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GBP/USD in terminal phase? This zone could flip everything!📊 Technical Analysis Price is currently trading in a strong weekly/monthly resistance zone around 1.3390–1.3400, marked by a dense multi-layer supply area. Historically, this level has caused sharp rejections. From the lows, price completed a steep bullish leg, breaking through several structures. However: Momentum seems overstretched. RSI shows potential overbought signals. There's a likely bearish target zone between 1.2950 and 1.2850, which is a key demand area. 📌 Trade Setup: I’m watching for exhaustion signals or bearish confirmations on H1 to short from the current resistance, targeting the grey and turquoise zones below 1.30. 🧾 COT Report – GBP Large Speculators (Asset Managers) still hold a net short position, although they've reduced exposure in recent months. Leverage Funds remain slightly long, but without strong conviction. 💵 COT Report – USD Leverage Funds have turned significantly net long on the dollar (strong green line upward since March). This supports a bearish view on GBP/USD, as USD strength returns. 📉 Summary: Price is at a key decision zone. A technical correction is possible. COT data supports this view: GBP remains weak on the institutional side. USD is regaining strength.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
SBIN Breakout Alert | Strong Volume + RSI Confirmation🔍 Chart Analysis Summary Pattern: Stock has broken out of a clear consolidation range (highlighted in blue), suggesting bullish momentum. Volume Spike: Notable surge in volume (blue arrow), confirming the breakout strength. RSI: RSI has broken above the 60–65 zone, indicating strong bullish momentum. Price Action: The breakout occurred above ₹775–₹780 resistance, now acting as support. 🟢 Recommendation: BUY Action Level (INR) Buy Above ₹785–₹790 (on minor dips or current price) Target 1 ₹835 Target 2 ₹875 Stoploss ₹755 (below the breakout support zone) for educational purposes only
NSE:SBINLong
by rmhetre15
Will STX Outperform Bitcoin?In the crypto market, if you want to beat the market, your benchmark is $CRYPTO:BTCUSD. That means to outperform the crypto market, you need to outperform Bitcoin. One way to measure this is by watching crypto/BTC pairs, such as $BINANCE:STXBTC. If $BINANCE:STXBTCgoes up, it means STX is stronger than BTC. If it goes down, BTC is stronger than STX. On the daily chart, BINANCE:STXBTC has been moving downward, but over the past month, sellers seem to be losing momentum—indicated by a falling wedge reversal pattern. A bullish breakout above 0.000000770 would confirm the pattern, with a potential upside target at 0.000000993 – 0.000001055. This scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 0.000000699.
Long
by EkyFabyanto
#202516 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Expanding triangles are my least favorite structure and we are in one. I have no bias here because both sides have reasonable arguments. Bulls just want this selling to become a bear trap and test up to the upper bear trend line around 69 and bears can see it as a bear flag that tested the 50% retracement of this bear leg. current market cycle: trading range on the monthly chart - daily chart is a bear trend that could be transitioning into a trading range again key levels: 55 - 69 bull case: Bulls see it as a failed acceleration down and want to retest the prior bear trend line around 68. Same target as last week but this week they closed the weekly bar above 64 which was my line in the sand. If they continue here, they will likely squeeze much higher again. 69 next target. Invalidation is below 60. bear case: I give the bears one more day to form a strong reversal but the odds are low. This breakout could go much higher and Friday looks like a give-up bar. Argument for the bears is that we are still at the 50% retracement and the breakout-retest of the March low 64. Any prices above 64.2 is invalidation for the bears. I will only view this as bearish again, if bears break the bull trend line from the 54.48 low and that’s currently around 61. Invalidation is above 64.2. short term: Neutral at 64. Above 64.2 bullish and only below 61 I think bears have taken control again. medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-20: This does look like another bear trap below 60, which was to be expected. Depending on next week I will write some more here. For now It’s still a bear trend until bulls can reclaim 72.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
#202516 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral and very similar to dax, as most of the time. I do think we will see one more leg down in this current bear trend before we could go sideways for longer, until earnings become the absolute fucking shitshow I expect them to become. We get daily news about big companies not exporting to China or to the US due to tariffs. No one believes this will go down smoothly. Bear trend line holding so far, 50% retracement for this bear trend was 19483 and the spike high last week was 19388 and bulls could not get above it this week. The daily 20ema is also right above us and every time market touched it, we sold and closed below. Triangle will likely break on Tuesday and I am having wet dreams about going below 17000 again. current market cycle: bear trend but above 19388 it ends and we will be in a giant trading range key levels: 15500 - 19500 bull case: Bulls want this trend to end and crush the hopes for a third leg down. That has not changed. Their only target is 19388 and if they get it, market is completely neutral and they will likely go for 20000 again. Bulls still have the triangle argument but below 18100 that is gone as well. At this point I think only very positive news could save the bulls. Market is likely waiting for big earnings next week and if Tesla surprises downwards, we will hopefully crash this m* again. Invalidation is below 18000. bear case: Last week my assumption was that the tariff exemptions were enough to pump this above the bull spike from the previous week but that failed and we went lower since. If even that can not lift the market to higher highs, what will? Only a big agreement with the EU and/or China. How likely is that? This US government doesn’t even know how to articulate their goals in negotiations, how do you think you could guess it? Market is in maximum limbo and since we are still somewhat high enough, we could see more risk-off trading. Until bears can get below 18000, we likely continue sideways. 