weak hands to strong hands. Every dip in this range allowed large players to fill bids without driving price too aggressively. --- 2. Sharp Markup and Resistance Interaction Once positions were fully loaded, price launched into a strong impulsive move upward , confirming the transition from accumulation to markup. - The move stalled at a clear horizontal resistance zone—marked as an area of prior supply and potential seller re-engagement. - Price consolidated just below this resistance, building tension and liquidity in the form of breakout longs and stop orders from early shorts. This led to the final stage of the cycle: distribution via manipulation. --- 3. Manipulation Above Resistance: The Fakeout What followed was a classic fakeout above resistance . - Price briefly broke above the key resistance area, attracting breakout buyers who assumed the trend would continue. - In reality, this move served as a liquidity sweep and exit trap , allowing institutions to offload long positions accumulated earlier. - The immediate rejection from this fakeout confirms a bull trap —a hallmark of distribution. This is where smart money transitions from buyers to sellers while retail is left holding the bag. --- 4. Gap Inversion: Confirmation of Distribution Post-fakeout, price creates a gap and immediately inverts back into the prior range , invalidating the breakout and forming a clear distribution schematic . - The gap acts as a volume void or inefficiency , often revisited in reversal models. - Once this area is rejected and price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, it becomes clear that distribution has been finalized. - This breakdown marks the beginning of a markdown phase—typically faster and more violent than the markup. The rejection confirms that price is now being delivered to the downside. --- 5. Narrative: From Accumulation to Redistribution and Collapse This setup isn’t random—it’s narrative-driven: - Double Bottom → Accumulation → Breakout → Manipulation → Distribution → Reversal Each phase builds on the previous one, guided by smart money's intent to trap liquidity and maximize profit during transitions. Now that distribution is confirmed, the expectation is continued downward delivery as price seeks out untapped liquidity and rebalances imbalances left behind during the markup. --- Conclusion: This 4H structure is a clear representation of the Wyckoff distribution model in action: - Accumulation fuels markup. - Breakout entices buyers. - Manipulation traps them. - Distribution unloads supply. - Reversal completes the cycle. The move down is not a random pullback—it is the deliberate continuation of a planned liquidity cycle . Expect further downside unless this structure is invalidated with a reclaim and break of the prior fakeout zone.
Short
by Louigi_24
56
GOLD heading to $3,450 or a bull trap ahead?XAUUSD has shown a strong bullish reversal from the key zone at $2,832, with a series of high-volatility, full-bodied weekly candles that completely absorbed the supply in the $3,050–3,140 area. The breakout of previous weekly and monthly highs confirmed a bullish structural shift, with a natural technical target around $3,450—its recent all-time high. Price reacted precisely to previously tested demand blocks, suggesting that buy-side pressure may still have room to expand. However, a deeper look at COT data reveals a more complex picture: Money Managers’ net positions on GOLD have been declining sharply for months, diverging from price action. This may indicate a rally driven more by retail flows or ETFs than by institutional strength, making it potentially unstable. Additionally, the COT report on the Dollar Index shows growing net long positions among leveraged traders, signaling USD strength—historically a headwind for gold. In summary, gold remains technically bullish with room to climb to $3,450, but COT data raises a red flag: if institutional positions don’t realign with the move, this rally could turn out to be a bull trap. From a trading perspective, there’s room for aggressive longs, but only with tight risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
