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GOLD ANALYSIS FOR TODAYHere we're analyzing 1H time frame for GOLD. Today I'm looking potential sell move opportunity. I'm expecting that the gold price further move towards downside at least the area 2725 - 2720. Now let's see which opportunity market will give us. This analysis is based on SMC concept, price action and Fibonacci retracement tool. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. #XAUUSD 1H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
NVDA | Trade PlanPrice was successfully bouncing off of EMA support until now I drew out the major pathways of pivot for a better understanding of what price will most likely do next As we analyze these pivots you'll notice that buyer become weaker in each wave giving sellers the opportunity for deeper corrections The last wave (3) had a correction so deep that it basically used the top of wave 2 for support (SnR) Seeing this will give us the idea that sellers will most likely look to head back to that major pivot as wave 4 barley made a Higher High creating divergence, and has already broke below the high of the last wave The next steps I would like to see price action inch its way up to somewhat fill the gap above to only see further selling towards $100 - $97 area. Note: This is a price action/wave analysis, the purpose of doing this is to have another perspective without having to rely on a chart pattern When we look at it this way we can have a better anticipation on what buyers are going to do next.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Nathanl19
2025-01-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Not much news. Trade the bull channel until broken. I won’t try to pick the top again. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 21400 - 22000 bull case: Bulls next targets are 21800, 900 and the next big number 22000. We are in a clear bull channel and bulls are in full control. Longs closer to the 1h 20ema are printing, so trade them until they stop working. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears doing absolutely nothing right now. Below 20400 we would have clearly broken out of the channel and best bears could hope for then is sideways to down movement to 21200. For now I don’t think you should even thinking about shorting any of this. Invalidation is above 22100. short term: Bullish on pull-backs and target 21800 and then 22000. Still only scalps though. medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Buy anywhere.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bullish day but still below 105k. Above 105k bulls have no more bigger resistance until 109k but for now the triangle is still valid. It’s not a strong trend or the bars would not overlap so much. Was the move up after the FOMC release from 101600 to 104000 the start of a bigger leg up? Could be. Invalidation for bears is a print above the beginning of the bear leg at 105k. As long as we stay below, bears are ok and we continue sideways inside the triangle. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 98k - 109k bull case: Bulls broke higher after 4 consecutive bearish days but we are still inside the triangle. They closed every bar above the daily 20ema since 14th and that means they are still somewhat favored to move higher. The buying after FOMC was strong enough to expect a second leg up. I do think they need to hold above 103k for that. Invalidation is below 103k. bear case: Bears only target is to defend the strong leg down which started at 105k to keep the market at lower highs. Above 105k most have to give up and try to short again higher. Market has not made lower lows since Monday, so bears do not have much going for them here. Best they can hope for is to stay inside the triangle and go sideways. Invalidation is above 105k. short term: Neutral 101k - 104k, bullish above 105k and bearish only below 100k. medium-long term: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Buying the FOMC low around 101600 or earlier since market printed 3 consecutive bull bars already. Stop had to be 100k anyway.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Surges Past 50% FIB – Is $2,000 Next? 📌 Key Breakthrough in Gold! Gold (XAU/USD) has just blasted through the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical discount zone where buyers historically step in. This breakout has triggered a wave of bullish momentum, pushing price towards key resistance levels. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: ✅ 50% FIB Breakout: Price has cleared this key retracement level, signaling strong buyer demand. ✅ Key Resistance Ahead: The $2,765 zone remains the next major hurdle—a breakout here could accelerate price toward $2,825. ✅ Support Zone: The $2,745 level serves as immediate support, acting as a potential pullback area. ✅ RSI Overbought? The RSI is approaching overbought conditions, meaning a short-term consolidation could occur. ✅ MACD Crossover Incoming? A bullish MACD crossover is forming, reinforcing the upward momentum. ⚡ What’s Next? If gold holds above the 50% FIB level and breaks $2,765. with strong volume, a push toward $2,825+ could be in play. However, failure to hold this breakout could trigger a pullback to $2.700 or lower. 📊 Will gold continue its bullish run, or is a pullback incoming? Drop your thoughts below! 👇 🚨 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ProcessAndIntercept