3 big resistances held and the bear trend line is intact. Bears are heavily favored to continue down and I expect a third leg. Can the third leg get much below 16400? I don’t know but I doubt it. Only a deep recession would get us there and for that we would need earnings going real bad. Below 18000 I expect 17200 to be the next big support but a retest of 16400/16500 could happen. Invalidation is above 19388. short term: Neutral. Sideways most likely until a clear breakout above or below. Below 18000 we could do 17500 or 17000 fast. Above 19388 market is free to test much higher again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-20: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We had the clear W1 and W3 but now it’s messy. Only a big tariff agreement news can move the markets and that can go either way. You have no edge in guessing what will happen, so having huge swing positions right now does not make much sense. If earnings go bad, we will go much lower. What is the next big support to be hit? The lows of 2022 at 12565. Can we really get there? With a deep recession and some bigger failings, sure but for now it’s unrealistic to expect it.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
ZRO: Altcoin hero?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! ZRO is worth keeping on the radar. Out of most altcoins it arguably has the cleanest setup for a potential bullish reversal—at least structurally. While it could be done here, I’m leaning on the idea that the Y wave still needs one more leg down. That’s typically the behavior we see: Y waves tend to be slower and more drawn out compared to the W wave. If that holds true again, the ideal target zone falls between $2.12 and $1.88. That would allow for a proper test of structure while staying within the bounds of the larger corrective patterns most likely target. This is still a bullish interpretation—but only after one more low and a meaningful reaction from it. That said, both the bull and bear counts are pointing down in the near-term. My personal invalidation sits above the (c) wave high. If ZRO clears that, this setup likely needs to be re-evaluated. Until then, any move beyond the orthodox end of wave A of the Y leg should be considered “enough” from a pattern swing perspective. Patience here could pay off—especially if price enters the key zone and shows strength. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Long
by CryptoKnee
#202516 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral but below 21300 really bearish if the selling is decent. I do think we saw a double top bear flag past 2 weeks and are going down from here. Invalidation is clear, above 21700 I am wrong and this could go much higher because it likely means that bears are giving up. Below 21300 I expect 21000 to be hit and if a news bomb helps, much lower again. Market now failed 2 weeks at the prior upper bull trend line from 2023-05, 50% retracement for this bear trend and the daily 20ema. 3 big reasons why this will likely continue to be resistance. current market cycle: bear trend but very likely that we have seen the lows and have transitioned to a trading range - will have a definitive answer next week. key levels: 19000 - 21700 bull case: Decently bullish week but 21500 was and still is huge resistance. Bulls could not close anything above it and since they tried for 3 days staight, chances for them are not high that we will get the breakout above next week. Until bears can make lower lows below 21100, bulls are in control of this, since they have printed 3 consecutive bullish days and we are up 12% from the lows. Their only target now is to close a strong 1h bar above 21700 and then I think the last bears will cover and this goes straight to 22000. Invalidation is below 21100. bear case: Bears are keeping this a lower high but if market continues to poke at 21700, eventually it will break and more bears will cover. Bears have the 3 big arguments on their side: 50% retracement held, daily 20ema held and we have not made higher highs and so this could very well just be a giant bear flag ready to break down over the next days. Volume was atrocious last week, compared to the 2 prior weeks and next week we will likely seen a big move again. For now there are no positive news for the bulls and the trade war is in full swing. Even if we go above 21700, my base case is a revisit of 19000 or lower for the year. Invalidation is above 21605. short term: Neutral. Breakout is imminent and right now I very slightly favor the bears but market is currently more neutral than anything else. Bullish above 21700 and bearish below 21300. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Bear trend is ongoing but for now I still think 19500 and below is an amazing buy if you can hold for years. Things will have to turn really bad for this market to find acceptance below the bull trend line from the covid lows and right now this trade war is just front running. Markets were not priced for risk 3 weeks ago but this drop was too much too fast. My bearish targets for this year are met and with the current environment I will not call for lower prices than 19000. If the trade war turns real bad, yeah sure but for now it’s not.