2025-04-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bullish. I want to believe that the market can not go above 21700 but 5 consecutive daily bull bars say duck yo puts. Above 21700 no more resistance until 22000. If bulls fail, down we go to likely another higher low above 21250. Everything below 21200 is a big bear surprise. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20000 - 22000 bull case: Bulls are heavily favored if they break above 21700. There is no more resistance then, since we would then be making higher highs and today we closed above the daily 20ema. 21480 must hold, otherwise this was a bull trap and we could continue to range between 21000 - 21700. Measured move up from today is exactly 20000. Invalidation is below 21470. bear case: Bears not doing enough and even bad news could not get follow-through selling going. Above 21700 last bears have to cover because we will likely go for 22000 again. If they somehow manage to get below 21470, this continues inside the current trading range 21000 - 21700. Bears can still argue that even the 5 consecutive daily bull bars happened but bulls are not advancing much and they can not close a daily bar above 21500. EU close was 21439. So very low probability that 21700 will hold and we go down again. Invalidation is above 21700. short term: Neutral. Want to lean bullish but I won’t buy into big previous resistance. Above 700 on good momentum I’m long for 22000. Shorts only below 21470. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is ongoing but for now I still think 19500 and below is an amazing buy if you can hold for years. Things will have to turn really bad for this market to find acceptance below the bull trend line from the covid lows and right now this trade war is just front running. Markets were not priced for risk 3 weeks ago but this drop was too much too fast. My bearish targets for this year are met and with the current environment I will not call for lower prices than 19000. If the trade war turns real bad, yeah sure but for now it’s not. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long the breakout above 21365. Clear breakout with immediate follow-through. 15m tf or higher was way better to trade than lower ones.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress...📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption in progress, swing high targeted before a potential dump? Price is moving in a clean bullish structure with a confirmed Break of Structure (BOS), but under the surface, we can clearly see signs of absorption, which could signal an upcoming reversal. 📈 Open Interest is rising sharply 🟢 CVD Futures & Spot are both rising → real buying pressure 🔴 Funding remains negative 📊 85% of open positions are longs 🐋 Top traders are massively short 🧱 ➤ Clear absorption: price goes up… but someone is selling into it hard 🎯 Current hypothesis: 🧠 Longs are being absorbed, suggesting a short-term rejection is likely, but before that, price might push higher toward the swing high (92.5–93.5k) to: Hunt liquidity Trigger stop losses Finalize the short trap 📌 Trade plan: ✅ Spike above the swing high ✅ Final absorption / wick trap ✅ Dump back into the Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6%) ❗ Rule: don’t front-run – wait for confirmation: Sharp rejection after the spike Spot CVD divergence Loss of structure + drop in OI ⚖️ The market is tense. We are likely between the top of absorption… and the beginning of the flush. Stay patient. Watch closely. Only act on clear confirmation. 🔽Fr🔽 📊 BTCUSDT – Absorption en cours Le prix évolue dans une structure haussière propre avec un Break of Structure (BOS) validé, mais les dessous du marché révèlent une absorption nette, qui pourrait annoncer un retournement. 📈 Open Interest en forte hausse 🟢 CVD Futures & Spot haussiers → pression acheteuse réelle 🔴 Funding négatif persistant 📊 85 % de longues sur le marché (Kingfisher) 🐋 Top traders en short massif 🧱 ➤ Absorption claire : le prix monte… mais la contrepartie absorbe tout 🎯 Hypothèse actuelle : 🧠 Une absorption des longs est en cours, ce qui laisse penser qu’un rejet est probable à court terme, mais avant cela, le marché pourrait encore pousser vers le swing high (92.5–93.5k) pour : Chercher la liquidité Déclencher les stops vendeurs Finir le short trap 📌 Plan envisagé : ✅ Spike au-dessus du swing high ✅ Absorption finale / mèche piégeuse ✅ Dump en direction de la Reload Zone (FIB 61.8–78.6 %) ❗ Règle : ne pas anticiper – attendre confirmation : Rejet brutal après le spike Divergence CVD Spot Perte de structure + chute OI ⚖️ Le marché est tendu. On est probablement entre le haut de l’absorption… et le début de la purge. Rester patient. Observer. Agir sur signal propre.
by TheDegenCompany
USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast: 0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend. OANDA:USDCHF Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected. Take Profits: 0.83314 0.84000 0.85430 0.86286 0.87550 0.89147 0.90367 0.92218 0.94400 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
5