NVDA | Distribution Pattern to $97Follow up to the rising wedge pattern After seeing price bounce off of trendline support 4 times then to finally breakout we could see the next moves sell off towards the discount zone To add more confluence to this setup we're looking at the difference between price and indication and it's signaling a selloff based on divergence and the medium blue signal re-entering the 80/20 channel forecast bearish momentum stepping into play I'm eyeing targets around $97 and the possibility of seeing movement back towards major resistance ($152) to re-confirm price structure for any further selling beyond $97 Stay posted for any major updates on price action.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Nathanl19
#POSSIBLE CONDITIONSMarket Outlook for Tomorrow:💯 As we dive into today’s 4H analysis, two possible scenarios unfold: 1:Rejection at the Recent Selling Zone (2654 - 2665): If the market faces resistance here, we could see a pullback, with price potentially dropping towards 2725. 2:Breaking the First Zone: Alternatively, the market might liquidate its first zone and then face a fresh sell-off from the second key selling area. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move. The game is on! Let’s watch closely as we await whether the market offers us risk or reward. These selling zones are critical, so make sure to act only after a solid bearish confirmation.💥
FX:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
2025-01-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears fumbled again, who could have known. Can’t hold the full bear mode when seeing this price action. Weak wedge rally up to ath now with decent sell spikes in between. Don’t try to pick the top. Let the market show you clearly it wants to go down again, like it did on Friday. Until then, long pull-backs because market is just going up. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 21300 - 22000 bull case: Bulls want a new ath and print 21700. If bears step aside enough, we could actually get to 22000. The bull wedge is the pattern to trade until clearly broken. I doubt bulls will let this drop below 21500 before we see 21700. My second target is 21800 and last one is the obvious 22000. No idea where this might turn again but for now you should not think about bigger shorts. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears sold new highs but that’s about it. The bull wedge is broad enough for both sides to make money. Will we see bigger selling above 21600 tomorrow? I doubt it. Bears can only really think about bigger shorts if we break below 21500. If you have too many bearish thoughts, just look for more time at the daily dax xetra chart. Should go away then. Invalidation is above 21700. short term: Bullish on pull-backs and target 21700 or higher. Only scalps though. I still think this will crash at least 20% over the next months but for now I am not willing to risk being wrong about the top and having to scale in 500-1000 points higher. medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Buying any dip or selling any new high. Sounds way easier than done but that’s what happened today. Market respect the trend lines perfectly. Show those charts to people who say technical analysis is whatever.
EUREX:FDXS1!Long
by priceactiontds
2025-01-28 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls won the decision again and we are on our way to close the gap to 21900 and likely print 22k again. It would be a huge surprise if the gap would stay open. Tomorrow is FOMC and it could be good for a huge surprise to either side. No matter what, I will be flat going into it. Decent looking bull wedge up now and I expect a better pull-back to maybe the 1h 20ema before we can have more upside tomorrow. Dips should stay above 21400. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21400 - 22000 bull case: Bulls took control again after the nasty bear trap on the US open. They are once again in full control and their next targets are 21700, gap close to 21900 and then obviously 22k. The breakout retest is 21420 and any pull-back should stay above or this could become something else. Invalidation is below 21400. bear case: Bears sold the double top 21420 for a decent 200+ point sell-off but bulls were having none of it afterwards. Bears had to give up and we are on our way up again. Best bears can hope for is to scalp 50-100 points on new highs. Bears really have nothing here. Jpow could help but until then I expect market to trade much higher already. Could this move up become a lower high below 22000 or could the gap to 21900 stay open? Obviously yes but for now the buying is strong and I don’t want to hold swing shorts when bulls are in full control again. No matter how amazing the selling on Monday was. Invalidation is above 21900. short term: Bullish on pull-backs. Bears fumbled it again and next target is the gap close to 21900. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Buying the bear trap around 21200 once it turned violently to the upside. Market could not get below 21100 which was a warning to the bears, that we are printing higher lows after higher highs.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
USD/CHF | Bearish Season IncomingHigher timeframes (3-Day+) are at a nice resistance zone to see short plays only as we head into the next season We got a ~600 pip swing but first I'd like to see maybe one more long position back to the main resistance zone for a high sell entry up top and then scaling in as price falls after more confirmation and price development Trend Reader is looking nice too as its in the overbought zone signaling a bearish play to come with clear divergence The blue EMA at around 150-Days also acts as good dynamic Support/Resistance to help confirm that flipside once price looks to break below with a rejected pullback.