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
EUR/NZD About to Explode? Traders Are Watching THIS Level!📊 General Analysis of EUR/NZD (Higher Timeframe) 1. 📌 Price Context The price had a strong bounce from a demand zone (highlighted in light blue) around 1.85. It then broke through multiple supply zones (gray and maroon) to the upside and is currently hovering near 1.91874. 🔍 Key Zones 🔵 Demand Zone (Support) Range: 1.8430 – 1.8712 This zone has been tested multiple times, with long wicks to the downside → indicating strong buying interest. A powerful bullish move originated from this area. 🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) Current resistance: 1.9187 – 1.9450 This is where the price is currently paused → potential rejection area. Monthly upper zone (1M): 1.96 – 2.00 A strong long-term resistance. If reached, we might see profit-taking or even a reversal. 🕯️ Candles & Momentum The large green candle represents a strong bullish breakout. The weekly candle (labeled "1W") shows indecision → this could be a pause before continuation or the beginning of a pullback. 🔮 Possible Future Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario If the price decisively breaks above 1.9187, the next target is 1.9600 – 2.0000. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario If price gets rejected at current levels, it may fall back into the support zone 1.8712 – 1.8500, which has previously shown strength. 📈 Lower Indicator (Likely RSI or Wavetrend) Currently bouncing from an oversold area. No clear overbought signals → there’s room for more upside. 🧭 Conclusion Current trend: Bullish (especially in the short to mid term). Key levels to watch: Resistance: 1.9187 and 1.96–2.00 Support: 1.8712 and 1.85
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
BTCUSD - $100k soon? [UPDATE]MARKET UPDATE. Price broke out of the Descending Trendling and has pulled back to retest the Trendline and a Key Demand zone. Stacked Confluences: 1. Trendline Break & Retest. 2. Liquidity sweep below support. 3. BOS after price reacted from the Demand. I’m watching for continuation towards $85.8k and beyond. If bullish step in here this could be the next bullish leg up. Let’s see how it plays out. What are your thoughts on BTC this week let me know what you think in the comments.
Long
by SyHub
2
Golden Cross means Golden Opportunity?Here's What You Need to Know About Moving Averages One of the signs of the beginning of a bullish trend is the golden cross — a crossover between two moving averages. The shorter-period moving average (closer to the price) crosses above the longer-period moving average (farther from the price). When this happens, it could be a signal to consider buying or opening a long position, especially if supported by candlestick confirmation. The target is usually set higher than the previous high. Case Study: BINANCE:STEEMUSDT The price began trading above the EMA 20 (white line) and EMA 50 (pink line), then the EMA 20 crossed above the EMA 50 — forming a golden cross. But instead of entering immediately, you should wait for a price retracement back to the EMAs, allowing them to act as support (also known as dynamic support, since EMAs move with price). In this case, a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern appeared right at the EMAs. The confirmation level is at 0.1303, which means the price needs to close above this level to validate the bounce from the EMAs. The invalidation level is below the bullish engulfing candle — at 0.1270. Target prices: Target I: 0.1570 – 0.1632 Target II: 0.1802 – 0.1887 You might be wondering: How do I choose which target to aim for? Let me explain — the main target is 0.1802 – 0.1887 because it’s above the previous high (in a bullish trend, price tends to form higher highs). Then why include 0.1570 – 0.1632? Even though we aim for the higher target, we still need to be cautious of potential resistance in that zone. Once the price hits that level, observe how it reacts. If there’s a significant rejection or price drop, consider reducing your position to secure profits. But if the price keeps pushing up with strong momentum, let the profits run. So in this case, 0.1570 – 0.1632 acts more like a level of awareness rather than a fixed take-profit target. Let me know what you think about this post! Would love to hear your thoughts and how I can support your trading journey with more technical insights or educational content like this. 🙌
Long
by EkyFabyanto
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by mytw0cents
Bullish Triangle Pattern on ProgressIn my previous update on BINANCE:CRVUSDT , I mentioned three potential scenarios: a bullish triangle formation, sideways movement, and a double top pattern. Right now, it looks like the bullish triangle pattern is playing out. If this continues, I expect the price to reach the 0.7853 – 0.8343 target zone. But before that, all eyes are on the key resistance at 0.6667 — the prior high. The best-case scenario would be a strong breakout above 0.6667, ideally with a solid bullish candle showing strong buyer momentum. However, stay cautious. If price breaks the resistance but quickly falls back into the triangle and breaks the low of the breakout candle, that could be a false breakout (or what some might call a liquidation sweep). In that case, reducing exposure could be a wise move, as price might enter a sideways phase. On the other hand, if price gets rejected (before breakout) at 0.6667 with a large red candle, that’s still acceptable — as long as price holds above the invalidation level at 0.5781. Let’s keep watching how price reacts around key levels. Market structure still favors the bulls, but risk management is key.
Long
by EkyFabyanto
2
CAKEUSDT Short Setup – Watching 2.40 Zone for RejectionHey Traders, CAKEUSDT is currently trading within a well-defined downtrend, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. The recent move appears to be a corrective rally, bringing price back toward a key daily resistance zone around 2.40, which also aligns with the descending trendline. I’m monitoring this area closely for potential bearish price action to develop, signaling a continuation of the dominant bearish trend. Key Confluences: Major daily resistance at 2.40 Approaching descending trendline Market still in a clear downtrend Possible lower high formation in progress Trade Plan: If I see bearish confirmation in this zone (e.g. rejection candles, bearish structure break on lower timeframes, or weakening momentum). A strong break and hold above 2.40 would invalidate the setup!
Short
by JoeChampion
Why This Bearish Trend Is Actually a Bullish Opportunity?Understanding the Multi Timeframe Analysis – Part 2 of 2 Alright from the prior post we talked about how the corrective move on the 4H timeframe turns out to be a bearish trend on the 1H chart. Now, let’s dive deeper into that 1-hour chart. In this 1H chart, we can observe a trend shift from bullish to bearish. Before the red arrow, we can clearly see a bullish structure: Blue arrows continue to form higher lows, and Orange arrows form higher highs (except one minor failure, which still maintains the bullish structure because price doesn’t break the previous low). But everything changes after the red arrow: Orange arrows fail to create new highs, Blue arrows start forming lower lows, → confirming a bearish reversal on the 1H timeframe. So… How Can We Use This Bearish Trend as a Bullish Opportunity? Here's where it gets interesting — instead of seeing the bearish trend as a threat, we use it for better entry with an improved risk-reward ratio. But here’s the catch – some conditions must be met: Make sure the bigger timeframe (4H) still supports a bullish trend. Wait for price to drop lower than the last blue arrow (prior low). Look for bullish divergence + candlestick confirmation before entering. Once you get the signal, you can place your stop loss below the confirmation candle to limit your risk. What If Price Breaks the Orange Arrow (Prior High)? If price invalidates the bearish structure by breaking the previous high, that means: The 1H bearish trend is over. The pullback on 4H timeframe is done. And price is likely resuming the main bullish trend. So, whether price goes lower or higher — you’re ready either way. Alright, that’s my take on using multiple timeframes—hope it helps clear up any confusion you had! Let me know your thoughts in the comments. See you in the next post!
by EkyFabyanto
Why This Bearish Trend Is Actually a Bullish Opportunity?Understanding the Multi Timeframe Analysis – Part 1 of 2 Have you ever felt overwhelmed when using multiple timeframes in your analysis? Not sure which timeframes to choose or how to combine them effectively? In this post, I’ll share my thoughts on how to use multi-timeframe analysis with real chart examples. Let’s take a look at the movement from the first red and blue arrows – we can clearly see that buyers were not in control at that point. But if we compare it to the next red and blue arrows, it’s clear that buyers took control of the market. This tells us something important: ➡️ The recent price drop from the last red arrow is likely just a corrective move, not a reversal. Based on the 4-hour timeframe, we can identify the corrective target zone around 0.5593 - 0.5369. So what’s next? In smaller timeframes like the 1-hour chart, this corrective move might appear as a short-term bearish trend. But from a higher timeframe perspective, it’s just a pullback – and that can create an opportunity for a precise entry using a strategy like bottom fishing. In the next post (Part 2), I’ll show you how this works on the 1-hour chart – including the before and after, and how I plan my entry. Stay tuned! Do you usually check the bigger timeframe before taking entries? Let me know your approach in the comments.
by EkyFabyanto
BTCUSDT – Shallow Pullback Holding | 1.618 Extension in SightBitcoin made a strong move from 73K to 106K, setting a new high after months of sideways action. Since then, we’ve seen a pullback, but it's been controlled. The retracement has landed right on the 0.236 Fib level, around 75.4K — and price is starting to base above it. That’s often a sign of bullish strength. Shallow retracements like this can fuel the next leg up. 🔹 Short-Term Fib (Blue) This Fib is drawn from the recent move: 73K (0) → 106K (1) Key level: 0.236: 75,409 → currently acting as support 1.618 extension: 139,977 → potential next target if the uptrend continues So far, price is respecting the structure. 🟡 Macro Fib (Yellow) Drawn from a larger swing: 39.5K (0) → 73K (1) That move already completed and topped out near the 1.618 extension at ~106.7K — which lined up closely with the current ATH. It’s not active anymore, but it gives important historical context. 🎯 What I’m Watching: Holding above 75K keeps bulls in control Breakout above 95K could send price back to test ATH at 106K If momentum builds, 139K (blue 1.618) becomes the next technical target Drop below 73K? Structure breaks, and we reassess the trend 📌 Final Take: BTC is holding strong where it needs to. It’s not moon-mode yet, but the structure favors continuation. As long as the 75K area holds, I’m leaning bullish — targeting a breakout toward 106K and possibly 139K. Let’s see if Bitcoin’s got another leg in it. Thoughts? Long or waiting on a dip? 👇
Long
by MyNameIsEmrah
1
Is GBPAUD Finally Ready to Drop?Price is currently struggling to break through a key resistance area. That’s not a problem – I’m not looking to catch the entire move, I only need a clean 1:3 RR and potentially the completion of the Asia range. 🔻 Bias: Bearish On the 4H chart, I’ve identified the 50 EMA as a possible point of rejection, and it lines up perfectly with a 15m POI (Orderblock). Since the Asia session opened higher, this creates a solid intraday short opportunity targeting the unfilled Asian range. ✅ I’ve marked two potential zones where price could react. If I get clean bearish price action in either zone – such as a BOS on the 1m or strong rejection patterns – I’ll look to execute the short. Patience until the setup aligns. Let's see how it plays out. 🔍💯
Short
by sTax11
Is This The End of Pullback?BINANCE:SUPERUSDT has entered the support zone between 0.5142 – 0.4754 after a strong impulsive move to the upside. This support zone is considered valid due to multiple rejections that occurred within this area in the past—indicating strong buyer interest. Ideally, this is where we expect price to bounce and resume the bullish trend. The first sign of confirmation would be a break above 0.5272, which may open the path toward higher targets. However, the bullish scenario remains valid only if the price stays above 0.4983—a key invalidation level. Note: If this level is breached before a clear candlestick confirmation, the candle pattern being used to validate the move becomes invalid. Even if the price breaks below the invalidation level, as long as it remains within the support zone, the support is still valid — but it would require the formation of a new bullish candlestick pattern to re-confirm the potential for an upward move.
Long
by EkyFabyanto