Short
by Nathanl19
2025-01-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Perfect selling down to 21200 but the pull-back is tough for bears. Futures would need to immediately sell-off from 21500 to keep the bear case alive but above 21520 we print a new ath and maybe some more. Only below 21400 one can be bearish again. current market cycle: bull trend but could have ended today. market needs to print a lower high around 21500 and sell-off hard again. key levels: 21000 - 21700 bull case: Bulls prevented a really bad day and closed the gap at least in the US session. Very important day tomorrow. Ff they can keep it above 21400, we could see more upside but I doubt it will get much beyond 21644 if we get there at all. On the daily tf it looks like a perfect retest of the bull trend line we broke above last Wednesday. Invalidation is below 21000. bear case: Bears have to keep this below 21500 or we see more upside. RTH close was 21392 and futures open has to be bearish af to keep the bear case alive. Got nothing more for the bears here. Either continue to the downside now or we will stay at the highs for longer and likely make new ones. Invalidation is above 21500. short term: Neutral. Need to see futures open and if bears can keep it below 21500. Bullish above and bearish only below 21400. medium-long term from 2024-01-20: Market hit 21k and now it’s about being patient until we sell-off again. current swing trade: None. trade of the day: Selling before EU open or buying EU open. The open was neutral enough to not short the hole and longs were fine once we strongly broke above 21300.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
2025-01-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Huge gap down on Globex open and market just sold off. We retraced about 50% and now it’s decision time again. Bears need to keep it below 21500 for a retest of 21000 or lower and bulls want the megaphone to continue and squeeze the shorts to death. Above 21500 no bear can hold short and we will most likely see acceleration upwards. I favor the bears if we stay below the 1h 20ema. For now we are in a trading range 21100 - 21400 until clearly broken. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 20000 - 22200 bull case: Bulls prevented a bloodbath and had a nasty reversal from 20763 for a 600 point bounce. They need a strong 1h close above 21350 if they want higher prices. Invalidation is below 21100. bear case: Bears need to keep it below 21500 or more bulls will join the party again. The longer we can keep the big gap from 21908 down to 21400ish open, the better for the bears and more bulls will give up, hoping for 22000 again. The low of last week was 21370 and the bounce got up to 21395. Close is always close enough. Bears remain in control of the market until we see a big 1h close above the 20ema and 21400. For now this is just a two-legged pull-back to the ema, so bears really need to defend this and not fumble a great setup again. Invalidation is above 21500. short term: Bearish against the 1h 20ema, which is around the 50% retracement. 21000 will get retested and maybe the lows as well. medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting anywhere above 21500 or buying below 20900 during the big spike down from 21140 to 20763. The spike down came after nasdaq had already made a 700+ point down move and those spikes are most likely the intermediate bottom and we see a pullback because bears needed to reduce risk and take some of those windfall profits.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oil futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: We have a first decent pull-back and so far every dip buyer lost money. We are at the daily 20ema and missed the breakout price by 4 ticks. I think the odds favor the bulls to get another leg up and try 80 again. 5 consecutive daily bear bars is a bear micro channel and buying into this is a bad buy. Bulls will probably wait for more confirmation first. So best thing to do here is nothing. If the bulls get another leg up, I highly doubt they will get anything beyond 80, if they make it that far. The market would have never pulled-back that much in a strong trend. current market cycle: trading range - on lower time frames it’s also obviously a bull trend key levels: 73 - 80 bull case: Bulls have their do or die moment around 74. Below 73 this rally is over and we will aim for 67 much more than 80. A strong bullish daily bar could shift the momentum again and another try at reaching 80. Above the 4h 20ema and probably 76, this becomes a decent long again. I would wait for that confirmation before joining the bulls. Invalidation is below 73. bear case: Bears printed an endless pull-back down from 79.45 and the 4h 20ema was big resistance for the entire week. If bears just keep at it, we can continue all the way down from where we started end of December but if bulls gain momentum and go above 76, I doubt many bears want to hold short in fear of going to 80. Invalidation is above 80. short term: Neutral. I need confirmation for either side before I want to take a trade. The 4h and 1h is on the bear side and the daily looks still bullish enough for me to now want to get chopped around between 73 - 76. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-19: Triangle is dead and market is now in a proper trading range with upside to 80 or even 85. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202504 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls got another two bigger legs up which now makes it 5. Question now is, how likely is a continuation before a deeper pull-back? I do think Friday’s price action could have been the start of a wider profit taking by more bulls but until the bull channel is clearly broken and we have traded consecutive bars below the 4h 20ema, it won’t mean much. In the past 3 months we had very strong looking legs up, followed by deep pull-backs and we have not made a meaningful higher high since 2024-11-11. It’s reasonable to assume that we can hit 6200 before turning but I have big doubts about more upside beyond. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6200 bull case: Bulls made 140 points on the week with 5 clear legs up. Buying above 6130 is just bad no matter how you put it. Scalps ok but we have been in this trading range for 3 months now. Bulls want to print another ath and 6200 is the logical target. As long as the bull channel holds, they are favored and in control. Once we start closing gaps below again, more bulls will likely take profits. Invalidation is below 5790. bear case: Bears didn’t do much the past week but we are at big resistance again and shorts are great from a risk:reward perspective. The upside potential is probably limited to 6200/6300 but the downside is clear with 5800. For now you can only short this if you are willing to scale in higher, otherwise you have to wait for better selling pressure and a break of the bull trend line. Invalidation is above 6300. short term: Neutral 6100 - 6200, bearish below for 6000 and depending on how we get there, either wait for a lower high or we might continue down. medium-long term - Update from 2025-01-26: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. For now we are stuck in a range 5800 - 6200. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted targets and added the current bull channel and two big gaps.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds